Shows
EXPeditionsDavid Spiegelhalter - How to be trustworthy about dataDavid Spiegelhalter, Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, addresses data-based claims and trust.
About David Spiegelhalter
"I'm a retired professor in the Statistical Laboratory at the University of Cambridge and Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication.
I'm a statistician, and my passionate interest is in the use of statistics in society: the way that they're communicated in the media, the way that they're used by policy, the way that the public understand them and, of course, all the fake news, misinformation, and...2025-05-3012 min
TechStuffThe Story: Embracing AI and All Life’s Uncertainties w/ David SpiegelhalterStatistician David Spiegelhalter is no stranger to AI – he used it to help him research his recent book and, back in the late 70s, he helped develop foundational algorithms for the tech. So, he understands the pandora’s box that technology can represent, as well as the uncertainty embedded in its future development. Spiegelhalter sits down with Oz to unpack how we should interpret AI predictions, why better data matters and why we should consciously embrace uncertainty in our own lives.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.2025-05-2128 min
My Wildest Prediction‘People will stop making predictions’ David Spiegelhalter saysDavid Spiegelhalter is one of the world's most important figures in statistics. He's an emeritus professor of statistics in the Centre for Mathematical Studies at the University of Cambridge and he's the author of The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck. Spiegelhalter is committed to making mathematics more accessible, and he joins My Wildest Prediction to talk about probabilities, how to deal with uncertainty and artificial intelligence. My Wildest Prediction is a podcast series from Euronews Business where we dare to imagine the future with business and tech visionaries....2025-03-2623 min
Joseph Jaffe is Not FamousThe Power of Uncertainty | David SpiegelhalterCertainty is an illusion—so how do we navigate an unpredictable world? Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, aka Professor Risk, unpacks the art of uncertainty, revealing why randomness, luck, and probability shape everything. Are we ever truly in control? What separates risk from recklessness? And why do we trust data that’s often wrong?Discover how lucky people think, why free will might be a myth, and how to make smarter decisions in a world ruled by chaos. If you’ve ever questioned the odds, this mind-expanding conversation will change the way you see risk, luck...2025-03-251h 08
Scientific Sense ®Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter emeritus prof of University of Cambridge on the Art of UncertaintyScientific Sense ® by Gill Eapen: Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter is Professor of Public Understanding of Risk at Faculty of Mathematics, University of Cambridge. His recent book is entitled The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck Please subscribe to this channel:https://www.youtube.com/c/ScientificSense?sub_confirmation=12025-03-2256 min
Past Present FutureThe History of Revolutionary Ideas: The Bayesian Revolution w/David SpiegelhalterToday’s revolutionary idea is something a bit different: David talks to statistician David Spiegelhalter about how an eighteenth-century theory of probability emerged from relative obscurity in the twentieth century to reconfigure our understanding of the relationship between past, present and future. What was Thomas Bayes’s original idea about doing probability in reverse: from effect to cause? What happened when this way of thinking passed through the vortex of the French Revolution? How has it come to lie behind recent innovations in political polling, AI, self-driving cars, medical research and so much more? Why does it remain controversial to t...2025-03-161h 01Past Present FutureThe History of Revolutionary Ideas: Slave Uprising: The Haitian RevolutionToday’s episode is about a very different revolution from any we’ve discussed so far: David talks to historian Hank Gonzalez about the Haitian Revolution, which for the first time in history saw a slave revolt result in an independent free state. How did the Haitian Revolution intersect with the American and French Revolutions that preceded it? Why were European powers unable to reverse it despite massive military intervention? What is its legacy for the state of Haiti today?Tickets are still available for PPF Live at the Bath Curious Minds Festival: join us on Saturday 29th M...2025-03-1358 min
Ri Science PodcastStatistical uncertainty in the modern world - with David SpiegelhalterSir David Spiegelhalter is a national treasure in the world of statistics, achieving everything from a knighthood to appearing on Total Wipeout. In light of giving the first Discourse in their bicentennial year, David explores how risk and uncertainty have affected his own life, and how to understand the statistics we see every day. Ri Science Podcast episodes are released on the last Wednesday of every month. Subscribe to be notified as soon as the next episode is released! Please leave this episode a rating and a review to let us know what you...2025-02-2638 min
All items | LSE Public lectures and events | All media typesThe art of uncertainty: living with chance, ignorance, risk, and luckContributor(s): Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter | Chance, luck, and ignorance; how to put our uncertainty into numbers. We all have to live with uncertainty about what is going to happen, what has happened, and why things turned out how they did. We attribute good and bad events as "due to chance", label people as "lucky", and (sometimes) admit our ignorance.
