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Showing episodes and shows of
Margie Omero
Shows
The Pollsters
The Pollsters review the pollsters in 2024
Margie and Kristen return after a four-year hiatus! In this one-off episode, The Pollsters catch listeners up on their lives and review the performance of polls leading up to the 2024 Presidential Election. Did pollsters get it right? Or wrong? Or somewhere in-between?Listen to find out!
2024-11-26
1h 11
The Pollsters
We Hear There's an Election Next Week
Large Voter TurnoutVoter Turnout Appears Steady; Enthusiasm Running High (Gallup)Who Will Win?Who Do Voters Think Will Win (Navigator)Cookie PollThree Brothers Bakery Presidential Cookie Poll Has Accurately Predicted Winner of Last 3 Elections (KHOU)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2020-10-29
1h 03
How to Win a Campaign
Ep. 3: Developing Your Campaign Message with Polling (feat. Margie Omero)
Your campaign needs to have a winning message—one that resonates with voters and stays true to your values. How do you make one? Using a Tully Message Box of course! This week, Joe and Martín will walk you through how to use a Tully Message Box to come up with a winning message for your campaign. Joe interviews Margie Omero of The Pollsters, the only bipartisan women podcast about polling, to teach you how to use polling to inform your message and what to look for when hiring an amazing pollster.Resources Tully Messag...
2020-04-22
28 min
The Pollsters
This is the End
Trump Job ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionPresidential General Election (RealClear Politics)CoronavirusCoronavirus Upends Nation, as Three in Four Americans' Lives Changed by Pandemic (ABC News/Ipsos)Governors Get High Marks For Handling COVID-19 Crisis (Monmouth)Tracking Public Opinion on the Coronavirus (Morning Consult)Public Opinion on Coronavirus (Navigator)Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus Index: Everything's Worse (Axios/Ipsos)If you are interested in learning about starting your own podcast, or you have a podcast...
2020-03-26
47 min
The Pollsters
Polling Never Takes a Holiday
Florida Democratic PrimaryWho Different Groups Supported (New York Times)National Democratic PrimaryNational Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Trump Job ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionGeneral Election (RealClear Politics)CoronavirusTrump Earns Mixed Grades on Coronavirus Response (Politico/Morning Consult)Coronavirus (NPR/PBS/Marist)Coronavirus (Reutors/Ipsos)Public Trusts Health Agencies More Than Trump (Axios)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2020-03-19
40 min
The Pollsters
The Democratic Primary vs. The Coronavirus
Democratic PrimaryFlorida Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Biden Crushes Sanders In Democratic Race (Quinnipiac)Trump Job ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionGeneral Election (RealClear Politics)Approval of U.S. Congressional Republicans Tops Democrats (Gallup)CoronavirusTrump and the Coronavirus (CNN)Americans Divided on Party Lines Over Risk From Coronavirus (Reuters/Ipsos)Republicans are Twice as Likely as Democrats to View Coronavirus Coverage as Exaggerated (Axios/Survey Monkey)A...
2020-03-12
32 min
The Pollsters
A Perfect Day For a Non-Pollster
Democratic PrimaryNational Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Florida Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Michigan Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Trump ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionGeneral Election (RealClear Politics)Corona Beer and the CoronavirusThe Spread of the Coronavirus Couldn't Have Come at a Worse Time for Corona Beer(CNN)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2020-03-05
30 min
The Pollsters
Underestimating the Coronavirus?
Democratic National PrimaryDemocratic National Primary (FiveThirtyEight)South Carolina Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Debate Watchers Believe Bernie Sanders Made the Best Case for Defeating Trump (YouGov)Trump Job ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionGeneral Election (RealClear Politics)Republicans Increasingly Feel Like They’re ‘Winning’ Politically; Democrats Feel the Opposite (Pew Research Center)CornoavirusHow do Attitudes to Coronavirus Differ Across the World? (YouGov)High Confidence in Government to Handle Coronavirus (Gallup)Learn more about...
2020-02-27
44 min
The Pollsters
The Squirrely Race
Democratic National PrimaryDemocratic National Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Sanders Opens Up Double-Digit National Lead in Primary Race (NBC News/WSJ)Sanders Leads The Field, Bloomberg Qualifies For His 1st Debate (NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist)Nevada PrimaryNevada Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Sanders Has Strong Lead in Nevada(Data for Progress)South Carolina PrimarySouth Carolina Democratic Primary(FiveThirtyEight)Americans and the ElectionAmericans Generally Upbeat About Election Campaign (Gallup)Faith...
2020-02-20
44 min
The Pollsters
Don't Eat With Your Hands
Democratic PrimaryNational Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Who's Ahead in New Hampshire (FiveThirtyEight)Sanders Takes Top Spot In Dem Primary As Biden Falls (Quinnipac)New Hampshire Democratic Primary Exit Poll Results and Analysis (Wash Post)Trump Approval Trump Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionTrump vs. Klobucha (RealClear Politics)Most Expect Trump Will Be Reelected (Monmouth)Socialism and Atheism Still U.S. Political Liabilities (Gallup)Impeachment VoteMost Utahns pleased with Mitt Romney’s vote, but 60% of GOP...
2020-02-13
36 min
The Pollsters
Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight
On this 5th Anniversary episode, Kristen and Margie are joined by founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver. Nate founded Five Thirty Eight after being tired of the media covering politics with a lack of data.Iowa PrimaryThe three cover the topic of Iowa and how the polls should be looked at along with the actual results in Iowa. Nate breaks down Iowa’s system of using preferences in voting in their primary process and discusses how that makes Iowa difficult to poll.The Des Moines Register, Ann Selzer poll was not published due to a...
2020-02-06
32 min
The Pollsters
Iowa is the Big Game
National Democratic PrimaryNational Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)2020 Democratic Primary (Morning Consult)Biden and Sanders are breaking away from the pack of candidates among Democrats nationwide (Washington Post/ABC News)Electability in the Democratic Primary Polls (HuffPost/YouGov)Iowa PrimaryIowa Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Sanders Seizes Lead in Volatile Iowa Race (New York Times/Siena College)New Hampshire PrimaryNew Hampshire Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Sanders, Buttigieg top Democratic field in New Hampshire (NBC News/Marist)California Primary
2020-01-30
49 min
The Pollsters
The Electorate, an Ocean of Mystery
Democratic PrimaryWho's Ahead in the National Poll? (FiveThirtyEight)Who's Ahead in Iowa? (FiveThirtyEight)Who's Ahead in New Hampshire? (FiveThirtyEight)Sanders Widens Lead In N.H. (WBUR)Trump ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)Trump Third Year Sets New Standard for Party Polarization (Gallup)General ElectionGeneral Election: Trump vs. Klobuchar (RealClear Politics)Trump ImpeachmentDo Americans Support Impeachment? (FiveThirtyEight)Majority Support Allowing New Impeachment Evidence (Monmouth)By a Narrow Margin, Americans Say...
2020-01-23
44 min
The Pollsters
The Sticky Pickle Question
2020 Democratic PrimaryDemocratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Iowa Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Why Warren Needs To Play To Win — And That Includes Beating Sanders (FiveThirtyEight)Who Won The January Democratic Debate? (FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos)Biden holds wide lead among black voters in Democratic presidential race (Washington Post/Ipsos)2020 General ElectionNational General Election (FiveThirtyEight)Trump trails 2020 Democratic contenders in Michigan (EPIC-MRA of Lansing)Trump Approval/ImpeachmentTrump Job Approval (RealClearPolitics)Do Americans Support Impeachment? (FiveThirtyEight)Issues That Matter to Vo...
