Shows
Pro Politics with Zac McCraryWhat the Hell is Going on in UK Politics? (with British Pollster Keiran Pedley)Send us a textKeiran Pedley is a veteran pollster, the Director of Politics for Ipsos/UK, and a regular presence in UK media offering analysis on the latest political data and developments. In this conversation, we set the table as to how the UK system is both similar and different than the US, cover the last few Brexit-fueled chaotic years in British politics, the current state of the Labour opposition, and turn to the rise of new Prime Minister Liz Truss and her tumultous first few weeks in office and implications for UK politics moving forward...
2022-10-0454 min
Polling MattersIpsos MORI Politics + Society podcast. Why are the Tories pulling ahead and what is going on with Starmer?On this week’s episode of the Ipsos MORI Politics and Society podcast, Keiran Pedley and Cameron Garrett sit down to discuss the latest wave of Ipsos MORI’s Political Monitor. They ask what is behind the Conservative’s growing poll lead and examine Keir Starmer’s falling poll ratings.
2021-06-1423 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Politics & Society Podcast: Starmer a year in, Johnson's poll ratings and past PMsIn this special episode, Kieran Pedley is joined by two colleagues, Holly Day and Cameron Garrett.
Holly talks about the government’s improving poll ratings and what is driving them
Cameron talks about Keir Starmer’s poll ratings a year in as Labour leader
And Keiran takes us through how the public think past PMs did in office – as featured on Times Radio this week
2021-04-0131 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Politics + Society podcast. All things Scotland with Sir John CurticeOn this week's podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Emily Gray, Managing Director, Ipsos MORI Scotland and Sir John Curtice, Professor of Politics at The University of Strathclyde. In this episode, the guests discuss the unfolding important elections in Scotland and the latest Ipsos MORI Scottish Political Monitor, including:
Is the Salmond - Sturgeon row cutting through to voters? Does it matter?
Looking ahead to the Scottish elections in May, why they're important and what is the current state of events.
Scotland's independence - Sir John Curtice gives his opinion on what the 'baseline' level of support for indep...
2021-02-2535 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Politics & Society Podcast: Greens surge, Government and COVID and how is Starmer doing?On this week's podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Stephen Bush, Political Editor of the New Statesman and Paula Surridge, Deputy Director of The UK in a Changing Europe and Political Sociologist at the University of Bristol.
In this episode, the team review the latest data from the Ipsos MORI Political Monitor including:
The state of the main parties as we enter 2021,
The Greens being on 8 points – and whether it matters,
Public perceptions of the government’s handling of COVID,
Plus a deep dive on Labour leader Keir Starmer – how is he doing as he approaches the first an...
2021-02-1033 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Politics + Society podcast. Scotland: why 'Yes' is winning and what happens now?On this week's podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Ailsa Henderson from the University of Edinburgh and Emily Gray of Ipsos MORI Scotland to discuss this week's bombshell Ipsos MORI / STV News poll showing support for Scottish independence at a record 58%. The group discuss what has caused support for independence to increase, the arguments Scots find convincing for independence and for Scotland staying in the Union and what might happen at the Scottish parliamentary elections next year.
2020-10-1534 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Politics + Society podcast. US election special. Can Trump turn things around?On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Chris Jackson from Ipsos in the US and Ariel Edwards-Levy of the Huffington Post to take a deep-dive look at the upcoming US presidential election.
Topics discussed included:
What’s driving Biden’s lead?
How can Trump turn it around?
Shy Trump voters / partisan non-response bias / turnout filters and other important polling points
The states to watch
Will we know the result on election day?
Is a Trump win or a Biden landslide more likely?
…and some listener questions too.
2020-10-0834 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Politics + Society podcast. New COVID restrictions and Starmer's first conference speechOn this week's Ipsos MORI Politics & Society podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Katy Balls, Deputy Political Editor of The Spectator and Ben Walker, Data Journalist at the New Statesman and founder of the Britain Elects website.
The team discuss the fallout from new COVID restrictions announced by the government this week – and what the public think of them as well as reaction to Keir Starmer’s first conference speech as Labour leader and how he polls versus Prime Minister Boris Johnson.
Note for listeners: Polling Matters will return in its original format soon...
2020-09-2400 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Politics + Society podcast. Where do the Conservatives go from here?This week Keiran Pedley is joined by former Deputy Chief of Staff to David Cameron, Baroness Kate Fall and by Asa Bennett, Brexit Editor at the Daily Telegraph. Interspersed with insights from Ipsos MORI polling, they look at the state the Conservative Party finds itself in now; how it might differ from the party led by David Cameron; and the challenge posed to the future of the Conservatives in government by the election of Keir Starmer as leader of the Labour Party.
2020-07-0700 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Politics + Society podcast. How does Starmer make it to Numner 10? With Ayesha Hazarika and Alastair CampbellOn the inaugural Ipsos MORI Politics & Society podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Ayesha Hazarika, Alastair Campbell and our Chief Executive Ben Page to discuss historic poll ratings for the new Labour leader and where the Labour Party go from here after a historic defeat in December. Topics covered on the show include:
Starmer’s leadership ratings in context
Ben Page on the importance (and limitations) of leadership ratings
Ayesha and Alastair react to Starmer’s ratings
Ayesha Hazarika on lessons from the Miliband years
Alastair Campbell on Blair and leadership
The importance of the Shadow Cabinet + outriders
How to repai...
2020-06-1800 minPolling MattersA short message from KeiranOn the future of Polling Matters and some exciting new plans.
2020-06-1800 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 171 Will there be a hung parliament?On the latest Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi delve deep into the numbers to preview what will happen Thursday. They ask 'who has had a good or bad campaign?' and crucially 'Will there be a hung parliament?'
