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Tom Brownlee

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The BashCastThe BashCastBashCast 222 – Why don’t I walk a mile in my own shoes?Agenda: [00:01:57] - Tom walks a couple of miles in the freezing cold before realising he’s forgotten his shoes [00:16:20] - Europa edges on FCSB vs Man United, goals across the games and a review of PSV vs Liverpool [00:35:03] - Tom discusses a long losing run to start 2025 [00:41:36] - A review of the market performance for goals, corners,player cards and shots on target [00:52:49] - And some value and bets in this years 2025 Six Nations  #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net Find out...2025-01-301h 06Behind The Lines - Presented by inplayLIVEBehind The Lines - Presented by inplayLIVEHere's What It's like to Bash The Books! With Tom Brownlee - Episode 90This week, Pace and Shane chat with a punter from across the pond in the UK - Tom Brownlee, the founder of a +EV betting service called Bookie Bashing. They do a deep dive into some of Tom's stories from a career in the industry. From suing sports books to the usual stories of getting limited, odds being changed after the fact and the perennial grind of getting paid, they cover it all. Also later on - looking ahead to the next week of NCAA and NFL football, and the inplayLIVE Advent Calendar Challenge!Check out Tom's...2024-12-111h 10The BashCastThe BashCastBashCast 221 - Dog walking, litter picking and American gamblingAgenda: [00:02:05] - Tom takes his dog for a walk and gets in a confrontation with a lady [00:20:15] - Changing times at bookiebashing [00:27:06] - A champions league mistake with Young Boys v Atalanta that lands and a review of the First Goalscorer calculation [00:43:07] - A first goal scorer edge in Crvena Zvedvedaveda [00:47:16] - The Circasports Survivor contest in Nevaga #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.co...2024-11-281h 00The BashCastThe BashCastBashCast 220 - Discretionary Service Scam[00:02:00] - Tom goes to see Moby and calls for an end to the scam that is discretionary services charges at restaurants [00:22:50] - Explaining the concept of normalisation in data organisation and how it can be applied to betting for an edge [00:39:34] - A deep dive into the inter-relationships between Team Most Shots on Target and Team to Win and whether there is a decent bet on Stoke vs Hull tonight #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet2024-09-2054 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 219 - Zombies, Surfing and Mushroom PizzaAgenda: [00:02:00] - Look out, because Tom is back from the summer break and has switched on the projector to recount tales of surfing, zombies and mushroom pizza [00:20:56] - We look further back to the SmartBash 2024 and review the positives, the negatives and a request for a couple to get in touch [00:37:12] - The Gambling Reform Summit has taken place in Westminster this September, has any apparent value come from it? [00:53:14] - We finish with a look at a heater that has started off Toms Autumn Season of betting. #bettingat100.1andabove 2024-09-121h 15The Mobile Hunter PodcastThe Mobile Hunter PodcastA Mobile Hunter Expo Exclusive: Understanding Scent: What Every Whitetail Hunter MUST KNOW With Tom BrownleeToday on episode 183 of the Podcast we are bringing you a seminar from Tom Brownlee at The Mobile Hunters Expo! Tom goes over everything that you would hope for in how a deer's sense of smell helps them survive. He takes questions and gives solid information on how to help yourself in the Whitetail woods this fall.Take time to visit our sponsors!Satties LLC - Click ⁠HERE!⁠ Get your information for the Mobile Hunters Expo HERE!We would love to hear your thoughts on this...2024-07-051h 04The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 218 - Environmental Services cannot find usAgenda: [00:02:02] - Tom finds out Environmental Services are after him [00:08:05] - 2024 Smart Betting Club Awards - The BashCast is back [00:22:52] - More bad behaviour on Social Media - Fanwave Digital, Badmanbetting, Racing Blogger and Pro Sports Advice [00:56:08] - Is the Gambling Commission investigation into insider betting on the election a waste of time? #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tomb...2024-06-271h 18The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 217 - At least we know we're aliveAgenda: [00:01:54] - We discuss the long-short paradox of time and how it applies to betting [00:10:50] - Tom figures out he can still bet on Eurovision after he knows the result, but should he? [00:20:13] - An exchange edge on the 8 place market in golf that everyone can play in [00:33:18] - The good and the bad from the goalscorer betting worlds as Tom gets Lucky [00:46:29] - And we finish with a look at the charlatans at the Guardian and the anything-but Charlatans at the SmartBash #bettingat100.1andabove   Want t...2024-05-1657 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 216 -The Wrong SvenssonAgenda: [00:02:30] Tom goes to Disneyland, finds it has the lowest ROI of anything in the world [00:15:48] My Gambling history – where I started ,how I met some syndicates, why Duncan started bookiebashing in my kitchen and whether we can speak from any position of authority [00:46:14] SmartBash 2024 – tickets are selling fast, we have some big names that will be announced soon, big panels and bigger discussions planed at the UKs premier punter focussed networking event [01:02:01] Udinese v Bologna -= an example of where huge equite in a game where big value bets don’t mean nothing to the overall profit/loss p...2024-05-011h 52The BashCastThe BashCast215 - A SmartBash 2024 AnnouncementAgenda: [00:01:55] - Toms answers a question from a Pinnacle Odds Compiler over M25 roadworks [00:15:36] - Jesse May and Ronan join us for a sneaky peak chat about Smart Bash 2024 (in association with Matchbook) this summer – and this time, everyone is invited to the party [00:30:32] - A profit loss review for Toms gambling in shops and on exchanges in February and March [00:49:58] - Cheltenham Festival Wrap Up [01:06:05] - Is over 3.5 the new over 2.5? What is going on with premiership goals this season Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net...2024-03-231h 18The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 214 - Cheltenham 2024, winners, losers, loser tipsters, addicts and the GCFAgenda: [00:01:40] - Tom quits drinking