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Pratik Chougule

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Star Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersKalshi Sports Contracts: Implications for Political BettingJeffrey Pritchard, Legal Director of the Coalition for Political Forecasting, analyzes lawsuits about Kalshi's sports contracts and their implications for prediction markets. Rule3O3 discusses Indian-American gender divides and the impact of childhood grievances on politics. Timestamps 0:11: Chougule introduces segment with Pritchard 1:07: Chougule introduces Rule3O3 segment 1:28: Mamdani victory 2:10: Intro ends 4:10: Pritchard segment begins 4:13: Why Kalshi wants to be regulated under federal law 4:41: State regulation 6:34: CFTC 7:24: State compliance costs 7:43: Kalshi's goal 9:09: Liquidity 2025-08-1244 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersKash Patel's Confirmation, Vivek Ramaswamy's GaffePart 1: Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) makes the bear case on Kash Patel's confirmation odds Part 2: Rule3O3 (@Rule3O3) analyzes Vivek Ramaswamy's H1B gaffe Timestamps 0:00: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) intro 0:46: Pratik's updated odds on Patel's confirmation 2:03: Hegseth's confirmation 3:01: Pratik introduces Ramaswamy segment 5:41: Intro ends 7:42: Patel segment begins 12:19: Patel scandals 15:52: Dr. Cruse's prediction 16:28: Trump's support of Patel 19:42: Alternatives to Patel 22:29: Why Patel different from Hegseth 23:14: Patel segment ends 23:28: Ramaswamy segment begins2025-01-3045 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersThe Bear Case on Pete Hegseth's Confirmation OddsDr. Cruse (@predoctit) argues that Pete Hegseth, Trump's nominee for Secretary of Defense, is much less likely to get confirmed than the current markets prices indicate. Dr. Cruse and Pratik Chougule also discuss the universe of Republican senators who are willing to vote against Trump nominees. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces episode 0:11: Thune whip count on Hegseth 8:05: Intro ends 10:06: Interview with Cruse begins 10:42: Trump nominees' confirmation prospects 11:24: Democratic Senators 12:11: Rubio 15:44: Most controversial nominees 16:27: Hegseth scandals 31:14: Factors in...2025-01-1350 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersTucker Carlson After Fox NewsPart 1: Fred Norris (@PIsFredNorris) declares victory in his side bet with Zoltar (@zoltarssg) on how ratings at Fox News would fare following Tucker Carlson's departure. Part 2: Coalition for Political Forecasting Research Director Mick Bransfield (@mickbransfield) and Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discuss the merits of CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam's opposition to election event contracts. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces Tucker Carlson segment 2:02: Behnam's announcement on event contracts rulemaking 11:36: Tucker Carlson segment begins 11:48: Fred Norris recaps bet with Zoltar 19:30: Fox News ratings after Tucker Carlson 25:21: Tucker Carlson's decline2024-12-1850 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersKalshi v. CFTC: Update and Legal IssuesPratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield discuss why the courts are allowing Kalshi to offer election markets for now, and provide an update on the litigation between Kalshi and the CFTC. Timestamps  0:00: Introduction begins 0:20: 2024 elections and prediction markets 0:31: Victory for Polymarket 1:53: Kalshi legal case 7:09: Interview with Bransfield begins 7:28: Bransfield joins Coalition for Political Forecasting 8:06: District court case 10:37: Gaming 15:45: Jia Cobb's ruling 18:17: DC Circuit appeal 18:30: DC Circuit court judges 30:43: Perception of harm from election contracts2024-11-1043 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersDistrict Judge Rules Against CFTCPratik Chougule summarizes the latest developments in the legal battle between Kalshi and the CFTC on election betting. Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield do a deep dive into the CFTC's arguments in front of DC federal district court Judge Jia Cobb.  Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces segment with Bransfield 1:43: Update on latest in Kalshi-CFTC legal battle 9:34: Bransfield segment begins 11:18: CFTC counsel's poor presentation 20:33: Definition of a contest 21:47: Market manipulation 27:02: Cobb's concerns 27:29: CFTC's arguments about gaming 29:34: Importance of public comments t...2024-09-2341 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersKalshi's Case Against the CFTCPart I: Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield analyze Kalshi's case against the CFTC in federal court Part II: Jared Whitley discusses political trends among Mormons and other high-achieving minority groups Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces Kalshi segment 0:51: Pratik