Follow this week's guests:
@keiranpedley
@leobarasi
2019-12-0800 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Elections podcast - Episode 6. 'The Brexit Election' with Anand MenonOn the latest Ipsos MORI elections podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Anand Menon - Director of Brexit think tank 'The UK in a Changing Europe'. Keiran and Anand discuss the latest from the campaign trail and the role of Brexit in this election and in reshaping British politics generally.
Missed other episodes? Check out the Ipsos MORI feed here: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/ipsos-mori-election-2019-podcast or search Ipsos MORI elections podcast on Itunes or other podcast apps.
A normal Polling Matters episode with Keiran and Leo will follow this weekend.
2019-12-0600 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Elections podcast - Episode 5 All about ScotlandOn the latest Ipsos MORI elections podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Emily Gray (MD of Ipsos MORI Scotland) and Mure Dickie (Scotland correspondent for the FT) to discuss the latest polling on Scotland ahead of the General Election and attitudes to another Independence referendum.
Missed episode 4? Check out the Ipsos MORI feed here: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/ipsos-mori-election-2019-podcast or search Ipsos MORI elections podcast on Itunes or other podcast apps.
A normal Polling Matters episode with Keiran and Leo will follow this weekend.
2019-12-0600 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Elections podcast - Episode 3 with Paula Surridge and John Burn MurdochOn the third instalment of the Ipsos MORI elections podcast Keiran Pedley is joined by political sociologist Paula Surridge and data Journalist John Burn-Murdoch from the FT. The panel discuss the latest campaign developments, delve into the data and take some listener questions too.
Missed episode 2? Check out the Ipsos MORI feed here: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/ipsos-mori-election-2019-podcast or search Ipsos MORI elections podcast on Itunes or other podcast apps.
A normal Polling Matters episode with Keiran and Leo will follow this weekend.
2019-11-2700 minPolling MattersIpsos MORI Elections podcast - Episode 1 with Katy Balls and Ryan ShorthouseOn the first ever episode of the Ipsos MORI elections podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Katy Balls of The Spectator and Ryan Shorthouse of the independent conservative think tank Bright Blue. The crew discuss what’s happened in the first week of the 2019 General Election campaign, including the potential impact of the Brexit Party’s decision not to stand in Conservative-held seats. Elsewhere in the show, Keiran introduces some Ipsos MORI polling on the key issues on voters’ minds heading into the election, whilst Katy and Ryan discuss how nervous the Conservatives should be about their prospects of staying in off...
2019-11-1300 minPolling MattersAn announcement from Keiran - double the podcast funThis podcast feed will now host two podcasts for the duration of the 2019 election campaign.
2019-11-1300 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 170 - And they’re off! General Election 2019 kicks offAnd they’re off! General Election 2019 kicks off.
Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at the numbers as a December 12th election is announced. Who is best placed? What is the path to victory for each party and what should we look out for in the coming weeks?
Follow this week’s guests
@leobarasi
@keiranpedley
2019-10-3000 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 169 What happens now?After the most chaotic week in Westminster since the last one, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi sit down and discuss how it is all playing out in the court of public opinion and where we go from here.
Follow this week's guests:
@keiranpedley
@leobarasi
2019-09-0800 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 169 Boris Johnson is the new Prime Minister...what now?On this week's podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look back at a momentous week in British politics and what comes next.
Follow this week's guests
@keiranpedley
@leobarasi
2019-07-2500 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 168 US Democratic debate reaction & more on Hunt vs Johnson pollingOn this week's Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Ariel Edwards-Levy of the Huffington Post to discuss the latest developments in the race to face Donald Trump in 2020 following this weeks Democratic debates. Later in the show, Keiran looks at the most recent public opinion numbers on Hunt vs Johnson.
Follow this week's guests:
@aedwardslevy
@keiranpedley
2019-06-2800 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 167 Is Boris Johnson now inevitable and is he a vote winner?Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at the numbers and ask whether Boris Johnson is now a shoe-in to become Britain's next Prime Minister and also whether he is the vote winner that some say he is.
Follow this week's guests:
@Keiranpedley
@Leobarasi
2019-06-1300 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 166 Polling round-up. Euros, wacky polls, Tory leadership and PeterboroughOn this week's Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi take a look at the numbers on a host of recent political events.
Follow this week's guests:
@Keiranpedley
@Leobarasi
2019-06-0600 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 165 What is going on with the EU election polls?On this week podcast, Keiran Pedley and Matt Singh discuss the EU election polls and what happens next week.
Follow this week's guests:
@mattsingh_
@keiranpedley
2019-05-2300 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 164 Looking back at the Local Elections and looking ahead to the EuropeansThe Polling Matters podcast returns! Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look back at the local election results and look at what the EU election polling tells us about what is to come.
2019-05-0900 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 163 What's going to happen in the European elections?On this week's podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look in detail at the prospects for EU parliamentary elections in the UK now that Brexit has been delayed up to a further 6 months.
Follow this week's guests:
@keiranpedley
@leobarasi
2019-04-1100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 162 Tory leadership runners and ridersOn this week's Polling Matters podcast Keiran Pedley is joined by David Herdson to review who might replace Theresa May as Tory leader when the time comes.
2019-03-2800 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 161 What's going on and what do the public think?After a breathtaking week, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi sit down and look at the numbers. What do the public think about how Brexit is going, the prospect of no deal and where we go from here? Plus, if a General Election comes, who stands the best chance of winning?
Follow this week's guests
@leobarasi
@keiranpedley
2019-03-2100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 160 Labour past and present with Theo Bertram / How does Labour respond to TIG?On this week's podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by former adviser to Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, Theo Bertram.
Theo shares some stories of working in Number 10, gives his thoughts on Labour's current situation (and whether Corbyn can bounce back again) and discusses how Labour should manage the many problems they currently face.