only to be disappointed in the entire human race [00:10:10] - Cheltenham festival is round the corner - we look at tipsters, who you can trust and who you cannot trust [00:35:27] - A shift in liquiidty at the exchanges as Matchbook, Betdaq and Smarkets catch ground on Betfair [00:48:54] - Abbie MacGregor and Andrew Woodman off of the Gamblers Consumer Forum join us to discuss last weeks debate on affordability checks in gambling at Parliament Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net #bettingat100.1...2024-03-081h 39The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 213 - Scamwave Digital and superusersAgenda: [00:01:40] - Tom recounts the time when he caused the meltdown of the cloakroom ticketing system at the Zanzibar nightclub in 1996. [00:15:10] - We revisit @AndryRobsonTips after the last BashCast and have more information about the origins of these tweets. [00:41:00] - We break down some of the mathematics of the enhanced specials at betdaq to show how to find value with or without a bookiebashing subscription. [00:58:11] - New scandals are breaking in the online poker world [01:21:35] - Tales of Duncan of Yore - Part 2 Want to send an email to the mailbag...2024-01-271h 26The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 212 -  The Morals and Maths of Twitter TipstersAgenda:   [00:01:55] - Toms Xmas Dinner ends up on the kitchen floor [00:09:03] - An in depth review of the mathematics and morals of @AndyRobsonTips [00:51:27] - Pricing Luke Littler in the PDC World Championships [01:12:47] - Exchange edges and a partnership with Betdaq [01:35:28] - A looks at my first shop bets of the year and has anything changed in the models for 2024? [01:54:00] - Tales of Duncan of Yore - a new feature on the BashCast   Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net2024-01-131h 57Fight In ProgressFight In ProgressEpisode 153: Young Ladies of Our Future - Katrina Brownlee Welcome to Fight in Progress! Our guest today has a remarkable story! We are honored to be joined by Katrina Brownlee. She is a domestic violence survivor, who after being shot 10 times, decided to work in law enforcement. After retiring as a New York City Police Officer, she founded a nonprofit called Young Ladies of Our Future which aims to inspire, educate, mentor, and empower at-risk young ladies by building character and influencing positive thinking in their lives and those around them. She is also in the process of getting her book published, "And Then Came the...2023-12-061h 05The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 211 - You Think That All Your Time Is UsedAgenda:   A single topic BashCast as Tom discusses our thoughts on a competitor releasing identical, copycat trackers to those found at bookiebashing. Are we being played, who is doing the playing, do we need to worry, can we predict the future and exactly where can we find a Black Friday deal on 37 identical plain white polo shirts that are one size too small.   #bettingat100.1andabove2023-11-171h 42The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 209 - A Race Riot and the ThorpedoAgenda: [00:01:59] - Tom donates some money from a Mudryk win and recounts a story when he nearly caused a racial riot [00:13:08] - A Ryder Cup summary, a few decent edges and angles and a missed opportunity [00:34:57] - Betfred have a new Hotshots coupon in shops, how to calculate the value in a team to have the most goals on a Champions League evening [00:52:10] - New Bookiebashing member Hussain joins us to share with us some $$$ success stories from his first few months value betting [01:08:45] - The Gambling Commission send an extraordinary letter to...2023-10-041h 32The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 208 - A Charlatan Challenging What Others Think is Possible.Agenda: [00:01:46] - Tom gets into trouble with an exotic bird over the summer holidays [00:21:00] - The Rugby World Cup – modelling points with a negative binomial probability, Fijian value + the xPlayerTries model [00:39:19] - Thrill Seeker. Disrupter. Charlatan - a copycat challenges what others think is possible by copying our horse racing tracker. We explain why it doesn’t have much chance [01:11:23] - And Aaron Rodgers achilles heel seems to be voided prop bets. #bettingat100.1andabove  2023-09-201h 21The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 207 - The £1500 Jaeger Bomb and a new best friendAgenda:   [00:01:58] - Tom recaps the Smart-Bash event, the positives, the negatives, the-EV blackjack and the Jaeger Bombs that cost £1500 [00:33:04] - The Womens World Cup is underway – what edges are we looking at and given the goals in 2019 will it be overs and overs and overs and overs? [00:49:17] -We have an email segment – some praise, some trolls, feedback from the BTC segment in the last BashCast and a technical question around Closing Line Value [01:21:20] - And some words of honesty ahead of the school summer holiday break as Tom goes on the hunt for a new best friend. All of that and mo...2023-07-201h 29The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 206 - p-Values and BeerAgenda: [00:02:20] - Tom heads to a poker tournament looking for back to back victories [00:23:20] - Golf betting on the exchange - Pete from SBC joins us to discuss his strategies and fantasy golf betting [00:53:00] - Twitter - an Icy tweet is negative, Tom comments on it [01:00:30] - New tools released at bookiebashing this summer [01:08:00] - Shots Fired - p-values and edges is there an edge at this trading community or is it smoke and mirrors? What is going on?  #bettingat100.1andabove2023-06-301h 42The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 205 - Coconut Crispy Shots on TargetAgenda: [00:02:11] - Tom fails to find panko breadcrumbs during a camping trip [00:16:15] - Golf betting – a pointless exercise into working out which players have the lowest and the highest ROI [00:32:11] - Horse racing – multiple wins to talk about - five figures and a six figures [00:52:17] - Hey Jude – mega value with Bellingham and how we can use seemingly useless palps to find value in other areas [01:01:16] - Shots on Target – A review of all historical lines between 2020 and 2023 and analysis of where bookmakers place bias within their over/under margins in player stats. #bettingat100.1andabove2023-06-101h 25The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 204 - Whats the ROI of your mother?Agenda: [00:02:00] - Tom goes to Portugal, sees naked people and gets diagnosed with ADHD [00:06:52] - The unfortunate tale of a messy wedding, a headbutt and a stolen coat [00:14:39] -  Bet histories – football p/l, Ireland vs France and where the player xG normalisation edges really exist [00:41:42] - Steamers – are they an edge? Two contradictory analyses and a new bookiebashing tool [00:59:12] - The story of the hole in one betting coup   #bettingat100.1andabove2023-04-211h 14The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 203 - The Universal Theory of the Unreturned Shopping TrolleyAgenda: [00:02:06] - Parent Child parking at Morrisons and the theory of the unreturned shopping Trolley [00:12:40] - Tom takes a short trip to Aleppo in Syria [00:25:35] - Cheltenham festival - a day to day breakdown and review of the performance of the BB Racing Tracker [00:54:05] - We only sing when we're winning - so how has golf been in 2023? [01:10:10] - DDHH - a 12 month, 560 bet review of ROI and swinginess [01:23:50] - The professional betting GOAT and an insight into a game changing blackjack strategy #bettingat100.1andabove 2023-03-241h 51The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 201 - The Devil is in Charge of 2023Agenda: [00:02:17} Toms Xmas Dinner – what he got right, what he got wrong and how everybody let him down [00:09:41]PDC World Championships – who’s in charge? Me or the devil. Correct score markets, 180s, session bets and two different betting datasets, a losing one and a winning one [00:32:22] Continuation of the Player xG side project, we talk APIs for team news, first Goalscorer EV on the exchanges, the normalisation of data and the difficulties both with modelling scorecast and monitoring ROI [00:45:22} Combobets blog mistake – Tom cocks up a combobets blog review then goes out on the piss. An explanation of those...2023-01-132h 10The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 200 - World Cup of Actually That Wasn’t a PenAgenda:   [00:02:00] Tom reviews his shop and exchange p/l after betting on all 64 World Cup Matches [00:23:05] Golf Results 2022 - A year in review - is it time to ditch the DP World Tour? [00:41:00] PDC Darts World Championships [00:50:54] Shots on Target - A bet history in the negative   #bettingat100.1 and above2022-12-211h 08The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 199 -The World Cup of Awarded PenaltiesAgenda:   [00:02:06] Tom gets kicked by a 17 year old, goes to the pub then breaks a rib [00:11:20] The golf model hits an extreme bout of positive variance but should we give up on the DP World Tour? [00:29:27] England v Iran aftertiming summary - Jude Bellingham, Taremi 2+, Kane Shot on Target [00:34:15] Tom goes through why he thinks Awarded Penalty is a bet at 6/4 in any game [00:41:57] Who to look out for for First Goalscorers   #bettingat100.1 and above2022-11-2352 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast 197 - The Devil You Know is Better Than the One You Don’tAgenda:   [02:10] - Tom has had enough and switched off the news [14:44] - Horse racing - estimating ROI with the +EV Lucky 15 lottery tickets [28:15] - The golf hits a high variance period, but the "almost" wins are stacking up [41:30] - Review of the coupons Aug-Sep and reports of a 24,000/1 tester bet landing [51:44] - An empirical analysis to estimate underdisposition in the frequency of player braces and hattricks [1:17:42} - J4o vs 78s - the poker world is rocked by a cheating scandal   #bettingat100.1andabove2022-10-101h 57The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 196 - Solve for Y is o3.5 odds against?Agenda: 2:20 - Tom goes surfing and meets campsite Hitler 27:30 - Should over 3.5 goals be odds on with xG of 3.54? 40:00 - Big Horse Racing win and why recorded ROI is higher than expected ROI 56:00 - Twitch clamp down on gambling 1:20:30 - Draftkings get stung on an early payout promotion in the NFL 1:29:40 - Player xG - lineup enhancements and confidence questions 1:55:00 - How to deal with losing runs #bettingat100.1andabove 2022-09-222h 05The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 195 - 101s for show 140s for dough--Reuploaded due to technical issues-- Warning: Tom hasn't placed a bet since the previous episode. Listen at your own risk. Agenda: Tom recalls a Welsh Odyssey from a hot summer on the road Is Poisson is suitable model for estimating Shots on Target? A real world history using Mo Salah Site Stability, expectations and compensation A history of Vegas Dave - should we have included him on an article about gamblers? Tom react to the Social Media comments following the Betting People interviews #bettingat100.1andabove2022-09-102h 08The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 195 - 101s for show 140s for doughWarning: Tom has not placed a bet since the last BashCast. Proceed at your own auditory risk.   Agenda: Tom recalls a Welsh Odyssey from a hot summer on the road Is Poisson is suitable model for estimating Shots on Target? A real world history using Mo Salah Site Stability, expectations and compensation A history of Vegas Dave - should we have included him on an article about gamblers? Tom react to the Social Media comments following the Betting People interviews #bettingat100.1andabove2022-09-092h 08#BettingPeople#BettingPeopleTom Brownlee #BettingPeople podcast#BettingPeople: TOM BROWNLEE: Odds modelling Professional punter Tom Brownlee discusses how he uses logic to beat the bookmakers, in four parts. Meeting Tom Brownlee with Simon Nott. 2022-07-2152 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 194 - Handicap SpotAgenda:   Tom suffers a warm up injury ahead of Mindless Wanderers v Wychbold Old Boys Charity match Bookiebashing support system gets a revamp New model – Handicaps tool England Women v Switzerland Women – is the lack of confidence in modelling a good thing or a bad thing? Tom wins a $7.50 1,068 person heads up hyper turbo bounty tournament for $1,360 in bounties whilst babysitting   #bettingat100.1andabove2022-06-301h 09The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 193 - Blissful ignorance Agenda: Tom goes camping and doesn't know he hit a winner in the golf for days Tom meets a group of 6-a-side lads discussing their terrible recreational mug bets on the PGA, doesn't know what to say Bookiebashing Charity 7-a-side to be held on the 24th June: https://www.justgiving.com/crowdfunding/mindless-wanderers-ukraine-fundraising 20 DDHH bets at 90% ROI to review Both Bologna and Verona score in each half