Shows
Stock TalkingJeffrey Kamys Part 2: Sports Betting & Gaming Q1 Earnings and Industry UpdateJeffrey Kamys returns to discuss Q1 earnings, with updates on DKNG, PENN, MGM, BALY and more. We dive into Bally's potential tender offer after rejecting Standard Chartered's $38 per share and the company's transition to being more software-oriented after acquiring Gamesys. Jeffrey overviews opportunities in sports gambling content provider Gambling.com (GAMB) and Australian gambling conglomerate Tabcorp, including a potential divestiture of its lottery business in the near-term. Jeffrey walks through whether we could see sports betting becoming legal in California by Q1 2023.
Check out the IBET ETF here https://www.inherentwealthfund.com/etf/ibet and J...2022-05-1258 minStock TalkingJeffrey Kamys: Sports Gambling and IBETMy guest today is Jeffrey Kamys, Chief Investment and Portfolio Manager at Baseline Investments and Inherent Wealth Fund, where he manages the iBET Sports Betting & Gaming ETF (IBET). Jeffrey walks through the current landscape in sports betting in the US today and what the path to legalization looks like. I get Jeffrey's takes on disparities in valuations in sports gambling, including discounts in European companies (FLTR), brick and mortar casinos (BYD) and gaming picks-and-shovels names (ex. SGMS, EVO). Jeffrey discusses how customer acquisition costs and strategies to acquire growth are changing, and why sports gambling as a whole can...2022-03-251h 18Stock TalkingJ Mintzmyer: Shipping, Capital Allocation and the CycleMy guest today is J Mintzmyer, Head of Research at Value Investor's Edge and my favorite follow on all things shipping. J discusses where he thinks we are in the shipping cycle and how he gauges risk / reward based on company-specific and industry-specific factors. J uses this risk / reward framework to talk through International Seaways (INSF), Scorpio Tankers (STNG), Danaos (DAC) and more. I get J's thoughts on opportunities in container leasing and why he thinks Textainer (TGH) has higher upside than Triton (TRTN). We close by discussing one of J's newer positions - Diamondback Energy (FANG) - and...2022-03-151h 04Stock TalkingTwebs: Finding Non-Economic Sellers, Limited Downside and High UpsideMy guest today is Twebs (https://twitter.com/twebs). Twebs writes The Asymmetry Infantry (https://twebs.substack.com/) and is host of Single Stock Spaces (RSS feed: https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/487271/private/05bd0330-8d56-4df0-8ad3-9051293c432a.rss). He spent 15+ years on the buy side and chats with me on lessons learned there, specifically on what good research looks like. We discuss Twebs' Double Dog Index (https://twebs.substack.com/p/introducing-the-double-dog-index) and important differences around capital allocation among the names ( $X v. $STLC v. $ARCH ). Twebs gives an update on $AMPY...2022-02-1346 minStock TalkingWeb3, Web2 and the Physical World: Nick Widmer Returns to Talk NFTs of the FutureNick Widmer discusses how NFTs will figure greatly into our relationship with products and services. We talk about LinksDAO and other projects where NFTs could represent value beyond the aesthetic and unlock physical goods and services in the future. Nick discusses why the current ecosystem is the way it is, including the incentives of influencers, advertisers and exchanges, and how that ecosystem could change in the future.
I highly recommend subscribing to Nick's Substack (https://nickwidmer.substack.com/) and LinkedIn (https://www.linkedin.com/in/nicholaswidmer/) for more great takes on this subject.
2022-01-2053 minStock TalkingHanging in the Pit with The Impervious, 2022 EditionThe Impervious is back to talk all things 2022 outlook! We exchange takes on inflation, growth v. value, uranium, SPACs, Chinese stocks, US cannabis and more.
2022-01-161h 01Stock TalkingDiligent Dollar: Leaning Into Value TrapsDiligent Dollar (https://diligent-dollar.com/) and I discuss his Value Trap Coffee Can Portfolio (VTCCP). We discuss the five names currently in VTCCP ($STRT, $ALSN, $AXL, $ANF and $CATO) and why opportunities exist specifically in auto suppliers and retail. Diligent also pitches Bath and Bodyworks ($BBWI) and the potential for the stock to be a compounder with strong organic growth and buybacks. We close out with some updates on Triton ($TRTN), 180 Degree Capital Corp. ($TURN) and National CineMedia ($NCMI).
