Look for any podcast host, guest or anyone
Showing episodes and shows of

Galen Druke

Shows

GD POLITICSGD POLITICSTrump's Slide Probably Isn't About EpsteinThe video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.If you scan some of the latest headlines, it looks like President Trump is finally facing the scandal that will do him in: “​​Trump Fumes at Epstein Mess as Polls Reveal Big GOP Revolt,” reads The New Republic. “Donald Trump Suffers Major Polling Blow Over Jeffrey Epstein Files,” reads Newsweek.The Epstein story has indeed had some staying power and Trump’s approval rating has also been sliding, but is it “Good Data, Bad Data or Not Data” to draw a connection between the two? We answer...2025-07-2149 minConversations With ColemanConversations With ColemanDo The Democrats Really Need ‘Their Own Trump’ To Win? w/ Galen DrukeThis week I sat down with political analyst Galen Druke to talk about what actually moves public opinion and shifts voter behavior. We got into why some people viewed Donald Trump as the more moderate choice in 2016, what that says about how voters think, and how Democrats might get back into the national conversation in a real way. We also talked about how polls work, when they matter, and what they often miss about what voters actually care about. A special thanks to our sponsors: Go to groundnews.com...2025-07-211h 04Conversations With ColemanConversations With ColemanDo The Democrats Really Need ‘Their Own Trump’ To Win? w/ Galen DrukeThis week I sat down with political analyst Galen Druke to talk about what actually moves public opinion and shifts voter behavior. We got into why some people viewed Donald Trump as the more moderate choice in 2016, what that says about how voters think, and how Democrats might get back into the national conversation in a real way. We also talked about how polls work, when they matter, and what they often miss about what voters actually care about. A special thanks to our sponsors: Go to groundnews.com...2025-07-211h 04GD POLITICSGD POLITICSThe Leader Of Denmark's Socialist Party Makes The Case For SocialismThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.gdpolitics.comThe full episode and video are available to paid subscribers. Once you become a paid subscriber, you can connect your account to your preferred podcast player by following the directions here.The Nordic countries have come to play an outsized role in the American political imagination. Denmark, a country of six million people, roughly the size of Wisconsin, is by now used to being called out by both the American left and right as an example of a socialist...2025-07-1749 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSHow To Make America Healthy AgainThe video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.There’s little doubt that America faces a health conundrum. We spent nearly 18 percent of GDP on health in 2023. The average per person was $13,400 dollars, roughly double the amount spent in comparable countries.Meanwhile, the results are lacking. American life expectancy at birth is 78 years, about 5 years shorter than the average of similar countries. And nearly 75 percent of Americans are overweight or obese, with 12 percent having diabetes.I could keep citing statistics, but you get the point.The Trump ad...2025-07-1451 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSElection Data Trivia From America's 250 YearsThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.gdpolitics.comThe full episode and video are available to paid subscribers. Once you become a paid subscriber, you can connect your account to your preferred podcast player by following the directions here.What was the first election ever accurately predicted by a poll? And how far off the mark was that poll? Also, which elections had the highest and lowest turnout t…2025-07-1014 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSThe Parties Craft Their Midterm MessagesFirst and foremost, I want to say I’m thinking of everyone affected by the flash flooding in Texas. The details are heart wrenching and here’s to hoping that everyone stays safe as more flooding appears to be on its way.We start off today’s episode taking a look back at how Republicans managed to pass a tax and spending bill that so many of the party’s own caucus seemed to take issue with. We also look ahead to the kinds of political fights we expect to emerge over the legislation.Plus, Elon Mus...2025-07-0756 minTavis SmileyTavis SmileyGalen Druke joins Tavis SmileyGalen Druke, host of GD Politics and formerly of the influential 538 podcast, breaks down the numbers in the NYC mayor’s race and tells us why Democrats need their own Donald Trump.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/tavis-smiley--6286410/support.2025-07-0721 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSThe Political Consequences Of The Bill Formerly Known As OBBBAI’ve been doing the podcast rounds this week, chatting with the folks at The Bulwark and Raging Moderates. If you heard me there and are new to this podcast, I want to say a big welcome! I’m glad you’re here! For regular listeners who want to hear me spout off, you can find some of that spouting in those feeds.I also talked to Gabe Fleisher of Waking Up To Politics in a live Substack chat on Wednesday and you’re gonna hear part of that conversation in this episode. For context, Gabe is 23 and has...2025-07-0346 minThe Bulwark PodcastThe Bulwark PodcastGalen Druke: Americans Do Not Like Trump's DeportationsTrump has moved public opinion against his own immigration policy platform by sending masked agents out to nab people off the street. So, Democrats should skip the last war, and instead push for laws requiring ICE agents to show their faces and wear their names on their badge. And another no-brainer for the midterms, in light of the Big Ugly Bill: they should also grab the green eyeshades and talk up the dangers from the debt and deficit. Plus, the electoral calculations behind slashing Medicaid, a Democratic primary draft for 2028, and what was Murkowski thinking? Galen Druke...2025-07-021h 05Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica TarlovRaging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica TarlovThe GOP’s Unpopular and Harmful Bill (ft. Galen Druke)With JD Vance casting a tiebreaking vote, the Senate voted Tuesday to advance the GOP budget bill. To process this news, Jessica is joined by Galen Druke — the former host of the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, and current host of GD Politics. They discuss the bill that no one seems to like, what lessons the Democrats should (and shouldn’t) learn from Zohran Mamdani’s win in the NYC mayoral primary, and last week’s surprising Supreme Court opinions. Follow Jessica Tarlov, @JessicaTarlov.  Follow Prof G, @profgalloway. Follow Raging Mo...2025-07-021h 05The Prof G Pod with Scott GallowayThe Prof G Pod with Scott GallowayRaging Moderates: The GOP’s Unpopular and Harmful Bill (ft. Galen Druke)With JD Vance casting a tiebreaking vote, the Senate voted Tuesday to advance the GOP budget bill. To process this news, Jessica is joined by Galen Druke — the former host of the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, and current host of GD Politics. They discuss the bill that no one seems to like, what lessons the Democrats should (and shouldn’t) learn from Zohran Mamdani’s win in the NYC mayoral primary, and last week’s surprising Supreme Court opinions. Follow Jessica Tarlov, @JessicaTarlov.  Follow Prof G, @profgalloway. Follow Raging Moderates, @RagingModeratesPod. 