Shows
Padres Hot Tub[PATRON ONLY PREVIEW] Padres 2025 ZiPS Projections w/ Raphie!Let's try something new! Raphie shares his screen as he reviews the finer details about Dan Szymborski's 2025 ZiPS projections. This is a patron-only exclusive.Want to get the show early, ad-free, with access to multiple bonus podcasts and our treasured Padres Hot Tub discord? Become a patron! patreon.com/padreshottub
2025-01-3003 min
Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #27: Dylan CeasePads Above Replacement awakens from its slumber because AJ Preller demanded more episdoes, apparently. Hosts John Precoda and Raphie Cantor go in-depth on the newest Padre and potentially their new ace, Dylan Cease.Cease's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-cease/18525/stats?position=PBecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PHT/PAR Discord and get the show ad-free! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/ydoBYwHkHG8
2024-03-1853 minPadres Hot TubYou Think It's Bad Now?Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor switch things up and talk on a Friday about the San Diego Padres and their lackluster offseason -- Josh Hader is now mercifully out of the NL, Chris Reed gathered some interesting stats on why a first time manager could portend well for the Padres, and finally Raphie leads Craig and Chris through a quiz show which puts in perspective just how awful the Padres were in the 2010s decade.Become a patron for as low as $5/month to join the PHT Discord, get access to PHT Fantasy leagues, and join...
2024-01-221h 00Padres Hot TubPADS ABOVE REPLACEMENT: The 2024 BullpenPads Above Replacement makes its occasional reemergence from hibernation to chat about the Padres 2024 bullpen. Hosts John Precoda and Raphie Cantor go in-depth on the mistakes the team made under Bob Melvin, and what holes still exist for Mike Shildt and Ruben Niebla's arm barn as they look ahead to Peoria.Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/jx9YoGDzngABecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our community and chat with Raphie and John on the PAR Discord channel. patreon.com/padreshottub
2024-01-191h 26Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #26: The Padres 2024 BullpenPads Above Replacement makes its occasional reemergence from hibernation to chat about the Padres 2024 bullpen. Hosts John Precoda and Raphie Cantor go in-depth on the mistakes the team made under Bob Melvin, and what holes still exist for Mike Shildt and Ruben Niebla's arm barn as they look ahead to Peoria.Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/jx9YoGDzngA
2024-01-191h 26Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #25: The Juan Soto Trade Deep DiveRaphie Cantor and John Precoda are back! (for now) The PAR boys emerged from their winter hibernation to break down the Juan Soto Trade from a value standpoint and get into the finer analytics details of the players coming back to San Diego.Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PHT Discord and our exclusive PAR chat! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/hBBCwkbQjvI
2023-12-111h 15Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #24: The Closing Window MythRaphie Cantor and John Precoda are back with some spicy stat-driven takes! John has something to say to all those fans who think the window closes at the end of 2024. This discussion includes deeper dives into WAR projections, playoff fields, farm system correlation to success, payroll, and more.Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/CvIGTFJOMHc Join the PHT Patreon to support the show and join the PAR Discord: patreon.com/padreshottub
2023-10-1944 minPadres Hot TubSix Games That Sank the SeasonWith Chris Reed away for the week on business, Craig Elsten and Raphie Cantor take their place on the Wall as the Long Night of the offseason begins. As the Padres world remains quiet while the rest of baseball finishes out the season, Craig and Raphie break down the six most meaningful losses of the season. Had any two of these games gone the other way, the Padres would have been playing October baseball.Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PHT Discord community and weather the offseason with other diehard Padre fans!
2023-10-111h 22Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #23: How to Run Out of PitchingIn Episode 23 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda dive DEEP into the nerdy numbers behind what causes teams like the Padres to run out of pitching, and John has a new benchmark rule for quality that the Padres should be striving for.Watch the show on Youtube! https://youtu.be/uA2PF3UrJPkBecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to get access to the PAR Discord at patreon.com/padreshottub
2023-09-1139 min
The Amplify OT PodcastEp 34: Doing Your Due Diligence as a Licensed OT Practitioner with Raphie WagnerDoing Your Due Diligence as a Licensed OT Practitioner with Raphie WagnerYou hear me preach on the podcast all the time about doing your due diligence in order to protect your license. We’re going to drive this point home in today’s episode as our guest, Raphie Wagner learned firsthand the consequences of not doing her due diligence as an OT. That’s why this week on The Amplify OT Podcast, I am talking about doing your due diligence as a licensed OT practitioner. Join the Amplify OT MembershipAs a...
2023-09-051h 07Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #22: To Tank or Not to Tank?In Episode 22 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda break down the terrible choice the Padres must grapple with for the remainder of the 2023 season. They break down how the Padres should go about doing it, the value to be gained/lost, and why the Padres may have ended up here in the first place.Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to get exclusive perks and join the PAR Discord! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on Youtube! https://youtu.be/_STYkCnn9d4
2023-09-0441 minPads Above ReplacementEpisode #21: Manny MachadoIn Episode 21 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda get back to their PAR roots and dive into a long awaited player-specific episode -- Manny Machado. What makes Manny Manny at the plate? And to what degree is his future linked to the Padres?Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR discord and get other great member perks! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on Youtube: https://youtu.be/PN0oDWS2KR0
2023-08-2859 minPads Above ReplacementEpisode #20: Pitchers - Projections vs. RealityIn Episode 20 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their pitchers have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Opposing hitters hate this ONE trick!Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Ttn7JoKpl4TMT4nT-T2gHqqNewh-zeYJ/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=112991917124570452661&rtpof=true&sd=trueWatch the show on Youtube: https://youtu.be/3tThJhUKt9gBecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord and...