with outrageous value on the shop coupons Why NatWest want to kill babies   #bettingat100.1andabove2022-06-101h 20The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 192 - Charity is a coat you wear twice a yearAgenda: Tom goes to turkey and gets annoyed by British tourists and then scammed The SBC Betting Awards:T Pete Ling joins us for a chat Golf betting: why you can't trust anybody Double Delight Hattrick Heaven: how to calculate the EV Why you're a prick: Part 4 #bettingat100.1andabove2022-05-051h 32The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 191 - CraftKings and Augusta Agenda: Tom experiences a -EV trip to HobbyCraft after flirting with a 75 year old A BookieBashing subscriber hits the largest win of his betting career FTSIncome hold a networking event in Manchester and we were invited to join them The art of Edge Identification – 5 different types of Edge in Sports Advantage Play US Masters preview – Metrics, each way betting, to win, first round leader and Fantasy Draft Golf selections   #bettingat100.1andabove2022-04-061h 10The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 189 - Lucky 15s, Headbutts and FGSAgenda Tom gets headbutted by a three year old Tom gets threatened by a guy in a polo shirt Tom gets threatened outside a club in a skiing resort Nathan from OddsHawk joins us to discuss the Oddshawk API feed for horse racing - available to all Are multiples better than singles? What is the best multiple? Value betting First Goalscorer on the exchange   #bettingat100.1andabove2022-03-121h 13The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 188 - Chilli Margaritas and Problem GamblingAgenda Problem gambling and restrictions Tom orders 3 chilli margaritas in Bali Malaysian businessman sues Aspinalls for £3.9 million Stephen Chidwick is better at poker than you are   #BettingAt100.1AndAbove2022-02-251h 30The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast episode 187 - Several Standard DeviantsAgenda: 1. Tom is fed up with the all the new gambling prohibition groups that have cropped up 2. A trip to Simply Red involves a -EV experience with a tout 3. The Player xG model evolves, goes backwards, but makes money regardless 4. Bet365 enter the boosts market, value around for those providing liquidity to the arbys 5. Win both Halves celebrates its 1,000th bet birthday so we look at ROI and potential improvements 6. Something quite extraordinary happens across the last 7 golf tournaments   Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net   #BettingAt100.1AndAbove        2022-02-181h 24The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 186 - A Brief History of BashingAgenda After 2.5 years Tom is wearing glasses again, and has a disaster on Day 1 Coronavirus hits the team A history of BookieBashing and a timelines of tools and trackers How we create an edge in Shots on Target bets both at bookmaker and on exchange Bankroll Management - an analysis of Unit Loss, Unit Win and Kelly staking plans on real life betting histories Why You're A Prick returns #Bettingat100.1andabove2022-01-281h 44The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 183 - Probably the most annoying opening podcast audio of all time Agenda Tom wins the Selly Oak Shield for the first time in history Success on the #WhatOddsPaddys in the World Cup Qualifiers and why we should be looking forward to these games Ireland vs New Zealand Portugal vs Serbia Three different concepts for managing runners - the Orwellian, Thatcherite and Marxist forms of managing a gambling team 180s and 170s in the PDC World Championship 2022    2021-12-101h 21The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 180 - I Fought the Law & the Law of Entropy WonAgenda   Tom is involved in a near car crash and loses his cool Busting a bankroll - it happens to the best of us RIP Great Sports Offers Experimental Coupons - on the search for value in new markets Patterns in randomness and the horse racing tracker ROI Why You're a Prick Returns   Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net2021-10-261h 24The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 179 - Keeping The British End UpThis weeks agenda Tom discusses his weekend from hell Mistakes in betting - accuracy vs volume 0 letters in the mailbag. Please send any praise, questions, critique or money to tom@bookiebashing.net An insane tweet and a need for an Institute amongst gamblers The next Bond - an update! 2021-10-011h 05The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 178  - Gaius Appuleius DioclesThis weeks agenda Cristiano Ronaldo returns to the Premiership - we discuss options for modelling Player xG and AGS prices, and a huge exchange price on the Newcastle match The flip side of golf - a downswing in results recently. 2 letters in the mailbag. Please send any praise, questions, critique or money to tom@bookiebashing.net NFL Half TIme Points   betting@100.1andabove2021-09-161h 25The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 177 - Calm people live, drunk people cry.This weeks agenda: 1. Wolves vs Man Utd - wolves are dominant 2. Super Sunday - low volume, high variance in August 3. Tom is furious with a £3k Lucky 15 winner 4. Toms wifes drunk friend turns up at a wedding 5. Two golf winners on the same day 6. Mailbag + a discussion of Discord as a communication platform 7. Betting football coupons for profit  8. Salerntina vs Roma in Serie A #bettingat100.1andabove   2021-08-291h 26The Smart Betting Club PodcastThe Smart Betting Club PodcastBetting Clever - Episode 2 with Tom BrownleeThe latest in our new 'Betting Clever' series, which discusses topics of interest from a winning bettor perspective with a variety of informed guests.In this episode, SBC Editor, Pete is joined by professional bettor and advantage player, Tom Brownlee to discuss all things football betting as the new season across Europe has just begun. We get into the part that football plays in our betting and some of the leagues, markets and angles used by Tom to try and make an profitable edge. In the 2nd part of the episode, we delve into the u...2021-08-271h 06The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 176 - A National ServiceThis weeks Agenda A history of golf at the Olympics Korean Military Service Imitation is the most sincerest form of flattery Glorious Goodwood and Favourite Friday   #bettingat100.1andabove2021-07-3059 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 175 - William Hill LitigationThis