Shows
The Basewinner Podcast2023 Season, Episode 2Scott talks with the Basewinner about how great the 2023 model is doing (up more than 12 units!) and about the current state of starting pitching in the leagues. Charts for Show Make sure to go to basewinner.com and sign up for the premium package - it's only $99 for the season.2023-04-2829 minThe Basewinner Podcast2023 Season, Episode 1Scott talks with Basewinner about his modeling for the 2023 season. Charts for the show2023-03-3131 min
The Basewinner Podcast2022 Season, Episode 11Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming wildcard playoff games. Show Charts 2022-10-0734 minThe Basewinner Podcast2022 Season, Episode 10Scott talks with the Basewinner about the importance of the 3-man starting rotation and its implications for the postseason. Charts for the Show2022-09-0931 minThe Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 8-12-2022The Log Cutter is back baby! After too long of a hiatus, the Basewinner has worked long hours, some even under candlelight to bring back this classic handicapping tool back to power the Crunch model. The new version more detailed and sustainable. BW gives you a sneak peek on this podcast. Basewinner shows you how he used the log cutter to adjust the numbers for Kutter Crawford, who is Boston's starter for the focus game which is the Yankees vs. Red Sox. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB b...2022-08-1310 minThe Basewinner Podcast2022 Season, Episode 9Scott talks with the Basewinner about the current status of Basewinner Crunch, then they look at the divisional futures and discuss the importance of bullpens. Charts for the Show 2022-08-0527 minThe Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-29-2022Basewinner looks at an NL matchup on the Friday card between the Arizona D'Backs and Atlanta Braves. BW looks at the detailed BW game logs for Mad Bum and Kyle Wright. He also digs into some interesting numbers reagrding both teams bullpens and offensive splits. Some of these numbers are enlightening and may carry some handicapping weight for the next couple of weeks. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.2022-07-2917 minThe Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-28-2022Basewinner looks at an AL West matchup on the Thursday card between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros. BW looks at the detailed BW game logs for Logan Gilbert and Jose Urquidy. He also digs into the Crunch model numbers for each man in each lineup. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.2022-07-2813 minThe Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-27-2022Basewinner looks at an AL matchup on the Wednesday card between Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox. BW looks at the detailed BW game logs for Cal Quantril and Nate Eovaldi. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.2022-07-2716 minThe Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-16-22Basewinner looks at an NL West matchup on the Saturday card between Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres. BW digs into both starters numbers and ratings. He also talks about both team's bullpens and goes over the invidual and team numbers for each team's relief corps. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.2022-07-1614 minThe Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-15-2022Basewinner looks at good pitching matchup on the Friday card between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Francisco Giants. BW digs into Brandon Woodruff's s game logs, xxxERA and bwERA. He also talks in good detail about the Brewers bullpen individual ratings and the difference between the top part and underbelly of this team's relief corps. Also, the pros and cons of betting games early as opposed to waiting are talked about The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with...2022-07-1514 minThe Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-14-2022Basewinner dives into a game on the Thursday card between the Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals. BW goes over both starters game logs, xxxERA's and bwERA's. He also talks in good detail about both teams bullpen individual ratings and how they are set up in the Crunch model for this game. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.2022-07-1414 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-13-22On this quick hitter, Basewinner dives into a game on the Wednesday card between the Seattle Mariners and Washington Nationals. BW gives you a quick look at how he injects a teams bullpen into the model. He also talks in good detail about the Seattle bullpen as a whole and the strength and weakness of the individuals that make up the Mariner relief corps. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.2022-07-1314 minThe Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-9-2022On this quick hitter, Basewinner dives into a game on the Saturday card between the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves. He talks in good detail about some important numbers for Patrick Corbin and the Nationals offense. He points out a couple of things to consider in this game and when betting on the Nationals in general. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.2022-07-0914 minThe Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-8-22On a quick hitter, Basewinner deals out 1 game for tomorrow's very tight lined card. BW does go into good depth on Wheeler and Wainwrights YTD game logs and xxxERA and xERA. As a bonus, BW looks at the status of his pre-season group of 5 players he bet to win in the MLB HR Home Run future market. Two guys are in the hunt and BW goes into his thoughts on Schwarber. Could there be more Schwarbombs on the horizon? The BW Crunch pod will help you break down the daily MLB betting card and give...2022-07-0815 minThe Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-7-2022On this quick hitter, Basewinner deals out 3 games for tomorrow's card. He also talks about the Braves Spencer Strider's BW numbers. BW laments about the current AL Cy Young odds and explains why he is befuddled. The BW Crunch pod will help you break down the daily MLB betting card and give you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.2022-07-0717 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-6-2022Basewinner talks about the key numbers on the daily chart and how to read each column to help you with your daily handicap. The NL Cy Young market is touched upon and BW discusses why he thinks there are better options than the current favorite. If you haven't signed up for the chart and daily plays, please visit basewinner.com. All numbers from chart and plays will be complimentary for at least the next two weeks.2022-07-0619 minThe Basewinner Podcast2022 Season, Episode 9Basewinner talks about starting pitcher luck. He goes over the luckiest starting pitchers based on unrealistic LOB%, HR/FB and BABIP and how this could be beneficial in your daily handicap.2022-06-2520 minThe Basewinner Podcast2022 Season, Episode 8Scott talks with the Basewinner about how to quantify offensive "luck". Show Charts2022-06-0434 minThe Basewinner Podcast2022 Season, Episode 7Scott talks with the Basewinner about how to quantify defensive "luck" and what makes a pitcher "lucky". Episode Charts2022-05-2734 minThe Basewinner Podcast2022 Season, Episode 6Scott talks with the Basewinner about the starter "Stuff+" metric from The Athletic and how it can be used for betting. Show Charts The Athletic Article on Stuff+2022-05-2025 minThe Basewinner Podcast2022 Season, Episode 5Scott talks with the Basewinner about bullpens and the "Bullpen Stuff" metrics. Charts from this Episode2022-05-1327 minThe Basewinner Podcast2022 Season, Episode 4Scott talks with the Basewinner about how standardizing the humidification and temperature of stored balls affect their travel. Basewinner also looks at hard Hard Hit vs. OPS numbers to see which teams might regress. Here's the link to The Athletic article on MLB's plan to standardize humidors at all parks. This week's chart 2022-05-0631 minThe Basewinner Podcast2022 Season, Episode 1On this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss the Basewinner Pre-Season Component Ranks and the projected Division Win Percentages versus what the sportsbooks are offering. Download Episode Content2022-04-0818 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 16Scott talks with Basewinner about Atlanta and Houston's bullpens for the upcoming World Series games. Show Notes2021-10-3021 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 15Scott talks with Basewinner about the LDS recap with cumulative series BaseRuns and Basewinner ERAs, playoff projections, and the Bullpen command ratings. Show Notes2021-10-1628 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 14 Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming playoff race and identifying where his numbers show an edge over the book prices. They also discuss what Mark expects to see in the next two weeks. Will it be the Rays and the Dodgers again this year? Show Notes 2021-10-0231 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 13Scott talks with Basewinner about dismal swing betting results with the Tigers and the Astros, a new five-inning model Mark is developing, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes2021-09-1831 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 12Scott talks with Basewinner about swing betting results with the Tigers and the Blue Jays, the expected standings going into the playoffs, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes2021-09-0428 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 11Scott talks with Basewinner about swing betting results with the Cardinals, how the league futures are shaping up as we get closer to the playoffs, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes2021-08-2130 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 10Scott talks with Basewinner about swing betting the Tigers and Cardinals, the effect the recent trades will have on the standings, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes2021-08-0732 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 9Scott talks with Basewinner about Mariners swing betting, the effect the upcoming trades might have on the standings, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes2021-07-2425 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 8Scott talks with Basewinner about Astros swing betting, the next team to play on/fade based on expected standings plus 3M starter