Shows
The Moses and Methuselah PodcastGoldilocks or a bull trap?SummaryPeter and Jonathan take stock of the financial markets after the Federal Reserve raises interest rates yet again and debate the possible impact of artificial intelligence in the short and longer term.00:32 - Nearing the end of the rate hike cycle?02:54 - Indicators of a soft landing06:43 - Increasing optimism08:12 - The bond market in a soft landing13:18 - A change in global financial conditions17:21 - AI mania22:39 - Positive real interest rates24:54 - CloseAbout...2023-08-0625 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastMr Market Versus Central BanksSummaryAs central banks wrestle with the "trilemma" of balancing the risks of inflation, recession and financial stability, Jonathan and Peter debate whether the bond market is giving us an accurate taste of what is to come.00:32 - The first six months of the year03:33 - Pundits predicting the market10:25 - Getting inflation wrong15:53 - Bond market signals19:51 - Pricing in a trilemma24:37 - CloseAbout Your HostsJonathan Davis started his career as a financial journalist...2023-07-1025 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastCorporate Governance Within Private CompaniesSummaryThe collapse of Odey Asset Management, a high profile London hedge fund business, following allegations about the behaviour of its founder Crispin Odey, raises a number of important questions - about the management of private firms, the treatment of women in the workplace and the role of the media and regulator in financial services. Peter and Jonathan talk through the issues in our latest episode.00:31 - Welcome back02:33 - Reaction to the Odey Asset Management story06:04 - Employee grievance procedures12:57 - Evaluating who is a fit and proper...2023-06-2725 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastIs Brexit Working?SummaryWe return to the issue of Brexit - what impact has it had on the UK and the EU, both economically and politically? We compare our different perspectives, one UK-based, the other Eurocentric.00:32 - Welcome back06:32 - UK and European cultural differences10:58 - Trends in the UK since Brexit16:53 - The need for reform in the UK's political system20:45 - Migration25:13 - A new referendum on the EU?About Your HostsJonathan Davis started his career...2023-05-3027 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastOf Credit Crunches and Debt DefaultsSummaryIn our latest edition Peter and Jonathan discuss the likely impact on the bond market of tighter credit conditions and the potential failure of Congress and the Biden administration to agree to an increase in the Federal debt ceiling in the United States. Are these issues in the price already?00:32 - Welcome back01:19 - Credit conditions05:53 - Bond yields and recession08:24 - Commercial real estate14:52 -The Federal debt ceiling22:05 - CloseAbout Your HostsJonathan Davis started his career as a financial journalist on UK national newspapers, including The Times and The Economist, before qualifying as a professional investor and moving into...2023-05-1622 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastStaying Close to Investors in Challenging TimesSummaryIn the latest episode Peter and Jonathan, quoting Warren Buffett liberally, take a look at the dynamics of the fund management business, the factors that make for a successful long term relationship between investors and the stewards of their money and the reasons why in a sales-driven industry mutual happiness is only achieved by a minority of firms.00:31 - Welcome back01:15 - The importance of marketing and communications05:05 - Getting and keeping clients09:03 - Value for money14:37 - Judging the best performers19:44 - Risks...2023-04-3033 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastCentral Banks Versus Bond Markets: The Clash ContinuesSummaryEquity and bond markets have stabilised after the banking tremors we saw in March, but bond investors remain convinced that inflation and future interest rates will come back down to earth more quickly than many vocal market pundits think. Peter and Jonathan are not entirely agreed on how this will all play out and continue their debate on this issue, while agreeing that as credit conditions tighten availability of finance will be more important than its cost, making strong and prudently managed balance sheets a primary consideration for equity and fund investors.00:32 - Welcome...2023-04-1527 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastA Banana Republic in the Heart of EuropeSummaryThe authorities may have averted a new global banking crisis for now by their handling of Silicon Valley Bank and the rushed shotgun marriage that handed Credit Suisse to fellow Swiss bank UBS, but there will be plenty of ramifications for the financial markets to absorb. In their latest podcast, now appearing fortnightly, Peter Seilern and Jonathan Davis discuss the causes of the bank