2021-11-1259 minStock TalkingThe Brand and the Value: Nick Widmer on NFTs"If we talk in two years, I'll be shocked if Nike isn't issuing NFTs."
- Nick Widmer
Nick Widmer (https://nickwidmer.substack.com/, https://twitter.com/nfwidmer) returns to the show to talk about non-fungible tokens, Web3 and the next generation of brand building. Nick explains to me why NFTs are a logical vehicle for companies to use to build their brands. I walked away from this conversation with a much better understanding of NFT originators and buyers. Nick has a fascinating perspective and background; I highly recommend this episode!
Show notes links:2021-09-301h 10Stock TalkingPoker, that Wayne Gretzky Quote and Movie TheatersI explain why I think the stock market puck is going to the movie theater industry and how turbo poker tournaments are my mental model for market cycles. I review Cinemark's 2021 quarterly earnings call and why CEO Mark Zoradi's comments demonstrate that 2H 2021 and 2022 are going to be an amazing time for the box office.
Book recommendations:
- The Biggest Bluff, Maria Konnikova https://www.amazon.com/dp/B082ZQYGSL/
- Thinking in Bets, Annie Duke https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Bets-Making-Smarter-Decisions-ebook/dp/B074DG9LQF
2021-05-0817 minStock TalkingWhy Apple's Buyback Strategy Makes SenseI discuss why I'm a big fan of Apple's buyback strategy and think buybacks are a better use of capital than acquisitions, any capex they could do, debt paydown, keeping the cash or raising the dividend. Based on the company's capital allocation strategy and earnings growth, Apple still is a great buy and one of my top holdings.
Some links I mention in the show:
- Berkshire 2020 letter - https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2020ltr.pdf
- Blog post on capital light compounders by Connor Leonard (thank you Diligent Dollar for recommending...2021-05-0112 minStock TalkingSunday Options (4/25/2021): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousThe Impervious returns to swap takes on gold + gold miners, Tesla + FAANG upcoming earnings, inflation v. deflation, the crypto lending market and QQQ's year of outperformance versus Berkshire Hathaway.
2021-04-2556 minStock TalkingDiligent Dollar Part III: Good Companies, Bad Balance SheetsDiligent Dollar is back to explain how he finds opportunities in levered companies that scare away most equity investors. Diligent talks through several examples including Platform Specialty Products (now Element Solutions) to highlight scenarios where debt to EBITDA multiples don't tell the whole story. We discuss Diligent's Civeo ($CVEO) thesis (lodging and hospitality for mining) and dive into the company's de-leveraging story, potential to produce a 25%+ FCF yield and why CVEO could do well independent of commodity price movement. Diligent shares his experience trying to acquire a marina, his thoughts on the structural disadvantages of REITs, tailwinds for manufactured...2021-04-221h 07Stock TalkingPhil Andrews: The Role of Cathie's Ark in the ARK Investing CommunityPhil Andrews of Cathie's Ark returns for an awesome discussion on ARK and how the Cathie's Ark website and trading floor provide valuable data and commentary to the ARK community. Phil responds to the ARK bears and debunks some popular narratives on ARK’s exposure to a sell-off triggered by illiquidity. We discuss the best ARK portfolio holdings to buy during drawdowns and why Phil believes $ARKG is the ETF most well situated to thrive as ARK AUM grows. I ask Phil about the bull case for $TDOC, $BLI and a number of other names. Phil reviews new and up...2021-03-181h 05Stock TalkingPresident's Day Market Overview with The ImperviousThe Impervious and I come together to talk about the market’s new all-time highs and the crush in implied volatility. For once, we both agree energy is well positioned to benefit from technical (potential short squeeze, high amount of options traded) and fundamental (supply constrained, demand growing) factors. Sean talks about opportunities in uranium, implied volatility, gold miners and more. I discuss recent changes in my own portfolio where the theme was sell low quality businesses and buy more of high quality businesses.
2021-02-1642 minStock TalkingEmergency GameStop EpisodeGameStop! The Impervious and I take stock of extreme volatility in $GME, $AMC and other favorites of the WSB crowd. How long could this phenomenon last? Sean crafts a generalized strategy for trading single digit price stocks with condensed option chains and gives recommendations for $GNUS, $XSPA and $AG.