numbers, Home Run Derby strategy for Monday, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes2021-07-0824 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 7Scott talks with Basewinner about using applying financial trading concepts to sports betting and how MLB's crackdown on "sticky stuff" is going to affect pitching stats. Show Notes2021-06-2644 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 6Scott talks with Basewinner about the effect on OPS when a batter can get to 2-1 in the count. Then they discusses the new baseball weather site they built. Episode Web Page2021-06-1236 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 5 Scott talks with Basewinner about the league standings, WRC+ RISP vs full, the top and bottom 20 starters based on the 3M model, and the bullpen ratings from the 3M model. Also find out why Mark thinks the Cardinals are the luckiest team in baseball. Show Notes and Charts 2021-05-2934 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 4Scott talks with Basewinner about the league standings, WRC+ RISP vs full, the top and bottom 20 starters based on the 3M model, and the bullpen ratings from the 3M model. Show Notes2021-05-1531 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 3Scott talks with Basewinner about his the three-metric bullpen pitcher rating tool (3MBP), the league-wide standard vs. component-based standings, league-wide WRC+ RISP vs full, and the top 20 starting pitchers. Download Charts Episode Website2021-05-0144 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 2 Scott talks with Basewinner about his new three-metric pitcher ranking tool, moneylines and their implied implied odds, and WRC+ vs RISP WRC+. Show Notes 2021-04-1737 minThe Basewinner Podcast2021 Season, Episode 1Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming season, the NL West projections, team salaries, and what deadened ball controversies we can look forward to this year. Show Notes2021-03-2524 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season, Episode 12 Scott talks with Basewinner about the LCS results and gets his thoughts on the upcoming World Series. Download episode charts 2020-10-2028 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season, Episode 11 Scott talks with Basewinner about the LDS results and thoughts about the upcoming league championship series. They also discuss why some people choose to play with legal sportsbooks despite having worse lines. Download Episode Charts 2020-10-1035 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season, Episode 10 Scott talks with Basewinner about the wildcard series results and thoughts about the upcoming league division series. They also discuss the pitcher rating tool and MLB weather tool on basewinnner.com. Download episode content 2020-10-0334 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season, Episode 9 Scott talks with Basewinner about the playoffs and we give final numbers and thoughts regarding the 2020 NL West Season. The guys talk about how to how to calculate house margin for playoff futures and why betting futures most likely is not the best available bet. Also, Basewinner goes over all playoff wild-card series calculations and tells you what he would bet if he was playing these and what he would do if investing in the Playoff futures market. Also, Basewinner talks about the weighted coin idea when calculating Playoff series prices. Download Episode Charts 2020-09-2940 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season, Episode 8Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming playoffs and Chris Paddack from the Padres. Is he having as bad a season as everyone says? Plus, the podcast regular segments of in-depth NL West Sabermetric and Weekly standings and review of RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. Download episode charts2020-09-1928 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season, Episode 7 Scott talks with Basewinner about 2020 MLB home and away splits. Basewinner takes a look at the leaders in home/away splits involving two stats he feels are very important. How can you use these stats and splits as a baseball handicapper? Also, we takes a look at the Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen. What will be Basewinner's general betting approach when looking at his games? Plus, the podcast regular segment of in-depth NL West standings, sabermetric, and weekly standings. Download show charts 2020-09-1241 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season, Episode 6Scott talks with Basewinner about the Los Angeles Angels and answers two member questions: Why does Basewinner still have the Angels offense rated so high, and why is he backing off them now despite the daily model projections usually still showing value on them? Also, BW revisits Madison Bumgarner as he makes his return back to the D'Backs rotation. What is Basewinner's take away from MadBum's awful start to his D'Back career. Plus, podcast regular segments of in-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric, and Weekly standing and review of RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify...2020-09-0533 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season, Episode 5 Basewinner and Scott review the 2020 teams that hit the best vs. specific pitch