Follow this week's guests,
@Keiranpedley
@theobertram
2019-03-0500 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 159 Labour's Brexit shift, TIG voters vs the SDP & EU parliament electionsOn this week's podcast, Keiran Pedley and Matt Singh look at the numbers around Labour's policy on a second Brexit vote and discuss the popularity of The Independent Group, comparing their potential impact to that of the SDP in the 1980s.
Meanwhile, Matt unveils some exclusive polling on how Britain could vote in EU parliament elections should Article 50 be extended (& should Brits get to vote in them).
Follow this week's guests:
@keiranpedley
@mattsingh_
2019-02-2800 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 158 How popular is The Independent Group?The Polling Matters podcast returns, with Keiran Pedley (now of Ipsos MORI) and Leo Barasi discussing the latest polling on The Independent Group. Just how popular are they with the public?
Follow this week's guests,
@Keiranpedley
@Leobarasi
2019-02-2100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 157 Is a no deal Brexit now the most popular outcome with the public?On this week's podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at polling around a no-deal Brexit to see if commentators suggesting that it is the most popular outcome with the public are right.
Also covered on this week's show is a new report by UK in a Changing Europe, which covers a host of topics on Brexit including support for a second referendum and how Brexit identity appears to be trumping party identity.
Follow this week's guests
@keiranpedley
@leobarasi
2019-01-2300 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 156 Deal or no deal? Plus are the Tories really ahead in the opinion polls?On this week's podcast Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss the fallout from a hectic week in Westminster. They ask whether a General Election, 2nd referendum or 'no deal Brexit' have become more or less likely and explain why politicians claiming that the Tories are ahead in the polls are not telling the full story.
Follow this week's guests:
@keiranpedley
@leobarasi
2019-01-1700 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 155 What do Labour and Tory Party members think about Brexit?On this week's podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Professor Tim Bale of Queen Mary University to discuss his research on Labour and Conservative Party members - who they are, what they think about Brexit and what this means for the future of British politics.
Follow this week's guests:
@ProfTimBale
@Keiranpedley
2019-01-0800 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 155 May fights on - so what now?On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look back at events in a frantic week at Westminster. They debate whether May was right to postpone the meaningful vote, whether a change in leader would have any impact on Brexit negotiations and the prospect of another referendum breaking the parliamentary deadlock.
Listen to this week’s episode below:
Follow this week’s podcast guests:
@Keiranpedley
@Leobarasi
2018-12-1300 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 153 Emergency pod. What do the public think of May's Brexit deal?After an eventful week in Westminster, Keiran Pedley and Matt Singh sit down to discuss public opinion on Theresa May's Brexit deal and her future and ask 'what happens now?'
2018-11-1800 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 152 What now for Trump and have voters changed their minds about Brexit?On this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look into the implications of this week's mid-terms in the US and dissect data from Survation and Chris Hanretty suggesting that Brits would vote Remain if there was another referendum on Britain's membership of the EU.
Elsewhere in the show, Leo looks at what polling tells us about the prospect of a Cameron comeback and Keiran criticises Momentum's "consultation" of its members about Labour's Brexit policy - which he claims was nothing of the sort.
Follow this week's guests:
@Keiranpedley
2018-11-0900 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 151 US midterm mini-series (part three) w/ GOP pollster Patrick RuffiniIn the final part of our mini-series on the US midterms ahead of Tuesday's vote Keiran talks to Patrick Ruffini from Echelon insights on the races to watch, the prospects for a Democratic wave and the likelihood of Trump winning re-election in 2020.
Follow this week's guests:
@PatrickRuffini
@Keiranpedley
2018-11-0300 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 150 US Midterms w/ Ariel Edwards-LevyAs part of the Polling Matters mini-series on the US midterms, Keiran Pedley talks to Ariel Edwards-Levy of The Huffington Post.
Ariel and Keiran discuss the races to watch and the demographic shifts shaping US politics. They also look at Trump's approval rating and what to look out for in 2020.
2018-11-0100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 149 US Midterms special w/ Anthony ScaramucciThis week PB / Polling Matters will unveil a series of special podcasts focusing on the US midterms. These podcasts will vary in content. Some will talk numbers with the pollsters and some will talk the issues behind the numbers with journalists and other political actors.
The first in our series sees Keiran Pedley speak to Anthony Scaramucci.
Scaramucci is a leading Trump supporter, serving Trump in a variety of roles including an infamous 11 days as White House Communications Director in 2017. During their conversation, Keiran and Anthony discuss Scaramucci's new book 'Trump: The Blue Collar President...
2018-10-3100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 148 Looking ahead to the budget. Is it still the economy, stupid?On this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss the political lay of the land as we approach the budget, what the public think about the economy and our political leaders ability to handle it and how important the economy is in voting intention terms in a Brexit-dominated 2018.
Follow this week's guests:
@Leobarasi
@Keiranpedley
2018-10-2400 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 147 Will May reach a Brexit deal and can she get it through parliament?This week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast is split into two parts:
In part one, Keiran Pedley is joined by Peter McLeod (Vice President at pollster GQR) to explore what the public think of “Chequers” and what they expect from any Brexit deal May brings back. It turns out that Chequers is more popular than you might think in the right context – but is that the context the Prime Minister’s eventual deal will ultimately be seen in? Keiran and Peter discuss.
In part two, Keiran is joined by co-host Leo Barasi to discuss how May gets a...
2018-10-1800 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 147 What now for Scotland?On this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by pollster Mark Diffley to deep dive on the latest round of polls in Scotland.
Topics discussed include:
1) How support for Scottish independence has changed over time and the impact that Brexit could have
2) When the next Scottish Independence vote will happen
3) What's going on in voting intention polls for Holyrood and Westminster and what this means for the main players north of the border (SNP, Tories, Labour)
2018-10-1000 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 146 How important is housing? (w/ Matt Singh)On this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Matt Singh look at recent polling by Matt on behalf of Shelter and ask 'what's going on in the marginals' and 'How important is housing politically?'
