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Market Misbehavior Podcast
Craig Johnson on S&P 500 Targets and Swift Corrections
In Episode 37 of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I sat down with Craig Johnson, CFA CMT, Chief Market Technician at Piper Sandler. We covered a lot of ground—from his year-end target for the S&P 500 to why sharp market corrections often pave the way for equally sharp recoveries.Craig also shared his thoughts on the persistent underperformance of small-cap stocks, how he's using bearish sentiment as a contrarian signal, and where he's spotting opportunities as we head into Q2 2025.This conversation was recorded on March 27, 2025.🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https...
2025-04-22
35 min
Market Misbehavior Podcast
Vince Randazzo on Market Breadth, Conditions vs. Signals, and Lessons Learned From Paul Desmond
In Episode 40 of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I had the chance to catch up with Vince Randazzo, CMT, Founder and Chief Market Strategist at ViewRight Advisors. Vince shared some of the most impactful lessons he’s learned from mentors like Rick Bensignor, Peter Lee, and the legendary Paul Desmond of Lowry Research.We explored the market breadth dynamics around the February 2025 peak, how he’s using his Market Seasons Barometer to track current conditions, and where he sees potential opportunities as investors navigate a more volatile environment.🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing...
2025-04-22
36 min
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 50: Navigating Market Cycles with Dan Wantrobski, CMT
In our milestone 50th episode of Fill the Gap, we are honored to host Dan Wantrobski, CMT, Associate Director of Research at Janney Montgomery Scott. With over two decades of experience as a technical analyst and strategist, Dan offers a profound exploration into the long-term forces shaping today's markets.Key Discussion Points:Demographic Dynamics: Dan delves into how shifting population trends influence economic growth, labor markets, and investment opportunities.Commodity Supercycles: We examine the historical patterns of commodity markets and discuss what current trends suggest about future cycles.
2025-04-21
1h 12
Market Misbehavior Podcast
Ryan Redfern on the NAAIM Exposure Index, Kitchin Cycle, and Navigating Market Pullbacks
For the 33rd episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I caught up with Ryan Redfern, CMT, President and Chief Investment Officer at Shadowridge Asset Management. Ryan and I dug into leadership rotation themes we’ve seen play out in Q1 2025, and he broke down how the NAAIM Exposure Index compares to other sentiment tools like the AAII survey. We also explored the implications of the 3–5 year Kitchin cycle for future market returns, and Ryan shared how he helps clients stay grounded during periods of heightened market volatility.This conversation was recorded on March 11, 2025.🎓 Take Dave’s FREE co...
2025-04-03
33 min
Market Misbehavior Podcast
Jay Woods Drops a Master Class on Finding Strength in Sideways Markets
For the 28th episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I had a great conversation with Jay Woods, CMT and Chief Global Strategist at Freedom Capital Markets. Jay delivered a technical analysis master class on the S&P 500, broke down what NVDA’s drop—despite strong earnings—might be telling us, and offered best practices for navigating market uncertainty. We also covered potential opportunities in the financials and materials sectors, and Jay shared one internet stock he’s watching for a possible countertrend bounce.🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/fre...You can follo...
2025-04-03
36 min
Market Misbehavior Podcast
Adam Turnquist on Comparing 2024-25 to Previous Market Cycles
🎓 Take my FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/fre...🎯 Upgrade your market awareness with Seeking Alpha Premium https://marketmisbehavior.com/seeking...In the latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I catch up with Adam Turnquist, CMT, Chief Technical Strategist at LPL Financial. Adam shares his research comparing 2024 to past bull market years, why 2025 could resemble 1995, and the growing performance gap between the Magnificent 7 stocks and the rest of the market. We also discuss how to distinguish a short-term pullback from a longer-term bearish phase. Recorded on 1/14/25.You can learn more about...
2025-03-18
32 min
Market Misbehavior Podcast
John Kosar Shares How He Selects Top Stocks and ETFs
In the latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I sit down with technical analyst and portfolio manager John Kosar, CMT, of Asbury Research. We discuss his market outlook following the election season, how he applies his Asbury Six market model and sector rotation model to assess risk and uncover opportunities, his approach to selecting ETFs for his portfolios, and key lessons he’s learned from managing funds with technical analysis.You can learn more about John's work at Asbury Research right here: https://www.asburyresearch.com/Take my FREE course "The Five Modes of Mi...