types. This could be helpful with pitch mix game analysis. In-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric, and Weekly standings. Basewinner reviews RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. NL West starting pitcher spotlight is on Kenley Jansen. Basewinner still likes him goes over the reasons why plus a quick but important lesson in MLB analyzing him has brought out again. Download extra content here 2020-08-2935 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season, Episode 4Basewinner and Scott review the teams that have outperformed or fallen behind their pre-season expectations. This could be helpful to identify potential regression candidates. In-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric and Weekly standings. Basewinner reviews RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. NL West starting pitcher spotlight is on Merril Kelly. Basewinner is upbeat on him and goes over the reasons why. Download extra content2020-08-2234 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season, Episode 3Mark and Scott discuss the NL West vs. sabermetrics, RISP vs. full disparity, the Runs/100 metric compared to wRC+, and the research Mark has been doing on fielding. We finish up by discussing Kevin Gausman from the Giants. Download stats PDF Stat of the Week: The importance of defense2020-08-1532 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season, Episode 2Mark and Scott discuss the NL West Standings, the Runs/100 metric compared to wRC+, and Madison Bumgarner's surprising lack of velocity and control. Episode 2 Content Madison Bumgarner is throwing 88 mph. How concerning is that?2020-08-0839 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 Season - Episode 01Mark and Scott discuss the 2020 season, COVID outbreaks among the players, and how a shortened season will affect stats. Mark takes us through one of his favorite stats, Runners in Scoring Position (RISP) and Weighted Runs Created Plus. (wRC+) We finish out the episode by discussing German Marquez and his surprising home/road splits. If you want to follow along, you can download the episode's extra content. Intro music courtesy of MrRunnerholic.2020-08-0139 min
The Basewinner Podcast2020 MLB 60 Game Sprint -- NL West PreviewBasewinner gives you some key NL West numbers so you can impress your dates and win money from the Vegas books. Detailed ratings are here for your pleasure. 3:00 -- NL West standings projections, wins and division probabilities4:45 -- NL West Starting Pitching 11:40 -- NL West Bullpen14:25 -- NL West Batting 17:20 -- Cool Statcast aggregates for NL West2020-07-1825 minThe Basewinner PodcastClear Data Sports NFL Season Win TotalsClear Data Sports is excited to welcome back The Syrian Pony and Riley after a long sports hiatus. They will be discussing the retooled NFL model and giving out ALL of our season win totals FOR FREE! If you want to be a member of the community, you can do so FREE through July. Contact customerservice@cleardatasports.com and Pony will take care of you. The podcast discusses each division in the following order in case you want to jump around: AFC East, North, South, West...NFC East, North, South, West2020-06-0846 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Season Win Totals - Process OverviewOn the eve of the annual Season Win Total release, Basewinner describes the detailed process that generates the projected standings. Get a sneak peek at the Basewinner season projection model that has generated a 22-6 SWT Record since it's inception in 2016. Basewinner gives you a look at the 4 main components of the model. Starting Pitching, Relief Pitching, Team Offense and Fielding. 2020-03-1209 min
The Basewinner PodcastEPL MW 28- Model Talk and Bournemouth v. ChelseaThis edition of BW Crunch features our soccer expert, Riley Wichmann. A tasty play is given out in the Bournemouth v. Chelsea match. The guys also talk about the ups and downs of handicapping and about what has gone right and wrong this year on the EPL modeling side. 2020-02-2709 min
The Basewinner PodcastChampions League Special -- Deep Metrics Dive By Riley With 2 Future PlaysThis edition of BW Crunch goes very deep as the Clear Data Sports Champions League handicapping process is broken down by our soccer expert, Riley Wichmann. Basewinner hosts. He is in a generous mood and coaxes two official future UCL plays out of Riley that will pay out nicely if they hit. Riley highlights the depths of an amazing modeling process that has led to a nice 18 unit profit since the models inception. Also as a bonus, Riley deals out a breakdown on the Aston Villa v. Tottenham game with a strong official play. ...2020-02-1439 min