weeks Agenda Freedom day arrives, but has anything changed? A new bet tracker to be unveiled at bookiebashing capable of tracking a heap more live lines William Hill Court Case - BookieBashers ? - William Hill ? Reasons why you're a pick   #bettingat100.1andabove2021-07-221h 13The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 174 - Ooooh yes sirThis weeks Agenda A recap of FGS steamer hunting in Week 1 of the Euros Quick betting at Ascot, and another Lucky 15 a horses whisker away from a quarter million Another winner in the golf - we look at Variance and ask are we running hot, and if so by how much? Yes Sir I can boogie All night long #bettingat100.1andabove2021-06-1844 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 173 - Euros 2021 PreviewAgenda 9th June 2021   Wizard of Odds Tweets out a each way betting exam challenge Each way betting on horse racing Each way betting on golf Euros 2020 Preview Segment Angry man Joey Knish gets restricted by Barstools supports A class action lawsuit from gamblers vs PayPal Upcoming sport #betting at 100.1 and above#2021-06-091h 27The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 172 – Your Mother is a Tropical CycloneThe BashCast returns with a fresh look   Agenda 28th May 2021   The Stamford Experiments + Toms local landlady Golf Singles, Doubles and Cink+Catlin land on the same day DDHH with Joelinton Shop Coupons – 500/1 clean sweep Lucky 15s; we miss out on £218,000 by a single place Tom gets into an altercation with an elderly man in a car park and has to run away Cryptocurrencies – volatility, Elon Musk and legitimacy as an investment strategy #betting at 100.1 and above#2021-05-281h 20The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 171 - I want to know ZalatorisA short recap of the 2021 Masters and then we look at the performance of Lucky 15s on the horse racing tracker - both my recent form and an independent viewpoint. After the break; Matchbook behaving like arses, and arbers behaving like arses. Is there any point to them? Is there any point to any of this? Hate it or love it just bet at 100.1 and above. 2021-04-161h 20The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 170 - Anytime Goalscorer SteamThis week we chat about steams and drifts in the AGS market and how Tom is using this to explore possible edges in a Player xG model. This is followed by a brief chat about the shops reopening next week. After the break - a judgement in the Betfred Casino case, and a US Sportsbettor has funds confiscated by William Hill. #bettingat100.1andabove 2021-04-111h 16The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 169 - A bread and butter betrayalThis week we are flying solo as we chat about golf, different applications of betting on golf, matchplay golf, golf golf golf, and poker. Betting at 100.1 and above. 2021-04-0156 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 168 - Matthew Wiley - Golflandia Podcast and co-founder of Greensquare GolfThis week we are joined by Matthew Wiley (twitter: @wiley77) -  creator of the Golflandia Podcast and co-founder of the Greensquare Golf service for some big golf chat. Also a review of the evolution of the Game Centre tool and a look at the favourite / underdog performance in the EPL this season.  #bettingat100.1andabove 2021-03-261h 19The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 167 - Anthony Kaminskas, ex-head of greyhounds at Paddy PowerThe BashCast returns for the first episode of 2021 after a lockdown break. We review the fun that was lockdown, a reduction in action in European football games and a hat-trick on the golf. After the break (45:45) the ex-head of greyhound racing Anthony Kaminskas (BigT) joins the BashCast for a chat about his time at Paddy Power and some of the strategies he is looking at as a professional punter. 2021-03-121h 35The Smart Betting Club PodcastThe Smart Betting Club PodcastPaul Chandler-Burns and Tom BrownleeA special horse racing episode featuring interviews with 2 professional punters, Paul Chandler-Burns and Tom Brownlee on their unique winning strategies on the sport. In Part 1, Paul outlines his superb strategy based on the Racing Post Pricewise tipster, Tom Segal, which helps filter his selections and bet in a smoother, more targeted fashion for steadier profits. In Part 2, Tom shares the details on his fantastic racing tracker tool and how when used in conjunction with a Lucky 15 strategy it has been making substantial profits across several bookmakers. Discussed in this podcastPart 1: Paul Cha...2021-02-1041 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 166 - Stop Me We Need to Talk About the YourOddsHe went around the bushes and put his arse in the hedge.   We forgot to include the WhatOddsPaddy segment last week. So we called an Emergency BashCast before Santa arrived.   Looking at Week 1 of the darts, not being concerned about being down at this point, WOPs, YOs, PYPs and RABs. After the break - two opinion pieces; (1) The Gambling Commissions call for Evidence - is it a farce? and (2) What 2020 Advantage Play Venn Diagram look like? #bettingat100.1andabove2020-12-241h 23The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 165 - A Cameo From Kolo and Yaya ToureWe look towards the PDC World Darts Championships at the Ally Pally on Tuesday with a review of the darts betting from 2020. We then look back to a ROBBERY that occurred in last weeks PGA and European Tour events. After the break - the gambling act is set for reform and we discuss Discord and xmas sporting calendar.  #betting@ #100.1 #andabove   2020-12-131h 22The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 164 - You Can Leave Your HattOnThis week we drive through Augusta National and then cruise over a trilogy of unfortunate events, with a quick flyover on Ollie Watkins recent form for Villa and the Game Centre. After sailing through the break - there is more to this Betfred Casino story than we first discussed - but should he be paid out? And a random number generator teleports us onto the last topic, all on a US Masters wine fuelled afternoon evening. Betting at 100.1. And Above. 