David Spiegelhalter will show how to use the theory of probability to take apart all these ideas, and demonstrate how you can put numbers on your ignorance, and then measure how good those numbers are. Along the way we will...2025-01-221h 15Latest 100 | LSE Public lectures and events | All media typesThe art of uncertainty: living with chance, ignorance, risk, and luckContributor(s): Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter | Chance, luck, and ignorance; how to put our uncertainty into numbers. We all have to live with uncertainty about what is going to happen, what has happened, and why things turned out how they did. We attribute good and bad events as "due to chance", label people as "lucky", and (sometimes) admit our ignorance.
David Spiegelhalter will show how to use the theory of probability to take apart all these ideas, and demonstrate how you can put numbers on your ignorance, and then measure how good those numbers are. Along the way we will...2025-01-221h 15Latest 100 | LSE Public lectures and events | AudioThe art of uncertainty: living with chance, ignorance, risk, and luckContributor(s): Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter | Chance, luck, and ignorance; how to put our uncertainty into numbers. We all have to live with uncertainty about what is going to happen, what has happened, and why things turned out how they did. We attribute good and bad events as "due to chance", label people as "lucky", and (sometimes) admit our ignorance.
David Spiegelhalter will show how to use the theory of probability to take apart all these ideas, and demonstrate how you can put numbers on your ignorance, and then measure how good those numbers are. Along the way we will...2025-01-221h 15All items | LSE Public lectures and events | Audio and pdfThe art of uncertainty: living with chance, ignorance, risk, and luckContributor(s): Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter | Chance, luck, and ignorance; how to put our uncertainty into numbers. We all have to live with uncertainty about what is going to happen, what has happened, and why things turned out how they did. We attribute good and bad events as "due to chance", label people as "lucky", and (sometimes) admit our ignorance.
David Spiegelhalter will show how to use the theory of probability to take apart all these ideas, and demonstrate how you can put numbers on your ignorance, and then measure how good those numbers are. Along the way we will...2025-01-221h 15
Indicast - All PodcastsSir David Spiegelhalter on the art of uncertaintyHow did Barack Obama, former American president know for sure whether Osama Bin Laden was in that compound in Abbottabad? Are football matches largely determined by luck? How can you measure coincidences? Sir David Spiegelhalter, the emeritus professor of statistics at the University of Cambridge explains it all. His new book, “The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck” is a fascinating read even for those without any background in statistics and mathematics. Among many other things, the book is also a lesson in how to make complicated subjects interesting.2025-01-1450 minIndicast - All PodcastsSir David Spiegelhalter on the art of uncertaintyHow did Barack Obama, former American president know for sure whether Osama Bin Laden was in that compound in Abbottabad? Are football matches largely determined by luck? How can you measure coincidences? Sir David Spiegelhalter, the emeritus professor of statistics at the University of Cambridge explains it all. His new book, “The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck” is a fascinating read even for those without any background in statistics and mathematics. Among many other things, the book is also a lesson in how to make complicated subjects interesting.2025-01-1450 min
Leaf & Elfie: Curious TalksUncertainty, risk and luck: Interview with author and statistician Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBEIn this episode, Leaf and Elfie chat with Sir David Spiegelhalter about his new book, The Art of Uncertainty. Spiegelhalter, one of the world's leading statisticians, shares his insights on how we can better understand and navigate uncertainty in everyday life. From the role of luck and risk to how statistics help us make smarter decisions, the discussion is full of practical advice for handling life’s unpredictability.Sir David also talks about the importance of embracing uncertainty, especially in a world where people often crave certainty. His clear and engaging explanations make complex ideas around probability an...2024-12-3159 min
Branches of Philosophy Podcast[150] The Art of Uncertainty How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck By David SpiegelhalterAi generated introduction and summary of "The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck" By David Spiegelhalter 2024
From the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art...2024-12-2922 min
The Huddle BreakdownTHE HUDDLE BREAKDOWN INTERVIEW PREVIEW: Sir David Spiegelhalter | World Renowned StatisticianThis is a preview of The Huddle Breakdown Interview available at www.huddlebreakdown.comWe are thrilled to welcome Sir David Spiegelhalter to The Huddle Breakdown in the second installment of ‘The Huddle Breakdown Interview’. He talks to Alan and James in a wide ranging conversation including the role of luck in football.Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is the closest thing the world of statistics has to a national treasure. His new book, The Art of Uncertainty: Living with Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck is an engaging and informative guide to livi...2024-12-2108 min
The Data Journalism PodcastDavid Spiegelhalter: The Art of UncertaintyDavid Spiegelhalter is Emeritus Professor of Statistics in the Statistical Laboratory, University of Cambridge and author of new book The Art of Uncertainty
We live in chaotic times and David makes that world a little clearer with humour and clarity in this special interview with Alberto and Simon.