2020-01-16
33 min
The Pollsters
A Light Dusting of Snow and Polls
Party PreferencesU.S. Party Preferences Steady During Trump Era (Gallup)Democratic Polling for DebateDNC Tells Pollsters to Do More Polls (NewYorkTimes)Democratic PrimarySanders starts 2020 in strong position in Iowa and New Hampshire (CBS News)Biden Is Democrats’ Best Bet to Beat Trump (Morning Consult)Trump Job Approval/ImpeachmentTrump Job Approval (Real Clear)Do Americans Support Impeachment? (Real Clear)A Majority Of Americans Think The Evidence Supports Trump’s Removal (FiveThirtyEight)Geoff Garin on Hart...
2020-01-09
54 min
The Pollsters
New Year, New You, New Polls?
Polling Trends in Previous ElectionsIn Leaked Memo, Andrew Yang Asks DNC for More Debate Polls (DailyBeast)2008 Iowa Republican Caucus (RealClear Politics)2008 Iowa Democratic Caucus(RealClear Politics)2012 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics)2016 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus(RealClear Politics)2016 Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics)2020 Presidential ElectionWho’s ahead in the national polls? (FiveThirtyEight)2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics)Trump ImpeachmentDo Americans Support Impeachment? (FiveThirtyEight)Most Admired ManObama, Trump Tie as...
2020-01-02
50 min
The Pollsters
It's A Flat Line
Democratic PrimaryWhat Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different (FiveThirtyEight)Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Biden and Sanders holding steady (RealClear Politics)Trump Approval/ImpeachmentPresident Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)Tracking “impeach and remove” (FiveThirtyEight)Trump job approval ticks up, views on impeachment steady (Fox News)Peace at ThanksgivingOnly About 3% Of Americans Actually Fought About Politics On Thanksgiving (HuffPost/YouGov)Dumbest Takes on PollingWhy public opinion polls don’t include the same number of Republi...
2019-12-19
48 min
The Pollsters
Nothing Changes, Until It Does
Democratic PrimaryBiden and Sanders holding steady (RealClear Politics)Second Choice Candidates (Quinnipiac)Trump Approval / ImpeachmentTracking “impeach and remove” (FiveThirtyEight)Tracking Trump Approval (RealClearPolitics)Who was the better President?Democrats answer! (Monmouth)Trust in the mediaRepublicans less likely to trust the news media (Pew Research)UK ElectionsLove, Actually?Current predictions (YouGov)TravelWhat do people steal from hotels? (Wellness Heaven)Unacceptable Airplane Behavior (YouGov)Chri...
2019-12-12
48 min
The Pollsters
The 16, no, 14...wait, 15 now? Democrats for President
2020 Presidental ElectionDemocratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics)General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics)Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics)The State of the Democratic Primary (Morning Consult)The Economist/You Gov PollCalifornia Voters Wanted Kamala Harris to Drop Out of Presidential Race (Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for The Times)ImpeachmentTrump Approval (RealClear Politics)Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight)UK ElectionEurope Poll of Polls (Politico)The key findings from our MRP (YouGov)
2019-12-05
57 min
The Pollsters
Medicare and Pollsters For All
2020 Presidental ElectionDemocratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics)General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics)Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics)CBS News Battleground Tracker (CBS News)ImpeachmentTrump Approval (RealClear Politics)Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight)Impeachment Hearings (ABC/Ipsos)Multi-Party DemocracyWhat if the U.S. Were a Multi-Party Democracy? (Echelon)British ElectionGeneral Election 2019: The polling average might show a Labour surge, but the polls themselves don't (iPolitics)Have you decided yet...
2019-11-21
48 min
The Pollsters
Bloomberg for President?
2020 Presidental ElectionDemocratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics)General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics)Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics)Poll: Bloomberg's Potential Run is a Flop With Voters so Far (Politico/Morning Consult)Biden Holds Slight Lead In New Hampshire Dem Primary (Quinnipiac)ImpeachmentTrump Approval (RealClear Politics)Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight)Framing the Next Step on Impeachment (Navigator)Immigration/Supreme CourtImmigration/Border Security (Monmouth)Immigration (CNN/SSRS)Poll Finds Confidence...
2019-11-14
53 min
The Pollsters
Fishy Attraction
2020 Presidential ElectionDemocratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics)General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics)One Year From Election, Trump Trails Biden but Leads Warren in Battlegrounds (The New York Times Upshot/Siena College)Poll: Biden Holds Significant Lead over Warren, Sanders in Nevada; Top Issue is Electing Someone Who Can Beat Trump (The Nevada Independent)Kentucky Governor - Bevin vs. Beshear (RealClear Politics)Trump Approval (RealClear Politics)ImpeachmentDo Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight)Partisan Opinion on Trump Digs in (Monmouth University Poll)
2019-11-07
45 min
The Pollsters
Red Dress for the Win
2020 Presidential ElectionDemocratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics)General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics)Trump Approval (RealClear Politics)ImpeachmentDo Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight)Partisans Dig In On Impeachment, but Majority of Americans Say Trump Administration Should Cooperate With Inquiry (CBS News)Worst Impeachment Questions (Mclaughlin & Associates)Trump Approval Foreign PolicyTrump Approval Foreign Policy (RealClear Politics)Foreign Policy Approval(Navigator)Support for Impeaching Trump Soars Among Independents (Reuters/Ipsos)Syria (CNN/SSRS)Job...
2019-10-31
49 min
The Pollsters
Huffing the Impeachment Paint...
2020 Presidential ElectionDemocratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics)General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics)Biden's lead in Democratic primary hits widest margin since April (CNN)Iowa Caucus (RealClear Politics)Trump and ImpeachmentTrump Approval (RealClear Politics)Increased Support For Trump Impeachment in Wisconsin (Marquette University Law School)Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight)Impeachment Views in 6 Swing States (The Upshot)Issue of the Week: Religion and PolarizationWidening Partisan Polarization and Key Issues in 2020 Presidential Elections (PRRI)...
2019-10-24
43 min
The Pollsters
Baseball Makes D.C. Normal
2020 Presidential ElectionDemocratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics)General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics)Trump Approval (RealClear Politics)Who Won The Fourth Democratic Debate? (FiveThirtyEight / Ipsos)ImpeachmentDo Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight)How To Talk About Impeachment (Navigator)Issue of the Week: Unskew the PollsFox News Pollster Misrepresented Impeachment Poll (Fox News)Democrats Hold Edge in U.S. Party Affiliation in 3rd Quarter (Gallup)Everyone Hates EveryonePartisan Antipathy: More Intense, More Personal (Pew Research...
2019-10-17
41 min
The Pollsters
#225: Margie goes to The Spin Zone
2020 Presidential CampaignsTrump Approval (RealClear Politics)2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics)Interest still high in second Dem debate (POLITICO/Morning Consult)Shifting Democratic Lines (Echelon Insights)Conflicted About Trump: The Americans Disapproving of President Trump While Giving Him Credit on the Economy (Navigator)Black and Latinx ViewsViews on the economy aren’t monolithic (Groundwork Collaborative)TechAmericans have become much less positive about tech companies’ impact (Pew Research)Song of the Summer!Song of the Summer Rank...