2020-11-121h 12The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 163 I can't do it for youOn Episode 163 we talk horse racing and why you can't beat it as an regular, repeatable earner. Some AGS edges and Garcia and Laird bring home a double on the PGA. After the break - Betfred refuse a payout of £1.7m to a casino player. #bettingat100.1andabove 2020-10-161h 19The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 163 - Yabba Gubba DooThis week on the BashCast; did you ever just ditch the format for a chat with an old pal? We discuss Casinos, DDHH, the greatest Sweet Harmony song and hockey Olympians taking the piss #bettingat100.1andabove 2020-09-201h 21The Smart Betting Club PodcastThe Smart Betting Club PodcastTom BrownleeAn interview with Tom Brownlee of the Bookie Bashing service on his professional betting output.Discussed in this podcast:Tom's journey from playing poker to professional bettingThe Bookie Bashing service and how this operatesHis unique approach to betting in person in bookmaker shopsWhy many punters overlook 'shops betting' and his advice on how to make this payThe edge to be made using certain bookmaker markets and some of his biggest ever winsHis service's unique approach to golf betting and the ups and downs along the wayThe strategies and tactics he employs to counter the challenges that...2020-09-1148 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 162 Just one Last Heist for Old Times SakeThis week we talk new features and tools at BB, the lack of money to be made in events like the Champions League Final, the largest Online Poker hand of all time and we are SICK to the BACK teeth of WILLIAM HILL reneging on bets.   2020-09-101h 06The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 161 =poissont.dist(x,mean)In this episode we chat to guest and professional good guy Pete from the Smart Betting Club.   Additionally covered this week - modelling the occurrence of penalty shootouts in the Champions League and GG Poker banning winning players.    #bettingat100.1andabove2020-08-141h 12The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 160 - Crispy Chilli BeefA chilli beef story, a story about bankroll management, a story about a door closing and a story about another opening. The youth are talking again, and the WSOP brand is burning.   #bettingat100.1andabove2020-07-311h 19The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 159 - If you smoke like I smoke you'll be high every dayThe European Tour returns with the Austrian Open and our man Marc Warren G brings some success. We recap the first few weeks of shop football coupons results and then in the second half discuss the possible reasons behind Genting Casinos decision to close three UK casinos #bettingat100.1andabove 2020-07-171h 01The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 158 - Cool as a McCucumberThe BashCast is officially the greatest resource for Tyler McCucumber puns this side of the Atlantic. We discuss driving accuracy, shots on target, the 1929 US open and shysters in the anti-gambling brigade. 2020-06-261h 12The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 157 - Simple ChaosAfter another month of lockdown Tom still hasn't placed any bets - so no sports betting content in this Bashcast. Instead we discuss lockdown life, the Flutter merger and the Bad Boys of the NBA - the Detroit Pistons of the early 90s. After the break an obituary for Tony Lewis, and game theory discussion of Scissors Paper Stone. #bettingat100.1andabove 2020-05-081h 19The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 156 - The Nash Equilibirum in stockpilingThere is no sports betting chat this week, don’t even @ me. Instead I talk about my lockdown life so far, isolating after a week away, the farce that is data reporting in the UK, and game theory in stockpiling and why we shouldn’t be upset at hoarders. After the break we look at another poker players prob bet, a Swedish 8th division friendly and the Phil Ivey Baccarat story is to be made into a movie #bettingat100.1andabove 2020-04-111h 19The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 155 - Everybodies Dead, DaveDave everybody is dead. Everybody. Is. Dead. Dave. This week we talk about the universal least-favourite Pandemic of the decade - COV-19. 2020-03-1947 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 154 - There Is No Finish LineThis week we look at a months worth of golf results and look at the performance of favourites and underdogs in the top four divisions of English football this season. A look to Cheltenham next week as I discuss my plan of attack and after the break - will the zombie apocalypse put a dampener on sports events in 2020. #bettingat100.1andabove 2020-03-061h 03The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 153 - Le Pays Que Je Veux FaireLucas Herbert wins this weeks European Tour for a hattrick to start of 2020. We discuss Lucky 15s in shops and how to ensure we’re getting the correct price, and the Win both Halves angle that could exist. After the break we look forward to the six nations and backwards to the life of the giant Kobe Bryant and a possible betting angle. #bettingat100.1andabove 2020-01-301h 07The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 152 - Prohibition in the 20sHappy New Year 20s BashCats, hope you’re sweet as a nut, a bloody hazelnut nut nut. This first week of the 20s we discuss Lee Westwood + his long overdue success, William Hill squeezing offers as predicted and some new edges on football Coupons. After the break - is the gambling industry going be held accountable for all of societies woes, and what is the hardest achievement in sports?  2020-01-231h 14The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 151 - Stand up if you’re sitting down**Full Disclaimer. The elves swapped Toms sparkling water for a bottle of red wine, and there may be an 18 second silent pause at the 3 minute mark due to some poor editing standards. Please feel free to use this pause for a period of reflection and self improvement.