The music this episode, made with TwoTone, comes from David, and represents the death rates of the patients of murderer Dr Harold Shipman.2024-12-0435 min
How To Academy PodcastCambridge Professor David Spiegelhalter - How to Navigate Change, Ignorance, Risk and LuckWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?Cambridge statistician and beloved broadcaster David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future.In this episode of the podcast, recorded live in London with live examples with the audience, he guides us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything fr...2024-11-221h 15
The Essential PodcastThe Art of Uncertainty: Rethinking Luck and Probability with David SpiegelhalterNathan sits down with Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge Sir David Spiegelhalter to discuss his new book "The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck." Together, the pair covers nuances of probability, risk, and luck; as well as examine the way we understand the data surronding our everyday lives. David Spiegelhalter: Book: "The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck" More S&P Global Content: The Daily Update S&P Global Look Forward Report Credits: Host/Author: Nathan Hunt Producer...2024-11-2238 min
Many Happy ReturnsChance, Risk, and the Art of Uncertainty, with Sir David SpiegelhalterInvesting is an uncertain journey, where chance, risk, and luck are constant companions. But can understanding probability help us live with the unknown? We're joined by Sir David Spiegelhalter, Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge and author of 'The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk, and Luck'. And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week, we ask: ‘Would you want to know when you will die?’ --- Thank you to Trading 212 for sponsoring this episode. Claim free fractional shares worth up to £100. Just create...2024-10-3047 min
Carry the TwoPolitical Numbers & StatisticsWe in the United States are deep in the middle of a major national election, and over half of the world’s population also have elections in 2024. This is why Carry the Two is going to focus on the intersection of mathematics and democracy for our new season.
In this episode, the fifth episode of our mathematics and democracy season, we dig into political numbers and statistics. Helping Sam and Sadie do the digging is Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, FRS, OBE, emeritus professor of statistics at the University of Cambridge, former Professor for the Public Understanding of Ri...2024-10-2332 min
Carry the TwoPolitical Numbers & StatisticsWe in the United States are deep in the middle of a major national election, and over half of the world’s population also have elections in 2024. This is why Carry the Two is going to focus on the intersection of mathematics and democracy for our new season.
In this episode, the fifth episode of our mathematics and democracy season, we dig into political numbers and statistics. Helping Sam and Sadie do the digging is Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, FRS, OBE, emeritus professor of statistics at the University of Cambridge, former Professor for the Public Understanding of Ri...2024-10-2332 min
Maths on the MoveDavid Spiegelhalter and the art of uncertaintyDavid Spiegelhalter, one of our favourite statisticians in the whole world, has a new book out. It's called The art of uncertainty: How to navigate chance, ignorance, risk and luck and published by Pelican Books.
In this episode of Maths on the Move we talk to David about the book, touching on a huge range of topics — from double yolked eggs and the bay of pigs, to why it's useful to disagree and why uncertainty is personal. Enjoy!