2019-08-01
55 min
The Pollsters
#215: How to Make Margie Lose Her Mind
AAPOR ConferenceExit Poll ShowdownEvery Methodology Is Terrible AlwaysProbability Is Fake NewsTrump and Democrats 2020President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)Latest 2020 General Election Polls (RealClear Politics)Fox News Poll 5/16Biden Is Only Contender With Positive Score (Quinnipiac)Most Democrats Are Fine With Their Candidates Doing Fox News Town Halls (Morning Consult/Politico)Black Voters and Gender Identity PoliticsNew poll shows black voters want 2020 candidates with big policy plans, not just big names (BlackPAC via Vox)Who White Democrats Vote For In 2020 Could Be...
2019-05-23
1h 05
The Pollsters
#200: Pollsters In Cars Getting Snacks
Producers note: Margie was in a taxi and Kristen was out of the studio as well so the audio quality of this episode is well below our usual standards but we wanted to get the episode to you no matter what!The bleeding has stopped but the patient could use a transfusion...how will Roger Stone and the kick-the-can Shutdown delay impact POTUS numbers?ProtectTheInvestigation.org (GBS Strategies)America is heading in the wrong direction (NBC/WSJ)President Trump Job Approval (RealClearPolitics)President Trump’s marks on th...
2019-01-31
36 min
The Pollsters
#199: We Need More Fyre Festival Documentaries
It’s Margie’s Birthday! Please donate to World Central Kitchen to help feed furloughed Federal workers!The shutdown continues to take its toll on federal workers and begins to take a more serious toll on the President’s political standing.Pelosi has edge over Trump on budget negotiations (CBS News)Shutdown, Russia drive Trump to all-time high disapproval (POLITICO/Morning Consult)6 in 10 Americans blame Trump for shutdown (Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research)Voters see shutdown as bigger problem than border situation (FOX News)NPR...
2019-01-24
47 min
The Pollsters
#194: Women Working in Politics, with Abby Livingston
This week The Pollsters welcome Abby Livingston, bureau chief for the Texas Tribune, to talk about her recent article in Politico Magazine, "The Hardest Glass Ceiling in Politics". The somewhat controversial article addresses the sexism challenges faced by women who work as politics consultants. Kristen and Margie share some of their own experiences with Abby and dig in to the journalistic methods and insights she brought to the project.This is ann important issue and we're grateful to Abby for taking it on.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2018-12-13
25 min
The Pollsters
#188: Midterm Outlook with Liesl Hickey and Ali Lapp
In this very special episode, we're joined by Republican House race expert Liesl Hickey and Democratic House race expert Ali Lapp, hosts of the House Talk with Ali and Liesl podcast. We cover how political experts view house race polls compared to the Generic Ballot and the specifics of the upcoming midterm election.How much is President Trump helping or hurting Republican candidates? The Democrats appear likely to take back the House, but by how much? What are the implications of the massive gender gap that the GOP faces among women, and is this the start of a...
2018-10-25
49 min
The Pollsters
#175: When Statistical Sharks Attack
Kristen saw a concert. Margie has jet lag. We're both in LA, taking in the kale smoothies & easy living.I Can’t Go For ThatTrump approval (HuffPo)Poll Of The Week:Who do you trust? (CBS)Say It Isn’t So: Generic ballot (RCP)California HouseCA-50 (Tulchin Research, July 17-23)CA-48 (Monmouth)CA-25 (Global Strategy Group, June 29)Texas SenateRCP AveragesTexas LYCEUM PollQuinnipiacFlorida Senate
2018-08-03
48 min
The Pollsters
#168: Booze, Weed & Porn All Get A Bump
Booze, Weed, and Porn All Up in the Polls!Margie is lonely on the road, but she’s got polls to keep her company! Especially polls about Michael Avenatti! Trump’s approval ratings hold steady and the Democrats rebound a little in the Generic Ballot. Tariffs have the nation calling flatly, “Anyone?...Anyone?” Women did well in the most recent primaries but do people think they’ll change anything when in office? And, finally, the annual Gallup numbers on what Americans find morally (un)acceptable.Polls of the Week: What Does The Public Think Of Michael Av...
2018-06-08
43 min
Party People
Margie Omero
Margie Omero is one of the best pollsters in the game. Over more than 20 years, this proud daughter of the Garden State has worked in several of the smartest research shops in town—and even started her own. Currently a Partner at GBA Strategies, she’s advised some of the biggest names in Democratic politics, progressive causes, and the business world—like the Democratic National Committee, EMILYs List, Everytown for Gun Safety, Facebook, and of course, hundreds of campaigns across the country. But that’s not all. She’s also a podcasting powerhouse in her own right. She’s the creator and...
2018-03-13
00 min
The Pollsters
#154: A Gun Rant, Taxes & The Oscars
We're back together! We've decided everyone needs professional help, us included. Continue to tweet us complaints & data (not in that order). @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters.Poll of the Week: Higher Ed Scores HigherGallup on Higher EdTrumplandia Huffington Post Trump AverageCNN on Trump/RussiaThe Generic & TaxesFiveThirtyEight generic averageMargie's tax poll for Not One Penny
2018-03-01
59 min
The Pollsters
#153: Guns, Voter Files & Sin
Last week Margie was in Vegas. She lost some money, lost track of time, and lost the episode we recorded. Did you miss us? Tweet us at @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters.Poll Of The Week:Axios & Driverless CarsTrump:HP AveragePew on agency popularityGuns:WP/ABC on GunsQuinnipiac on GunsSexual Harassment
2018-02-22
42 min
The Pollsters
#140: LA Stories: Keep Your Junk To Yourself
We were in LA! And also still a little on California time. Check out the live show we did with Josh Barro & the gang at KCRW's Left Right & Center. So much fun. As always you can reach us @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters.Virginia’s Blue TideThe Margie margin The Exits2017 Exits2016 Exits2013 ExitsTrump on the ballotHP Job Approval trackerTrump regretters MC/PoliticoTimely Transgender PollingPew on transgenderSexual harassmentCNN on sexual harassment...
2017-11-11
46 min
The Pollsters
#139: Margie Has A New Gig (11/1/17)
Margie has a new gig, got into a friendly disagreement with Mark Penn & dressed as the Gender Avenger. No wonder she’s tired. For more alert analysis follow @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters. Margie's new gig! http://www.gbastrategies.com/margie-omero-joins-gba/ The Trolley Problem https://twitter.com/aedwardslevy?lang=en Cato Fun https://www.cato.org/survey-reports/state-free-speech-tolerance-america Trumplandia http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval WaPo/UMD https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/polling/washington-postuniversity-maryland-democracy-poll-sept/2017/10/28/103b9f34-bbd7-11e7-9b93-b97043e57a22_page.html Virginia Gov Politico Article https://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/31/virginia-governors-polling-northam-gillespie-244362 Polling averages https://www.realclearpolitics.co...