introduces Whitley segment 2:12: Mormon vote in Arizona and Nevada 3:30: Cuban-American vote in Florida 6:23: Segment on Kalshi begins 6:29: Jones Day 9:13: Joshua Sterling 10:50: Yaakov Roth 11:14: Amanda Rice 11:39: Kalshi's gaming argument 14:05: Kalshi's public interest argument 14:45: Lack of expertise...2024-08-3138 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersHow to Comment on the CFTC's Event Contracts ProposalPart I: Pratik Chougule offers his thoughts on what to say in comments to the CFTC on its event contracts proposal. Part II: Mick Bransfield discusses the federal judge who will decide the lawsuit between Kalshi and the CFTC Timestamps 1:40: How to submit a comment to the CFTC 2:57: How to watch the CFTC Open Meeting on YouTube 3:43: What to write to the CFTC 5:38: The CFTC's goal with its event contracts proposal 7:39: What kind of comments will move the needle 12:36: Questions about enforcement in t...2024-08-0842 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersObstacles to Rescheduling MarijuanaPart I: Jared Whitley explains why it will be difficult politically and legally to reschedule marijuana in 2024 Part II: Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield discuss what a Republican president would mean for the regulation of election event contracts Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces marijuana rescheduling segment 2:11: Pratik introduces segment on event contract regulation 3:24: CFTC rulemaking on event contracts 6:46: Interview with Whitley begins 8:14: Referencing Polymarket odds in political analysis 11:12: What does rescheduling marijuana mean? 13:30: Why Biden rescheduled marijuana 17:46: Romney's objections 18:17...2024-07-3049 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersTrump Probably Won't Pick J.D. Vance for VPPart I: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule), Ben Freeman (benwfreeman1), and Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) discuss why Trump is unlikely to select J.D. Vance as VP. Part II: Pratik and Mick Bransfield (@mickbransfield) discuss what comments will favorably influence the CFTC in the ongoing rulemaking on event contracts Part III: Anthony Pickles (@polgambling) provides advice on how to follow the UK elections and maintain an edge in these markets Part IV: Saul Munn (@saulmunn) explains the importance of capital in building the forecasting community Timestamps 0:11: Pratik introduces segment on J.D...2024-07-0146 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersLabour Is Headed for a Landslide VictoryPart I: Professor Anthony Pickles (@polgambling), an expert on political gambling, does a deep dive into Keir Starmer and precisely how many seats Labour and the Conservatives are likely to win in UK's upcoming elections. Part II: Vegas bookmaker Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) explains how professional bettors are driving irrational odds in the VP markets. Part III: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discusses why opponents of election betting have the upper hand in Washington. Timestamps 0:09: Pratik introduces segment on UK elections 2:01: Pratik introduces segment with Alex Chan on VP odds 3:17...2024-06-2645 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersTrump's VP Pick: Qualifications versus Politics3-Part Episode Part I: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule), SSG TItle Belt Champ Ben Freeman (@benwfreeman1), and Title Belt Challenger Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) debate whether or not Trump cares about qualifications in his VP decision, or whether it will come down to politics. Part II: Doug Campbell (@tradeandmoney) analyzes how he won the 2023 Astral Codex Ten forecasting competition. Part III: Saul Munn explains how to organize the forecasting community 0:11: Pratik introduces VP segment 0:26: Pratik introduces Campbell segment 1:05: Pratik introduces Munn segment 4:09: VP segment begins 8:43: 2028 considerations 18:13: Campbell segment begins2024-06-1742 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersHow Trump Will Select His VPPratik Chougule previews Manifest 2024. Ben Freeman (@benwfreeman1) and Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) negotiate a side bet on whether Trump will select Tim Scott, Doug Burgum, or Marco Rubio as his running mate. They discuss how Trump will make the decision and when he'll announce it.  Timestamps 0:09: Pratik introduces segment on Trump VP selection 1:44: Manifest 2024 7:18: Episode on VP nomination begins 7:43: What are SSG Title Belt Championships? 9:37: How Ben Freeman won the SSG Title Belt 11:56: Ben's proposed side bet on Trump's VP selection 13:36: Alex C...2024-06-0641 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersHow Trump Will Select His Running MatePratik Chougule previews Manifest 2024. Ben Freeman (@benwfreeman1) and Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) negotiate a side bet on whether Trump will select Tim Scott, Doug Burgum, or Marco Rubio as his running mate. They discuss how Trump will make the decision and when he'll announce it.  