2025-03-18
33 min
Market Misbehavior Podcast
Frank Cappelleri Called SPX 6100 in 2024- What's in Store for 2025?
🎓 Take my FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/fre...🎯 Upgrade your market awareness with Seeking Alpha Premium https://marketmisbehavior.com/seeking...In the latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I talk with technical analyst and fellow CNBC Contributor Frank Cappelleri, CFA, CMT, of CappThesis. Frank started in the industry in the late '90s, working alongside technical analysis legends Alan Shaw and Louise Yamada at Smith Barney. He shares key lessons from his career in technical analysis, how he developed his impressive S&P 6100 call for 2024, and the signs of lea...
2025-03-18
33 min
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 49: Pulling Global Markets Together with Laurence Balanco, CMT
In this episode of Fill the Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association, we welcome Laurence Balanco, CMT.Laurence Balanco, CMT is a Technical Analyst at CLSA Australia Pty Ltd. Lawrence has a broad array of knowledge of all the different markets, and a real unique perspective about pulling all these different markets together. Back in the day he was very a very heavy user of Elliott Wave. Technicians that can do it well can do it well, and he's definitely one of them. In our time with him during this interview...
2025-03-14
1h 22
Market Misbehavior Podcast
Tyler Wood on the Future of Technical Analysis and the Folly of Fighting Trends
In the latest Market Misbehavior podcast, I spoke with Tyler Wood, CMT, CEO of the CMT Association and Co-Founder of GoNoGo Charts. We discussed systematic vs. subjective technical analysis, the value of multiple time frames, and spotting opportunities in uncertain markets. Tune in for a great conversation!Take my FREE course "The Five Modes of Mindful Investors" here: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/fre...Ready to take the next step on your journey to more mindful investing? Check out our premium memberships.https://marketmisbehavior.com/premium✔ T W I T T E R
2025-03-11
39 min
Market Misbehavior Podcast
Ari Wald Shares Three ETFs That Could Surge Into 2025
In the latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I spoke with Ari Wald, CFA CMT, Head of Technical Analysis at Oppenheimer & Co. We discussed how the current bull market compares to past cycles, what rising rates could mean for stocks in 2025, and the benefits of trend-following over time. Ari also shared insights on high vs. low momentum stocks and three industry ETFs showing strength. Don’t miss it!Take my FREE course "The Five Modes of Mindful Investors" here: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/fre...Ready to take the next step on your journey to mo...
2025-03-11
34 min
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 48: Wait for the Signal with Duke Jones, CMT
In this episode of Fill the Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association, we welcome Duke Jones, CMT, a Senior Financial Analyst in the Private Banking and Investment Group of Merrill Lynch, where he directs financial research and portfolio allocations for over $4B in assets.Duke has been quoted in Barron’s, the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg and the local press. He is a member and former Director of the CMT Association, as well as a member of the CFA Institute and Houston Financial Analyst Society.This was a fantastic int...
2025-02-21
1h 23
Market Misbehavior Podcast
Mish Schneider Unpacks the Economic Modern Family: Key Charts and Insights for Q4!
Host David Keller, CMT catches up with Mish Schneider, Chief Strategist at MarketGauge. They discuss her Economic Modern Family and which areas she's most focused on for Q4, the Trifecta of silver, the US Dollar, and sugar, and the relationship between short-term movements and long-term trends for emerging growth areas like EVs.You can learn more about Mish's work at https://marketgauge.com/Follow Mish on X https://x.com/marketminuteTake my FREE course "The Five Modes of Mindful Investors" here: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/fre...Follow me on T...
2025-01-31
30 min
Market Misbehavior Podcast
Joe Rabil on volatility, the ADX line, risk management & Q4 leadership themes
Welcome to the latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast with David Keller, CMT! In today episode...Joe Rabil of Rabil Stock Research discusses the "trend year" and why Q4 may be stronger than you think, why the ADX line is a key part of his technical analysis approach, best practices for analyzing volatility, the resurgence of semiconductor stocks, challenges for active management, top-heavy equity benchmarks, leadership themes for Q4, and how he thinks about risk management with so many conflicting macro themes.You can learn more about Joe and his work at https://rabilstockresearch.c...