2017-11-02
56 min
The Pollsters
#138: Mr. Big Stuff, You're Not Our Type (10/26/17)
Check out Kristen's yolo rant. Check out Margie in Boston on Monday. And we'll have news soon, promise! Follow us @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters. Hollywood https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/171006_crosstabs_Brands_v1_AP.pdf “Reckless” in Morning Consult/Politico http://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/25/trump-poll-reckless-honest-244126 Military Times https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2017/10/23/military-times-poll-one-in-four-troops-sees-white-nationalism-in-the-ranks/ VA Real Clear Politics https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2017/governor/va/virginia_governor_gillespie_vs_northam-6197.html Pew Political Typology http://www.people-press.org/2017/10/24/political-typology-reveals-deep-fissures-on-the-right-and-left/ YOLO Rant of the week: Cambridge Analytica http://www.businessinsider.com/trump-cambridge-analytica-hillary-clinton-emails-julian-assange-2017-10 Halloween Facts: https://wallethub.com/blog/halloween-facts/25374/
2017-10-26
1h 00
The Pollsters
#135: Guns, PR, Taxes & Margie In Yolo Mode (10/5/17)
This is the first time since August we've been in the same room together. Woah. Don't forget to tweet us @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters. Poll of the week - Russia The Chicago Council https://www.thechicagocouncil.org/sites/default/files/ccgasurvey2017_what_americans_think_about_america_first.pdf The Daily Trump Job Approval tracking http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval Puerto Rico http://www.apnorc.org/PDFs/AP-NORC%20September%202017/AP%20Custom%20Poll%20Topline%20SEPTEMBER_Disaster_relief.pdf Tax Plan http://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/04/trump-tax-proposal-polling-243426 Guns Margie’s tough talk http://thehill.com/opinion/criminal-justice/353908-politicization-of-tragedy-is-the-last-thing-we-need-from-our-leaders Harry Enten on Pew’s tr...
2017-10-05
56 min
The Pollsters
#133: Margie & NBC's Mark Murray: Polling In 2016's Final Days (9/20/17)
Margie & Mark Murray talk about Texas Football, 2016 polling, & where media coverage of polling may go next. Be sure to read his piece on 2016's final stretch: "12 days that stunned a nation." http://nbcnews.to/2w2TDlc Find Mark on Twitter: @mmurraypolitics & as always we're @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2017-09-20
28 min
The Pollsters
#132: Margie Talks To Cornell Belcher (9/14/17)
With Kristen away Margie is super-psyched to interview Cornell Belcher, Democratic pollster to Obama, the DNC, the DSCC and more. We get Cornell's take on the current climate around race, where the Democratic Party should go next, his mentors along the way, and of course fax machines. Find his book here: http://a.co/8a9rwLk Or find him online @cornellbelcher. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2017-09-14
46 min
The Pollsters
#129: We're Going To Need Something Stronger Than Coffee (8/17/17)
Somebody please come to the rescue. We’ll try anything at this point. In the meantime, tweet us @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters. Poll of the week: Alabama pollsters take a bow: Polling average comes pretty close: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-watch-for-in-tonights-alabama-senate-primaries/ Trump-losion Status unchanged. That doesn’t mean it’s good: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval HuffPo on Charlottesville http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/americans-trump-white-nationalism-poll_us_59941e9ee4b04b193361c305 http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/tabsHPCharlottesville20170814.pdf CBS has a poll on Charlottesville https://www.cbsnews.com/news/americans-divided-over-trumps-response-to-charlottesville-cbs-news-poll/ NPR/Newshour/Marist also has a poll: http://maristpoll.marist...
2017-08-17
47 min
The Pollsters
#125: We Share The Same Biology, Regardless Of Ideology (7/13/17)
Margie introduced Kristen to the world of kids' birthday parties & Dream Of The Blue Turtles. Tweet us your cold-war era tunes--we're going to need 'em! @thepollsters, @ksoltisanderson, & @margieomero. Poll of the Week: Fugghedaboutit Politico: New Jersey voters react to Chris Christie’s visit to the beach amid a government shutdown http://politi.co/2tAwiYy This Week in Trump HuffPost: Trump Approval Ratings http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz Gallup: American opinion towards the media’s coverage of Trump http://bit.ly/2uV1HUf Politico: Trump Approval Ratings http://politi.co/2uO3Ukh Gallup: American people provide Congress with little guidance on how...
2017-07-13
44 min
The Pollsters
#121: You're so very special. We wish we were special. (6/21/17)
We write back sometimes! So follow us @thepollsters and @ksoltisanderson @margieomero. Don't forget to send Margie you're glastonbury reco's! Poll of the Week Planet Fitness/ Kelton Global: The Dad Bod is the “New Shape of Sexy” http://prn.to/2refN0t Georgia 6th Special Election RealClearPolitics: Georgia 6th District Projections http://bit.ly/2r2B79b This Week in Trump HuffPost: Trump Approval Ratings http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz AP-NORC: Views of Trump’s Work in Office https://shar.es/1BrRgn AP-NORC: Public’s attitudes about Trump and the Russia Investigation https://shar.es/1BrPxJ Presidents after Retirement Gallup: Bush and Obam...
2017-06-21
41 min
The Pollsters
#118: The Latest Covfefes on Impeachment, NATO, Paris, the UK & staycations
Margie's twitter poll shows covfefe twitter is the best twitter. Don't forget to tweet us @ksoltisanderson or @margieomero. Poll of the Week Gallup: Majority of Americans view all branches of military very favorably http://bit.ly/2rElRTX Pew: US Veterans are generally more supportive of Trump than the overall public http://pewrsr.ch/2r4DWr7 This Week in Trump HuffPo: Trump’s approval rating has slightly increased, going from 39.9% to 41.3% http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz Politico: More people want Congress to impeach Trump, even if they don’t believe he has committed “high crimes and misdemeanors” http://politi.co/2qzOWQs Does Tru...
2017-06-01
46 min
The Pollsters
#117: Is polling morally acceptable? (5/24)
We're back from a teensy weensy break where Margie went to the AAPOR conference. We love your reviews! And often dislike your misplaced pitches. Follow us on @thepollsters, @ksoltisanderson & @margieomero for more polls & yuks. Poll of the Week Roll Call: Ossoff leading Georgia’s 6th, voters unhappy with Trump http://bit.ly/2qkCcbs Washington Post: Republicans are struggling in the Virginia governor’s race http://wapo.st/2rhV1Rq Trump HuffPo: Trump approval decreasing slightly http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz Gallup: People dislike Ivanka less than they dislike her father http://bit.ly/2rhZGmd Politico/Morning Consult: Voters want Russia coll...
2017-05-24
45 min
The Pollsters
#116: Ariel Edwards-Levy's favorite pun (AAPOR edition)
Margie talks to queen of the Huffington Post fempire Ariel Edwards-Levy, and she recounts the vibe from the AAPOR conference, the role of gender in 2016 polling, and her favorite pun. Follow her immediately @aedwardslevy.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2017-05-19
17 min
The Pollsters
#112: Our tribute to Bill O'Reilly, Nate Silver & Weed (4/20)
What's wackier than twitter trolls about our Easter candy preferences? This 5-year-old clip of Kristen & Margie introducing Bill O'Reilly to Nate Silver. Like free stuff? Check out our ZIPRECRUITER free trial at http://www.ziprecruiter.com/freetrial We're also always at @margieomero & @ksoltisanderson. https://youtu.be/HZ1hqwGzPwA?t=3m4s Civilized: New cannabis culture poll debunks stereotypes, shows overwhelming support for legalization http://bit.ly/2o7ON5n ABC 9 News: Americans think marijuana is safer than opioids http://on9news.tv/2pVWtV0 Yahoo News/Marist Poll: Weed and the American Family http://bit.ly/2oZgZ9R WBUR Poll...
2017-04-20
46 min
The Pollsters
#106: Our IWD gift exchange. And the future of democracy.