Follow this week's guests:
@Mattsingh_
@Keiranpedley
2018-10-0200 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 145 Poll trends that will shape the future...education, Brexit and the politically homeless with Paula SurridgeOn this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Paula Surridge (Senior Lecturer in Political Sociology at the University of Bristol).
Keiran and Paula discuss the big trends shaping British politics, such as age, social class and education and the impact they could have on British politics in the future.
Paula gives her view on whether Labour would benefit from explicitly campaigning for a second referendum on Brexit and whether there is appetite for a new political party (and what kind). Keiran and Paula also take some listener questions on a ra...
2018-09-2500 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 144 Chequers is dead so should Labour now offer a 'people's vote'?As Labour heads to Liverpool, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at the polling and ask whether it is in Labour's interests to offer another vote on Brexit. They lay out the case for and against and debate what happens next.
Follow this week's guests:
@Keiranpedley
@Leobarasi
2018-09-2100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 143 Where do the Lib Dems go from here?Keiran Pedley is joined by Mark Pack of the Lib Dem Newswire to discuss this week’s Lib Dem conference. Keiran and Mark discuss how the conference went and where the party goes from here and Mark gives everyone an outside tip on who the next Lib Dem leader might be when Vince Cable steps down.
Follow this week’s guests:
@markpack
@keiranpedley
2018-09-1900 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 142 Who are the centrists and who do they think they are?On the latest episode of the PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss some recent polling by Opinium that looks at where Brits place themselves of the left-right political scale, who classes themselves as 'centrist' and what they think it means.
Follow this week's podcasters:
@leobarasi
@Keiranpedley
2018-09-1300 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 141 Know your boundaries! What do the proposed boundary reforms mean and will they happen?On a bonus episode of the Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Professor Ron Johnston from the University of Bristol to discuss the Boundary Commission’s proposals this week for reforming parliamentary constituencies in Westminster. Ron explains how it’s all done, the potential implications if the current proposals are adopted and what happens next.
2018-09-1100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 140 Would Remain win a second referendum and could Brexit lead to a united Ireland?On this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at a new report by NatCen suggesting that attitudes to Brexit are shifting and that Brits would vote Remain next time. Meanwhile, Keiran takes us through some recent polling from Deltapoll on the question of a united Ireland following Brexit and asks whether unionism is too complacent about Northern Ireland's future in the UK.
Follow this week's guests
@Keiranpedley
@Leobarasi
2018-09-0600 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 139 How long will Trump last (and who will run against him)? Plus, how does public opinion on Brexit look ahead of party conference season?Polling Matters returns for an extended episode exploring the latest goings-on in Washington DC and what a recent avalanche of Brexit related polling tells us about public opinion as we head into a crucial party conference season.
In part one, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at Trump's approval rating and what that says about his prospects for re-election and the GOP's prospects in the upcoming midterms. Keiran and Leo also look in-depth at the potential Democratic candidates to face him in 2020, with a special focus on Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders as they compete for the...
2018-08-3100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 138 Silly season. What conspiracy theories do Brits believe? Boris makes tea and "wreath-gate"On this week's PB / Polling Matters show Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi take a different approach to the podcast and look at public opinion on conspiracy theories using some exclusive polling from Opinium.
How many Brits think the earth is flat? Is Elvis alive? Were the moon landings faked? Is Paul dead? Is Nessie real? Our podcasters find out the answers, plus which conspiracy theory has less than half thinking it is false...
Also on the show, Keiran and Leo discuss how Corbyn's latest troubles might impact the polls and what the public think about...
2018-08-1500 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 137 Are the public turning against Brexit and what do they really think of Communism?This week's PB / Polling Matters podcast is split into three parts.
In part one: Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss this week's Sky Data poll and look at the evidence for whether the public really are turning against Brexit and what this might mean for the debate in Westminster
In part two: Keiran and Leo look at some exclusive PB / Opinium polling on different political systems and ideologies. What do the public think about socialism and capitalism? Is communism really being rehabilitated? And what do the public really understand about the different ideological terms that...
2018-08-0100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 136 Deal or no deal Brexit, support for the far right and the death penalty and moreOn this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at the levels of public support for a no-deal Brexit and how that may factor in to decisions in Westminster.
Also on the podcast, the duo look at polling on support for the far-right and other potential new parties by YouGov as well as public support for the death penalty in light of Sajid Javid's decision not to seek assurances that suspected British Jihadis will not face execution when facing trial in the United States.
All this and more (including Corbyn's Brexit...
2018-07-2500 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 135 The week the polls turned, Boris makes a speech and why Theresa May is a modern day Mr BurnsThis week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast is split into two parts.
In part one, Keiran Pedley is joined by James Crouch of Opinium to discuss polling that shows Labour taking the lead as the Tory vote share falls. Keiran and James discuss why this is and whether the Tories could fall further still and what voters think of the concept of a ‘no-deal’ Brexit.
In part two, Keiran is joined by Asa Bennet of the Telegraph to discuss what’s been happening in Westminster this week, including Boris Johnson’s resignation speech today. Asa looks ahea...
2018-07-1800 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Emergency podcast: Bye bye Boris & what happens next?On a special episode of the PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss a momentous 24 hours in Westminster that has seen both David Davis and Boris Johnson resign. Keiran and Leo ask what happens next and look at what polling of Tory members by YouGov tells us about the future direction of the Conservative Party and who might come to lead it.
Follow this week's guests:
@Keiranpedley
@Leobarasi
2018-07-0900 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 133 Pollsters. hedge funds, Heathrow and why is Blair so noisy and Cameron so quiet?On this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at a recent Bloomberg story investigating links between hedge funds and pollsters on the day of the EU referendum, public opinion on Heathrow and the environment and ask what Blair hopes to achieve with his latest intervention (and why David Cameron seems to be so quiet).