To find out more about some of the topics mentioned in this episode see,
When being wrong...2024-10-2224 min
The Chris Evans Show with The National LotteryThe one with Professor Sir David SpiegelhalterStatistician, Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter turns the pages of his book, The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck, out now. Join Chris, Vassos and the team every morning from 6.30am for laughs with the listeners and the greatest guests. Listen on your smart speaker, just say: "Play Virgin Radio." Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.2024-09-2428 min
Grab the Top Full Audiobooks in Non-Fiction, Social ScienceThe Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck by David SpiegelhalterPlease visit https://thebookvoice.com/podcasts/1/audiobook/740662 to listen full audiobooks. Title: The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck Author: David Spiegelhalter Narrator: David Spiegelhalter Format: Unabridged Audiobook Length: 10 hours 52 minutes Release date: September 19, 2024 Genres: Social Science Publisher's Summary: Brought to you by Penguin. From the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives? D...2024-09-1905 min
The Studies ShowEpisode 48: AlcoholOkay, it’s time to finally answer the question: is drinking booze good or bad? Is there really a “J-curve”, such that it’s bad to drink zero alcohol, good to drink a little, and then bad to drink any more than that? What exactly is the “safe level” of alcohol consumption, and why do the meta-analyses on this topic all seem to tell us entirely different things?In this episode of The Studies Show, Tom and Stuart get very badly intoxicated—with statistics.We’re sponsored by Works in Progress magazine. There’s no better place onlin...2024-09-0355 min
Get New Full Audiobooks in Non-Fiction, Social ScienceThe Art of Statistics: Learning from Data by David SpiegelhalterPlease visit https://thebookvoice.com/podcasts/1/audiobook/778205 to listen full audiobooks. Title: The Art of Statistics: Learning from Data Author: David Spiegelhalter Narrator: Jonathan Davis Format: Unabridged Audiobook Length: 9 hours 0 minutes Release date: June 6, 2024 Genres: Social Science Publisher's Summary: Brought to you by Penguin. Do busier hospitals have higher survival rates? How many trees are there on the planet? Why do old men have big ears? David Spiegelhalter reveals the answers to these and many other questions - questions that can only be addressed using statistical science. Statistics has played a leading role in our scientific understanding of the world...2024-06-0605 min
The Data Malarkey PodcastHow can we best communicate risk in our uncertain, post-truth world? With Sir David Spiegelhalter, Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of CambridgeIn this episode of the Data Malarkey podcast, your host Sam Knowles is joined by one of the world’s finest data storytellers, David Spiegelhalter, the statistician and public communicator of his generation. Although he claims to have been retired for five years, the Emeritus Professor of Statistics from Cambridge University is working harder than ever. Our conversation was recorded remotely, via the medium of Riverside.fm, on 6 March 2024. Thanks to Joe Hickey for production support. Podcast artwork by Shatter Media. Voice over by Sam...2024-05-0853 min
The Strand Review of BooksThe Art of Statistics, with the author, Professor Sir David SpiegelhalterProfessor Sir David Spiegelhalter looks at life through the statistical lens, at how we can present data more cogently, and at how numbers literally do not speak for themselves. Crunch the numbers for ten minutes with the UK's leading statistician. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.2024-03-2609 min
Countercurrent: conversations with Professor Roger KneeboneDavid Spiegelhalter in conversation with Roger KneeboneProfessor Sir David Spiegelhalter was Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge until his recent retirement. A gifted broadcaster and communicator, David became familiar to many through his media discussions around statistics and risk during the Covid-19 pandemic. https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~david/ 2024-03-181h 07
unSILOed with Greg LaBlanc389. Why Understanding Statistics Is a Fundamental Part of Life with David SpiegelhalterWhen people are told a statistical claim, particularly about risk, the most important follow-up they can ask is about magnitude. How big of a number or impact is this? But many lack a basic understanding of statistics and how they fit into our world. It’s not baked into the fundamentals of education. David Spiegelhalter is an emeritus professor of statistics at the University of Cambridge. His books like The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data and Covid By Numbers: Making Sense of the Pandemic with Data help contextualize the importance and impact of statistics in...2024-02-261h 00
Người Thành CôngNghệ thuật thống kê - Sách Tinh Gọn
Quyển sách này nói về điều gì?