Kristen didn't get Margie anything for #IWD. Awkward. Well, we do have lots of polls about the future of democracy to cheer us up. Don't forget to follow us @thepollsters @margieomero @ksoltisanderson. We write back! (sometimes.) Poll of the week Gallup: D.C. tops list of Gallup good jobs http://bit.ly/2neKNLC USA Today: U.S. slips to seventh best country in the world after Trump election http://usat.ly/2mvHm63 POTUS Job Approval/Speech Reaction Huffington Post: Trump job approval rating http://bit.ly/2m2P1px Huffington Post: Few see Trump’s address to Congress as pi...
2017-03-09
42 min
The Pollsters
#97: Take these polls and make them true somehow (1/5/17)
Welcome back everyone! Kristen is well-rested, but Jet Lag Margie is on the loose. Find more polls at https://www.facebook.com/ThePollsters/ or https://twitter.com/ThePollsters. We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. Here are the polls we cite this week. “Polls” of the Week Mediaite: Who should replace Megyn Kelly? http://bit.ly/2hVzl4i Marsha Blackburn’s Obamacare twitter poll backfires http://bit.ly/2iMMj91 Carrie Fisher’s dog Gary could teach Marsha Blackburn about twitter polls http://bit.ly/2hVDFR5 2016 in our rear-view mirror POLITICO/Morning Consult: Trump would barely beat Obama in a head-to-he...
2017-01-05
50 min
The Pollsters
#94: Trump gets a bounce
Did you hear our interview with Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio & Clinton pollster Joel Benenson? You’re going to want to take a listen. It’s one of our favorite episodes so far. Poll of the Week: We’ve hit peak pollsters The Pollsters talk about the polling on polling. Huffington Post on Trump voters Ipsos poll on pollsters’ distrust Everybody (well, half of everybody) Loves A Winner Even Trump gets a post-win bounce. Huffington Post on Trump’s favorability Morning Consult on Trump’s favorability Gallup poll on president-elect’s favorability Post-Fact Universe The true polling about post-facts Pew Research on po...
2016-12-08
59 min
The Pollsters
#93: The Pollsters @ Harvard with Joel Benenson & Tony Fabrizio
Kristen & Margie are back! We went up to Harvard's IOP Campaign Manager Summit. While you may have heard about some testy conversations, our pollster summit with Clinton pollster Joel Benenson & Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio was friendly and informative. What kinds of questions did they ask? Were they surprised? How have their years in the trenches prepared them for this race? Listen to our live show & hear about our new big announcement!Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2016-12-02
50 min
The Pollsters
#92: Give thanks for KSA on the mic!
Margie's still detoxing, but Kristen's got thoughts. Take a listen. And we'll have a live show from Harvard next week! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2016-11-22
42 min
The Pollsters
#91: Maybe polling does take a holiday? (Vacation announcement)
Maybe polling does take a holiday? Margie's detoxing too hard to get a good consistent connection, so stay tuned for Plan B. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2016-11-17
02 min
The Pollsters
#89: Buckle up!
We’ve been a lot of places--if we spent any more time together this week we would’ve had to give each other candy. Poll of the Week Can Ivanka’s brand withstand Hurricane Trump? Fortune: Women won’t buy Ivanka Trump shoes What is happening out there?! The race is tightening. Or is it? Real Clear Politics: YouGov’s Doug Rivers and Benjamin Lauderdale on Phantom Swings NBC/Survey Monkey: Post-Comey letter polling Morning Consult: Post-Comey letter polling Morning Consult: Polls unaffected by reopening of email case ABC/Washington Post: Trump creating more enthusiasm among early voters NYT Upshot: Wher...
2016-11-04
44 min
The Pollsters
#86: Stress polling & stress eating
Well it's pretty crazy out there. Hold onto your crosstabs everyone. And don't forget you can see Margie in LA on 10/20 at the Ace Hotel with the fine folks at KCRW's Left Right & Center. Check it out here. Poll of the Week There's a reason we're going to focus on the tapes & the debate--it's one of the biggest news stories this year. Politico/Morning Consult National Poll October Surprises The post-debate polling is bleak for Trump, but not quite as volatile as the news. Maybe. Brietbart on post debate poll CNN/ORC poll on the second debate NBC SurveyMonkey pol...
2016-10-12
49 min
The Pollsters
#80: Smells like a divided electorate
Margie squeezes in a few hours of staycation, while Kristen is on the road. But even during a slow week there are still polls to amaze or depress you. Poll of the week: smells like teen spirit? What do Milwaukee voters think the election smells like? Um, nothing you'd want to turn into a scratch-n-sniff sticker. Hart/Annenberg school focus group 2016 The race is tightening! But just a little. Washington Post/ABC News poll HP: Trump vs. Clinton two-way HP Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson David Plouffe tweets More HP polls HP on college educated whites WP on the Whit...
2016-09-01
42 min
The Pollsters
#77: The landslide bringing you down?
So glad you guys liked our interview with Ron Brownstein--we did too! Also, we have 96 reviews, can we get to a nice round 100? You can write a review on iTunes or Stitcher, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook to see all the polls we're looking at each week. Poll of the week: DC Insiders, they’re just like us! Hey, how come we didn’t get called? Examiner-Echelon Insider poll 2016 The landslide got you down? Well, must be those trash-can polls. Huffington Post/Pollster 2-way Huffington Post/Pollster 3-way NYT/Upshot on 2016 WashPost on Trump's chance NYT/Upshot what a Cli...
2016-08-18
48 min
The Pollsters
#75: Bounce, Bounce, Bounce
We’ve recovered from the convention, but have the polls? Take it away, Kristen’s iPhone... Poll of the week: Is 2016 making you wish you had a brain implant?. Do brain chip implants make you worried? What if they don’t actually work? Pew: Americans wary of biomedical enhancements for the human body 2016: A Clinton bounce, a Trump crater, and smod it all to heck. Clinton has a post-Philly bounce. But who knows what’s even happening anymore. Ah, 2016, Huffington Post analysis of post-convention bounce Huffington Post trackers Kristen's article in the examiner Margie’s latest dial-test poll from PSB Research...
2016-08-04
47 min
The Pollsters
#74: How is Scott Baio like a pregnant woman? Reax from Cleveland
Kristen is in Cleveland! Calling in from radio row. Margie is in the soundbooth, eager to hear the gossip. Poll of the week: Elvis is in the building. There comes a time in every person's life when you must decide between an office dog and virtual reality glasses. PSB/Dell Poll 2016: Well, this is going well. Cleveland is like Glastonbury. Except in all the ways it's not. Gallup:Pence's Effect on Trump Victory in November CBS Poll finds most voters are unfamiliar with Pence Real Clear Politics: How favorable is Pence? Aggregators’ predictions FiveThirtyEight election forecast NY Times: Clinton has 76...
2016-07-22
45 min
The Pollsters
#73: What's scarier: Pokemon or politics?
The polls are like Pokemon: gotta read them all! Thanks for the great reviews guys, especially to the person who mentioned Joey Lucas. Pokemon! A new reason to keep your phones handy at all times. YouGov Poll Pew Poll on Gamers 2016: Trumpers going to Trump It doesn’t matter what kind of press he gets, Trump still stays close in the polls. Huffington Post 2016 General Election Tracker Washington Post/ABC poll on FBI not charging Clinton Sanders supporters are more likely to back Clinton without third-party candidates Bloomberg/Purple poll on college education and voting tendencies Quinnipiac swing state poll...
2016-07-14
37 min
The Pollsters
#70: A little breakfast beer with your Brexit?