Follow this week's guests:
@Keiranpedley
@Leobarasi
2018-06-2700 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 132 NHS funding, 'Brexit dividends' and UK drugs policyOn this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at public opinion on the NHS as it hits 70 years old in light of the government's promise to pump in extra cash. Keiran takes us through what the public think of the policy and whether they would accept tax rises to pay for it alongside data on how perceptions of the quality of care provided by the NHS have changed over time.
Later in the show, Leo looks at public opinion on UK drug laws, especially those related to cannabis as the government looks...
2018-06-2000 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 131 Trump meets Kim and parliament votes on BrexitOn this week's Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss Trump's historic meeting with Kim Jong Un in Singapore. Keiran and Leo debate the significance of the meeting and what happens now whilst Keiran takes us through the latest polling on Trump that shows what his re-election campaign might look like, why he remains in a tough spot and why these negotiations with North Korea could make or break him.
Later in the show, Keiran and Leo discuss this week's events in parliament. Leo then takes us through some recent polling by Opinium on what...
2018-06-1300 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 130 Ireland post referendum, Border polls, Leave / Remain voters deep dive and David Davis backstop vs backdown?The PB / Polling Matters podcast returns! On this week's episode, Keiran is joined by Irish journalist and host of 'The Irish Passport' podcast Naomi O'Leary to discuss the fallout from the recent referendum on abortion and where Ireland goes from here. Naomi gives her take on how Ireland has come to change so much in such a relatively short space of time and the relationship between the Irish people and the Catholic church, alongside perspectives on Brexit in Ireland.
Keiran is then joined by Dr Kevin Cunningham, lecturer in statistics, pollster with Ireland Thinks and former Targeting...
2018-06-0700 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 129 What drives how we vote? Customs Unions & Northern IrelandOn this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at the demographic and ideological trends shaping our politics and how they drive voting intention.
Keiran and Leo also look at public opinion on customs unions and the impact that polling is having on Theresa May's calculations when it comes to Northern Ireland.
Follow this week's guests
@keiranpedley
@leobarasi
2018-05-1600 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - BONUS Episode 128 Breaking down the Local Election resultsKeiran Pedley takes us through Thursday's Local Election results, calling out the results we should pay attention to and asking what this all means for the main parties at Westminster.
Follow Keiran at @Keiranpedley
2018-05-0500 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 127 Rudd resigns, public opinion on immigration, Trump's visit and a look at the localsOn this week's podcast, Leo Barasi returns and discusses the latest glut of voting intention polls with Keiran Pedley. Leo and Keiran look at what is behind the differences in voting intention figures between pollsters, how Corbyn's personal poll ratings compare historically and the importance of the economy is in current polling.
The podcast then turns to Rudd's resignation this week, with an in-depth look at public opinion on her departure and immigration more generally. Topics covered include whether the public think our immigration system is fair, too strict and specifically what the public think about a...
2018-05-0200 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 126 Local Elections preview with Prof. Colin RallingsOn this week's podcast Keiran Pedley is joined by Professor Colin Rallings of the University of Plymouth to look ahead to next week's local elections. Rallings breaks down which results to look out for and what they might mean for the future with some interesting insight into how the UKIP vote continues to unwind across the country and how Labour might do in London following today's YouGov poll for Queen Mary University.
Follow Keiran Pedley at @keiranpedley
2018-04-2600 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 125 Are you racist? Windrush, Syria reaction and the future of pollingOn this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran Pedley is joined by Matt Singh (Number Cruncher) and Adam Drummond (Opinium) to discuss:
Why voting intention polls and perceptions of party leaders seem to be moving in different directions
Reactions to the Windrush scandal and how pollsters deal with sensitive questions around immigration
An exclusive survey from Opinium that shows 1 in 10 Brits believe the Russian military accusation that Britain staged the Douma chemical attack in Syria
What the Lords has to say about the future of polling and how pollsters should react
You can find data tables fo...
2018-04-1800 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 124 Corbyn’s declining poll ratings, economic trust and who would vote for a new party anyway?On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss:
Jeremy Corbyn’s declining poll ratings and whether Russia or the ongoing anti-Semitism row is more to blame.
A new poll shows May and Hammond leading Corbyn and McDonnell +13 points on the economy. But is the economy as all-important politically as we once thought?
David Miliband’s favourabilty ratings – how do they compare to his brother and could he make a comeback?
Who would actually vote for a new party in Britain?
Why question wording really matters when looking at support for a second Brexit vote.
Follow t...
2018-04-1100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 123 Russia reaction, Labour membership polling and one year to BrexitOn this week's podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi focus on recent polling of Labour members by YouGov looking at Corbyn's job approval rating and their reactions to the recent anti-Semitism row engulfing the party. Leo looks at how these results compare to a similar survey this time last year and Keiran has a bone to pick with how the anti-Semitism numbers were presented in the media.
Elsewhere on the show, Keiran and Leo discuss the latest revelations in the ever evolving Russia story and delve into some numbers you might have missed from YouGov on Brexit...
2018-04-0400 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 122 Tories take the lead? Russia reaction, Facebook, Cambridge Analytica and Labour antisemitism rowThe PB / Polling Matters podcast returns!
As a new YouGov poll shows the Tories 4 points ahead, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss the untold story of the recent Conservative resurgence in the polls and ask what is behind it and does it matter?
Catching up on recent events, Keiran and Leo also discuss the Salisbury attack and delve into recent polling around its aftermath and Russia. Keiran explains why he thinks this story might be cutting through politically beyond the usual Westminster bubble chatter. Keiran and Leo also discuss the Facebook / Cambridge Analytica scandal, whether peo...