2023-08-211h 13Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #19: Hitters - Projections vs. RealityIn Episode 19 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their hitters have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Let's get nerdy with it!Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tts7omwGuCjIX6WGZEMimLrM-bJus0qv/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=112991917124570452661&rtpof=true&sd=trueWatch the show on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j6VNTPfT6FQBecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR...
2023-08-141h 17Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #18: 2023 Trade Deadline ReviewRaphie Cantor and John Precoda are back -- the results are in, and the Padres chose to buy instead of sell. Raphie and John break down the three trades AJ Preller and Co. made on Deadline Day and what they mean for the Padres in the short and long term.Watch the show and subscribe on YouTube! https://youtu.be/y2b60T-3nA8Become a patron to join our Discord and chat with other statheads like you! patreon.com/padreshottub
2023-08-071h 18Padres Hot TubPADS ABOVE REPLACEMENT: 2023 Trade Deadline ReviewRaphie Cantor and John Precoda are back -- the results are in, and the Padres chose to buy instead of sell. Raphie and John break down the three trades AJ Preller and Co. made on Deadline Day and what they mean for the Padres in the short and long term.Watch the show and subscribe on YouTube! https://youtu.be/y2b60T-3nA8Become a patron to join our Discord and chat with other statheads like you! patreon.com/padreshottub
2023-08-071h 18Padres Hot TubPADS ABOVE REPLACEMENT: AJ Preller's Trade Deadline ReviewIn episode 17 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John are back from a honeymoon break to revisit AJ Preller's trade deadlines as GM of the Padres -- how did those trades add up at the time with the information we had? How did they pan out? Strap in, because this one is a doozy.Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/04qov_dfg9YIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
2023-07-241h 46Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #17: AJ Preller's Trade Deadline ReviewIn episode 17 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John are back from a honeymoon break to revisit AJ Preller's trade deadlines as GM of the Padres -- how did those trades add up at the time with the information we had? How did they pan out? Strap in, because this one is a doozy.Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/04qov_dfg9YBecome a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord channel. patreon.com/padreshottub...
2023-07-241h 46Padres Hot TubPADS ABOVE REPLACEMENT: AJ Preller's Draft Report CardIn episode 16 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a fine-tooth comb through each of AJ Preller's drafts from 2015-2022. How did he do at the time? How did those players pan out, either for the Padres or other teams? How did they stack up against the Dodgers?Become a patron to join the PAR Discord channel -- patreon.com/padreshottub Watch the show on YouTube! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3WhclWu7yEIntro song: "Destination" by Anitek
2023-07-031h 15Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #16: AJ Preller's Draft Report CardIn episode 16 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a fine-tooth comb through each of AJ Preller's drafts from 2015-2022. How did he do at the time? How did those players pan out, either for the Padres or other teams? How did they stack up against the Dodgers?Become a patron to join the PAR Discord channel -- patreon.com/padreshottub Watch the show on YouTube! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3WhclWu7yEIntro song: "Destination" by Anitek
2023-07-031h 15Padres Hot TubPADS ABOVE REPLACEMENT: 2019 Nats, 2021 Braves, 2023 Padres...?In episode 15 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John investigate the theory put forth by some Padres fans that the team is on the same trajectory as the 2019 Washington Nationals and 2021 Atlanta Braves -- two eventual World Series champions who had slow starts to their campaigns.Watch the show on YouTube! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5jUOjvFpwsIBecome a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottubIntro song: "Destination" by...
2023-06-261h 00Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #15: 2019 Nats, 2021 Braves, 2023 Padres...?In episode 15 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John investigate the theory put forth by some Padres fans that the team is on the same trajectory as the 2019 Washington Nationals and 2021 Atlanta Braves -- two eventual World Series champions who had slow starts to their campaigns.Watch the show on YouTube! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5jUOjvFpwsIBecome a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottubIntro song: "Destination" by...