Last week Margie was on vacation, mucking up the audio & having a hard time relaxing. But we’re back in the soundbooth with some tributes to dads, Brexit, and jingles. Poll of the week: Father’s Day In honor of Father’s Day in the rear-view mirror, some polls of interest to parents everywhere. If you’re a grumpy US parent, you’re not alone. Quartz on US parental happiness gap Ace Metrix on best Father's Day ad 2016: Trump’s had a bad few weeks. But does it matter? Clinton has the edge in the polls. But it’s not so dramatic...
2016-06-23
51 min
The Pollsters
#69: We love you Orlando
Dialing in from the road: Kristen on her hometown Orlando. Margie on her pet issues of LGBT rights and stronger gun laws. Can this year get any crazier? Polling suggests maybe not. Orlando’s implications on gun laws, threat of terrorism, and LGBT safe spaces We try to make sense of the gun polling--views on terrorism, on an assault weapon ban, and more. Margie’s picks on how to take action on Orlando Bloomberg Politics National Poll CBS News poll YouGov poll post San Bernardino YouGov poll just before Orlando Pew Research poll on religion and support of LGBT right...
2016-06-17
47 min
The Pollsters
#68: Gurl, the nominee! And how is Trump like the NJ turnpike?
Hi all! We have some great interviews--this week with Doug Schwartz from Quinnipiac. And next week we'll have Courtney Kennedy from Pew. Poll of the week: Breaking! People are not freaking out enough about Zika Are you freaking out about Zika? Well, why not? Harvard study on Zika Gurl. We got a candidate. If you think Democrats are not unified, well, just look at the data. YouGov/CA poll The General, AKA: Yikes Gallup has tons of great breakdowns this week of how different parties view the top issues, how Trump and Clinton voters view their own candidates, and how...
2016-06-09
38 min
The Pollsters
#67: How is voting for Trump like premarital sex?
Sorry we didn’t do an interview show this past week. Even pollsters have to take a holiday sometimes. In the meantime, you can catch us on WAMU’s The Big Listen. It’s funny! Poll of the week: Elect This MTV talks to Millennials, and they just want this election to be over already. We feel ya! Also, they just skip right over podcasts & head to a polling topline YouTube video. MTV "Elect This" release "Infographica" video 2016: Californication and beyond. California is next up on the primary stage. Exciting! Or, maybe not? Meanwhile, other outlets dig deep into the Clin...
2016-06-02
49 min
The Pollsters
#66: Are the polls making you freak out?
We’re back in the soundbooth--no noisy hotel hallways this time! And check us out this weekend on The Big Listen--a podcast (and actual WAMU broadcast) about podcasts. We really enjoyed talking to Lauren. As always, don’t forget to follow us on Facebook and Twitter. Poll of the week: get the government out of our bathrooms Voters in this recent NBC/WSJ poll show many don’t want any type of government in their bathrooms--state law or federal intervention. And very high don’t knows on how people feel about transgender use of bathrooms. Should you panic? Uh, no? Last...
2016-05-25
43 min
The Pollsters
#65: A good pollster says: "You're going to die"
What the heck is AAPOR? Well, just a whole lot of awesome! Kristen gives us a report. And we report from a hotel hallway, so apologies for the sounds of conference-goers in the background. Poll of the week: What’s in a name? Washington Post updates an older poll of Native Americans about the name of the local football team. There’s a difference between finding a term offensive and being bothered about a team’s use of it. Regardless, it seems like good news for Dan Snyder. And the methodology is just as interesting. 2016: We’ve got questions! Polls have a...
2016-05-20
38 min
The Pollsters
#64: Lice, Arby's, Socialism, & Donald Trump
Go find Kristen at AAPOR! And Margie’s Austin tips include the 2nd street warehouse district and South Congress. Poll of the week Trump is less popular than lice, Nickelback. PPP, you gave us the poll America needed, but didn’t know it wanted. PPP on Trump 2016: Controlled Burn Are Sanders voters going to vote for Trump? And is the general really getting closer already? WV exit polls (Dem side) Quinnipiac battleground poll Survey Monkey/NBC Nate silver goes on tweet rant Longform is hot! People spend more time with longform on their cells than shorter content. Facebook sends more vis...
2016-05-12
41 min
The Pollsters
#64i: Michael Dimock, president of Pew Research
After sharing a panel at the Milken Global Conference, Margie corners Michael Dimock, the President of Pew Research Center. They talk about Pew's mission, their latest study comparing online panels, and how he got his start. Check him out on twitter here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2016-05-09
23 min
The Pollsters
#63: Trump gets the nom! Margie gets a new gig!
Folks! Margie has a new gig & we have new mugs. We’re almost totally a real show now. Poll of the Week! Are you Cinco-de-Mayo-ing properly? Do you understand the meaning of Cinco de Mayo? Aside from guacamole & margaritas? Univision poll Indiana results: well, that was interesting. Meet your new nominee, folks. Fun, huh? CNN exit polls Survey monkey/NBC NYT/upshot analysis Who knows? Pew knows! Does your online panel stink? Maybe! Who knows! Well, Pew knows, but isn’t telling you. Common sense media Teens & their smartphones. Yikes! I’m already worried. And i’m the problem! Common Sense...
2016-05-06
46 min
The Pollsters
#62: The "not the Acela primary" plus Prince & Beyonce
Would Kristen & Margie swap shoes during a panel? Um, no. Please? Um, still no. Stop playing the Acela Primary card! Sanders is hurting Clinton as evidenced by her winning so much? And Trump is playing the crazy man card. Huffington Post trends Exit polls Gallup on gender & paying attention Ask a Millennial! R’s who haven’t read the selfie vote, call your office. Kristen had a dream that Republicans did nothing to appeal to young voters, and so they slowly became more Democratic. Oh wait. Harvard IOP poll The Selfie Vote Surprise! You’re an independent. Are you an indepen...
2016-04-28
43 min
The Pollsters
#60: Is the system rigged?
Go to the AAPOR conference, folks, and listen to our interview with David Dutwin, an AAPOR methodologist. Poll of the week: You tax show offs. Almost everyone says they’ve done their taxes already Well, not Margie. Retailmenot survey on taxpaying Democratic contest “heating up” (well, kinda) Is the Democratic contest: rigged, heated, none of these. Margie’s CNBC piece HP average GOP side Now this is what we call testy! Trump is still in the lead. So what’s he complaining about? NBC/Marist NY poll HP average All the married ladies… A new Bloomberg Politics/Purple Slice poll of married...
2016-04-13
38 min
The Pollsters
#59: It's up to you. New. York. New. York.
Thanks everyone who came to our live show at Harvard! Yes, that means you! Poll of the week: Are we creepy? Slate story on creepiness 2016: Dem side Is it an upset? A reset? Does it matter? Check the slide-y thing: NYTimes "slidey thing" HP trendlines 2016: GOP Remember Margie’s CNBC post? Well there was no gender gap for Trump in WI Exit polls Margie’s CNBC piece Meet the contest-ants! Will the parties unite? Divide? Come to literal or figurative blows? Despite some heated rhetoric around the word “qualified” the Dem side may be in better shape than the GOP side. ...