2021-01-2930 minStock TalkingBuys This Week: NTDOY and NCMI UpdatesI bought both Nintendo (NTDOY) and National CineMedia (NCMI) this week and use this podcast to explain my thinking. I preview Nintendo's earnings ahead of its February 1st Q3 release and discuss why I think growth expectations are too low. Next, I react to the Wall Street Journal's recent article on National CineMedia and the revelation they've engaged lawyers to work with senior lenders. Should NCMI equity holders be concerned about the debt?
2021-01-2313 minStock Talking2020 Review and 2021 Predictions with The ImperviousThe Impervious and I review our best and worst trades of 2020 and make bold predictions for 2021.
2021-01-211h 22Stock TalkingPhil Andrews: Cathie's Ark and Building Understanding from DataMy guest today is Phil Andrews, the creator of Cathie’s Ark (cathiesark.com). I use Cathie’s Ark almost daily to source investing ideas by looking at trade data from the ARK Invest ETFs. Phil has done an amazing job making this data understandable and actionable.
Phil gives the backstory behind Cathie's Ark and the underlying sources of data for the website. He explains the many reasons for changing fund compositions in ARKK, ARKW, ARKG, ARKF, including forced buying and selling of equities due to buys and sells of the ETF shares, potential limits around how much...2020-12-231h 07Stock TalkingSunday Options (12/20/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousSean and I talk about the potential implications of the SolarWinds breach and how we are in the early innings of this developing story. We react to the in-podcast announcement of Congress agreeing to a $900 billion stimulus package and debate to what extent the market has priced in fiscal action. The Impervious breaks down friends of the pod $CRWD, $NET, $SDC and the banks. We also reflect on $TSLA's stunning $50 billion market cap move on Friday for a company with a $50 billion market cap only a few years ago.
2020-12-211h 11Stock TalkingChris Seifel: FCF Drivers, CANSLIM, CrowdStrike and the AI OpportunityChris Seifel of Seifel Capital Management comes on to talk free cash flow in high growth companies, shortcomings in using P/S multiples, the CANSLIM method, why he is wary of investing in small caps, CrowdStrike’s incredible growth runway and artificial intelligence. Chris’s depth and breadth of knowledge on cyber security and AI - as well as how these opportunities distill down to specific companies and free cash flow growth - made this interview an awesome learning opportunity for me. We go deep on Chris’s process and how he evaluates his holdings during quarterly earnings and drawdo...2020-12-181h 25Stock TalkingSunday Options (12/13/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousAre we in a bubble? The Impervious and I debate the question everyone is asking as the market again hovers around all-time highs. We talk about the IPO market and the crazy upward movements from offering prices for Airbnb, DoorDash and C3.ai. In industry specific news, we talk about the consequences of the $FEYE hack and the consequences for $CRWD, $NET and $OKTA. I make the case for two potential Stock Talking long-form recommendations that represent good value - $AZO and $FISV - and discuss what Disney's streaming announcements might mean for the stock. Sean offers two bull...2020-12-141h 09Stock TalkingSunday Options (12/6/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousThe Impervious and I are back to try to make sense of a market continuing to make all time highs. We review a disappointing non-farm payrolls report, the declining DXY and the implications of frothy multiple stocks being included in major indexes. Sean plays the role of bear as I do my best to defend the movie theater bull thesis in light of Warner Media’s announcement that all new 2021 titles will be released on HBO Max. I get into some of the history of AT&T under new CEO John Stankey’s leadership and why the company’s desire...2020-12-071h 04Stock TalkingDiligent Dollar Part II: The Movie Theater Industry and National CineMedia (NCMI)Diligent Dollar (https://diligent-dollar.com) is back to talk about National CineMedia ($NCMI) and the movie theater industry before and after COVID. Are theaters in secular decline? Are studios dismantling their relationships with theaters to move to Premium Video on Demand (PVOD)? Which of the major theater chains ($CNK, $AMC, Cineworld (Regal's parent company)) are facing bankruptcy risk and how would bankruptcies impact NCMI? How is the movie theater industry faring outside the US? Diligent answers all these questions and more. We explore NCMI's origin story and its competitive moat in movie advertising. Diligent breaks down the company's free...2020-11-2537 minStock TalkingSunday Options (11/22/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousWith the vaccine picture improving in clarity and the election outcome all but certain, Sean and I look forward to the market’s next obstacles. Bill Ackman shorts corporate credit and the Fed bemoans the cessation of backstop programs - the Impervious and I exchange takes. I double down on bullish views for back-to-work ($NCMI) and Sean throws in a bull case for some BTC-enabled names ($RIOT, $MARA). I learn from Sean a trading strategy to lock in gains while retaining upside. Finally, Sean introduces WallStars - our newly branded DFS stocks trading game.