2025-01-30
31 min
Market Misbehavior Podcast
Mark Newton, CMT on China, election risks, & leadership themes for Q4
Mark Newton, CMT of Fundstrat Global Advisors outlines a bullish view for equity markets, how investors should think about recent China strength, a potential cycle peak in mid-October for gold, leadership themes and recent strength in technology, how outcomes of the President election could affect the equity markets, the benefits of equal-weighted indexes and ETFs to minimize the mega cap effect, and how to balance macro themes with price trends and momentum.You can learn more about Mark and his work at Fundstrat Global Advisors over at https://fsinsight.com/.* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *Take my FR...
2025-01-27
31 min
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 47: Technicals Tell The Story with Jay Woods, CMT
In this episode of Fill the Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association, we welcome Jay Woods, CMT, the Chief Global Strategist for Freedom Capital Markets.Prior to joining Freedom, he was the Chief Market Strategist at DriveWealth Institutional. He also served as an Executive Floor Governor at the NYSE, the highest elected position at the Exchange held by only six NYSE members.Jay spent over 25 years as a Designated Market Maker on the NYSE floor. He started with Spear, Leeds, and Kellogg, then joined Goldman Sachs for 14 years and...
2025-01-03
1h 14
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 46: John Kosar, CMT
In this episode of Fill the Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association, we welcome John Kosar, CMT, President and Chief Market Strategist at Asbury Research. After spending most of the first half of his 40-year career on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange trading floor, he has spent much of the second half trying to take emotions out of the equation by becoming as data-driven as possible. John describes some of the indicators and models he and his son, Jack, combine into portfolios of varying risk/reward profiles to meet the needs of different types...
2024-12-13
1h 09
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 45: Cynthia Kase, CMT, MFTA
In this episode of Fill the Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association, we sit down with Cynthia Kase, CMT, MFTA, Expert Consultant at Kase and Company, Inc. Cynthia A. Kase, CMT, MFTA, and Dean Rogers, CMT have worked together for nearly a quarter of a century. During that time, they have worked closely to develop trading indicators, custom bars, and complex forecasting models.During the interview, we discuss the foundational concepts from Kase’s award-winning work, including the background behind Kase’s innovative methodology for forecasting energy and metals commodities futures. Thes...
2024-12-06
51 min
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 44: Tactical Insights with Dan Russo, CMT
In this episode of Fill the Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association, we sit down with Dan Russo, CMT, Portfolio Manager at Potomac Fund Management. Dan shares his tactical approach to navigating today’s markets, emphasizing the critical role of technical analysis in portfolio management. With over two decades of experience in financial markets, Dan discusses how he integrates trend-following strategies, relative strength analysis, and risk management to deliver results for clients. He provides insights into adapting to evolving market conditions, identifying key opportunities across asset classes, and the importance of staying disciplined in...
2024-11-08
1h 23
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 43: Navigating Markets with Todd Sohn, CMT
In this episode of Fill the Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association, we welcome Todd Sohn, CMT, a leading ETF strategist and technical market analyst at Strategas. Todd shares his unique perspective on the ever-evolving $10 trillion ETF landscape, which has seen explosive growth in recent years. We explore the rapid rise of actively managed ETFs, now comprising over 8% of total ETF assets—a figure that has doubled in just the past three years. Join us as Todd dives into actionable insights for managing rapid sector rotation, the critical intersections of thematic investing with tre...
2024-10-25
1h 15
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 42: Frank Cappelleri, CMT, CFA
In Episode #42 of the CMT Association’s "Fill the Gap" podcast, we sit down with Frank Cappelleri, CMT, CFA, Founder of Capp Thesis LLC. In this engaging conversation, Frank provides his insights into the current market landscape, sharing his perspective on key trends and developments. We delve into Darvas Boxes, a classic yet powerful tool in technical analysis, and explore how Frank integrates this technique into his broader analytical toolkit. Whether you're a seasoned investor or new to technical analysis, this episode offers valuable perspectives on navigating today’s markets and enhancing your trading strategy. Don't miss this...
2024-08-26
1h 09
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 41: Navigating Strategic Global Bond Portfolios with Brian Decker, CMT
Join us on Fill the Gap for a deep dive into the world of global fixed income portfolio management with Brian Decker, CMT, a distinguished market strategist from Wellington Management in Boston. A seasoned market expert with a background in rates trading, thematic investing, and market analysis, Brian brings a wealth of experience in navigating the complexities of cross-asset dynamics with a specific emphasis on global bond portfolios. In this episode, he unveils his analytical process, which integrates advanced and highly differentiated methodologies such as Market Profile, DeMark studies, and the Elliott Wave Principle across multiple timeframes. T...