Timestamps 0:09: Pratik introduces segment on Trump VP selection 1:44: Manifest 2024 7:18: Episode on VP nomination begins 7:43: What are SSG Title Belt Championships? 9:37: How Ben Freeman won the SSG Title Belt 11:56: Ben's proposed side bet on Trump's VP selection 13:36: Alex C...2024-06-0515 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersCFTC Cracks Down on Election ContractsThe CFTC has proposed a new rule that would restrict betting on election markets. Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield do a deep dive into the CFTC's deliberations. Timestamps 0:00: Introduction 6:11: Interview with Bransfield begins 8:50: CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam is spending political capital on the issue 10:14: What is rulemaking? 11:24: Behnam's statement 11:48: Concerns about CFTC staff time on election contracts 14:25: Conflict of interest accusations against Kristin Johnson 17:34: Senator Tommy Tuberville's involvement 20:02: Goldsmith-Romero's views 25:13: Mersinger's dissent 27:38: Pham's dissent 2024-06-0349 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersHaley and DeSantis Battle for Second in IowaWhile Trump appears to hold a commanding lead heading in the Iowa caucuses, second place remains uncertain. Ben Freeman challenges The Winner for the SSG title belt on the question of who will perform better in the Iowa caucuses: Ron DeSantis or Nikki Haley. Plus, Pratik Chougule explains the nomination process for the 2024 Golden Modelos. 0:00: Pratik introduces the Iowa caucuses segment 1:38: Pratik explains the nomination process for the 2024 Golden Modelos for Excellence in Political Gambling 4:15: SSG members' only private briefing on Taiwan elections 7:36: Segment on Iowa caucuses...2024-01-1038 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersJoe Biden's Health Concerns Are OverstatedFour Part Episode Part 1: Dr. Lucas (@talophex) on Biden's health Part 2: The Winner (@thewinner2875) and Ben Freeman (@benwfreeman1) on whether Vivek Ramaswamy is worth buying as a hedge Part 3: Mick Bransfield (@mickbransfield) on the CFTC's decision to reject Kalshi's election contracts Part 4: Nathan Young (@nathanpyoung) on religion and prediction markets  Timestamps 5:08: Interview with Lucas begins 6:39: Biden's cognitive decline 8:49: Biden's physical health 10:20: Biden's aneurysms 13:18: Biden's capacity to run a presidential campaign 15:19: Biden's risk of vaccine injury 18:45: H...2023-12-3141 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersA Democratic Frontrunner in the Kentucky Governor's Race3-Part Episode — Keendawg returns to discuss why Andy Beshear, Kentucky's Democratic Governor, is favored for re-election, but why lottos on his Republican challenger might be a good bet — Pratik reports on new evidence that Kalshi was behind the CFTC's enforcement action against Polymarket — MagaVacuum explains how to gain a betting edge while traveling to campaign events Timestamps 4:24: Interview with Keendawg begins 4:40: Keendawg's role in founding Star Spangled Gamblers  7:14: Kentucky colonels 9:42: Who is Andy Beshear and why is he the favorite in the KY governor's race?2023-10-3039 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersInside the Review that Led to Kalshi's Rejection at the CFTCAfter another review with a 30-day public comment period, the CFTC rejected Kalshi's proposal to offer election contracts. Mick Bransfield and Pratik Chougule do a deep dive into the outpouring of public comments that led to the CFTC's decision. 0:00: Introduction begins 2:14: Kalshi's incentives and how they shape its strategy toward political betting regulation 3:46: Kalshi's policy on transparency 5:27: Kalshi's diverging incentives from the political betting community 7:42: How Pratik's assumptions on political betting regulation differ from those of Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour 13:03: Interview with Mick begins 2023-10-2843 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersRichard Hanania Takes on Cancel Culture in the Political Betting CommunityAfter listening to our recent episode about calls in the forecasting community to cancel him, Richard Hanania offered to appear on the show. Richard and Pratik Chougule discuss: — Cancel culture in the rationalist community — The conservative judiciary and how it could legalize prediction markets — The odds of Vivek Ramaswamy and Donald Trump to secure the GOP nomination — Balancing the incentives of being a forecaster and a pundit 3:25: Interview begins 4:14: Richard's new book The Origins of Woke and his association with Vivek Ramaswamy 7:00: Richard responds to those in the forecasting community who want...2023-10-2242 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersShould Richard Hanania Be Canceled from the Political Forecasting Community?Rule3O3 and Pratik Chougule discuss whether the political forecasting community should cancel Richard Hanania in light of his edgy writings on race, sex, and other hot-button issues. Timestamps: 0:53: Jonathan Zubkoff wins the CSPI/Salem Center forecasting tournament 2:58: Manifest conference 5:04: Crime markets on Manifold 6:58: Open invitation to Hanania to appear on SSG 10:23: Who is Hanania? 