failures and what it all means for regulators, depositors, bondholders and shareholders in an age of rising interest rates and instant communications - not to mention for Switzerland, which in Peter's view...2023-04-0138 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastBanks in crisis - here we go again.Join Jonathan and Peter as they discuss the collapse of SVB and what this means for the global banking sector.2023-03-1734 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastClash of the TitansPeter and Jonathan discuss the current US bond markets.2023-03-1033 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastLight at the End of the TunnelJonathan and Peter discuss recent geopolitical events and their impact on the markets.2023-01-2035 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastBulls and BearsJonathan and Peter discuss markets.2022-12-1333 minThe Moses and Methuselah Podcast“Inflation must be vanquished at all costs”Peter and Jonathan discuss the attitude of the central banks at this time..2022-11-0936 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastThe Perfect StormPeter and Jonathan discuss the market response to this week's current affairs.2022-09-3040 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastIs this a dead cat bounce?Peter and Jonathan discuss current events and their repercussions on the markets.2022-06-3032 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastIs Putin's war still relevant to financial markets?Jonathan and Peter discuss the impact of the war on current markets.2022-05-3033 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastThe Triple WhammyJoin Peter and Jonathan for another discussion on global current events.2022-04-2838 min
Money MakersTalking Trusts: Weekly Review with Jonathan Davis (02 April 2022)Jonathan Davis, editor of the Investment Trusts Handbook, reviews all the main announcements and market movements in the latest edition of our free weekly investment trust podcast. Also this week, while regular co-host Simon Elliott takes a break, Jonathan introduces an extract from another podcast - Moses and Methuselah - which he records regularly with his friend and fund manager, Peter Seilern. Hear the full episode at www.mosesandmethuselahpodcast.com.
Trusts mentioned this week (with tickers) include: BlackRock Greater Europe (BRGE), Crystal Amber Fund (CRS), Geiger Counter (GCL), Jupiter Emerging and Frontier Income (JEFI), JPMorgan Global Growth and Income (JGGI...2022-04-0258 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastWill Putin Strengthen Europe?Join Peter and Jonathan as they discuss recent developments and alternative perspectives on the events in Ukraine.2022-03-3030 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastWar in EuropePeter and Jonathan discuss the situation in Ukraine as it continues to unfold..2022-03-0131 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastWho is more influential over financial markets: Vladimir Putin or Jay Powell?Join Peter and Jonathan as they continue to discuss the influence of Vladimir Putin on the financial markets.2022-02-0329 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastHow Dangerous is Vladimir Putin?Jonathan Davis and Peter Seilern discuss Putin and Russia and offer some interesting perspectives on both.2022-01-1230 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastQuality Growth in Challenging TimesPeter and Jonathan discuss the nuances of growth in the markets at this time.2021-12-0730 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastWhat Is Going On With Inflation?Peter and Jonathan discuss confusing trends in the financial markets.2021-11-1230 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastGeopolitics and the Financial MarketsJonathan and Peter return for a third series, starting with a discussion on what influence, if any, politics at the national level and geopolitics at the world level have on financial markets.2021-09-3027 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastInterview with Rupert EverettEsteemed Hollywood actor, author, director and film-maker, Rupert Everett, joins Jonathan and Peter in a revealing and intimate conversation about life on and off the camera. 