Đối với nhiều người, thống kê học là một lĩnh vực khoa học khô khan, khó tiếp cận, nhưng thực tế không hẳn như vậy! Trong bối cảnh công nghệ và truyền thông đa phương tiện phát triển như vũ bão, thống kê đã len lỏi vào mọi hoạt động, mọi lĩnh vực của đời sống và thông tin thống kê đã trở thành một trong những chìa khoá then chốt...2024-01-0826 min
Statistically SpeakingCommunicating Statistics: Crossing the minefields of misinformation. In this episode we talk about the growth of data use in the media and the potential impact of misinformation on the public’s trust in official statistics. Navigating podcast host Miles Fletcher through this minefield is Prof Sir David Spiegelhalter, from the University of Cambridge; Ed Humpherson, Head of the Office for Statistics Regulation; and award-winning data journalist Simon Rogers. Transcript MILES FLETCHER Welcome again to Statistically Speaking, the official podcast of the UK’s Office for National Statistics, I'm Miles Fletcher. Now we've talked many times before...2023-10-0549 min
kasulaphidanREADDOWNLOAD@^ Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation Full Books**Download Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation Full Edition,Full Version,Full Book**by David SpiegelhalterReading Now at : https://happyreadingebook.club/?book=0471499757ORDOWNLOAD EBOOK NOW!Read PDF READ/DOWNLOAD@^ Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation Full Books Ebook Online PDF Download and Download PDF READ/DOWNLOAD@^ Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation Full Books Ebook Online PDF Download by David Spiegelhalter2023-09-1000 min
immianthez^DOWNLOAD E.B.O.O.K.# Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation Ebook READ ONLINE**Download Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation Full Edition,Full Version,Full Book**by David SpiegelhalterReading Now at : https://happyreadingebook.club/?book=0471499757ORDOWNLOAD EBOOK NOW!Read PDF ^DOWNLOAD E.B.O.O.K.# Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation Ebook | READ ONLINE Ebook Online PDF Download and Download PDF ^DOWNLOAD E.B.O.O.K.# Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation Ebook | READ ONLINE Ebook Online PDF Download by David Spiegelhalter2023-09-0900 min
Investment UncutS4 Ep.21 Statistics in the real world with David SpiegelhalterWe talk to David Spiegelhalter, Emeritus Professor of Statistics at Cambridge University and prior Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk. Also known for appearances on Total Wipeout and Desert Island Discs!2023-06-2830 min
ReproducibiliTea PodcastS3E02: Citational politics in open science: don't be a d*ck about itWe mentioned lots of resources this week, brace yourselves!
Books that changed our worlds
How To Read a Paper: The Basics of Evidence-Based Medicine by Trisha Greenhalgh
https://www.amazon.co.uk/How-Read-Paper-Evidence-Based-Medicine/dp/1444334360
How to Win Campaigns by Chris Rose
https://www.amazon.co.uk/How-Win-Campaigns-Steps-Success/dp/1853839620
Pollution is Colonialism by Max Liboiron
https://www.dukeupress.edu/pollution-is-colonialism
A Student’s Guide to Open Science by Charlotte Pennington
https://www.mheducation.co.uk/a-student-s-guide-to-open-science-using-the-replication-crisis-to-reform-psychology-9780335251162-emea-group
The Art of Statistics: Learning from Data by David Spiegelhalter
https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/294857/the-art-of-statistics-by-spiegelhalter-david/9780241258767
Tools we mention:
FORRT Academic Wheel of Pr...2023-04-141h 14
University of OxfordCommunicating the evidence with Professor Sir David SpiegelhalterIn the second episode of the series, Vicky talks to Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at the University of Cambridge.
A leading statistician, and author, Professor Spiegelhalter discusses his work on the successful Predict tools for breast and prostate cancer, which help patients make informed decisions about their cancer treatment.