15:22: Why a cancel attempt on Hanania 19:09: Should Hanania be canceled from the forecasting community? 23:24: Peter Wildeford's criticism 29:03: Aaron Bergman's warning on ideological policing 32:22: Political betting as a solution to political...2023-09-1550 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersHow a Government Shutdown Will Likely Be AvertedIntro: Pratik Chougule  Part I: Jonathan Zubkoff (Zubby Badger) discusses the possibility of a government shutdown and how it will likely be averted Part II: Mick Bransfield discusses the new judge, David Ezra, who will be overseeing the PredictIt case at the district court Part III: Pratik responds to mailbag from Domer on overconfident marks in political betting markets and argues for recruiting experts to participate in prediction markets   1:45: Pratik promotes the Manifest Conference https://www.manifestconference.net/ 5:46: Zubby on the possibility of a government shutdown 2023-09-0741 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersWill a Fragmented Republican Field Save Trump?Intro: Pratik Chougule discusses a recent Manifold meetup he attended and the importance of attending in-person forecasting community events Part 1: Rule3O3 joins the show for the first time to discuss epistemic humility in political betting and how to realize the promise of political prediction markets. Part 2: Ben Freeman and Pratik Chougule continue their conversation on 2024 Republican presidential primary. Ben and Pratik discuss whether a fractured Republican field will save Trump again or whether the electorate will rally around an alternative. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces the two segments 1:12: Manifold and the importance...2023-08-2743 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersPredictIt's Big Win at the Fifth CircuitMick Bransfield and Pratik Chougule do a deep dive into the Fifth Circuit's decision to grant PredictIt a preliminary injunction and what it means for traders as well as the broader political betting community. Bransfield and Chougule also speculate on why PredictIt still isn't rolling out new markets. 4:53: Summary of Fifth Circuit ruling 14:51: CFTC attorneys and their legal strategy against PredictIt 27:19: PredictIt hiring for a DCM 31:21: New markets at PredictIt? 34:20: SSG website down    2023-08-1137 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersHow Bad Will It Get for Ron DeSantis?Gaeten Dugas, Iabvek, and Pratik Chougule debate and place side bets on the question of when Ron DeSantis drop out of the race.  In part II, Pratik addresses a mailbag question on the question of whether prediction markets and political gamblers have failed to disrupt the political discourse. Timestamps: 5:25: PredictIt's victory at the Fifth Circuit 7:12: DeSantis's political future 41:47: Mailbag on prediction market traders who can't explain politics 2023-07-3150 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersAnother CFTC Review of Kalshi's Election MarketsMick Bransfield and Pratik Chougule do a deep dive into Kalshi's latest attempt at the CFTC to offer election markets.   StarSpangledGamblers.com Twitter: @ssgamblers2023-07-061h 02Star Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersWill Trump Show Up to the First Debate? + New Markets on PredictIt and the Future of the European Union— Gaeten Dugas and Pratik Chougule debate their side bet on whether Trump will show up to the first Republican debate in August — Abhi and Pratik discuss whether PredictIt will offer new markets and how to trade on this question on Insight Prediction — Atlantic Sentinel editor Nick Ottens explains how countries can leave the European Union and why the odds of Italy and Poland exiting are very low 2023-06-2252 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersOdds of Trump Leaving the Race + Spain Prime Minister ElectionsIn part 1, Pratik Chougule and Jason Pipkin discuss the odds that Trump will stop running for the Republican nomination for president before the South Carolina primaries. In part 2, Atlantic Sentinel editor Nick Ottens does a deep dive into Spain's July elections and whether Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez can survive as prime minister. Nick and Pratik discuss the odds on BetOnlineAg's next leader out market.  