2024-07-10
1h 03
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 40: Janine Guenther, CMT, CFA
In the podcast interview for CMT Association's Fill The Gap, Janine Guenther, CMT, CFA, a seasoned financial professional based in Vancouver, shared her extensive expertise at the intersection of technical analysis and fundamental research. With a background that includes roles at prominent financial institutions and a deep commitment to the CMT and CFA designations, Guenther provided a nuanced perspective on navigating today's complex market dynamics.Throughout the hour-long discussion, Guenther emphasized her holistic approach to investment analysis, integrating technical indicators with rigorous fundamental research. Drawing on her experience from roles at BMO Capital Markets and CIBC World...
2024-06-02
1h 11
Conectando o Direito
CoD #23 | O que Cybersegurança tem a ver com o Direito? (Domingo Montanaro e Matheus Sturari)
Nesse episódio do Conectando o Direito, conectamos os crimes cibernéticos à legislação de proteção de dados, refletindo sobre as repercussões jurídicas do avanço tecnológico nas empresas. Para tanto, recebemos o Domingo Montanaro, um dos maiores experts em segurança da informação no Brasil e CEO da Ventura Entreprise Risk Management. Além dele, o Matheus Noronha Sturari, sócio da área de Proteção de Dados do CMT Advogados e Professor do Insper. Confira o conteúdo e acompanhe nossas novidades seguindo nas redes sociais @cmtadv!
2024-05-13
50 min
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 39: Mark Newton, CMT
Mark Newton, CMT, a distinguished market analyst and strategist at Fundstrat Global Advisors, brought his wealth of experience and analytical prowess to the forefront in a compelling podcast interview on the CMT Association's Fill The Gap series. With a career spanning significant roles at firms like Morgan Stanley Wealth Management and Greywolf Execution Partners, Mark has honed his expertise in technical analysis and market strategy over decades.During the podcast, Mark delved into a comprehensive analysis of current market trends, leveraging his deep understanding of economic data and its impact on investor sentiment. He emphasized the critical...
2024-05-01
58 min
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 38: Live from CMT 2024 Summit Dubai with FRANK TEIXEIRA, CMT, CFA & DAVID LUNDGREN, CMT, CFA
This episode of Fill the Gap features a live Fireside Chat with special guests Frank Teixeira, CMT, CFA & David Lundgren, CMT, CFA moderated by Tyler Wood, CMT. Recorded at the CMT 2024 Summit in Dubai, UAE on February 29, 2024 inside the Museum of the Future.In this special live release of Fill the Gap, Frank Teixeira, CMT, CFA, and David Lundgren, CMT CFA will share insights from decades of institutional portfolio management experience on how Wall St. utilizes technical analysis to understand market behavior, fund flows, positioning, price action, and the character and direction of public markets. T...
2024-04-26
1h 24
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 37: Live from CMT Midwinter Retreat with Robert J Farrell and Walter Deemer
This episode of Fill the Gap features a live Fireside Chat with special guests Robert J. Farrell and Walter Deemer moderated by Frank Teixeira, CMT, CFA. Recorded at the CMT 2024 Midwinter Retreat in Tampa, FL on February 1, 2024.This live episode of Fill the Gap breaks from our normal format with a rare glimpse at a conversation between two Wall St. Legends. Their conversation delivers a broad perspective on the industry’s use of technical analysis throughout the illustrious 50 year careers as colleagues, clients, and friends. One of Institutional Investors most highly decorated research anal...
2024-03-26
1h 19
Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of the CMT Association
Episode 36: Gina Martin Adams, CMT, CFA
Kick off the new year with a big picture look at the global macro backdrop for investors. In Episode 36 we are fortunate to glean insights from Gina Martin Adams, CMT, CFA who shared with us how distortions in the economy driven by the global pandemic are still playing out with bizarre consequences. Gina Martin Adams, CMT, CFA, is the Global Head of Portfolio Strategy and Chief Equity Strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence, a unique research platform that provides context on markets, industries, companies, and government policy, available on the Bloomberg Professional Service at BI.Gina provides t...
2024-01-05
1h 09