2021-07-2529 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastAre all politicians economical with the truth?Jonathan and Peter explore the landscape of how politicians leverage "truth" in politics today..2021-06-3037 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastThe bicentenary of Napoleon Bonaparte’s death. Was he a hero or a villain?Peter and Jonathan bring new angles and elements to this discussion of a fascinating historical figure.2021-06-0831 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastA new, post-pandemic consensus in financial markets” Is it right or wrong?Jonathan and Peter discuss the markets post pandemic..2021-05-1332 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastFilm Review "The Post" (and the role of the media)Jonathan and Peter consider the implications of this statement in the context of the film and the wider world:“The press is to serve the governed, not the governors” (US Supreme Court).2021-04-2832 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastFilm Review: "The Lives of Others"Jonathan and Peter discuss the “The Lives of Others” (Das Leben der Anderen), the Oscar winning film by Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck.2021-03-3127 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastAuthor's Review of 'Our Shrunken World' by Otto von HabsburgJonathan and Peter discuss the ongoing relevance of this work as pertains to Europe and the wider issues playing out today.2021-03-1037 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastAuthor’s Review of ‘Civilisation’ by Kenneth ClarkJonathan and Peter dive deep into this seminal work.2021-02-2431 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastThe Rotation Phenomenon: How This Is Manifesting in the MarketsA look at how events in the USA since November have catalysed a style rotation in the markets worldwide.2021-02-1040 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastOnce Upon A BrexitJonathan and Peter discuss the earliest days of a post Brexit New Year and how this might impact both sides… A balanced and thoughtful discussion looking at different perspectives.2021-01-2733 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 15: Cornering in on Investment TrustsHow prices can diverge from valueHow many operators were wrong-footedExpect the unexpected2020-07-2032 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 14: Long-term stock market returnsThe bestThe worstWhy2020-07-0637 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 13: Reflections on 20th century EuropeOrigins of World War 1Aftermath of Word War 22020-06-2842 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 12: Value InvestingDifferent interpretations of value investing.Will value investing come back into fashion?2020-06-2132 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 11: Alice in WonderlandWho is right? The media, the economy or the stock markets?As lockdowns are relaxed, consumers resume spending...2020-06-1329 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 10: US social unrest and an improving US economy- Violence in the streets has no effect on financial markets. How come?- Massive new jobs unexpectedly created in US.2020-06-0628 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 09: Part 2: Remember Brexit?It looks like no deal...2020-05-3120 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 09: Part 1: Onwards and upwards?Sentiment change in the marketsFear of missing out2020-05-3122 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 08: Why is the Dollar So Strong, Inching Towards Ever Closer Union Within The EUSafe haven statusInternational liquidity squeezeFranco-German recovery fundFrugal Four Fighback2020-05-2327 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 07: Stock market update and Negative Interest RatesA dead cat bounceA new bull marketThe risk of negative interest rates2020-05-1728 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 06: Inflation or Deflation?Interest rates to stay lower for longerConventional monetary policy ineffectiveThe supply demand struggle2020-05-1025 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 05: "Shell’s Dividend Cut and Corporate Bond Markets"Shell’s Dividend CutOil price collapses by 70% year to date.Oil majors’ promises to shareholders impossible to keep.Dividend cover falls relentlessly.Corporate Bond MarketsFrom death to resurrection Central banks do whatever it takes…...including buying junk bonds.2020-05-0225 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 04: Investment Trusts and Sector Performance Analysis1. Investment Trusts:How they differ from conventional open-ended funds.Why they have enjoyed better performances this year.Where is the downside?2. Sector performance comparisons year-to-date:Healthcare and consumer staples lessen the pain.Financials and energy stocks have been the worst hit.Can unloved share prices rebound?2020-04-2530 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 03: How will Europe respond to COVID-19?"Corona Bonds" in Europe?Why the doomsters are wrong.Don’t fight the Fed.Company earnings and valuations.2020-04-1829 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 02: The True Cost of COVID-19Markets rally at fastest weekly rate since 1974. Will the health scare or markets prevail?Is it a dead cat bounce?Economic forecasters could not be gloomier.Should governments interfere on dividends?2020-04-1522 minThe Moses and Methuselah PodcastEpisode 01: A Bear Market?Two months ago we never had it so good. It can’t last, said the experts.Suddenly, there were three Black Swans.Central banks flood the markets. But who will foot the bill?2020-04-1518 min