Modern Handicapping: Sports Betting AnalysisEPL MW18 Official Big Game Play, NFL Week 16 Metrics Mike Teaser, Basewinner Moneyline POWThis edition of modern handicapping has a "Defense wins Championships" theme for all three plays. Mark "the Basewinner" brings in MetricsMike for a sweet NFL teaser and handicapping talk and Riley deals an official EPL play in this weeks most important match. Podcast Highlights: Basewinner & Metrics Mike - High level Handicapping (Podcast Start) -- Talk about the ups and downs of sports handicapping and a good take on mental approach by the guys. Two Valuable NFL Plays - (4:00) MetricsMike and Basewinner deal out a couple of NFL betting ideas and go o...2019-12-2000 minModern Handicapping: Sports Betting AnalysisGood Data Discussion & NFL Week 15 Metrics Mike Teaser, Basewinner Moneyline POW + EPL MW17 Official PlayThis edition of modern handicapping has three nice plays and good data talk. Mark "the Basewinner" brings in MetricsMike for NFL plays and handicapping talk and Riley for EPL analysis. Podcast Highlights: Basewinner & Metrics Mike - High level Handicapping (Podcast Start) -- Good talk about the plus/minuses of using excel to power your handicapping. The guys talk about how they have used excel to build models but also how they are transitioning out of excel and building higher power models with a dual edge. The build outs increase the efficiency of the models but al...2019-12-1300 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch - NL Advanced Betting NumbersBasewinner goes over essential NL Playoff Numbers in hopes to find playoff value. Key topics covered: 1- Who is the 2019 MLB "Natural" in Basewinner's opinion. 2- Season win total review. 2- Basewinner playoff handicapping process at a high level. 3- Interesting notes regarding the NL playoff teams. 4- A small NL series play.2019-10-0317 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 9-21 Season Win Totals Update and Basewinner Takes on 2019Basewinner gives you a breakdown of the CDSI 2019 Season win totals and his view on MLB. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on SWT's -- the good, the bad, the remaining projections. 2- The most important thing you should look for when choosing a credible Sports Betting Information source. 3- The CDS 2019 baseball record broken down and BW's take. 4- Will the "elite under" make a comeback in 2020 5- Basewinner is baffled by lack of media response to juiced ball. He gets intense on this one. 2019-09-2124 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 8-10-19 Cubs v. Reds + 6 bbk model playsBasewinner gives you a good look at the CHC v. CIN game on the Saturday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on CHC v. CIN including log cutters for Kyle Hendricks and Sony Gray. 2- Team bullpen ratings. 3- BBK to WRC+ Regression Chart Analysis for Reds and Cubs 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-08-1013 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 8-9, Indians v. Twins + 5 bbk model playsBasewinner talks about a play with good value on the Friday card and goes rapid fire with bbk for 5 games on the card. Key topics covered: 1- Key component numbers and model projections for Indians and Twins. 2- Basewinner's take and log cutter for Shane Bieber 3- Will Twins regress? 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only2019-08-0915 minThe Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 8-3, Reds v. Braves + 4 bbk model playsBasewinner gives you a good look at the CIN v. ATL game on the Saturday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on CIN v. ATL including log cutters for Trevor Bauer and Dallas Keuchel. 2- Man by man bullpen comparisons. 3- Team bullpen ratings. 4- Reds subtraction of Puig - how it affects our ratings and probability projections. 5- Look at futures for both teams. 6- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-08-0324 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 8-2 Red Sox v Yankees + 4 bbk model playsBasewinner gives you a good look at the BOS v. NYY game on the Friday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on BOS v. NYY including log cutters for E Rod and James Paxton. 2- Man by man bullpen comparisons. 3- Team bullpen ratings 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-08-0216 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-31 Mets v White Sox + 7 bbk model playsBasewinner gives you a good look at the NYM v. CWS game on the Wednesday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on NYM v. CWS including log cutters for Jacob deGrom and Lucas Giolito. 2- Man by man bullpen comparisons. 3- Team bullpen ratings 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-07-3117 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-27 Astros v Cardinals + 6 bbk model playsBasewinner is jacked up on the cold brew coffee and he gives you some great numbers for the HOU v. STL game on the Saturday card. He also goes rapid fire BBK and doles out 6 bbk model plays. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on HOU v. STL including log cutters for Gerrit Cole and Daniel Ponce De Leon. 2- Man by man bullpen comparisons. 3- Team bullpen ratings 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-07-2718 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner talks with Ray Adair about his MLB Wizzard modelThis is a special Sports Handicapping Journey podcast. CDS has brought Ray Adair into the handicapping team. Ray has over of 20 years of handicapping experience and specializes in MLB. He brings a special mix of extensive experience in Software Engineering and Handicapping Mark talks with Ray about his extensive programming and database background, sports handicapping in general and the MLB Wizzard model which is built on a unique pitch location/type premise. The model is deep and contains over 3.7 million pitch records.2019-07-2632 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-24 Red Sox v. Rays + bbk model playsBasewinner gives you a good look at the BOS v. TBR game on the Wednesday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on BOS v. TBR including log cutters for David Price and Charlie Morton. 