2023-06-1453 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersDeSantis's Weirdness and Why He Is OverpricedPratik Chougule, TheWinner, and MagaVacuum discuss: — Ron DeSantis's weird behavior, why he's overpriced in the betting markets, and how long to hold short shares. — The right price to pay for Tim Scott and other longshot candidates for the Republican nomination. — Side bets and the future of the political gambling community.2023-06-1053 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersBet Against Senator Feinstein Resigning— Pratik Chougule on market manipulation and pump-and-dump schemes in political prediction markets — Gaeten Dugas on why he's betting against California Senator Dianne Feinstein resigning this year — Nic Horton assesses the likelihood of an Arkansan vice presidential nominee, discussing the odds on former Governor Asa Hutchinson, Senator Tom Cotton, and the current Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders — Abhi (@aenews_pi) explains how to profit in Insight Prediction's Russia-Ukraine war markets2023-06-1044 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersThe Right's Problems with Educated Voters— Pratik Chougule analyzes Victoria University's response to the CFTC. — Gaeten Dugas explains why he's making the largest bet of his career on George Santos not resigning from Congress.  — Zeus O'Dea considers why the right is losing educated voters across the western world and whether this reality is being priced in on betting markets.2023-05-2451 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersFox News After Tucker CarlsonPratik Chougule provides an update on the ongoing lawsuit between the CFTC and PredictIt now that the Fifth Circuit has rejected the CFTC's motion to dismiss the case and Victoria University has responded to the agency's questions. Zoltar and Fred Norris debate their side bet on whether Fox News will be able to maintain its primetime ratings after Tucker Carlson's departure.  StarSpangledGamblers.com2023-05-051h 09Star Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersArgentina's Upcoming Presidential ElectionsArgentina's upcoming presidential elections are looking like a volatile and uncertain contest between a number of colorful candidates. Among others: an incumbent with a track record of racist comments overseeing 100%+ inflation, a Harvard Business School grad, and an anarcho-capitalist tantra instructor.  Latin America based financial analyst Ian Bezek returns to the show to assess the odds on Smarkets and how you should trade in the run-up to primaries in August and the general election in October.  In part 2, Casino.org reporter Steve Bittenbender and Pratik Chougule continue to analyze the CFTC's response to PredictIt, including it...2023-04-2052 minStar Spangled GamblersStar Spangled Gamblers2024 Republican Longshots for President + Debt Ceiling Negotiations— Jason Pipkin and Pratik Chougule discuss which longshots for the Republican nomination for president are worth buying — Zubby Badger assesses when Congress and the Biden administration are likely to reach a debt ceiling deal — Casino.org reporter Steve Bittenbender predicts that political gambling deregulation might not happen until the 2028 elections — Zoltar "retires" from political gambling2023-04-1142 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow the Trials of Rodney King and Soon Ja Du Unleashed the Los Angeles Riots of 1992I explain how the legal trials of Rodney King and Soon Ja Du heightened black-Korean tensions and led to the eruption of the Los Angeles race riots in 1992.Most of the audio clips in the recording are from National Geographic's excellent documentary, which is available here: This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2023-02-2744 minThe Brian Nichols ShowThe Brian Nichols Show421: THROWBACK: Foreign Policy Realism -with Pratik Chougule (January, 2020)Pratik Chougule believes we need to be realistic vs. idealistic when talking about foreign policy. This THROWBACK episode brings us to a world where the United States and Iran were facing growing tensions and some in the neocon world to start beating the war drums. Original Show Notes:With commentators proclaiming that World War III is just around the corner due to increasing tensions between the United States and Iran, the United States' foreign policy is at the forefront of the national conversation. With conservative pundits like Ben Shapiro singing the praises...2021-12-2931 minOld BullOld BullPredictIt Live: Senate's Turn To Vote On 1/6 CommissionCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/itkiTPjJA_s&T=2S  Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Today, Gaeten Dugas and Pratik Chougule join Flip Pidot to handicap the Senate vote on the January 6th Commission and brin...2021-05-2000 minOld BullOld BullPredictIt Live - May 18, 2021Check out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1eMA1C11zc  Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by Pratik Chougule from Star Spangled Gamblers. New markets include tomorrow...2021-05-1828 minOld BullOld BullPredictIt Live - May 17, 2021Check out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gM64I7EUA4o&t=22s  Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Paul Krishnamurty, political betting consultant for BetOnlin...2021-05-1745 