2016-04-07
43 min
The Pollsters
#59i: Our live show @ Harvard, plus John Della Volpe
The Pollsters to go Harvard's Institute of Politics for their 50th anniversary. Kristen was a fellow, and Margie, uh, once went to camp there. We interview Harvard's resident Millennial expert John Della Volpe. And we take audience questions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2016-04-04
56 min
The Pollsters
#58: NeverTrumpers, let's get into formation
Hey insiders! We are reviving the micro-assignments & resurrecting one just for you: submit the show to NPR’s Earbud.FM. It’s easy, just go here! Poll of the week: Change your profile pic if you love The Pollsters A fifth of people have changed their online photo Pew study 2016: #NeverTrump or #AlwaysTrump? We’re overwhelmed with Trump news. Most of it horrible. Today we dig a little deeper on Trump & women, but also delegate math. Kristen's Examiner column FiveThirtyEight on Trump & women Huffington Post on Trump & women Margie’s CNBC piece on Trump & women 2016: Dem contest maybe not as straight...
2016-03-30
35 min
The Pollsters
#57: Exit polls or it didn't happen
Don’t forget to listen to our recent interview with Nate Cohn from the NYT/Upshot--he dishes on the headlines to one of his stories recently, talks about great graphics, and more. Poll of the week! Boaty McBoatface beating David Attenborough for the name of a new ship. At least it’s also beating “I love big boats & I cannot lie.” NERC Name Our Ship Exit polls or it didn’t happen! How did the polls do this past Tuesday? And what’s next for the sleepy-town portion of the primary? AZ GOP poll Wisconsin GOP poll California poll Margie & Patric...
2016-03-24
43 min
The Pollsters
#57i: Nate Cohn with The New York Times/The Upshot
Kristen & Margie are both traveling, but we take time out to talk to Nate Cohn from The New York Times/The Upshot. He tells us about data journalism, data visualization, headline writing, and what's next in his 2016 coverage. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2016-03-21
23 min
Inside Media
Election 2016 Update With Pollsters Margie Omero and Kristen Soltis Anderson
Margie Omero and Kristen Soltis Anderson, co-hosts of “The Pollsters” podcast, discuss campaign 2016 and the rise of political podcasts.
2016-03-19
48 min
The Pollsters
#55: Michi-can or Michi-can't you trust the polls?
Do you need an excuse to watch the new F/X OJ Simpson series? And do you need more yoga, more podcasts, or more women commentary? On all fronts, we got you covered. Michi-can or Michi-can’t trust the polls? The Sanders Michigan upset had a lot of folks doing their usual polling handwringing. But don’t panic! FiveThirtyEight on MI Politico on MI WP on Michigan HP/Pollster on Michigan FiveThirtyEight on Sanders vs. Clinton voters NeverTrump? What can we say about Trump and his supporters? Does he do well because of his hateful language, or despite it? Mornin...
2016-03-10
46 min
The Pollsters
#54: From Super Tuesday To Wacky Wednesday
The Pollsters is now twice a week! You may not be able to stop Donald Trump, but you are able to encourage us to change our format. We’ve gone from Super Tuesday to Walking Dead Wednesday--we’re running on fumes, folks. Sorry! Super Tuesday, Wacky Wednesday NYT has the best way to look at the exit poll data. Pay attention, data viz folks! Dems & GOP. From the Way Back Machine of last week: Bloomberg/Purple primary GOP poll that asked about pope vs. trump. Margie was wrong!! Meanwhile, Melania. And meanwhile, Michigan. Cosmo: Ask A Millennial! Cosmo/Millennial women...
2016-03-02
43 min
The Pollsters
#53: Leaving Las Vegas for March Madness
The polls have closed, and the responses are in: 39% want a longer show that combines interviews with our regular briefing & 52% want a sep show for the interview. and 9% said “fewer interviews, bah humbug!” So--you’ve spoken! And we’re listening. So starting next week we’ll have two episodes a week: one with interviews & one without. Number of the week: Is feminism anti-men. Sadly, some men think so. We’re not anti-men, we want what you got! YouGov on feminism NV in our rear-view mirror. Where to next? Echelon calls SC using IVR. Pollsters get NV right after all. The GOP circus...
2016-02-25
44 min
The Pollsters
#47: It's hot in Iowa! And Scott Keeter from Pew
Thanks for the great shoutouts all over the Internet. Next micro-assignment: tweet us or post on our FB page your polling 101 questions for an evergreen explainer episode we’re working on. We're @thepollsters both on Facebook & Twitter. Poll of the week: Gig this! One fifth of Americans say they’re giggers in some way. Kristen & Margie have their own favorites. Time Magazine Gig poll 2016: It’s getting hot in Iowa! The Dem side in Iowa went from snoozeville to snowplow. What does that mean? You’ll have to listen. Huffington Post/Pollster tracking ARG poll of Dems Quinnipiac IA poll NBC...
2016-01-13
56 min
The Pollsters
#46: Cell phones, Ted Cruz, anger management & New Year's resolutions
Welcome back everyone! Hello Canadian fans! And everyone start looking for Kristen’s new column & web show at The Washington Examiner. Poll of the week: An Extended Pollster Plan Pew will call 75% cells for 2016! This is big news. Pew announcement on cell phones 2016: Cruz draws Trump out of his shell. Democratic field unchanged. How is the Republican primary like Margie’s Christmas vacation? Has Trump hit a ceiling in New Hampshire? Field poll in CA NYT Upshot/Civis poll and analysis Huffington Post/pollsters trend charts Anger Management Esquire, Survey Monkey & NBC partnered for this latest study about the angry e...
2016-01-07
45 min
The Pollsters
#45: A Trump of coal & our interview with Morning Consult
Thanks for all the great feedback, gang! Let's all take next week off, but if you’re desperate for more Pollsters, listen to our interview with Chuck Todd (#39). Poll of the week! May the polls be with you: Just like there is constant Trump polling, there is constant Star Wars polling. That’s as close as Margie’s getting to a movie theater. Star Wars poll on Rotten Tomatoes 2016: With candidates like these, who needs family? Trump gets Trumpier and Trumpier, and the polls find both agreement and embarrassment. People agree with Trump--even on things that don’t exist/PPP CBS/Yo...
2015-12-23
1h 01
The Pollsters
#43: Hi Serial & Star Wars fans! Welcome to our GOP-debate polling holiday gift guide
Thanks for all your hard work with your Micro-assignments! As a result we have been featured next to mega-hit Serial on the pocketcasts app. Hello, Serial-listeners! To celebrate almost being a legit media property Margie has a surprise, but you’ll have to listen to the show. Poll of the week: Star Wars How does one prepare for a major nerd event? With polling, obviously. FiveThirtyEight & Survey Monkey poll on Star Wars 2016 It’s now no longer too early to get excited about the Presidential race. Even Millennials are excited. AP poll on likability Pew poll on excitement of race M...
2015-12-14
43 min
The Pollsters
#42: The Deadliest Trump
Micro-assignment time! Like us on Facebook & share a link to the show on your own feeds. Super-easy! These micro-assignments have really helped us grow the show. Kristen reports from Alaska Is Alaska a hard place to do research? Well, maybe a little easier than when Margie went there 20 years ago. NYT on whether Alaska is hard to poll FiveThirtyEight on Alaska polling Trump & Muslims So Trump’s polling savvy once again is making news, this time as he cites polls for his own extremist policy. But what do the data actually say? Also, Margie enters the Blue Zone. CNN on T...
2015-12-09
45 min
The Pollsters
#39: Chuck Todd's Tough Talk
Thanks for all your hard work on your micro-assignments! We shuffle our papers in salute. Here’s micro-assignment #2: Go to NPR’s Earbud.FM & suggest they add us to their list of recommended shows. It’ll only take 60 seconds! The link is here. And if you take a screen shot and send it to us, we’ll give you a shoutout!. Post-Paris Polling Reuters and others have some early polling suggesting an immediate bump in the salience of terrorism. There is also some fascinating historical polling from the 1930s about accepting refugees. Will this debate fall into traditional fault lines aro...