2020-11-2357 minStock TalkingThursday Options (10/29/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousWith five days till Election Day, Sean and I weigh the strength of third quarter earnings against the uncertainty of the future. The Impervious and I talk $CROX, $AAPL, $AMZN and more Q3 calls. Is the market discounting strong fundamentals? We discuss how we expect stocks to trade in a variety of election outcomes. Sean offers some precious metals recommendations including $NEM. I offer another strong defense of Berkshire as Sean continues to dominate our $QQQ v. $BRK.B bet.
2020-10-3054 minStock TalkingWednesday Options (10/14/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousThe Impervious and I react to $FSLY's Q3 downguide and discuss potential market weakness after a nice run off the September lows. We discuss whether Fastly's less than stellar news will impact cloud favorites like $CRWD and $NET. Sean gives some third quarter earnings strategies and gold miner picks ($GDX, $NEM). We close with a spirited discussion of the merits of $BRK.B over $QQQ and the incredible $CROX story.
2020-10-1541 minStock TalkingBrandon Quittem: Bridging the Gap Between Bitcoin and Equity AnalysisThis conversation with Brandon Quittem made me completely rethink Bitcoin as an asset class and its role in traditional asset allocation. Brandon is a writer, speaker, entrepreneur and BTC enthusiast whose articles have been read by over two million people. Brandon covers BTC valuation models, excess energy from renewable resources and how they relate to mining economics, the Lightning Network, Jack Dorsey’s companies' role in the BTC ecosystem, the 2017 Bitcoin Cash fork and too many topics to list here. By the time we wrapped up this conversation, I felt able to view BTC from a traditional equity investor le...2020-10-071h 14Stock TalkingDiligent Dollar: Competitive Positioning, Free Cash Flow and Why a $YELP-$ANGI Merger Makes SenseDiligent Dollar (https://diligent-dollar.com/) comes on to talk $TRUP, $AZO, $YELP, $ANGI, $FAST and $NVR. DD is one of the best financial blogs on the internet and stands out for high-quality analysis of names no one else is covering. Diligent discusses his process for forecasting future cash flows and finding high ROIC businesses. He discusses the advantages of a potential $ANGI-$YELP merger as well as which business he’d rather own. We discuss Diligent’s competitive series analysis (https://diligent-dollar.com/category/competitive-strategy-series/) and the reasons for the rise of $FAST, $NVR and $TRUP, as well as how...2020-10-021h 00Stock TalkingSunday Options (9/20/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousSean and I analyze tech's several week sell-off and whether we're in a secular bull market. The Impervious critiques my idea of selling puts to leg into the market and talks about the advantages of 30-45 days out for expiries. A little bit of macro talk - to what extent possible election surprises are priced into the market and the ongoing Fed put. Sean shares trade ideas on $CRWD, $SFIX, $KTOS and $VALE. And to end, a spirited discussion on $MCD and the success of Travis Scott as reason to believe Oracle and Walmart are winners on the TikTok...2020-09-2142 minStock TalkingInvesting City's Methodology: Ryan Reeves on SaaS, Research Process and CompetitionMy guest today is Ryan Reeves, the founder and CEO of Investing City. Ryan is an amazing follow on Twitter (@investing_city) and I’m excited to release this interview. No one I follow reads more 10Ks and produces more high quality analysis on top tier businesses. We talk about Ryan’s research process, position sizing, evaluating expectations, re-rating drivers, processing quarterly results, churn as a key metric, SaaS pricing models and more. There are so many names covered in this pod - ROKU, FSLY, NET, CRM, U, AYX, GoodRx and more. I’m privileged to have Ryan as a gues...2020-09-191h 02Stock TalkingMonday Options (9/14/20): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousBack from vacation, I'm ready to join The Impervious on a spirited discussion about tech's sell off. With SPY closing at 338, we talk about market expectations going into the fourth quarter - energy, industrials, precious metals and more. On the bull side, we cover the arguments for and against $DKNG (new deal with ESPN, including link outs on articles to DraftKings) and $PENN ($80 price target from Rosenblatt). On the bear side, we share thoughts on the Hindenburg report against $NKLA. Finally, updates on our bets - $BRK.B v. $QQQ, $MGM v. $CRWD and $CROX v. $SKX.