Vicky and Professor Spiegelhalter explore the role of statisticians in communicating risk to the public, and how patients can be empowered to engage with clinicians in a meaningful way when weighing up the benefits and risks of...2022-11-1150 min
The Human Risk PodcastProfessor David Spiegelhalter on Communicating RiskHow can we make sense of what we're told about risk? We're bombarded with messages on subjects ranging from COVID to the economy from people that range from genuine experts to those with no expertise but strong opinions. On this episode, I'm speaking to Professor David Spiegelhalter.David is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication within the Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics at Cambridge University. The Centre is dedicated to improving the way that quantitative evidence is used in society. Listeners in the UK will almost certainly have seen or h...2022-07-171h 03
Instant GeniusCOVID numbers, with Professor Sir David SpiegelhalterWhat story do the statistics tell about the pandemic? Sir David Spiegelhalter, the non-executive director the UK Statistics Authority, explores what lessons we’ve learned over the last two years.Once you’ve mastered the basics with Instant Genius, dive deeper with Instant Genius Extra, where you’ll find longer, richer discussions about the most exciting ideas in the world of science and technology. Only available on Apple Podcasts.Produced by the team behind BBC Science Focus Magazine. Visit our website: sciencefocus.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for mo...2022-06-0627 min
Transport TalksHow safe are our roads - David Davies PACTSThis week data was released on Reported road casualties in Great Britain, - providing provisional results for 2021. These provisional statistics show:• an estimated 1,560 reported road deaths in 2021, a reduction of 12% from the 2017 to 2019 average• an estimated 27,300 killed or seriously injured (KSI) casualties in 2021, a reduction of 13% from the 2017 to 2019 average• an estimated 127,967 casualties of all severities in 2021, a reduction of 21% from the 2017 to 2019 average• there were increases in casualties of all severities in 2021 compared with 2020, though pedal cyclists showed a reduction in fatalities (20%)• there are age and sex differences in casualty trends, with female fat...2022-05-2729 min
BlueSci PodcastSociety and statistics, with Professor Sir David SpiegelhalterIn this episode, Mark and Georgia spoke to Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, who is currently Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, based within the Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics at the University of Cambridge. Prior to this, he was the Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk in the Statistical Laboratory within the same department. He completed his undergraduate degree in statistics at the University of Oxford, later moving to University College London to complete his MSc and PhD in mathematical statistics under the supervision of Sir Adrian Smith.His...2022-05-2338 min
Dana-Farber Data Science PodcastSir David Spiegelhalter, PhD - Communicating Statistical Findings EffectivelyWhat does the future hold for statistics education? How can we improve public data literacy? Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, PhD is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at University of Cambridge, dedicated to improving the way that quantitative evidence is used in society. He has been an applied statistician for over 40 decades and has been involved in several projects with important implications. His academic work has focused in Bayesian statistics, including being co-developer of BUGS and winBUGS, biomedical applications and science communication. He has won numerous awards for his work including being knighted in 2014. He...2022-05-0943 min
Free Audiobook, Where Stories Come Alive, Take a DiveLuck Audiobook by David FlusfederListen to this audiobook in full for free onhttps://hotaudiobook.com/freeID: 519937
Title: Luck
Author: David Flusfeder
Narrator: Leighton Pugh
Format: Unabridged
Length: 9:24:35
Language: English
Release date: 03-31-22
Publisher: HarperCollins Publishers UK
Genres: History, Self Development, Health & Wellness, World, Science & Technology, Mathematics
Summary:
A joy Philippe Sands
Glorious David Spiegelhalter
A fascinating, enchanting and personal look at the meaning of luck, and the way in which it has shaped our shared history and continues to inflect our day to day lives.
What does it mean to be lucky? How might we mitigate the effects of bad luck and maximise...2022-03-319h 24
Find Best-Selling Full Audiobooks in History, WorldLuck by David FlusfederPlease visithttps://thebookvoice.com/podcasts/1/audiobook/519937to listen full audiobooks.