2018-03-2800 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 121 Breaking down the British Election StudyOn this week's podcast, Keiran and Leo analyse the latest round of British Election Study data and ask 'was there really a 'youthquake' at the 2017 General Election and does it matter?
Keiran and Leo also look at the role that gender played in the 2017 vote and uncover some striking data that suggests we might be getting public opinon on Brexit all wrong.
Find all this and more on this week's show.
Follow this week's podcasters:
@keiranpedley
@leobarasi
2018-02-0100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 120 What do Brits think of other countries and how old is 'too old' to be Prime Minister?
On this week's podcast Keiran and Leo unveil some exclusive polling that asks how favourable or unfavourable the British public is towards the following countries (with some interesting differences by Brexit vote and age):
NET: Favourable
NET: Unfavourable
Net
New Zealand
72%
3%
+69
Australia
71%
4%
+66
Spain
54%
8%
+46
Japan
46%
8%
+38
Germany
44%
14%
+30
France
44%
18%
+27
United States
43%
24%
+19
Poland
31%
15%
+16
South Africa
20%
26%
-6
China
21%
28%
-7
Argentina
15%
25%
-10
Russia
11%
50%
-39
Iran
5%
61%
-55
(Note - nets may appear to be one point out in places due to rounding)
Source: Opinium. 19-22 Jan, 2018. Tables with appear on the Opinium website in due course.
Als...
2018-01-2500 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 119 Vote blue go green? Farage, Boris & 2nd referendums (again) plus Labour NEC election falloutOn this week's podcast, Keiran and Leo continue with the new format of the show where each guest chooses a news story that has interested them from the past week and provides some polling analysis on a key issue of the day. Topics discussed this week include:
1) What the Tories' new focus on environmental issues says about their brand and future electoral strategy
2) Why Nigel Farage and Boris Johnson are indicating support for another referendum on Brexit and what recent polling tells us about public opinion on the issue.
3) What's going on with Labour following the NEC elections, is...
2018-01-1700 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 118 Reshuffles, Oprah & public opinion on trust and BrexitThe PB / Polling Matters podcast returns for a new year with a new format.
The podcast starts with Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discussing the latest news stories from the past week. Leo talks about this week’s reshuffle and the recent hiring and resignation of Toby Young and what it means for the Tories. Keiran then gives his impression on the latest goings on in Trump-land and whether Oprah could really run for president.
Keiran and Leo then unveil some exclusive polling from Opinium on how favourable the public are towards different political leaders in...
2018-01-1000 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 117 What do the DUP want and are we heading for a united Ireland?On this week's podcast, Keiran is joined by Mick Fealty of Slugger O'Toole to discuss what the DUP really wants from Brexit negotiations, the role that Irish domestic politics is playing and will play moving forward plus a new poll apparently showing support in Northern Ireland for a united Ireland with EU membership.
Also on the show, Keiran looks at the recent Survation poll showing Labour +8 ahead and why it is so different to what other pollsters have and dissects some data from NatCen on what the public think about the Brexit negotiations at 'half time' and how...
2017-12-0700 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 116 Why the polls are not moving, Brexit regret (or not) and AlabamaThe PB / Polling Matters podcast returns! Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi and Matt Singh to discuss the latest developments in Westminster and beyond and what the numbers tell us about what happens next.
On this week's show the team discuss why the polls appear not to be moving given the government's struggles, what the public really think about Brexit and whether the Democrat's could really win in Alabama in the U.S.
Follow this week's guests:
@keiranpedley
@leobarasi
@mattsingh_
2017-11-1500 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 115 German election special: Merkel's future & the German UKIPOn this week's PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Dr Roland Kappe of UCL to discuss the recent German election results and what happens next.
Keiran and Roland look at the results that stood out, why the AfD did so well (and whether comparisons with UKIP are valid) plus what form of coalition Angela Merkel could form and why the German election result might be bad for Brexit negotiations.
Elsewhere on the show, Keiran reviews the latest polls and gives his snap reaction to Corbyn's conference speech on Wednesday.
Follow this w...
2017-09-2700 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 114 Hurricanes, Trump's approval rating, the EU withdrawal bill & Tory attempts to woo young votersOn this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran rounds up the latest political news and polling analysis from the US and the UK.
This week's episode is a solo effort due to a last minute cancellation by a guest, so Keiran takes the reigns alone in a shorter than usual show. Following his return from the States, Keiran takes you through the latest US political news including a slight uptick in Trump's approval rating following Hurricane Harvey and Hurricane Irma.
Closer to home, Keiran reviews the latest UK and Scotland polls, the fallout from this w...
2017-09-1200 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 113 What will immigration look like after Brexit?The PB/Polling Matters podcast returns with a review of the summer and in-depth interview on the Brexit talks and where Britain goes from here with Jonathan Portes.
Jonathan is a Professor of Economics at King's College London and a Senior Fellow for UK in a Changing Europe. An expert in matters of immigration and labour markets, Jonathan was Chief Economist at the DWP from 2002 to 2008 and at the Cabinet Office from 2008 to 2011. He was also Director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research between 2011 and 2015.
On this week's episode Keiran and Jonathan dis...
2017-08-3000 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 112 End of term reviewAs Westminster heads on its summer holidays, Keiran is joined by Polling Matters regulars Leo Barasi and Rob Vance to review the year-to-date.
The trio discuss polling showing that the Tories are now seen as more divided than Labour and they also discuss Chuka Umunna's recent tweet that seemingly challenged the Labour leadership's position on Europe. Keiran, Rob and Leo then look at what the myriad of polling on Brexit tells us about public opinion on the subject and indeed whether it matters considering the relative lack of difference in policy on Europe shared by the two m...
2017-07-2600 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 111 Who is Britain's most popular politician?On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss exclusive polling from Opinium that looks at how popular a series of frontline British politicians are.