** It may be the Xmas season but its not quite time to move like Jaeger. Kevin De Bruyne chooses an excellent time to get his first brace for Manchester City. Are William Hill squeezing the great offers to death? After the break we offer up 12 predictions to look out for...2019-12-1954 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 150 - 8 miles out and 6 feet deepFun Fact. The term 86’d comes from an old Las Vegas adage that if you were caught imbibing in Advantage Play in the mobster-run casinos of the 1950s then you would be driven 8 miles out and 6 feet deep. I forgot to mention that on the Podcast so here it is in the summary. Also on the BashCast we break down a silly William Hill Great Offer, look at Novembers hot and cold betting streaks and explain the variance involved in getting to £15k profit by the 20th. After the break we discuss topless poker dealers, and actually get round to...2019-11-211h 04The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 149 - Requestabet rehabilitationAfter a big of a break we return with a sum up of the Bashcast Rugby World Cup profit, a lot at 4 more weeks on the PGA tour, and William Hill Shops introduce some new bet types with crazy good equity. After the break we discuss rehabilitation at Skybet, and talk about two big stories going on in the poker world with Mike Postle doing the stealing and Daniel Negreanu robbed. #bettingat100.1 and above 2019-11-101h 17The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 148 - Do filthy EW bots dream of electric sheep?Genoa vs Inter Milan turns in to one of the most extraordinary games of the season. Kevin Na wins the PGA event, and after the break we discuss whether filthy EW bots are legitimate tool for gambling. #Bettingat100.1and higher 2019-10-1152 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 147 - Oh Yes, We got ImThis week we look at the PGA event from the weekend and the success of Sebastian Munoz. The first round of Rugby World Cup matches finish with success in a 1.01 lay but with that the most brutal of losses in England vs USA. After the break we discuss if the upcoming middleweight boxing bout is going to be overshadowed by KSI and Logan Paul, and could the Dolphins go 0-16? #bettingat100.1andabove 2019-09-2759 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 146 - Rugby World Cup 2019This week in a BashCast special we are joined by resident International Rugby expert James Owen as we get through 20 teams, 4 groups and 1 bottle of montepulciano #100.1andabove 2019-09-101h 11The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 145 - Did you get Im?Celebrating Rory McIlroys success  in the Tour Championship. MoPlay are the next bookmaker to offer outrageous boosts that do not seem sustainable. DDHH review over 2019 and changes to the early payouts at Bet365 limits the value there. In the news we look at Borgatas decision to come after Phil Ivey winnings and the WSOP and whether this affected his play, and part (2) of a look at advantage play in Australia - a review of a couple of online casinos over there. #thisisBig  2019-08-301h 03The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 144 - Sir, this is a Wendys3 DDHHs in 3 weeks - but the final one results in a very early contender for Villain of the Season. We discuss Virtual Cartoon Horses and an attempt at Skybet to modernise with use markets. Yeah right. To be modern is to find ourselves in an environment that promises us adventure, power, joy, growth, transformation of ourselves and the world - and at the same time that threatens to destroy everything we have, everything we know, everything we are.  #thisisBig2019-08-221h 00The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 143 - It Ain't no Good if You’re in the JungleThis week on the BashCast we look at a week of outrageous EV from some William Hill shop bets - some of which raise quite interesting bankroll staking questions. Tom goes into talking about profiting from “x winners from y events” type bets, primarily for the bants. In the news a punter loses out on £200k from Betfred by filling in a bets lip wrong, and we look forward to the Rugby World Cup and look at where we might expect to find value. #thisisBig 2019-07-2555 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 142 - They don’t like it up emIn tonights episode we discuss the EV of parking at the Coventry Ricoh Arena, an update on the Golf Model, bookies stop taking bets on Frankie Dettori multiples, and Wimbledon throws up a few value bets. After the break there is a couple of notable disqualifications in the World Series of Poker Main Event, someone drops their trousers, and William Hill close shops on the High Street. They don’t like it up’em. #thisisBig 2019-07-071h 42The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 141 - Draw bias on Frankie Dettoris Magic 7This week we look at a William Hill shop bet from Tuesday - but exactly when does Tuesday end? Fav-longshot bias gets modelled into the trop price tracker on the site, Personalised bets model continues to evolve an improve and Tom discusses the hot streak he has been on them. Nektan VIP for life take a surprising 180 turn. After the break we look at the James Bond next actor market again, and the bet365 19 year old student case draws to an unpalatable close. #thisisBig 2019-06-201h 10The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 140 - Putt for show and drive for dough Version 2This we discuss why we're looking more in depth at personalised #YourOdds style bets, and look in to the expected tools developments over the summer. Hopefully this time Tom uploads the right file #thisisBig 2019-06-0850 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 139 - A great untapped waterfall of value (shop special)This week we are joined by Loose Cannon who talks through his experiences of getting on in shops, getting on with staff members and not coming across as a jerky jerk who gets PTL'd on his first bet. #thisisBig 2019-05-2457 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 138 - Put the gun down, and get me a pack of Tropical Fruit BubbliciousTom returns after a break - we look at the last couple of nights Champions League matches, a new options model and a new Golf Model that is currently being trialled in Beta mode on bookiebashing. After the break there is controversy at the Kentucky Derby, and we revisit a “3 for 1” Ladbrokes Coupon from 2016 that had misprinted all the prices #thisisBig 2019-05-0954 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 137 - Big game at the safari park tonightThis week Tom discusses the Coyotes vs Kings in the NHL and the differences between US and UK sport. The Grand National apparently resulted in a 1/4 billion losses for the bookmakers, apparently, but is that a crock. Value Mugs results Jan-April 2019 - they haven’t been pretty. The US Masters gets under way and we discuss how we found value in that. After the break a story of bitcoin losses and a warning about finding correlation without causation #thisisBig 2019-04-111h 55The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 136 - Everything in this world is magic except for the magicianTom gets scammed by some scammers, so tries to do some investigatory work live on the BashCast. Coral