Title: Luck
Author: David Flusfeder
Narrator: Leighton Pugh
Format: Unabridged Audiobook
Length: 9 hours 24 minutes
Release date: March 31, 2022
Genres: World
Publisher's Summary:
‘A joy’ Philippe Sands ‘Glorious’ David Spiegelhalter A fascinating, enchanting and personal look at the meaning of luck, and the way in which it has shaped our shared history and continues to inflect our day to day lives. What does it mean to be lucky? How might we mitigate the effects of bad luck and maximise those of good? Is there actually such a thing as ‘luck’—some force that intervene...2022-03-319h 24
Find Best-Selling Full Audiobooks in History, WorldLuck by David FlusfederPlease visit https://thebookvoice.com/podcasts/1/audiobook/519937 to listen full audiobooks. Title: Luck Author: David Flusfeder Narrator: Leighton Pugh Format: Unabridged Audiobook Length: 9 hours 24 minutes Release date: March 31, 2022 Genres: World Publisher's Summary: ‘A joy’ Philippe Sands ‘Glorious’ David Spiegelhalter A fascinating, enchanting and personal look at the meaning of luck, and the way in which it has shaped our shared history and continues to inflect our day to day lives. What does it mean to be lucky? How might we mitigate the effects of bad luck and maximise those of good? Is there actually such a thing as ‘luck’—some force that int...2022-03-3105 min
Maths on the MoveLooking back at our first glimpse of the virus: with David SpiegelhalterToday, 23 March 2022, marks two years since the UK locked down for the first time in the COVID-19 pandemic. We relaunch the Plus podcast by looking back to where our pandemic coverage all began, by revisiting our podcast from April 2020.
Back in March and April 2020 one thing was on everybody's mind: the novel coronavirus - now better known as COVID-19. In this podcast we spoke to two people who have become very familiar to many of us over the last two years. We reported on our first COVID-19 conversation with Julia Gog, an epidemiologist who has be...2022-03-2333 min
Shaping the Post-COVID WorldCOVID by Numbers: making sense of the pandemic with dataContributor(s): Dr Anthony Masters, Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter | Anthony Masters is Statistical Ambassador for the Royal Statistical Society.
David Spiegelhalter is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, Centre for Mathematical Sciences, University of Cambridge.
They are the authors of COVID by Numbers: making sense of the pandemic with data.
Qiwei Yao is Professor in the Department of Statistics at LSE.2022-03-141h 01
Desert Island DiscsProfessor Sir David Spiegelhalter, statisticianProfessor Sir David Spiegelhalter specialises in medical statistics. He is the Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at Cambridge University, and one of the most frequently cited experts in his field. During the Covid 19 pandemic, he has made regular appearances as a broadcaster and newspaper commentator, analysing and explaining complex data for a general audience. David was born in Barnstable, the youngest of three children. After studying maths at Oxford University and University College London, he spent a year teaching at the University of Berkeley, California before returning to the UK. He has...2022-02-0637 min
The Possibility Club5 Big Questions: PROFESSOR SIR DAVID SPIEGELHALTERPROFESSOR SIR DAVID SPIEGELHALTER on data, counting beans and public trust in numbers - Full show notes, links, credits and further reading can be found at alwayspossible.co.uk/podcast/David-Spiegelhalter/2022-01-1430 min
Ben Yeoh ChatsDavid Spiegelhalter: COVID statistics, thinking about risk in life and medicineDavid Spiegelhalter is an expert on medical statistics. He was the president of the Royal Statistical Society and is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence communication. He is also a World Champion, in a version of pool called Loop and hosts his own podcast, Risky Talk. David has a new book out (with Anthony Masters), COVID by Numbers, which is an excellent book on COVID statistics. This follows his previous bestseller, the Art of Statistics.
David discusses what was most surprising and misunderstood about COVID statistics. David emphasises how numbers can be emotional and wea...2022-01-111h 11
Stats + StoriesCovid By Numbers | Stats + Stories Episode 210There's so much data out there about COVID-19 it can be hard to make sense of it all. Over the last year, a couple of statisticians have been working to help the readers of the Guardian, get a handle on the numbers. Dr. Anthony Masters and Sir David John Spiegelhalter have a new book out based on their weekly blog titled COVID by the Numbers, which is the focus of this episode of Stats and Stories.