The poll asked a nationally representative sample of UK adults to rate the following politicians on a scale of 0 to 10 on the basis of how favourable they were to them:
Jeremy Corbyn
Sadiq Khan
Yvette Cooper
Keir Starmer
Emily Thornberry
Diane Abbott
Ed Miliband
Theresa May
Boris Johnson
David Davis
Phillip Hammond
Ruth Davidson
Michael Gove
Amber Rudd
Vince Cable
Nicola Sturgeon
Arlene Foster
Jeremy Corbyn w...
2017-07-1900 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 110 Support for a 2nd Brexit vote grows (plus THOSE Trump emails)On this week's podcast Keiran is joined once more by US political analyst Jon-Christopher Bua.
Keiran and JC discuss the political fallout in the States following scandalous revelations from emails. However, this time they are not Clinton emails but those of Donald Trump Jr. Keiran and JC also discuss what Corbyn’s surge might mean for US politics in the future and why America doesn’t have universal healthcare even though some polls suggest that the concept is more popular than you might think.
Later in the show, Keiran unveils some exclusive polling from Opinium show...
2017-07-1200 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 109 Do voters think Corbyn is ready to be Prime Minister?On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Habib Butt and Leo Barasi to discuss the latest polling news and analysis of the week.
Key topics discussed this week include:
1) What the polls tell us about the state of the parties
2) Who the voters think would make the best PM and what the numbers mean
3) Exclusive Polling Matters / Opinium numbers on why people voted as they did in June and whether Corbyn is ready to be PM or not
4) How Remainers and Brextiers like their steak
2017-07-0500 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 108 Queen's Speech, Brexit negotiations, Lib Dems and the youth surgeOn this week's podcast, Keiran is joined by Dr Mark Pack of Lib Dem Newswire and Adam Drummond of Opinium.
The team discuss this week's Queen's Speech and the start of the Brexit negotiations and what happens next for the Lib Dems now that Tim Farron has resigned.
The panel also discuss Ipsos Mori's data on 'who voted for who' at the General Election and what impact younger voters might have on British politics in the coming years.
Follow this week's guests:
@keiranpedley
@agkd123
@markpack
2017-06-2100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 107 General Election debrief: Between YouGov and the DUPThis week’s podcast is split into two parts.
In part one, Keiran chats with Ben Lauderdale from the LSE. Ben was behind the infamous YouGov model which turned out to be so successful. He explains how the model works, what it tells us about the campaign and British politics more generally and where the polling industry goes from here.
In part two, Keiran is joined by Mick Fealty of Slugger O’Toole to discuss what the DUP might want from the Tories and what any potential deal might mean for the future of the Nort...
2017-06-1400 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 106 Election eve specialOn a special eve of election podcast Keiran is joined by Politicalbetting.com Editor Mike Smithson and Deputy Habib Butt (TSE) to review the campaign, polls, seats to watch tomorrow night and to make some predictions.
Follow this week's guests:
@keiranpedley
@mikesmithsonpb
@tseofpb
2017-06-0700 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 105 Bonus episode: Reviewing this weekend's pollsOn a bonus episode of the PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Ben Walker from https://britainelects.com/ to discuss the weekend's polls as the campaign enters the final week.
Follow this week's guests
@keiranpedley
@brtnelexben
2017-06-0400 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 104 The YouGov forecast, pollster wars & May's lost momentumOn this week's episode of the PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Chris Curtis from YouGov and Adam Drummond of Opinium to discuss the latest polling and General Election campaign developments.
Chris Curtis explains the background to this week's controversial YouGov model seen in the Times that has suggested we might be facing a hung parliament. Curtis explains what is behind the model, its limitations and how we should read it.
Later in the show, the panel discuss why pollsters have such differing opinions on the state of the campaign and what May...
2017-05-3100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 103 Explaining the Labour surge & June predictionsOn this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Matt Singh and Leo Barasi to discuss the tightening polls and what might happen in June. The team discuss whether Labour's recent poll surge is 'real' and what might be behind it. Matt unveils his analysis of what will happen in June based on his model. A model which succesfully predicted the 2015 General Election when all of the polls said the race was close.
Later in the show, Keiran unveils new Polling Matters / Opinium polling that looks at how opinions of the main party leaders have c...
2017-05-2400 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 102 Breaking down the GfK / Business Insider survey resultsOn this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Adam Bienkov and Adam Payne from Business Insider UK to discuss today's GfK/Business Insider poll results.
The panel discuss the scale of the Conservative lead, what's happened to the Lib Dems and why Jeremy Corbyn's approval ratings are improving (and why it probably won't matter). They also discuss what's behind May's approval rating plus interesting findings from the survey that suggest Tony Blair is less popular than Jeremy Corbyn.
The discussion finishes with analysis on what British politics may look like after the G...
2017-05-1700 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Ep. 101 Local election debrief, election forecasting and Macron with Steve FisherOn this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Steve Fisher from Oxford University. Steve runs the elections website https://electionsetc.com/ and is part of the team that produces the General Election exit poll.
Keiran and Steve discuss the fallout from last week's local elections. Steve explains how his election forecast did and what the results tell us about the potential outcome of the General Election in June. Keiran and Steve also discuss how the opinion polls differ from the national vote share last week and what it means. Steve explains why he thinks a...
2017-05-0900 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Episode 100 Firing the starting gun, Brexit rows and where is the Lib Dem surge?On this week’s podcast, Keiran is joined by Adam Drummond of Opinium and Adam Payne of Business Insider UK to discuss the political state of play as the General Election campaign proper kicks off.
The panel mull over the latest developments in the campaign, including Theresa May’s comments about EU interference in British democracy and Tim Farron’s recent run-in with a Leave voter on the stump. Topics discussed also include the lack of a Lib Dem surge in the opinion polls and whether the polls might be wrong again (and how). The podcast also unveil...