2- Man by man bullpen comparisons. 3- Basewinner's take on Rays future plays. 4- A super interesting trend regarding the Rays and one that BW thinks could have legs. 5- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only. 6- BBK models results YTD2019-07-2419 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-22 - A's v. Astros + 4 bbk playsBasewinner gives you a good look at the OAK v. HOU game on the Monday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on OAK v. HOU including log cutters for Homer Bailey and Gerrit Cole. 2- Man by man bullpen comparisons. 3- Basewinner's take on A's and Astros future plays. 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-07-2214 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-20 Nationals v. Braves and 6 BBK playsBasewinner gives you a good look at the WAS v. ATL game on the Saturday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on WAS v. ATL including log cutters for Anibal Sanchez and Mike Soroka. 2- Man by man bullpen comparisons. 3- Basewinner's take on Braves and Nationals future plays. 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-07-2020 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-18 Blue Jays v. Tigers + bbk playsBasewinner gives you a good look at the TOR v. DET game on the Friday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on TOR v. DET including log cutters for Marcus Stroman and Jordan Zimmermann. 2- Man by man bullpen comparisons. 3- Basewinner's take on the Tigers and Tigers pen. 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-07-1916 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-17 Padres v. Marlins & bbk model playsOn a quick hitter, Basewinner gives you a good look at the SDP v. MIA game on the Wednesday card and gets you really ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on SDP v. MIA including log cutters for Chris Paddack and Trevor Richards. 2- Man by man bullpen comparisons. 3- Basewinner's take on the Padres and Pad's pen 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-07-1715 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-13 DET v. KCR, bullpen day and bbk model playsAw-Yeah! Basewinner is jacked up on Starbucks cold brew gives you a good look at the DET v. KCR game on the Friday card and gets you really ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on DET v. KCR including log cutter for Matthew Boyd and Brad Keller. 2- Both teams bullpens looked at man by man. 3- Bullpen day -- Top 5 bottom 5 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-07-1322 min
The Basewinner PodcastBW Crunch 7-12 Nationals v. Phillies + NL East key figsBasewinner gives you a good look at the WAS v. PHI game on the Friday card and gets you really ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on WAS v. PHI including log cutter for Stephen Strasburg and Nick Pivetta. 2- NL East BB/K +- comparisons 3- Basewinner's take on the Nationals and our Nats and Braves future plays. 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-07-1217 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 7-3-19, Brewers v. Reds plus NL Central key statsBasewinner gives you a good look at the MIL v. CIN game on the Wednesday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on MIL v. CIN including log cutter for Jhoulys Chacin and Sonny Gray. 2- A look at both teams bullpens. 3- Basewinner's take on the Reds and our Reds future plays. 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-07-0323 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 6-28, STL v Diego plus bullpen dayBasewinner gives you a good look at the STL v. SDP game on the Saturday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- BW's take on STL v. SDP including log cutter for Chris Paddack and Dakota Hudson. 2- A look at both teams bullpens. 3- The CDS top 5 and bottom 5 bully's . 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-06-2917 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 6-27 ATL v. NYM + BW takes +bbk model playsBasewinner gives you a good look at the ATL v. NYM game on the Friday card and gets you ready with bbk for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- Why in betting you can help yourself by zigging when others are zagging. 2- BW's take on ATL v. NYM including log cutter for Jacob deGrom. 3- Bullpen diaries including the Mets. 4- BW's gives you a re-assuring betting numbers regarding the run explosion crisis. 5- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-06-2820 min