2015-11-19
1h 12
The Pollsters
#37: Walmart Moms, Kentucky Polls & Christmas Creeps
Lots of exciting stuff coming up for The Pollsters! Our first live show at Georgetown Institute of Politics & Public Service. And we have lots of great interviews teed up for the next few weeks. Make sure you subscribe so you don’t miss the action! The Shark Tank Debate None of the CNBC debate moderators were dubbed “Mr/Ms. Wonderful” after last week’s debate. Rubio, Cruz and maybe Christie surged, Carson and remains strong. But what about Jeb? Huffington Post/YouGov on post-debate reax NBC/WSJ poll WBUR NH pol The Post-Hearing Clinton Surge After the Dem debate and Bengha...
2015-11-05
1h 10
The Pollsters
#36: The scary polling behind Halloween candy
Don’t forget to write us a review on iTunes or Stitcher (or both!). We also have some fun interviews and events in the works. Make sure to keep up with us on Twitter and Facebook (and Kristen and Margie’s Twitter accounts) so you have all the latest. Congrats to the all-lady team at Huffington Post/pollster Go team! 2016, GOP Side: Carson now beats Trump nationally. But which candidate has the steepest slope? And how does Iowa compare to New Hampshire and South Carolina? Most importantly, what does America’s pollster think? Get your pre-debate handicapping here. CBS/YouGov 3...
2015-10-28
51 min
The Pollsters
#35: BIden, Bumps, BFFs & Canadian Reax
Hello new listeners & subscribers! We love feedback, so don’t forget to write a review on iTunes or Stitcher, or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. And our Soundcloud page now has a great archive. More Dem post-game When is a bump a bump? Clinton won the debate, but not every poll shows her gaining in the vote. Globe/WMUR poll in NH Herald/Franklin Pierce NH NBC/Survey Monkey Huff Post/YouGov CNN/ORC WP/ABC poll NBC/WSJ poll Bloomberg Politics/St Anselm/Purple NH poll GOP debate pre-game On the Republican side, many thought Trump’s bubble...
2015-10-22
57 min
The Pollsters
#34: The Democratic debate winner depends on who you ask
The Democrats debated! The press seems unified in who they think won. But voters perhaps say something else? And what are the trends in online polling, and all things Canada? Dem debate post-game Every outlet gives the ribbon to Clinton. But Sanders wins online and in post-debate groups. Fox News/Luntz focus group CNN focus group Sanders gained more twitter followers Sanders gains more google searches Sanders wins Google Consumer Surveys CNN/ORC Nevada & SC polls Trade/TPP Last week Chuck Todd grilled us on TPP and Democrats, but voters don’t seem particularly interested. Trade not a big sear...
2015-10-15
59 min
The Pollsters
#33: Will Joe Show?
The pollsters are everywhere! We crossed paths at the Institute for Politics at St. Anselm’s in New Hampshire. And we’ve been on the new Meet the Press Daily. Margie will be doing some Dem debate coverage at Huffington Post next week. And Kristen will be on the soon-to-be-different Up with Steve Kornacki. Also don’t forget to write a review on iTunes or Stitcher, or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. 2016/Dems: Will Joe Show? Recent polling shows Biden strong in the general--but can he make it out of the primary? New focus groups suggest it’s not neces...
2015-10-08
45 min
The Pollsters
#30: Presidential Candidates: Nice Like Pumpkin Spice
Get ready for an All-American pageant known as a presidential debate. Who has been Pumpkin Spice with everything nice? We discuss. Debate pregame Get ready to tailgate, or homegate, for the latest Republican debate. Where’s Walker? And is there trouble in Trumplandia? Meanwhile, Clinton is feeling the Bern, but is it really about those emails? Monmouth/NH GOP poll Monmouth/NH Dem poll: NYT/CBS Marist/MSNBC/Telemundo poll Gallup trump & religious GOPs CBS news poll on Biden CBS News Poll on GOP & Dem contests YouGov on coup No gotcha questions for pageant contestants If finally a candidate could...
2015-09-16
1h 03
The Pollsters
#29: The sound booth is a Trump-free zone (not really)
Hi new listeners! Last week was our best rated show ever--by a lot! So thanks again to Ann Selzer for a great interview. And welcome! If you haven’t already folks, please write a review on iTunes or on Stitcher--it makes a huge difference as to whether people find us. Or tweet out that you like the show. 2016: We wanted to give a little bit of a break to 2016, with the CNN GOP debate next week, and post-debate polling to cover. But there was so much, we couldn’t help it. Trump and Carson continue to dominate. But Kasich surge...
2015-09-10
59 min
The Pollsters
#27: Back to school!
This week Kristen has some family time and we have a special guest co-host of Kellyanne Conway of the polling company/WomanTrend. Kristen will be back next week. 2016: We revisit four questions about Trump-mania. And get ready for Biden-mania? Is it real? Will it last? What’s behind it? How does it affect the Republican brand? Both Biden and Sanders are doing better in the polls. But does that really mean Clinton is vulnerable? NYT/Upshot/Civis studies Trump Monmouth South Carolina poll Luntz focus group of Trump voters) Pew shows 1/4 unfavorable to both parties 538 on Sanders PPP/New Hamps...
2015-08-27
44 min
The Pollsters
#26: With friends like these, who needs pollsters?
Welcome new subscribers! You came just in time for silly season! 2016 (Dem edition): Some good news for Biden? And are Clinton email stories driving--or simply reflecting--the current climate? CNN on the Dem candidates Fox News poll on Clinton emails Monmouth on Clinton emails Gallup on Biden Quinnipiac 3-state general election poll 2016 (GOP edition): Trump is still the headline, but a clearer picture emerges as to his ability to damage the party. And as Fiorina rises, Walker sinks. Should other candidates adopt Trump-ism on immigration? What about Republican issue stalwarts like labor unions or Planned Parenthood? KSA in The Daily Beast...
2015-08-20
50 min
The Pollsters
#23: Trump-mania
Kristen is on the road and Margie’s still in the closet but we head right into the eye of the Trummania storm. Four questions about Trump polling: is this bump real? (Do the polls reflect real trends?) What’s driving it? Will it last? Is this just a “fling”? What will this do to the GOP brand? Politico: What Trump Bump? NBC/Marist Polls: Iowa NBC/Marist Poll: New Hampshire Bloomberg/Purple: Trump focus group Monmouth Poll: Immigration Nate Silver: Trump Nickelback CNN/ORC poll Gallup: GOP Familiarity/Favorability Huffington Post: Grassroots Activist Republicans Pew: GOP favorability Cuba moves As the...
2015-07-30
55 min
The Pollsters
#22: Trump vs. Sanders (on polling)
This week we’re back in the soundbooth, with special guest Baby Beckett! Also, don’t forget to buy Kristen’s book, The Selfie Vote. What to Trump & Sanders have in common? Most polling continues to show Trump in the lead, or close to it. Even in the aftermath of his McCain comments. On the Democratic side, one poll show Sanders and Clinton doing equally well in the general. Yet neither Trump nor Sanders believe in polling, it seems. We discuss. Monmouth: 2016 Iowa poll WaPo: Trump leads GOP field Gallup: Trump Core Issue Ratings Quinnipiac: Sanders head-to-head with Clinton Huffingt...
2015-07-22
37 min