palping bets, again, that aren’t even out of line. Tom makes a mistake with a reverse forecast value bet, gets lambasted on the forums. The World Golf Championship present a new edge for us through identifying value in the places. After the break we look at more slots with potential seeding positions in positive equity to the player and discuss the taxable implications of professional advantage play in the UK. 2019-03-281h 52The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 135 - Suicide, space other spurious correlationsThis evening we discuss spurious correlations, dead or alive 2, and the Euro 2020 qualifying campaign with some seriously good bets at Fred and William Hill, neither of which came in. After the break there is a panel at MIT discussing whether sportsbooks ban winning players with a less than open representative from WH and we finish with a second editorial about the changes going on at bookiebashing recently. #thisisBig 2019-03-221h 39The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 134 - Greed is a little bit more than enoughThree weeks off - we're back without an agenda. Winging it off the cuff Tom discussed a Cheltenham review that wasn't worth it (neither the review, nor Cheltenham). A story of some slot advantage players from New Jersey breaking the Magic Ocean slot, and an opinion piece on the current goings on at BookieBashing.net, both negative and postivie. #thisisBig 2019-03-171h 42The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 133 - Close only counts with horseshoes and hand grenadesThis week we discuss a double double delight hat-trick heaven, a William Hill manager who did not take kindly to me and repercussions of the Phil Ivey case and how that relates to this. After the break there is chaos in a Super Bowl prop bet, the Aussie Millions finish with a damp squib, WH blames the high street on lower profits and a short look ahead as to what to expect, and not expect, at Cheltenham. #thisisBig 2019-02-221h 23The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 132 - This horse flu could be a ‘mareThis week Tom gets into a fight (that was rather pathetic). We look at the horse racing news that broke over the day, and discuss the start of the six nations tournament as the NFL season comes to a close. After the break we look at the Worst 5 bets of all time, are William Hill scamming people with their concession prices in shop, Ladbrokes staff are instructed to make shop customers sign up online and we take a blast from the past as we look at a 2007 thread about silly matched bettors thinking they’ve hit a goldmine by du...2019-02-071h 27The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 131 - Freddie Dunning KrugerThis week we look at positive expectation strategies at Toms local car dealership. Ronaldo misses a penalty that costs him and us quite a bit of bankroll. A thin weekend both for results and value in the fourth round of FA Cup leads to a discussion of the Dunning Kruger theory. After the break we discuss we discuss the WSOP schedule for the summer and quickly touch on one of the greatest sporting events of all time - the Hell in the Cell match from 1998. #thisiBig 2019-01-311h 11The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 130 - Bill and Freds excellent adventureThis week we run through the Smart Betting Club nominations, review the Australian Open; tipsters vs Bookie Bashing, Eibar steam in on Monday night and BasherTom has some Beef on Social Media. After the break we look at any edges in the NFL Super Bowl coin toss, fishiness in the timing of an Oddschecker article on Gareth Southgate and look forward to the 4th round of the FA Cup. #thisisBig 2019-01-241h 18The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 129 - Jesus and the WolvesThis week we focus more on the losses and the wins as Januarys value mugs make the winter blue blueier. Jesus becomes FGS value against the Wanderers, and we look at the Aussie Open but has Murray retired too soon? How do you behave in shops, risk profiling, Austin FC and drones are then discussed in depth, live and only on the BashCast. #thisisBig 2019-01-171h 29The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 128 - Eden Hazardous MaterialA Hazzy New Year from the BashCast. Tom takes you through his miserable Christmas holiday, bah humbug. On the betting front 2019 gets off to the perfect start on the FA Cup with numerous 4 and 5 figure profit reports on the forums as a lot of outsiders come in, and we explain the concept of the strategy behind betting on smart money. Eden Hazard provides a double festive delight and we hit an 18/1 HF/FT in the NFL. After the break we break down a $100,000 isolation prop bet between two poker players, a man attempts to steal a $10m lottery ticket...2019-01-101h 31The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 127 - It’ll be Alright on the NightMerry Christmas from the BashCast. This week I discuss a -EV strategy as Santa, then we look at steamers in the Champions League and some huge prices coming in on the coupons. William Hill continue to offer a billion places in a horse race each Saturday, and the PDC is off and running without the BashCast tip for the tournament. After the break we return to Vayo vs Pokerstars, the McCann case, and the bastardisation of Advantage Play. #thisisBig 2018-12-201h 16The BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 126 - The Paradox of Loss AversionThis week on the BashCast - game theory in car parking, Super Saturday hits on the weekend and a losing ticket is paid out as a winner - but the moral quandry is would you cash it out? The answer is, maybe, in the theory of loss aversion. After the break we discuss the PDC World Championships. 2018-12-1450 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 125 - A Pierre-Emerick SpecialJust why is Aubameyang so decent value so much of the time? It's a Pierre Emerick Special. #thisisBig 2018-12-0752 minThe BashCastThe BashCastThe BashCast Episode 124 - A really Futile and Stoopid gestureWe go deep into the principles of a new era of value - and break down the equity available on this edge over the weekend. William Hill continue to offer crazy places, so I’m going to have to cover the field. Arbers are jumping over this lay to lose guarantee strategy, but is it a good idea? Bet365 are the latest UK sports book to align with a USA casino and we discuss an edge on roulette in brick and mortar casinos. #thisisBig 2018-11-291h 10