The Basewinner PodcastBW Crunch 6-25 Diego v. Baltimore, bbk blast and interesting probability duscussionBasewinner talks about a play with good value on the Wednesday card and goes rapid fire with bbk for 5 games on the card. Key topics covered: 1- BW Record review. 2- Thoughts on Sunday's win probabilities/improbabilities. 3- Dyland Bundy/Matt Strahm log cutter. 4- San Diego's pen. 5- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-06-2618 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch for 6-22 Card Mets v. Cubs breakdown and 3 bbk model playsBasewinner talks about a play with good value on the Saturday card and goes rapid fire with bbk for 5 games on the card. Key topics covered: 1- Essential component numbers and model projections for Mets and Cubs. 2- Basewinner's takes and log cutters for Zack Wheeler and Jose Q. 3- Interesting Cubs futility numbers. 4- Quick look at NL Central developments. 5- Rapid fire bbk model probability.2019-06-2214 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 6-21, BAL v. SEA, "Inside The Game" and bbk breakdownBasewinner talks about a play with good value on the Friday card and goes rapid fire with bbk for 5 games on the card. Key topics covered: 1- Sometimes a perceived crappy game is a good bet. 2- Surprising log cutter numbers for Mike Leake. 3- "Inside the Game page" looks at both lineups. 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only. 5- bbk model podcast results2019-06-2123 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 6-19, LAA v. TOR, LAA plate discipline and bbk playsBasewinner talks about a play with good value on the Wednesday card and goes rapid fire with bbk for 5 games. Key topics covered: 1- Andrew Heaney log cutter 2- Los Angeles Angels plate discipline numbers. 3- Aaron Sanchez log cutter and BW's take on him. 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only. Bonus handicapping theory from Basewinner.2019-06-1920 min
The Basewinner PodcastBW Crunch 6-18 Record Review, NYM v. ATL, DeGrom vs. baseball hipsters and 5 bbk model playsOn a quick hitter, Basewinner reviews the record, uncovers a nice play in the NYM v. ATL game and goes rapid fire in bbk for 5 games on the card Key topics covered: 1- Weekend, weekly and YTD record 2- Jacob deGrom log cutter. 3- Julio Teheran log cutter. 4- Key ideas in the NYM/ATL game including interesting splits for both starters. 5- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only. 6- Handicapping Dream new intro...2019-06-1819 min
The Basewinner PodcastBW Crunch 6-15 LAA v. TB, random Trop thoughts + rapid fire bbkBasewinner talks about a play with good value on the Saturday card and goes rapid fire bbk model for 5 games on the card. Key topics covered: 1- Charlie Morton log cutter 2- Interesting Los Angeles Angels batting numbers. 3- Basewinner's numbers on Jose Suarez. 4- Interesting trend involving Tampa Bay BW's take on the Trop. 5- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-06-1518 min
The Basewinner PodcastBW Crunch 6-11 SD v. SF, record review & rapid fire bbkOn a quick hitter, Basewinner reviews the record, uncovers a nice play in the SD v. SF game and goes rapid fire in bbk for 5 games on the card Key topics covered: 1- Weekend, weekly and YTD record 2- Under plays are gaining momentum. 3- BW's high level take on the juiced ball. 4- Key ideas in the SD/SF game including starter log cutters and team bully's. 5- Rapid fire probabilities for all games based on bbk model only.2019-06-1116 min
The Basewinner PodcastBW Crunch 6-8 WAS v. SD & Max Scherzer breakdownBaseWinner takes a look at Saturday's WAS v. Diego game. He talks a lot of Max Scherzer and a little WAS bullpen. Key topics covered: 1- Value in tomorrow's Nats v. Padres game. 2- An amazing stat regarding 2019 Max Scherzer. 3- Run support for Scherzer and Top 5/Bottom 5 in run support in MLB. 4- Is the Washington bullpen as bad as they appear . 5- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-06-0819 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 6-7 Bullpen Special + ARI v. TOR & Texas Ranger takeBasewinner goes over team bullpen ratings, uncovers a nice play in the ARI v. TOR game and talks a little Texas Rangers on the 6-7 pod. Key topics covered: 1- Bullpen ratings - the good, the bad, the surprises. 2- Some interesting results specific to Arizona D'Backs games. 3- Basewinner's take on an interesting Texas Rangers club. 4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.2019-06-0726 min
The Basewinner PodcastBW Crunch 6-5 CIn v. STL and Cincy and NL Central Key NumbersBasewinner takes a look tomorrows CIN v. STL game. He also takes a look at the Reds future play and dives deep into NL Central starting pitching. Key topics covered: 1- Value in tomorrow's Reds v. Cardinals game. 2- What do the numbers say about the Reds over 79 SWT. 3- NL Central rankings for all 25 1-5 rotation men. 4- Rapid fire probabilities for all games based on bbk model only.2019-06-0520 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 6-4 Thor v. MadBum, YTD Record Report, bbk full cardBasewinner goes over the YTD record, uncovers a nice play in the SF v. NYM game and brings you some other nuggets on the 6-4 pod. Key topics covered: 1- The CDS record - how you can review and why we present it the way we do. 2- Some interesting results for the season to date. 3- Key ideas in the SF/NYM game including starter log cutters and team bully's. 4- Rapid fire probabilities for all games based on bbk model only.2019-06-0423 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 6-1 CHC v STL grudge match + Cubs SWT breakdownBasewinner brings you a good look at tomorrow's CHC v STL rivalry game. Key topics covered: 1- The main differences between Jack Flaherty and Jose Q. 2- Will the Cubs foil the BW's Cubs under season win total despite their bullpen nightmare? 