2020-09-1547 minStock TalkingServiceNow, Snowflake and Post-COVID Tech: Josh Brostoff on Workflows, CSM and SaaS's FutureJosh Brostoff, Senior ServiceNow Architect at GlideFast Consulting, discusses the growth of ServiceNow through superior workflows and its Customer Service Management offering. We walk through highlights of Q2 earnings and the company’s goal of hitting $10 billion in revenue. Can $NOW land more 8 figure deals after a record Q2? Josh talks tech valuation in light of recent market action and his bull thesis on Ping Identity ($PING). We close out with a discussion of the Snowflake IPO and Frank Slootman’s time as ServiceNow’s CEO.
2020-09-1333 min
Stock TalkingTuesday Options (8/25/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousA crazy Tuesday marked by CRM knocking the cover off earnings and SPY closing at a hard-to-believe 344. The Impervious and I talk market action for the next few months and years. Will we ever see money leave tech? Will gold and silver catch another bid? What's the outlook for $FB after notching another all-time high? All that and more in this episode of Stock Talking.
2020-08-2646 min
Stock TalkingSunday Options (8/16/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousBattle of the lame footwear! The Impervious and I turn to shoe sellers as the cloud sells off and the market trades sideways in a week where my eventful is Sean’s boring price action. We analyze Buffett’s move into $GOLD and the road ahead for $SPY, including whether the future for e-commerce stocks looks different than essential cloud names. We make another exciting wager - this time a pair of Sketchers versus a pair of Crocs - based on our fundamental analysis of $SKX and $CROX.
2020-08-171h 02
Stock TalkingMonday Options (8/10/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The Impervious$SPY keeps running as the market defies gravity. We review last week and stellar earnings from $TWLO, $NET and $BRK.B. Sean overviews the macro picture and a possible dollar shortage's impact on precious metals and crypto. Earnings previews - $CRWD and $SPG. Sean and I make a new bet in honor of $IAC's $1 billion stake in $MGM.
2020-08-1155 min
Stock TalkingSunday Options (8/2/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousSPY continues to rally on a stellar week of earnings. I morph into the ultimate bull (ready to launch new long positions in $PYPL and $MELI) while The Impervious preaches caution, precious metals and crypto. Sean is looking to hold puts into $MRNA earnings based on insider selling and likes the miners ($GDX, $NEM) heading into this week. We offer thoughts on the high vol tech names reporting ($TWLO, $NET, $SQ, $DDOG, $FSLY). Last but not least - a review of our new DFS-based stocks game: Street Bets.
2020-08-031h 01
Stock TalkingTuesday Option (7/21/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousWith SPY closing at 325, Sean and I ponder the market's next move. Megacap tech continues to trend higher as financials and energy play catch-up. We preview a new competitive game that blends daily fantasy sports and market trading, with "player salaries" based on implied volatility. Surprise surprise - $TSLA earnings may determine the winner.
2020-07-2242 minStock TalkingNick Martin, Principal Engineer at Indigo Agriculture - Alignment, Optimizing ROI and Team GrowthNick Martin is a Principal Software Engineer at Indigo Agriculture and long-time fixer of things. He previously worked at Tapjoy, where he helped build a premier adtech platform capable of handling billions of requests per day. Nick details his steps to fix broken teams, create alignment in organizations, optimize organizations for finding the highest ROI projects and so much more. We talk in-depth about the components that go into successful teams and the four stages of team building - forming, storming, norming and performing. How do teams being split or new engineers being hired impact these stages? Nick offers...2020-07-181h 12
Stock TalkingSunday Options (7/12/20): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousEarnings are back! The Impervious and I break down the big week ahead for banks ($XLF, $JPM, $C, $WFC, $GS, $MS, $BAC) and what it means for the market. We talk some macro, including retail trading in China and the Fed leaving the repo market. Sean offers some guidance on how to trade bubbles with the EV manufacturers ($TSLA, $NIO, $WKHS, $SHLL, $SPAQ) and sports gambling ($DKNG, $GNOG) heating up. The Impervious gives his options picks for the weeks ahead ($KO, $ADBE, $SPCE, $TSM, $BMRA, $OCO, $SLV and more).