2017-05-0300 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Ep. 99 Tory landslides and Vive le pollsters! (with Chris Hanretty)On this week's podcast Keiran returns and is joined by Chris Hanretty from the University of East Anglia.
Keiran and Chris celebrate the excellent performance of French pollsters last weekend and discuss the implications of Macron and Le Pen making the second round. Is a Macron victory now inevitable? What happens next and would a British version of 'En Marche' be succesful? Keiran and Chris also discuss the seeming inevitability of a Conservative landslide in June and what might happen to the Liberal Democrats and the SNP.
To finish the show, Keiran unveils some new...
2017-04-2600 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Ep.98 Snap election - state of the parties and the race aheadWith a snap general election announced, Leo Barasi is joined by Progress deputy editor Conor Pope, and political consultant Laurence Janta-Lipinski, to talk about the state of the parties and the race ahead. The Tories seem to be on course for a guaranteed landslide but does that mean they won't be able to scare potential voters about a Corbyn government? What policies and arguments can Labour offer to fight back? How far can the Lib Dems go? And is it all gloom for Ukip?
Keiran is on holiday.
Follow this week's guests:
@conorpope
@jantalipinski
@leobarasi
2017-04-2100 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Ep. 97 The Lib Dem fightback, the Gorton by-election and time for Nick Clegg?On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Leo is joined by Lib Dem writer and campaign strategist Mark Pack to discuss the Lib Dem fightback and the new Polling Matters / Opinium survey on the party's prospects. The Lib Dems seem to be recovering in the polls, but how high can they go, where should they look for new voters, should they change leader and can they win the Gorton by-election? Later in the show, Leo and Mark discuss the new poll from Lord Ashcroft and what it says about the challenges the government will face in negotiating a popular B...
2017-04-1300 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Ep. 96 Local elections and what will voters compromise on Brexit?On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Colin Rallings from the University of Plymouth to discuss the latest Rallings and Thrasher projections for the coming local elections in May and what they might mean for the wider political environment. Later in the show, Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi to discuss the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey which looks at what voters would be prepared to compromise in the coming Brexit deal.
2017-04-0500 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Ep. 95 Brexit day: Article 50 & what now for Scotland? Plus GfK ReturnNEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Brexit day, Article 50 polling, Scotland’s future and GfK returns
On a momentous day in British history, Keiran and Rob discuss public opinion on Brexit as the Article 50 letter lands in Brussels and Keiran discusses Scotland’s future with Ipsos Mori Scotland Research Director Mark Diffley. Finally, Keiran talks more about new GfK political polling that has made a splash this week including numbers showing Jeremy Corbyn’s approval rating among Brits being as weak as Donald Trump’s. More on that polling (including methodology and data tables here).
The segment ...
2017-03-2900 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Ep. 94 London, Second referendum(s), Snap elections & moreOn this week's new (revamped) episode of the PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran touches briefly on the shocking events of this week before being joined by Leo Barasi and Rob Vance to discuss the latest polling data and elections news. Keiran unveils new Polling Matters / Opinium polling on whether there should be a second EU referendum with changes that might surprise you, Leo explains why he thinks there will not be a snap election (although Keiran argues May is making a mistake in waiting) and Rob touches on events in Northern Ireland following the death of Martin McGuinness.
Follow this w...
2017-03-2300 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Ep. 93 SCOTLAND SPECIAL (and some more on Northern Ireland)On this week’s podcast Keiran is joined by Ailsa Henderson, Head of Politics and International Relations at the University of Edinburgh to discuss a potential second Scottish Independence referendum.
Keiran and Ailsa discuss why Nicola Sturgeon decided to call for a referendum now, what a new campaign would look like, what the polls tell us about who would win, the importance of Brexit and what we can learn from Quebec.
Also on the show Keiran unveils some new polling from Opinium looking at whether voters consider Brexit the right or wrong decision (tracked from Ja...
2017-03-1500 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Ep. 92 Northern Ireland elections, Labour members polling & budget reactionThis week’s episode of the Polling Matters podcast is split into two parts:
Part one: Keiran speaks to Mick Fealty of Sluggerotoole.com about what we learned from last week’s elections in Northern Ireland, who the winners and losers were and what happens next…
Part two: Keiran discusses this week’s polling of Labour members conducted by YouGov on behalf of Ian Warren at Election Data. Keiran is joined by Laurence Janta-Lipinski and Emma Bean to discuss how vulnerable Corbyn is and who might lead Labour into 2020 if he stands down. The panel also discuss the budget a...
2017-03-0900 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Ep. 91 Copeland, Corbyn alternatives and what makes a good PM?On this week's podcast, Keiran is joined by Adam Drummond of Opinium and Matt Singh of Number Cruncher Politics.
The panel discuss the fallout from and historical significance of last week's by-elections in Stoke and Copeland and what happens next for Labour and UKIP. Keiran introduces polling that shows the significance of Corbyn's leadership in Labour's situation as well as polling from YouGov on who might replace Corbyn as Labour leader should he be replaced.
Finally, Keiran and Adam unveil new Polling Matters / Opinium polling on what makes a good Prime Minister and Matt gives...
2017-03-0200 minPolling MattersPolling Matters - Ep. 90 Thatcher's legacy with Charles Moore and looking ahead to Stoke & CopelandThis week's podcast is split into two parts:
In part one Keiran is joined by Charles Moore to discuss the legacy of Margaret Thatcher, how she compares to Theresa May, would she have voted Brexit and what we should make of the new 'fake news' phenomenon. Charles Moore is the former editor of both the Sunday and Daily Telegraph and The Spectator and also the authorised biographer of the former Conservative Prime Minister.
In part two Keiran is joined by Phil Burton-Cartledge, lecturer in Sociology at the University of Derby, Labour activist and blogger for...
2017-02-2200 min