2025-07-021h 06GD POLITICSGD POLITICSWhat Americans Think About SCOTUS, Iran, And The 'Big Beautiful Bill'The video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.Even by the standards of Trump-era news cycles, the back half of June has been a doozy. Remember when the L.A. immigration raids and protests were leading the news? That was only two weeks ago.Since then, we’ve had a military parade, nationwide protests, Israel went to war with Iran, the U.S. bombed Iran’s nuclear facilities, there was a historic heatwave, Zohran Mamdani won the New York City mayoral primary, the Supreme Court ruled to severely limit nationwide injunctions, and...2025-06-3051 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSHow A Democratic Socialist Put Himself On Track To Run NYCThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.gdpolitics.comNew York State Rep. Zohran Mamdani seriously outperformed expectations in the New York City Democratic mayoral primary on Tuesday, well positioning himself to win the general election this fall.The election had become a two-way race between Mamdani and former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, with polls projecting the results would likely be close enough …2025-06-2621 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSMurkowski Gets Candid On Prospects Of Leaving GOP And Bombing IranThe video version of this podcast is available here.Last week I had the chance to speak with Republican Senator from Alaska Lisa Murkowski at length. She was candid about many things: Her openness to the idea of leaving the G.O.P, her aversion to bombing Iran, and the safety concerns involved in being a lawmaker during a period of increased political violence.She also discussed her feelings about Justice Brett Kavanaugh’s performance on the Supreme Court (after voting not to confirm him), her likelihood of supporting the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” and wh...2025-06-2455 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSWhy Democrats Need Their Own TrumpThe video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.I’m sure you’ve all seen the news about the United States’ attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities over the weekend. It’s a fast moving situation that we are going to talk about on future episodes of this podcast.It also happens that I wrote an op-ed about presidential politics that is in The New York Times today. I wanted to publish a podcast elaborating on my thinking around the op-ed and that’s what today’s episode is. In a nutshell, it’s...2025-06-2356 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSCancelvania Is Becoming A Swing StateThe video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.If you find the title of this episode confusing, the cold open should help clear things up. I believe it’s the longest cold open I’ve ever done for a podcast. Enjoy!On a more serious note, we’ve got an awful lot to talk about today. I had originally planned to open up the mailbag and answer listener questions (which we still do), but before we get to that, Nathaniel Rakich and I talk about some of the news since the last e...2025-06-161h 00GD POLITICSGD POLITICSNate Silver On LA Protests, NYC's Mayoral Race, And Elon MuskThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.gdpolitics.comNate Silver and I went live on Substack Thursday afternoon to sort though some of the messy politics of the moment: There are the immigration raids in Los Angeles and the response from protesters and the Trump administration. There’s a competitive Democratic primary for mayor of New York City. Elon Musk seems to be back in the fold after threatening to …2025-06-1220 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSThe Five House Districts To Watch In 2026The video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.The contours of the 2026 midterms are taking shape in House districts across the country. Inside Elections just released their most up to date ratings, so today we spotlight five districts to watch, across Colorado, Maine, New York, Washington and Iowa. Democrats only need to flip three seats in order to gain control of the House, but how deep into Republican territory are they trying to compete?We also get into last week’s breakup between Donald Trump and Elon Musk. A recent piece in...2025-06-0957 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSCrosstab Diving With Friends!This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.gdpolitics.comThe video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.Prepare to get nerdy today. We dig into the most rigorous data available on how different parts of the electorate voted in 2024.2025-06-0531 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSOne Big Unpopular BillThe video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.What do Americans think about the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)? And is the acronym pronounced “OH-bah” or “ABBA?”For our purposes I think we’ll go with “ABBA,” so, will this be a case of The Winner Takes It All? Or will this be Republicans’ Waterloo? (This one’s for you ABBA fans!)In any case, the House narrowly passed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act just before Memorial Day. Senate Republicans now have to figure out what they want to do with it...2025-06-0256 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSHow Democrats Ended Up On The Losing Side Of The Class DivideI hope everyone had a nice Memorial Day Weekend!If you’ve paid any attention to politics over the past decade you know that one of the most important ways America’s coalitions have changed is that Democrats have done increasingly well among voters with college degrees, while Republicans have done increasingly well among voters without them. In a country in which 63 percent of people don’t have a degree, that’s a losing proposition for Democrats.The challenge facing Democrats runs deeper than strictly whether their voters completed a bachelor’s program. We talk about educ...2025-05-2854 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSHow To Fix What Ails PollingThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.gdpolitics.comThe video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.The latest techniques in polling, why less engaged voters rate Trump's performance more highly, and a new game!2025-05-2331 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSWTF Is Up With The Economy?The video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.Economic forecasting has often been as much of an art as a science, but since the pandemic it seems to have turned into a full on Jackson Pollock painting.Remember when Biden-era inflation was transitory? Or when a recession was a 100 percent certainty at the start of 2022? Or how about when President Trump’s election to a second term marked the start of renewed boom times? You’d be forgiven if you started to think folks were just flinging s**t at a wall...2025-05-2046 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSImportant Updates And Listener QuestionsThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.gdpolitics.comToday’s podcast is a little bit different. When I launched GD POLITICS, I said that I wanted to hear directly from you and speak directly to you, building a community as we go. I hope you already feel a part of that community, but to that end, I want to occasionally do podcasts where I update you, share thoughts, and answer your questions. So, today it’s just me!2025-05-1624 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSThe Pope And The SenateAmerica got its first pope! I was sitting next to one of about 30 Indiana University study abroad students on my flight back from Madrid on Saturday and my seat mate told me that her whole dorm was live streaming the smoke from the Sistine Chapel. As she recounted, everyone went crazy when “America won.” You love to see it!I’m not just interested in the pope as part of this podcast’s religious community revival agenda (I kid). I’m interested in the pope because for the first time ever, he is a registered voter in Illinois...2025-05-1346 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSThe Trump Backlash Goes GlobalIn the U.S., Trump’s popularity hit a new low of net -10 percentage points right as he clocked 100 days in office. Abroad, the political impact of Trump’s first 100 days is perhaps more tangible. In both Canada and Australia, the