minOld BullOld BullPredictIt Live - May 14, 2021Check out the video version at https://youtu.be/4xHzIPsRZpA   Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Pratik Chougule from Star Spangled Gamblers and Gaeten Dugas to discuss how to play the Atla...2021-05-1434 minOld BullOld BullPredictIt Live - May 13, 2021Check out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZahkJgv4SFc&t=71s  Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Pratik Chougule from Star Spangled Gamblers and Paul Krishnam...2021-05-1343 minOld BullOld BullPredictIt Live - May 12, 2021Check out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uOu0rCqUjSQ&t=14s  Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  It’s the premiere of PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Pratik Chougule from Star Spangled Gamblers, Robert Mar...2021-05-1246 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Purpose of National Monuments: Pros and ConsThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2021-04-0504 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowInternational Tax HavensThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-1453 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowWho Wins Nobel Prizes in Science?This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-141h 02The Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow INTJs Can Improve Social RelationshipsThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-1409 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowWhy gifted education must happen in the private sectorThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-1407 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule Show3 Questions to Ask Before Writing a BookThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-1405 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow to Find Good Information on Law School AdmissionsThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-1209 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow Printers Are a Productivity Hack for Writers and ResearchersThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0908 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowWhy Email Newsletters Are Still EffectiveThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0803 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow George Bush Stood Up to American FirstThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0819 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow Did George Bush Become President?This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0819 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow George Bush's Legacy on Yugoslavia Encouraged a Decade of American UnilateralismThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0815 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowFactors to Consider in Choosing Citizenship and ResidencyThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0818 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowPerjury and False StatementsThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0716 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowWhy Do People Gossip?This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0707 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowMyers Briggs and Law School AdmissionsThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0722 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowBirth Tourism in the AmericasThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0712 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe "ethnic dimension" in Chinese and U.S. Foreign PolicyThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0712 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowLaw School Admissions Advice for Intuitive PerceiversThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0723 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow to Get Useful Feedback on Your WritingThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0723 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow Open Borders and Tax Flight Can Shrink GovernmentThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0721 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowWhy America Is Turning Against High-Achieving Minority GroupsThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-071h 06The Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowIs Trump Right About the Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan?This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0740 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow Perceptions of Sunni-Shiite Tensions Shaped U.S. Foreign PolicyThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0622 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowWhy Americans Don't Renounce U.S. CitizenshipThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0620 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowPersonality Type and the Trump AdministrationThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0610 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow Should We Judge Political Leaders?This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0624 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowRepublican Elites' "White Supremacy" ProblemThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0613 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow to Write a Book When You Don't Have Enough TimeThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0619 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowWhy Upper Class Professionals Resent BusinesspeopleThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0630 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow to Leverage Writing for SuccessThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0616 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowShould the Nixon Pardon Precedent Apply to Trump?This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0523 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowCollective Responsibility: Thoughts on the Holocaust, Russia, and TrumpThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0534 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowPreservation vs Change OrientationThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0518 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowSimilarities Between Obama and Trump Foreign PoliciesThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0515 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowDid the Soviet Union Commit Genocide?This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0511 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Prosecution of TrumpThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0500 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowPolitical Prediction MarketsThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-051h 13The Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowHow Did the Soviet Union Build a Powerful EmpireThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0507 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowPresident MonroeThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0501 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowCommunists in Post-Soviet RussiaThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0506 minThe Pratik Chougule ShowThe Pratik Chougule ShowGreat Man HistoryThis is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit pratikchougule.substack.com2020-12-0505 minThe Prediction TradeThe Prediction Trade31 for 31: The Best of TPT & VP Debate Recap (#31)Republicans, Democrats, partisans & wingnuts ... There's something for everyone in this special recap episode featuring favorite guests, moments and trades from our last 30 episodes. In the second half of the episode, Star Spangled Gamblers' Pratik Chougule shares his post-VP debate analysis, as well as some trade ideas. TRENDS Our No-Fly Debate Zone Pratik Chougule Predicts a Wave TRADES Florida Blues Longshot, or EC Money? Follow Pratik Chogule on Twitter @pjchougule and hear him regularly on Star Spangled Gamblers   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up fo...2020-10-0931 minThe Prediction TradeThe Prediction TradeBonus Episode: TPT on Old Bull TVTPT's Jeff Joseph moderates a prediction market-focused panel consisting of former guests Derek Phillips and Jason Pipkin as well as Pratik Chougule. Jeff asks the panelists about their trading philosophies, tactics and insights into specific markets on the PredictIt platform. This segment originally aired during hour four of American Civics Exchange and Old Bull TV's 2020 Political Prediction Conference on April 24. Special thanks to Old Bull TV's Flip Pidot for letting us share this segment of the conference on TPT. Check out Flip's show on YouTube or Apple Podcasts by searching for "Old Bull."   The Political Trade is brought to you b...2020-05-151h 00The Brian Nichols ShowThe Brian Nichols Show97: Rethinking American Foreign Policy/War with Iran? with Pratik ChouguleWith commentators proclaiming that World War III is just around the corner due to increasing tensions between the United States and Iran, the United States' foreign policy is at the forefront of the national conversation. With conservative pundits like Ben Shapiro singing the praises of President Trump's more hawkish approach to the increasing tensions with Iran (which Shapiro has seemingly toned down in recent days), I thought it would be a great opportunity to have a former self-described "neocon" who ended up becoming a "foreign policy realist" on the show to discuss their own personal growth and change of mindset.2020-01-1031 minThe Brian Nichols ShowThe Brian Nichols Show97: Rethinking American Foreign Policy/War with Iran? with Pratik Chougule With commentators proclaiming that World War III is just around the corner due to increasing tensions between the United States and Iran, the United