2023-06-261h 00Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #14: The Bullpen EpisodeIn episode 14 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John break down the Padres bullpen -- a group that's had an elite first half of 2023, but not in the way you think. Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/CD_3BMmPIqwIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
2023-06-1953 minPadres Hot TubPAR - Bullpen Episode_mixdownIn episode 14 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John break down the Padres bullpen -- a group that's had an elite first half of 2023, but not in the way you think. Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/CD_3BMmPIqwIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
2023-06-1953 minPadres Hot TubPADS ABOVE REPLACEMENT: Lineup ConstructionIn episode 13 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a look at lineup and roster construction -- what are the basics and how have the Padres fared in relation to what we know about modern analytics?Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/vrLFkAe9WlgFangraphs Article on Lineup Construction: https://community.fangraphs.com/a-lineup-construction-experiment/
2023-06-1254 minPads Above ReplacementEpisode #13: Lineup ConstructionIn episode 13 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a look at lineup and roster construction -- what are the basics and how have the Padres fared in relation to what we know about modern analytics?Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/vrLFkAe9WlgFangraphs Article on Lineup Construction: https://community.fangraphs.com/a-lineup-construction-experiment/
2023-06-1254 minPadres Hot TubPADS ABOVE REPLACEMENT: Pitching State of the UnionIn episode 12 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, the State of the Union is strong -- for Padres pitching at least. Raphie and John dive into where things stand now, what the rotation and 'pen might look like in years-to-come, before finishing with a discussion of Padres pitching coach Ruben Niebla (and how we will one day interview him).Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement Discord! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data...
2023-06-051h 14Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #12: Pitching State of the UnionIn episode 12 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, the State of the Union is strong -- for Padres pitching at least. Raphie and John dive into where things stand now, what the rotation and 'pen might look like in years-to-come, before finishing with a discussion of Padres pitching coach Ruben Niebla (and how we will one day interview him).Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement Discord! patreon.com/padreshottubWatch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data...
2023-06-051h 14Pads Above ReplacementEpisode #11: May ReviewEpisode 11 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, reviews the Padres in May -- an experiment in extremes with league-best pitching and defense -- and league-worst offense.Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/RcS2lPMjuXE Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement Discord channel! patreon.com/padreshottubIntro song: "Destination" by AnitekHosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
2023-05-291h 05Padres Hot TubGROUP THERAPY: J'adore Odor!Craig, Chris, and Raphie chat with a late-night crowd of PHT patrons as Rougned Odor plays hero once more and the Padres salvage a series win in our nation's capital against the Nationals to snap a streak of five straight series losses.Become a patron for as low as $5/month to participate in Group Therapy shows like this one!Hosted by Craig Elsten and Chris ReedProduced by Raphie Cantor
2023-05-2641 minPadres Hot TubPADS ABOVE REPLACEMENT: wOBA and wRC+ Explained!Summer School continues on Pads Above Replacement as Raphie Cantor and John Precoda break down two closely related stats that comprise much of modern offensive analysis - weighted On Base Average (wOBA) and weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+). Whether your name is Blake Snell or not, you should tune in!Become a patron for as low as $5/month to join the Pads Above Replacement Discord!Watch and subscribe to the show on YouTube!Check out Fangraphs' explanation on wOBA and wRC+, which are referenced a lot in this episode:https...
2023-05-2520 minPads Above ReplacementSummer School: wOBA and wRC+ Explained!Summer School continues on Pads Above Replacement as Raphie Cantor and John Precoda break down two closely related stats that comprise much of modern offensive analysis - weighted On Base Average (wOBA) and weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+). Whether your name is Blake Snell or not, you should tune in!Become a patron for as low as $5/month to join the Pads Above Replacement Discord!Watch and subscribe to the show on YouTube!Check out Fangraphs' explanation on wOBA and wRC+, which are referenced a lot in this episode:https...
2023-05-2520 minPadres Hot TubThere's a RISP in the MatrixCraig Elsten, Chris Reed, and producer Raphie Cantor gather to talk about your San Diego Padres who have lost five straight series while hitting at a historically awful clip -- what's the cause? How can we fix it? Plus -- how has performance through 47 games predicted end-of-year performance? What would it take for the Padres to make the playoffs this season?Become a patron for as low as $5/month to get the show ad-free!Subscribe to the show on YouTube! Hosted by Craig Elsten and Chris ReedProduced by Raphie Cantor
2023-05-231h 37Padres Hot TubPADS ABOVE REPLACEMENT: WAR Explained!On this very special episode of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie and John launch a new series called "Summer School" to break down baseball's most important stats. First up is the perhaps the most important stat in the sabermetric era -- Wins Above Replacement (WAR). What is it good for? Absolutely everything!Watch and subscribe to the show on YouTube!Check out Fangraphs' explanation on WAR, which is referenced a lot in this episode: https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/war/Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
2023-05-2233 minPads Above ReplacementSUMMER SCHOOL: WAR Explained!On this very special episode of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie and John launch a new series called "Summer School" to break down baseball's most important stats. First up is the perhaps the most important stat in the sabermetric era -- Wins Above Replacement (WAR). What is it good for? Absolutely everything!Become a patron for as low as $5/monthWatch and subscribe to the show on YouTube!Check out Fangraphs' explanation on WAR, which is referenced a lot in this episode: https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/war/Hosted by...
2023-05-2233 minPads Above ReplacementEpisode #10: Blake SnellEpisode 10 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Blake Snell -- the Padres starting pitcher with the greatest stuff this side of the Mississippi, but questionable control and evolving pitches which will dictate the next season and beyond for the southpaw.Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! Be sure to like and subscribe while thereBlake Snell's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/blake-snell/13543/stats?position=PBlake Snell's Baseball Savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player...
2023-05-151h 04