center-Left parties, which looked destined for defeat just months ago, came roaring back in recent elections.A week ago, Canada’s Liberal Party won the most seats in parliament, ensuring Prime Minister Mark Carney would stay in office for the party’s fourth consecutive term in control of government. This past weekend, Australia’s Labour Party secu...2025-05-0648 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSThe Number Of Secular Americans Has PlateauedThere’s rarely more attention paid to religion than when one pope passes and the College of Cardinals gathers to select another. Maybe it’s because the grandeur and secrecy of it all makes for a compelling news story, maybe it’s because 1.4 billion Catholics around the world really do care about the outcome, or maybe the weight of a millennia old tradition captures our imagination in a rapidly changing world.Whatever the reason, it gives us on the GD POLITICS podcast an opportunity to reflect on the role that religion plays in society and politics today. And it...2025-04-2846 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSGD POLITICS Live! With Nate Silver, Clare Malone And Harry EntenThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.gdpolitics.comOnly paid subscribers have access to the full-length video and audio of the show, so make sure to subscribe!We discussed the search for a new pope, 100 days of Trump, played a game and answered questions from a sold out audience in New York City2025-04-2426 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSThe Data Trends That Define This MomentThe video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.If the data tells a story, there’s one person you can count on to narrate it. Friend of the pod and chief data reporter at the Financial Times, John Burn-Murdoch, has for years been catching readers’ attention with charts that highlight just how society and politics are changing: social classes stratifying, innumeracy and illiteracy rising, birth rates dropping, gender gaps widening, American life expectancy stalling out.Lately, his work on economic and social reactions to Trump’s second term have been literally jumpin...2025-04-2254 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSPreview: 2028 Democratic Primary DraftThis is an audio preview of the full draft, which is available to paid subscribers here.On Wednesday afternoon, Nate Silver and I went live on Substack to host our first ever 2028 Democratic primary draft. We said it was “way-too-early,” but I’m not sure that’s right. The potential candidates themselves certainly don’t seem to think so. Look at just about any ambitious Democrat and it will be clear that they are making moves: doing arena tours, starting podcasts, showcasing their abilities to “get sh*t done.” So we took the opportunity to put our early assumpti...2025-04-1731 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSAmericans Sour On Trump's EconomyThe video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.Americans have had a lot to digest politically and economically over the past couple weeks. Trump’s volatile approach to tariffs began basically as soon as he took office, with Canada and Mexico being the first targets, but so-called “Liberation Day” marked the start of something akin to full blown chaos.It’s one of those times when you want as up-to-date data as possible, and lucky for us, our guest had just that. Kristen Soltis Anderson is a longtime friend of the pod. She...2025-04-1541 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSThe Farewell Podcast We Never RecordedThe video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.Nathaniel Rakich, Mary Radcliffe and I say goodbye to FiveThirtyEight (and talk about Gavin Newsom's podcast). This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.gdpolitics.com/subscribe2025-04-1039 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSThe Problem With Trump's Trade MathThe video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.We recorded this podcast before markets closed on Monday, but at one point during the day the S&P 500 dipped into bear market territory — 20 percent off its recent high — before rebounding. In the two days following President Trump’s Liberation Day tariff announcement, the markets posted a 10 percent loss, the biggest two-day drop since the Covid crash.On this episode of the podcast, Elliott Morris and Mary Radcliffe join me to talk about some of the math behind what Trump says he’s doing an...2025-04-0835 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSDemocrats Had A Good Night In Wisconsin And FloridaIn one of the biggest election nights of the year, liberal judge Susan Crawford easily won a state Supreme Court race in Wisconsin and Democrats overperformed by double digits in two Florida congressional races.Deputy editor of Inside Elections Jacob Rubashkin and political reporter at The 19th Grace Panetta joined me to break down the results.GD POLITICS is a listener-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other...2025-04-0236 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSThe First Battleground Test Of Trump 2.0The video version of this podcast is available to paid subscribers here.Tuesday’s Wisconsin Supreme Court race serves as a test of how voters in the consummate battleground state are feeling ten weeks into Trump’s second term, and one of the main themes of Trump’s presidency is taking center stage: the role that Elon Musk is playing in government.The race is nominally nonpartisan, but liberal judge Susan Crawford and conservative judge Brad Schimel have been very clear about where they stand on state and even national politics. At stake is the ideolo...2025-03-3135 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSHow Trump Made Canada Liberal AgainAt the start of the year it looked like Canada was getting ready to repeat a political story we’ve seen play out across the globe. After decades-high levels of inflation, amid a shortage of affordable housing and a backlash to liberal immigration policies, the unpopular incumbent, the Liberals, seemed destined for electoral defeat.But then two things happened: On January 6th, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, boasting a mere 22 percent approval rating, announced he would resign. And two weeks later, President Trump took office, talking about turning Canada into America’s 51st state and threatening many — and then l...2025-03-2749 minGD POLITICSGD POLITICSNate Silver Gets Candid On 538 Regrets, Elon Musk, And Democrats' MisstepsNate Silver joins me for a wide ranging and candid interview on the inaugural episode of the GD POLITICS podcast. We talk about what it was like behind the scenes at FiveThirtyEight, Elon Musk’s increasingly erratic behavior, and much more. The video version of the podcast is available to paid subscribers here. Subscribe to GD POLITICS at www.gdpolitics.com and wherever you listen to podcasts! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.gdpolitics.com/subscribe2025-03-241h 12GD POLITICSGD POLITICSWelcome To The GD POLITICS PodcastWelcome to the GD POLITICS podcast! I hope you'll subscribe in your favorite podcast app and at www.gdpolitics.com. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.gdpolitics.com/subscribe2025-03-1702 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsThe Pollercoaster Takes A Final PlungePolls were coming in hot and heavy over the weekend! In fact, 164 surveys were entered into the 538 database since Friday. In this Election Day eve episode of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with senior researcher Mary Radcliffe and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik about what we are seeing in those final polls.They discuss the famed Iowa Poll from Ann Selzer, which showed a rosy picture for Harris, and the battleground polling from the New York Times, which showed results that frustrate some of the trends we've come to expect this cycle. They also...2024-11-0441 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsHarris Resets The Race For Latino VotersOne of the most promising electoral trends for Republicans during the Trump era has been a shift among Latino voters toward Republicans. The eight percentage point swing from Clinton in 2016 to Trump in 2020 represented the largest shift of any racial or ethnic group in either direction.And the erosion of support for Democrats didn’t stop there. In a poll of Latino voters in battleground states from the research group Equis in May, Biden was leading Trump among Latinos by only 5 percentage points. But Biden is no longer in the race, so do any of these trends st...2024-08-1537 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsAmerican Politics Has A Respect CrisisHow much do you respect people who hold different political views from you? On today’s podcast, Galen speaks with Jeff Spinner-Halev and Elizabeth Theiss-Morse, political scientists and authors of the book “Respect and Loathing in American Democracy.” They conducted one of the first empirical studies of respect in American politics, exploring how modern partisans overwhelmingly struggle to respect their political enemies. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2024-08-0130 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsThe Harris Campaign BeginsIn the span of just two days, Vice President Kamala Harris consolidated support within the Democratic Party and is well on her way to securing the Democratic nomination for president. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Mary Radcliffe and Geoffrey Skelley about what has and hasn’t changed in the newly reshaped 2024 presidential race.Harris won’t have the same challenges President Joe Biden faced when it came to perceptions of his age, and already it appears some young voters and voters of color have swung in her direction. But, similar to Biden, vote...2024-07-2543 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsJD Vance Aims To Reframe The GOP On Night 3 Of The RNCIn this late-night installment of the 538 Politics podcast, senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik join Galen to help make sense of the third night of the Republican National Convention. Plus: How should we interpret polls that show a majority of Democrats want President Joe Biden to step aside? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2024-07-1834 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsThe Push For A Biden Replacement Becomes RealThe ground has started to shift beneath President Joe Biden's feet. Between Tuesday and Wednesday, multiple Democratic lawmakers raised questions about his viability as a candidate in 2024 and weighed in on who might replace him should he step aside.In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley about the latest data on how voters are reacting to Biden's debate performance and what could happen next. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2024-07-0335 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsPresidential Immunity And More Debate FalloutSince Thursday, the only story in American politics has been President Joe Biden's poor debate performance and what on earth Democrats are going to do about it. That was until today, when the Supreme Court ruled that American presidents have legal immunity for official acts. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with Jessica Roth, a law professor and former federal prosecutor, about the details of the Supreme Court's ruling. Then 538's Nathaniel Rakich and Tia Yang discuss the continued fallout from the presidential debate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit...2024-07-0147 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsReaction Podcast: A Rough Debate For BidenGalen reacts to the first 2024 presidential debate between President Biden and former President Donald Trump with senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2024-06-2829 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsVoters Around The World Are Mad As HellThere are more people voting in 2024 than ever before. This year, elections are taking place in at least 64 countries, as well as the European Union, totaling almost half of the world’s population.In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen sits down with Richard Wike, director of Pew’s Global Attitudes Research, and Matthias Matthijs, senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, to talk about whether voters are behaving similarly across the globe. One of the biggest trends they discuss: a deep sense of discontent with the people in power. Learn more...2024-06-2039 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight Politics2024 Is Going To Be A Vibes ElectionLast week we got significant news in two key issue areas that might shape how voters are thinking this fall: the economy and abortion legality. First, on Wednesday, the latest consumer price index data showed inflation cooling more than expected. Then, on Thursday, the Supreme Court ruled unanimously to uphold access to the abortion medication mifepristone by mail.In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Senior Researcher Mary Radcliffe and Senior Elections Analyst Nathaniel Rakich about how voters are are thinking about the issues of the economy and abortion access in 2024 and how that...2024-06-1738 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsHow Much AI Regulation Is The Right Amount?Last month, a bipartisan group of senators unveiled a roadmap for artificial intelligence policy, proposing $32 billion in funding to support AI research. The plan has raised numerous questions about whether and how the government intends to regulate the rapidly evolving tech industry, especially in areas related to copyright and privacy. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Gregory Allen, Director of the Wadhwani Center for AI and Advanced Technologies, about the politics of AI regulation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2024-06-1343 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight Politics538’s New Forecast Says The Election Is A Toss-UpThe 2024 presidential election forecast is live. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen sits down with director of data analytics G. Elliott Morris to talk about the even odds between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. While Trump leads in the polls nationally and in the battleground states, the fundamentals favor Biden, resulting in an extremely close call between the two. Elliott and Galen discuss the sources of uncertainty in the forecast and what we might expect between now and Election Day. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2024-06-1140 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsMr. Druke Goes to WashingtonThis installment of the 538 Politics podcast comes to you from the nation's capital, where Galen is joined in-studio by senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich and friend of the podcast, New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik.They talk about the latest polling since former president Donald Trump's guilty verdict in his Manhattan hush-money trial and President Joe Biden's decision to issue an executive order restricting asylum at the southern border. They also play a game of historical election trivia, drawing parallels from past elections to today. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit...2024-06-0644 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsReaction Podcast: Trump Found GuiltyOn Thursday, a Manhattan jury found former President Donald Trump guilty of all 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in connection with hush money payments to Stormy Daniels. In this 538 Politics reaction podcast, Galen speaks with former federal prosecutor Jessica Roth about the legal implications of the jury's finding. Then 538's Nathaniel Rakich joins the podcast to discuss the possible political implications of the guilty verdict. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2024-05-3133 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsThe 3 Questions That Will Decide Trump's First TrialClosing arguments have wrapped up in former President Donald Trump’s first criminal trial, where he is being accused of falsifying business records in connection to a hush money payment made to adult film actor Stormy Daniels during his 2016 presidential campaign. This marks the beginning of the end of the first criminal prosecution of a former American president, and the verdict could affect his future career in politics. In the latest installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen talks with Jessica Roth, a law professor and former federal prosecutor, to discuss the trial. Learn more about yo...2024-05-2837 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhy Voters Are Down On The Economy, In Their Own WordsFor much of Joe Biden’s presidency, political observers have puzzled over a disconnect between economic indicators and consumer sentiment. Unemployment is low, growth has been persistent and inflation is receding. Yet, the vibes aren’t great.In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we hear from undecided voters who participated in a focus group with PerryUndem and 538's Senior Politics Reporter Monica Potts, which focused on feelings about the economy.Later in the show, Galen speaks with 538 researcher and editor Cooper Burton about an algorithm 538 built to group House members into caucuses based on how...2024-05-0235 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsA Tale Of Two Trump TrialsFormer president Donald Trump’s legal saga reached two major milestones last week. In Manhattan, former National Enquirer publisher David Pecker testified about a “catch and kill” scheme that prosecutors say was meant to help Trump win the 2016 presidential election. Meanwhile, on Thursday, the Supreme Court heard oral arguments on whether presidential immunity protected Trump from prosecution in the federal case related to Jan. 6. The court’s conservative majority appeared sympathetic to at least some of the Trump team’s claims, raising the likelihood that any trial will not begin until after the November election.In this installmen...2024-04-2935 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight Politics538's New Polling Averages Show Close Presidential RaceThe 538 presidential general election polling averages are officially live! That means no more poll-by-poll whiplash; for a sense of the state of the race nationally and in the battleground states, head to abcnews.com/538.In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Director of Data Analytics G. Elliott Morris about the main takeaways from the averages and what kinds of data they consider. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2024-04-2542 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsAre Mike Johnson’s Days Numbered?After months of conflict over whether or how to aid American allies abroad, the House passed a slate of bills providing funding for Ukraine, Israel, Gazan humanitarian assistance and Taiwan. Each bill won a clear bipartisan majority, but a slim majority of Republicans opposed Ukraine aid.In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Rachael Bade, Geoffrey Skelley and Kaleigh Rogers about why this happened now and whether it spells doom for House Speaker Mike Johnson. They also preview primary election day in one of the most pivotal states this fall: Pennsylvania. And they mark...2024-04-2353 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsIn Trump Trial, Jury Selection Is Part PoliticsThe jury selection process is still underway in former President Donald Trump's Manhattan criminal trial. In order to get on the jury, Manhattanites responded to a questionnaire with 42 questions ranging from whether they belong to QAnon or Antifa to what podcasts they listen to. The attorneys on both sides scrutinized their social media posts, asked them about their opinions of Trump, and had the opportunity to ask they be removed from consideration.This is all with the goal of impaneling an unbiased jury. It’s one of the most important parts of the process and also gets at...2024-04-1836 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhat's Up With The Kids These Days?In the 2020 election, young voters were key to President Joe Biden’s victory. Biden won voters age 18 to 29 by more than 20 points, and the turnout rate among young voters was the highest it has been in decades. But recent polls show Biden slipping among voters under 30. The upshot spells danger for Democrats: According to 538's Swing-O-Matic, if young voters shifted toward former President Donald Trump this fall by just 5 points and everything else remained the same, Trump would win.In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen discusses young voters’ role in the 2024 election with John Della Volp...2024-04-1156 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhere Will People Commune In A Godless America?Americans are becoming less religious and two new surveys out just last week punctuate just how quickly that’s happening. According to the Public Religion Research Institute, 26 percent of Americans now consider themselves unaffiliated with any religion. That’s up from 21 percent a decade ago and just 6 percent in the early '90s. According to Gallup, the number of Americans who attend religious services weekly or nearly every week has fallen from 42 percent in 2000 to 30 percent now.In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with a roundtable of experts on religion and society about why the...2024-04-0449 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsThe Presidential Election Has Become An Unpopularity ContestIn this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen and the crew talk about air travel and how Americans feel about flying in a game of “Guess What Americans Think.” They also weigh if the U.S. Census Bureau’s new way of collecting data on race and ethnicity is a “good or bad use of polling.” Later in the episode, they pivot to discuss the Supreme Court's hearing on restrictions surrounding the abortion medication mifepristone, and explore the challenges third-party candidates face in getting on the ballot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoi2024-04-0254 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsAre US Politics Undergoing A Racial Realignment?A handful of recent polls and election results indicate that American politics may be undergoing a racial realignment, with voters of color challenging traditional partisan alliances.In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen talks about these shifting dynamics with John Burn-Murdoch, chief data reporter for the Financial Times, and Chryl Laird, government and politics professor at the University of Maryland. They explore why voters of color might be shifting right and what it could mean for Democrats. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2024-03-2854 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhat To Make Of The Protest Votes In MichiganThe Michigan primary resulted in easy victories for both former president Donald Trump and President Joe Biden, but it also laid bare some discontent in both parties. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Bridge Michigan politics reporter Jonathan Oosting, POLITICO senior Washington correspondent and co-author of Playbook Rachael Bade, and 538 director of data analytics G. Elliott Morris about Trump's and Biden's vulnerabilities within their own parties. Later in the show the crew turns its focus to Washington to discuss the looming partial government shutdown and how immigration is continuing to grow as a key issue...2024-02-2848 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhat Comes Next In Trump's TrialsThis Presidents Day installment of the 538 Politics podcast grapples with a central question in the 2024 election: What are the legal limits of presidential behavior?Former President Donald Trump is facing 91 criminal charges across four different cases as he campaigns for the White House. Law professor Jessica Roth joins Galen to discuss some of the recent developments in each of the cases and what to expect next.Last week, the judge in the New York hush money case ruled that the trial will begin March 25, meaning it’s now expected to be the first of Trump's ca...2024-02-1957 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsThe Data Points That Will Explain The 2024 ElectionWhat is the most valuable data point to watch heading into the 2024 presidential election? This week on the 538 Politics podcast, we interviewed more than a dozen experts — pollsters, political scientists, data journalists — and asked them this one question. Their combined answers paint a picture of which variables will most influence the election this November. Galen and his guests cover voters' shifting perceptions of the two candidates, issues and key demographics that could make or break them, and the importance of "double haters," voters who have negative opinions of both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.  ...2024-02-0841 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsHow Americans Feel About The EconomyThe conventional wisdom is that the economy and a president’s fate are closely tied. For much of Joe Biden’s presidency, part of the story has been that despite a strong labor market and economic growth, views of the economy and Biden’s handling of it have been abysmal.A lot of that likely had to do with inflation, rising interest rates and a declining stock market. Trends that, as of right now, have abated and even reversed. So what’s happened over the past three years and where are we headed? And what does all of that...2024-02-0137 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWill Politics Or Policy Win Out At The Border?In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew explores the thorny negotiations surrounding immigration and border security in Washington. Galen talks to Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research; Rachael Bade, author of POLITICO Playbook; and Leah Askarinam, 538 politics reporter. Together, the crew discusses evolving public sentiment on immigration, explores proposed policy changes and guesses what Americans think about the political landscape right now. Later in the show, Galen is joined by G. Elliott Morris, 538’s director of data analytics, to uncover more about how 538's pollster ratings are determined and reveal what are the best pollsters in America....2024-01-301h 07FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsThe View From New HampshireWith New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation primary quickly approaching, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast heads to the Granite State. Galen speaks with Annmarie Timmins, Senior Reporter at the New Hampshire Bulletin, and Neil Levesque, Director of the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College, about the potentially competitive contest between frontrunner former President Donald Trump and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, as well as the nuances of New Hampshire’s electorate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2024-01-1843 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsNo Sleep Till IowaThe Iowa caucuses are just a week away, and in this installment, the 538 Politics podcast sets its sights on the early states. Galen speaks with celebrated Iowa pollster Ann Selzer about likely caucusgoers' views of the candidates and how things could change in the final week of the campaign. Later in the show, Galen is joined by ABC News reporters Kendall Ross in Iowa, Kelsey Walsh in New Hampshire and Gabriella Abdul-Hakim in South Carolina. They share their insights from months of talking to voters and listening to candidates as they crisscrossed their states. Learn...2024-01-081h 03FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsDo The Betting Markets Have 2024 Right?The 538 Politics podcast is kicking off the new year with a game of Buy, Sell, Hold. There are a lot of unknowns as we start the year: Who will win the party nominations for president? Will a third party candidate break through? What will come of former president Donald Trump’s legal liability? And ultimately, who will win the White House, the House of Representatives and Senate? There are betting markets for just about all of these unknowns, so Galen asks the crew to make an assessment of the going odds.They also discuss potential wildcards heading in...2024-01-0453 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsReaction Podcast: Colorado Supreme Court Bars Trump From BallotOn this special reaction edition of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Kimberly Wehle, professor of law at the University of Baltimore, and Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst, about the recent ruling from the Colorado Supreme Court that bars Trump from the Colorado Republican primary ballot. They discuss the legal grounding of this ruling, the political reaction and the prospect of the U.S. Supreme Court weighing in. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2023-12-2024 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsHave Progressives Won The Economic Debate?In early 2020, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez told New York Magazine that, “In any other country [she and President Joe Biden] would not be in the same party.” Yet, by April of that year, after Bernie Sanders dropped out, she “absolutely” threw her support behind Biden, saying “the stakes are too high when it comes to another four years of [former President Donald] Trump.”Since Trump’s victory in 2016, opposition to the former president has served as one of the strongest organizing principles for the Democratic Party. And that dynamic has likely helped paper over some of the “progressive left vs. establishment”...2023-12-1436 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhat To Make Of Trump's 'Dictator' CommentFormer President Donald Trump attracted attention for his answer in a town hall with Sean Hannity last week suggesting he would not abuse his power as president in a second term, “except for Day One.” His answer came after extensive reporting on how his second-term plans would challenge democratic norms and accepted limits on presidential power on issues ranging from Department of Justice investigations to domestic use of the military.In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with constitutional law professor Kate Shaw and professor of government Brendan Nyhan about Trump's second-term agenda. They discuss which aspe...2023-12-1151 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsDid The Fourth Republican Debate Matter?Galen unpacks the fourth Republican primary debate from Tuscaloosa, Alabama with senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley and White House correspondent MaryAlice Parks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2023-12-0737 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight Politics2024 Is The First ‘AI Election.’ What Does That Mean?Exactly one year ago today, OpenAI launched ChatGPT. And quickly, the program changed the conversation around what is possible for artificial intelligence. In the past 12 months, we've seen campaign videos featuring AI-generated images, legislative proposals and a congressional hearing on AI regulation. By all accounts, the 2024 presidential election is going to be our first "AI election." However, often the specifics around AI’s impact remain vague. How exactly could it impact our electoral politics?In this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, the interim dean of the Harris School of Public Po...2023-11-3047 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhat These Swing Voters Have To Say About The 2024 ElectionWhat makes swing voters swing? In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast Galen heads to Simi Valley, California and speaks with voters whose preferences have crisscrossed parties in recent years. They explain how they’re thinking about politics today and why their views and identities may not fit neatly into one partisan bucket. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2023-11-2043 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsThe Fight For Working-Class VotersIn 2016, as has been widely reported, white working-class voters shifted decisively to the right. In 2020, working-class voters of color followed suit to varying degrees, though still giving President Joe Biden a clear majority of their support. This has left both parties with the understanding that going forward a multiracial, working-class majority will play a pivotal role in their electoral fortunes. So why have we seen these recent shifts to the right and what will both parties do to either capitalize on or reverse these trends?In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with two authors w...2023-11-1650 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsIf The 2024 Election Were Held Today, Would Trump Win?To mark one year out from the 2024 election, Galen tries to make sense of the political environment based on all the data we have with a crew of election data nerds: G. Elliott Morris, ABC News editorial director of data analytics; Ruth Igielnik, editor for news surveys at The New York Times; and Lakshya Jain, partner at the election modeling website Split-Ticket.org.In recent days, a spate of polls have come out, mostly showing a similar picture: Not only does former President Donald Trump outperform President Joe Biden in the swing states, he leads, on average, i...2023-11-141h 03FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsOur First-Ever House Speaker DraftThe House of Representatives has officially been without a permanent speaker for 20 days. After Rep. Steve Scalise and Rep. Jim Jordan failed to get enough support, nine new Republican candidates have stepped forward to run for the speakership. In this installment of the podcast, the crew drafts teams of who they think is most likely to fill the position.Then, Eurasia Group president Ian Bremmer joins Galen Druke to talk about why it has been so hard to get good, clear information about the war between Israel and Hamas. Last week, false reports that Israel had struck...2023-10-231h 03FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhy Our Politics Are Stuck In 2016We are at an awkward moment in electoral politics. When it comes to the Republican primary, while there are plenty of alternatives to former President Donald Trump, none of them have gained serious traction. When it comes to Democrats, despite consternation about President Biden’s age and electability, he has no serious primary challengers.More than a year out from the presidential election, it seems like the writing is on the wall, that electoral politics are frozen in place, and few people are happy about it. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks wi...2023-09-261h 10FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWorkers Are Striking And Americans Are Into ItWelcome aboard the Acela, listeners. Today on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, we are taking a break from the campaign trail and heading to Washington, D.C., where there’s quite a lot going on.House Speaker Kevin McCarthy announced last week that Republicans are opening an impeachment inquiry into President Biden. There are also just 12 days until a possible government shutdown. And some Republicans are threatening McCarthy's speakership.Politics reporter Leah Askarinam and POLITICO Playbook co-author and ABC News contributor Rachael Bade join Galen Druke to discuss. They also play a round of "Quiz of the...2023-09-191h 10FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhy Biden Is Losing Support Among Voters Of ColorAmong the most politically tuned-in, last week saw the kind of hand-wringing and accusations of bias surrounding the polls that you’d usually expect from the final two months of a campaign, not the final year and two months of a campaign.The focus was largely on general election polls: Whether a Wall Street Journal poll showing former President Donald Trump and President Biden tied is to be trusted. What to make of a CNN poll showing Nikki Haley as the only Republican candidate with a lead over Biden that falls outside the margin of error. How to unders...2023-09-121h 15FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsGood Or Bad Use Of Polling: Extended CutThis is a special end-of-meteorological-summer installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. Galen Druke speaks with pollsters Kristen Soltis Anderson and David Byler in an episode made entirely of "good or bad use of polling" examples.They consider why GOP primary candidate Vivek Ramaswamy polls differently depending on survey methodology, what we can learn from post-debate polling, whether Nikki Haley used polling well in her debate performance and more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2023-08-291h 15FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhat The GOP Primary Looks Like In The Early StatesGame time for the Republican presidential primary begins in earnest this week. The first debate is being held in Milwaukee on Wednesday, and it marks the beginning of a five-month countdown to the Iowa caucuses, during which there will be monthly debates, nonstop campaigning and a likely winnowing of the field.While this may be when the nation begins to tune in, folks in the early states have been tuning in -- either by choice or because of multimillion-dollar ad spending -- for months. And so, in preparation for the months ahead, in this installment of the...2023-08-2142 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsThree Georgia Law Professors Weigh In On Trump's IndictmentFormer President Donald Trump has been indicted for a fourth time, now in Fulton County, Georgia, for efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election in that state. While the alleged crimes in this case are similar in some ways to his previous federal indictments in special counsel Jack Smith’s investigation, there are important differences.First, these are state crimes, based in part on Georgia’s racketeering laws, which have historically been applied much more broadly than federal racketeering laws.Second, and relatedly, the core of this case involves an alleged criminal enterprise, whic...2023-08-1539 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsOhio Voters Weigh In On Abortion (Indirectly)Tuesday is Election Day in Ohio and it’s a bit of an unusual one. Ohioans are voting on whether to increase the threshold to pass constitutional amendments from a simple majority to a 60 percent supermajority. In this installment of the podcast, Galen Druke speaks with senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich about where the race stands and the broader trend of similar ballot measures.Galen also digs into the New York Times’s first polls of the 2024 primary and general elections with Ruth Igielnik, the Times's editor of news surveys. Their surveys with Siena College during the 2022 midt...2023-08-071h 01FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsJuly Was Hot As Hell. Do Voters Care?Calculations from the World Meteorological Organization suggest that July was the hottest month on record. Throughout the month, heat records were broken across the globe. Phoenix, Arizona, recorded 31 days in a row of temperatures over 110 degrees Fahrenheit and Sanbao, China, provisionally recorded the country’s all-time hottest temperature of 126 degrees.In this installment of the podcast, Galen speaks with Anthony Leiserowitz, the director and founder of the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication, about public perceptions of climate change, how extreme weather shapes those views and whether it's shaping our politics.Galen also speaks with Kale...2023-08-011h 05FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhat's So Special About 'Bidenomics'?Love it or hate it, this is President Biden’s economy and he’s taking credit for it. In recent weeks, Biden has been rolling out his economic pitch to Americans. It started with a high-profile speech in Chicago where he branded his policies as “Bidenomics” and positioned them in opposition to trickle-down “Reaganomics.” Since then, Biden and his campaign surrogates have fanned out across the country to make their pitch.This is coming at a time when Americans are quite pessimistic about the economy. In recent polls, less than a third of Americans say the economy is good. But...2023-07-1058 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsAre Millennials Getting More Conservative?There’s been a lot thrown at Republican voters over the past few weeks. The field of primary candidates has doubled; the leading contender in the primary was federally indicted on 37 counts related to his handling of classified documents and alleged obstruction of justice; and a contest that had remained largely deferential to Trump has gotten more testy.In this installment of the podcast, pollster Kristen Soltis-Anderson and Washington Post data columnist David Byler join Galen to look at how Republican primary voters are processing the news and what they want from a presidential nominee. They also as...2023-06-191h 12FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsHow Trump's Classified Documents Case Could EndFormer President Donald Trump was arraigned on Tuesday at a federal courthouse in Miami in relation to his alleged retention of classified documents and obstruction of justice. He pleaded not guilty, setting in motion a trial that could potentially run in tandem with his campaign for president. In this installment of the podcast, Galen Druke speaks with law professor and legal analyst Kate Shaw about how the case will proceed and what the possible outcomes are. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2023-06-1447 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsThere's A Debt Ceiling Agreement ... For NowIn this installment of the podcast, the crew talks about what’s in the debt ceiling agreement, why polls on the debt ceiling have been straight-up contradictory and what could happen if the legislation isn’t passed by next Monday. They also discuss the significant increase in laws involving sexuality and gender in Republican-led states and what Americans think about them. And Galen speaks with senior writer Monica Potts about her new book, "The Forgotten Girls." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2023-05-301h 03FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsIs The Eurovision Song Contest Rigged?Since 1956, European countries have been gathering each year to compete in the Eurovision song contest -- a competition of largely pop and techno artists that can often feel like a parody of European tastes in music. There have long been accusations of bias in the voting process and last Saturday's competition -- which Sweden won -- was no exception. In this installment of the podcast, Galen speaks with statistics and health economics professor Gianluca Baio, who created a model to determine whether there really are biases advantaging or disadvantaging certain nations.Galen also speaks with Courtney Kennedy...2023-05-1856 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsWhy So Many Americans Trust The Weather ChannelOn Tuesday, voters are heading to the polls in at least three competitive races: the Kentucky Republican gubernatorial primary, the Philadelphia Democratic mayoral primary and the Jacksonville mayoral election. In this installment of the podcast, Galen and Nathaniel preview the state of those three races. They also speak with YouGov's Linley Sanders about a new poll showing that Democrats broadly trust news outlets more than Republicans, including even some right-leaning news outlets. And they look at how the public is reacting to last week's scandals involving former President Donald Trump and New York Rep. George Santos. ...2023-05-1559 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsHow Immigration Shapes American PoliticsTitle 42 is expiring on Thursday night, a pandemic-era rule allowing the U.S. government to turn away asylum seekers at the border as a public health measure. This comes at a time when apprehensions at the border are already at record highs and Americans give President Biden some of his lowest ratings on his handling of immigration.In this installment of the podcast, Galen speaks with Georgetown economics professor Anna Maria Mayda about what Americans think of immigration and why, its impacts on the U.S. and its politics, and how that compares with other countries. 2023-05-1133 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsHow Climate Change Will Reshape Where Americans LiveFor decades, Americans have been moving South and West. That migration pattern was visible in political terms when seven congressional districts moved between states after the 2020 census, and it continues to be visible in the booming construction and job markets in cities across the Sun Belt.In this installment of the podcast, Galen speaks with author Jake Bittle, who argues that it’s only a matter of time before those trends reverse, or at least shift. However, as he writes in his new book, "The Great Displacement," this time it won’t be cheap housing, low taxes and...2023-05-0442 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsLive From New York: It's The FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast!The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast held a live taping at The Bell House in Brooklyn on Wednesday night, its first return to a live venue in New York City since the pandemic. Nate Silver and Galen Druke dissect a recent poll suggesting 30 percent of New Yorkers want to leave the state, challenge ChatGPT to see if it can replace their jobs and discuss the current state of the 2024 Republican primary. They also welcome a surprise guest and an audience member to play a round of New York City-themed trivia. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podca...2023-04-211h 29FiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsAmericans Are Feeling Better These DaysAccording to Gallup’s National Health and Well-Being Index, the negative emotion consequences of the coronavirus pandemic have subsided to a large degree. According to recent data, 17 percent of Americans said they were lonely “a lot of the day yesterday,” down from a pandemic high of 25 percent. Galen Druke speaks with director of the National Health and Well-Being Index, Dan Witters, to get an understanding of what American life satisfaction looks like today. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2023-04-1337 minFiveThirtyEight PoliticsFiveThirtyEight PoliticsThe Hidden Stories In The U.S. CensusThe U.S. Census may be the most consequential data set in America. It determines how political representation is apportioned in Washington and how trillions of dollars in federal funding are allocated. But the data contained in the Census shouldn't always be taken at face value. Galen Druke speaks with historian Dan Bouk about his book, "Democracy's Data: The Hidden Stories in the U.S. Census and how to Read Them." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2023-03-1655 minLive From America PodcastLive From America Podcast067: Bringing Down Alex Jones With Oliver Darcy and Galen DrukeThe Comedy Cellar's Podcast, Oliver Darcy, and Galen Druke join Noam Dworman, Hatem Gabr, Boris Khaykin and Dan Naturman in a great discussion. Oliver Darcy is a senior media reporter for CNN, writing at the intersection of media and politics. Prior to CNN, Darcy was the politics editor for Business Insider, where he oversaw a team of reporters and covered national politics. He was also the deputy managing editor of TheBlaze. Galen Druke is FiveThirtyEight's podcast producer and reporter.2018-08-141h 06