2020-07-131h 02
Stock TalkingSunday Options (6/28/2020): Hanging in the Pit with the ImperviousThe Impervious and I trade bearish takes on the market in the wake of some wild price action last week that left SPY at a round 300. Trade for the week ahead - short sports gambling ($DKNG), long cloud ($FSLY, $NET, $NOW). Sean and I connect on a trade we both like for next week and ponder trading in the electric vehicle space ($WKHS, upcoming SPAC $SHLL). We end with predictions on gold and possible Fed actions in the event of a market decline.
2020-06-2951 min
Stock TalkingMonday Options (6/22/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousThe Impervious and I discuss a new dark pool index, try to provide explanations for the market’s inexplicable run up and philosophize on bull markets in recessions and bear markets in expansions. Is the COVID defense trade back? Sean gives some insights on airlines, precious metals, tech, crypto and more. I offer an impassioned defense for why the retail trade will never go away and some book recommendations.
2020-06-2340 minStock TalkingSunday Options (6/7/2020): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousThe Impervious is back to talk about the greatest fifty day rally in market history and the continued sector rotation out of tech and into the most capital-intensive businesses. As per usual, Sean provides no shortage of picks for the week ahead, including GSX puts, CHWY puts and HEXO calls.
2020-06-0843 minStock TalkingWednesday Options (5/27/20): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousThe Impervious starts his redemption tour after a shockingly wrong bear call last Sunday. We discuss SPY ripping past 300 and the prospects of a continued bull run (spoiler: neither of us think this can last). Sean talks forgotten sectors of the market and the potential for a rotation into small caps. We trade thoughts on continued U.S.-China tensions and how to trade impacted names. Finally, picks for the week - CRM, WDAY and SLV.
2020-05-2835 minStock TalkingMike Lombardo, CEO of GlideFast Consulting - Entrepreneurship and ServiceNowMike Lombardo is the CEO of GlideFast Consulting. GlideFast serves top-tier Fortune 500 and federal government clients, helping perform ServiceNow integrations that support every use case under the sun. Mike and I chat on entrepreneurship, the ServiceNow ecosystem and enterprise software in the wake of COVID. Mike discusses the unique applications of the Now Platform during COVID and the future of the cloud and automated workflows. This was a fascinating conversation and I’m excited to see how ServiceNow will play a critical role in the post-COVID future.
2020-05-1932 minStock TalkingSunday Options (5/17/20): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousThe Impervious has turned bearish. Sean makes the technical and fundamental case for another leg down based on a pending CLO crisis, renewed China trade war and dashed expectations. We discuss his plays for the week including $HPQ, $CAR and $SRNE for the degenerate gambler in all of us. Sean previews notable earnings for next week in tech ($CRM, $SPLK) and home improvement ($HD, $L).
2020-05-1842 minStock TalkingPhilip Kiely on Technical Writing, Digital Content Distribution and the Post-COVID Creator LandscapePhilip Kiely is a software developer and author of Writing for Software Developers. He has written for a number of highly visible clients including Smashing Magazine, CSS-Tricks and Twilio. For his recently released book, he interviewed amazing writers and founders like Matt Levine of Bloomberg; serial entrepreneur, Stripe engineer and critically-acclaimed writer Patrick McKenzie; and Stack Overflow and Discord founder Jeff Atwood.