States' foreign policy is at the forefront of the national conversation. With conservative pundits like Ben Shapiro singing the praises of President Trump's more hawkish approach to the increasing tensions with Iran (which Shapiro has seemingly toned down in recent days), I thought it would be a great opportunity to have a former self-described "neocon" who ended up becoming a "foreign policy realist" on the show to discuss their own personal growth and change of...2020-01-1031 minBro HistoryBro HistoryNeoconservatism with Pratik ChougulePratik Chougule shares his journey of transformation from neoconservative to foreign policy realist. Pratik was the managing editor of The National Interest. He previously served as policy coordinator on the presidential campaigns of Mr. Donald Trump and Governor Mike Huckabee. From 2008-2009, Chougule was a Bush Administration appointee at the State Department in the Office of the Under Secretary for Arms Control and International Security.Support Bro History on Patreon ▸ https://www.patreon.com/brohistoryEpisode #117 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/ad...2019-10-311h 34Star Spangled GamblersStar Spangled GamblersElection 2018: The End of DaysHost Alex Keeney chats with Bush White House veteran and former American Conservative editor Pratik Chougule about the best bets and tightest races left in the 2018 midterms.2018-11-0240 minSchool for Startups RadioSchool for Startups RadioSeptember 5, 2017 M&A Guru Katharine Halpin, How the Rich are Different Pratik Chougule and MeltiSeptember 5, 2017 M&A Guru Katharine Halpin, How the Rich are Different Pratik Chougule and Melting Point Dr. Christian Marcolli2017-09-0554 minFearless Parent RadioFearless Parent RadioFearless Parent - 08.23.17#105 — What is Transhumanism? ** August 23, 2017 Guest // Zoltan Istvan ** Host // Pratik Chougule, JD  Look around and you’ll see humanity not just engaged with technology but integrated in ways that are unexpected, sophisticated, fascinating, and for many of us, fundamentally alarming. There’s a nostalgia for the simplicity of the pre-internet past… for the time that my teenage kids call “ye olden days.” It’s pretty clear, however, that we aren’t stuffing tech back into the box anytime soon. And humanity is beset with all sorts of problems. Development of these technologies is accelerating and impacting human intel...2017-08-2857 minPlayGroundingPlayGroundingIs the Lack of Free Play Endangering our Democracy?Free play, also known as child-directed play, is becoming more and more restricted for American kids. We’ve talked on PlayGrounding many times about the importance of free play, how it’s where many children first encounter risk and freedom. It’s where they first begin to encounter “otherness,” where they find ways to work together with kids of various ages and backgrounds in an undefined arena. Play helps us cope in the realm of personal relationships, helps us develop innovative minds and healthy bodies. But today we’re taking a step back from the benefits of play to us a...2017-07-1449 minFearless Parent RadioFearless Parent RadioFearless Parent - Free Speech Controversy at US Elite Universities - 04.12.17Free speech is the right to articulate one’s opinion without fear of retaliation or censorship or societal sanction. The First Amendment of the US Constitution states: “Congress shall make no law… abridging freedom of speech.” Universities have traditionally been a place where burgeoning, radical, heated ideas are first expressed and take hold. Student activism has given rise to important political, economic, and social change. Think civil rights and the Vietnam era protests, for example. It’s not news for self-righteous students to express such vehement certainty that they are not interested in hearing other perspectives...2017-04-1358 minFearless Parent RadioFearless Parent RadioFearless Parent - The Politics of a Vaccine Safety Commission - 02.22.17The Politics of a Vaccine Safety Commission ** February 21, 2017 Guest // Pratik Chougule, JD ** Hosts // Robert J. Krakow, Esq and Louise Kuo Habakus Is it a good idea to convene a presidential vaccine safety commission? We just finished reading a cogent, probing, and well-researched article: “Why the Kennedy-DeNiro Vaccine Challenge Matters” whose author says, “Yes.” Pratik Chougule, JD, executive editor of The American Conservative, eschews the usual trashing of advocates who challenge the government’s vaccine safety program. Curious about this compelling voice emerging from the fray of naysayers, we were eager to hear more from Pratik. Some...2017-02-2257 minLiberty Talk RadioLiberty Talk RadioFrom Neocon to Realist with Pratik ChouguleMr. Chougule has been recruited by TAC, effective February 6th, as on of two executive editors.  He comes from The National Interest, where he was managing editor.  Pratik's former commitment to the neoconservative creed, he will share with us his intellectual journey from neocon to foreign-policy realist.2017-02-0900 min