3- Rapid fire probabilities for all games based on bbk model only.2019-06-0119 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 5-31 sexy SF v. BAL game + bullpens and bbk modelBasewinner brings you a quick hitter for Friday's sexy battle between the Giants and Orioles. Key topics covered: 1- Is Cashner serviceable now? 2- Who has the best bullpen in MLB by the BW ratings. 3- Rapid fire probabilities for all games based on bbk model only.2019-05-3116 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 5-30 Red Sox v. Yankees + Sale amazing split statBasewinner is jacked up on Starbucks cold brew and he brings you some interesting numbers on this podcast including: 1. A Double Play in the BOS/NYY game. 2. An unbelievable split stat regarding Chris Sale. 3. How you can access the Basewinner bb/k study. 4. Rapid fire on all of the 5-30 game probabilities according to the bb/k model.2019-05-3018 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 5-29 Angels v. A's + capping ideasBasewinner gives you a nice look at Wednesday's LAA v. OAK game and touches upon the k/bb model he built over the Memorial Day weekend. Key ideas: 1- Is Griffin Canning, Griffin "Can Do"? 2- Is it possible to build a model using just bb/k. 3- What are the chances A's will cash our season win total of under 83.5? Basewinner also wants to make sure there is no "misunderstanding" regarding the Genesis Cabrera start. 2019-05-2921 min
The Basewinner PodcastBasewinner Crunch 5-25 Reds v. CubsBasewinner has surfaced from the lab to get you ready for this early Saturday clash between our beloved Reds and the 2019 villains that are the Cubs. The main two defensive components that affect the projected probability for this game are highlighted. BW uses the log cutter to look at the important numbers for Yu Darvish and he gives goes over some eye opening figures for Tyler Mahle. Both teams bullpens are examined and there are some surprises. As usual BW Crunch serves up tomorrows plays overnight. In this case, so you...2019-05-2520 minThe Basewinner Podcast2018 NLCS and ALCS Advanced Betting NumbersIn this episode, Basewinner reveals his 2018 NLCS and ALCS projections and picks. He goes into nice detail about how to handicap a playoff series. Other items discussed on this episode are: How to price a playoff series. 2018 remaining playoff teams bullpens advanced ratings by splits. How has LAD,MIL, HOU and BOS produced offensively in 2018 vs. the top 20% of starting pitchers shown by xOPS (statcast data). Man for man lineup comparison in LAD v. MIL series. Basewinner's take on a potential blowup of the now...2018-10-1133 min
The Basewinner Podcast2018 MLB Playoff Starting Pitcher Stat CandyThis episode goes deep into the Basewinner starting pitching numbers for the starting pitchers involved in the 2018 MLB Playoffs. Basewinner identifies who the best and worst pitchers are in the following splits: Basewinner ERA, expected OPS ERA (statcast) , K%, swinging strike% and expected hits (statcast). and categories: Average of L4 quarters, vs. Playoff Teams, Home, Away This podcast is better than the candy store for the Starting Pitcher advanced stat lovers and can help you with your MLB Betting and Fantasy calls. 2018-10-0523 min
The Basewinner Podcast2018 Essential Playoff NumbersThis episode is pure stat candy as Basewinner looks at the playoff odds board to show you where the value is. Basewinner has simulated every possible series in the 2018 and shares his work and results. He identifies what he thinks is the best playoff bet in 3 years. Also, a detailed explanation of the starting pitching rating process. He goes over the new log cutter blend which includes statcast data via the new Basewinner xOPS ERA. Bullpens in depth, offenses at a glance, odds and projections and quality numbers for the starters th...2018-10-0445 min
The Basewinner Podcast9-19 NL West Winner Projections and look at STL Cardinals Win TotalBasewinner brings you a quick hitter on the state of the NL West and the STL Team Total bet. Key ideas discussed. 1- Are the Dodgers to win the division still a good bet at the current odds? 2- What happened to the D-Backs? 3- What are the chances Cardinals will cash the season win total of 86.5?2018-09-2014 min
The Basewinner Podcast9-6 BW Crunch - Stretch Drive and NL West UpdateBasewinner is jacked up on Starbucks cold brew and he brings to you some interesting MLB numbers on this Podcast including. 1- Market favorite performance since 2001. 2- Division Race updates, odds and probability projections. 3- Good look at some Dodgers advanced stats and Rockies v. Dodgers upcoming series. A couple of attempts at humor also included in this one.2018-09-0630 min
The Basewinner Podcast8-28 Basewinner Crunches OAK and TEX Plus 2 MLB Capping truthsOn this episode of Basewinner Crunch, Basewinner breaks down the AL West race and takes a detailed look at the OAK and HOU team components. Basewinner reviews the AL West Division winner probability and pricing and his analysis shows that there still is value in this market. Also, two truths about baseball results are discussed. Basewinner goes over these numbers in detail so you can understanding their true magnitude. The Oakland and Texas bullpens are and compared man vs. man. Trevor Cahill and Dallas Keuchel numbers are reviewed as well as the rest...2018-08-2939 min