Our conversation covers a wide range of topics on software, writing, the future of digital information distribution and more. Philip goes deep on the craft of technical writing and interviewing as well as marketing, distribution...2020-05-1641 minStock TalkingMax Widmer on Zillow and the Future of Real EstateMax Widmer comes on to talk Zillow and the future of real-estate in the post-COVID world. Max is an Enterprise Sales Executive Team Lead in Zillow’s Premier Broker group and someone I’ve learned a ton from. We discuss Zillow’s flywheel and the breadth and depth of its platform, including 3D tours, Zillow Offers and the core of the business - how real estate agents value having a presence on the platform. Max explains how Zillow reduces friction in the real estate transaction process and we speculate on how COVID may change where people live permanently. We close...2020-05-131h 18Stock TalkingSunday Options (5/10/20): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousThe Impervious and I give an update on Week 1 of our $QQQ v. $BRK.B bet. Sean - out to a massive early lead - touts the merit of tech and death of value, while I vigorously defend Buffett and the brilliance of using insurance float to buy stocks. We review the folly of trading earnings and a terrible trade I made in $NET. Sean previews $DDOG earnings and some opportunities in $SDC, $CSPR, $IWM and $SLV. Once again, we return to the theme that price action is all that matters in trading short-term options.
S...2020-05-1146 minStock TalkingNick Widmer on the Future of Advertising, Company Culture and CryptoI bring Nick Widmer on the podcast to talk about the future of advertising, company culture and crypto. Nick is one of the smartest people I know and has helped create ads that have aired during the Super Bowl and worked with an incredible range of clients including Jeep, Progressive and MGM. I ask Nick about ROIs on different types of advertising and a potential bubble in online ads. We discuss possible implications of COVID on company culture. Nick and I also both own some crypto and debate Paul Tudor Jones’ latest letter on bitcoin. What does COVID mean fo...2020-05-1056 minStock TalkingSunday Options (5/3/20): Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousTheImpervious and I speculate on Monday (5/4/2020) and beyond’s action in light of last week’s earnings news and the Oracle’s decision to sell down all of Berkshire’s airlines positions. Sean shares some options plays on $CVS, $DIS, and the airlines. We discuss escalations in China - U.S. tensions and what it could mean for equities (as well as a successful $FXI trade we both executed). We finish off with Sean’s top trading ideas and recommendations on entry and exit identification, position sizing and risk management.
2020-05-0449 minStock TalkingAt the Movies with TrevorI talk streaming services, movies, shows, podcasts and more with the best movie buff in the business, Trevor Donahue. We go deep on the Top 100 movie project, possible motivations behind Netflix’s UI, Mars, Groundhog Day, true crime podcasts and more. Check out Trevor’s top recommendations below:
Mars
A Year In Space
Up and Vanished
Your Own Backyard
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2020-05-0252 minStock TalkingSunday Options: Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousI debate whether the market is being driven by earnings or COVID news in another spirited conversation with TheImpervious as we reflect on last week and look at the week ahead. We go back and forth on expectations for companies reporting Q1 earnings in the next week (and DraftKings being public!). Sean talks trades he likes and discusses unusual options activity in LVS, HTHT, MSFT and more.
2020-04-2735 minStock TalkingThe Sweet Spot: Making Life Easy for SMBs Through $HUBSI bring on Hayden Hawks-Mayer (former and soon to be current HubSpot account exec) to explore $HUBS' suite of tools that make life easy for small-to-medium sized businesses (SMBs). This episode explores a business model very different from ServiceNow's from episode #2; unlike $NOW, $HUBS markets tools to SMBs that focus less on extensibility and more on ease of use. Our discussion starts with $HUBS' free CRM offering and moves to a wider discussion of the common problems facing companies and how HubSpot solves them. We cover $HUBS' customer retention and ability to sell new hubs to existing customers. Finally...2020-04-2529 minStock TalkingSunday Options: Hanging in the Pit with The ImperviousOptions trader Sean “The Impervious” Busch comes on to talk market outlook and options trading. The Impervious offers commentary and trade ideas on SPG, SDC, SQ, CZR, OXY and more. We go back and forth on how bullish the re-opening of the economy is for stocks, and whether a new issue (mortgage crisis, China economic data) will replace COVID-19 if and when the market has another leg down.
2020-04-2027 minStock TalkingServiceNow's Growth Story: Providing Business Value NOW and LaterI bring in Josh Brostoff (Senior ServiceNow Architect at GlideFast Consulting and my brother) to discuss ServiceNow's incredible growth story. Josh goes deep on HR and CSM opportunities at $NOW, third party integrations, customer retention and more. We also debate how the stock will perform in the new COVID-19 environment.
2020-04-1827 minStock TalkingStock Talking: Why and WhatI introduce Stock Talking as a new podcast and preview my next episode.2020-04-1503 min