Dr. Anthony Masters (@anthonybmasters) is a Chartered Statistician, a Statistical Ambassador for the Royal Statistical Society, and a frequent blogger and explainer of statistical i...2021-12-0230 min
Learning Bayesian StatisticsTa(l)king Risks & Embracing Uncertainty, with David SpiegelhalterFolks, this is the 50th episode of LBS — 50th! I never would have thought that there were so many Bayesian nerds in the world when I first interviewed Osvaldo Martin more than 2 years ago. To celebrate that random, crazy adventure, I wanted to do a special episode at any random point, and so it looks like it’s gonna be #50! This episode is special by its guest, not its number — although my guest knows a thing or two about numbers. Most recently, he wrote the book Covid by Numbers.A mathematical statistician dedicated to helping the gen...2021-11-061h 04Learning Bayesian StatisticsTa(l)king Risks & Embracing Uncertainty, with David SpiegelhalterFolks, this is the 50th episode of LBS — 50th! I never would have thought that there were so many Bayesian nerds in the world when I first interviewed Osvaldo Martin more than 2 years ago. To celebrate that random, crazy adventure, I wanted to do a special episode at any random point, and so it looks like it’s gonna be #50! This episode is special by its guest, not its number — although my guest knows a thing or two about numbers. Most recently, he wrote the book Covid by Numbers.A mathematical statistician dedicated to helping the gen...2021-11-061h 04
This Week in Intelligent InvestingDavid Spiegelhalter on Risk and the Use (and Misuse) of Statistics | Suprising Market InternalsIn this episode, co-hosts Phil Ordway, Elliot Turner, and John Mihaljevic discuss (i) an interview with Sir David Spiegelhalter on risk and the use (and misuse) of statistics, published in the Financial Times on April 16, 2021; and (ii) a table from Morgan Stanley, showing that more than 90% of stocks have declined more than 10% from their YTD highs (>30% for Nasdaq and Russell 2000 stocks) even as the market indices remain only a few percentage points off their highs.
Enjoy the conversation!
About the Co-Hosts:
Elliot Turner is a co-founder and Managing Partner, CIO at R...2021-10-1650 min
Intelligence SquaredCovid by Numbers with David SpiegelhalterWith data on the Covid-19 pandemic changing shape with every new outbreak and new mutation, it's a complex task to make sense of where the story of the virus will head next. David Spiegelhalter is chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at Cambridge University and an expert on crunching figures in order to understand successes and failures. His new book Covid by Numbers, co-written with Anthony Masters, seeks to shine a spotlight on the UK's handling of the pandemic. In this episode he speaks with the virologist and host...2021-10-1542 min
The Clin Comm PodcastEpisode 8: Risk Communication in Covid (with Sir David Spiegelhalter)This episode is all about communicating about risks and statistics, [first broadcast during the Covid pandemic]. When you’re talking to patients – in the consulting room, on the phone, or perhaps even on the radio or TV - how do you explain the sensitivity and specificity of a test, confidence intervals, or the benefits and risks of taking the Covid vaccine? Should we use analogies, and what about relative versus absolute risk? Our expert guest offers practical tips.[First broadcast April 10th, 2021] With guest statistician Sir David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor of the Pu...2021-04-1028 min
TALKING POLITICSLooking Back, Looking ForwardThis week David, Helen and our producer Catherine Carr look back at five years of podcasting and five years of crazy politics, to pick our favourite moments and to discuss what we've learned. From the 2015 general election to the current crisis, via the Corn Laws and Crashed, the politics of abortion and super forecasting, Corbyn and nuclear weapons. Plus, we'll let you know about some of our plans for 2021.Episodes Mentioned in this Episode: Crashed with Adam ToozeAdam Tooze on post-COVID economicsThe Corn Laws with Boyd HiltonAnother Shock! (From 2017) with Finbarr LiveseyThe Talking Politics Guide… to Nu...2020-12-2446 min
Great LivesDavid Spiegelhalter on Frank RamseyFrank Plumpton Ramsey contributed original ideas to the fields of logic, mathematics, economics and philosophy. He was a friend and respected interlocutor of Keynes, Wittgenstein, Russell and Moore, who considered him to be one of the sharpest minds around. His contributions are all the more remarkable given that he only lived to be 26.Matthew Parris and David Spiegelhalter are joined by Cheryl Misak, author of "Frank Ramsey: A Sheer Excess of Powers".Producer: Ellie Richold2020-12-1727 min
Living Proof - the Isaac Newton Institute podcast#27 “An ecology of people telling it how it is”: an interview with Professor Sir David SpiegelhalterIn this episode, David Spiegelhalter joins the podcast to talk about a frenetic six months of risk communication, and more.2020-10-0835 min
Living Proof: the Isaac Newton Institute podcast#27 “An ecology of people telling it how it is”: an interview with Professor Sir David SpiegelhalterSend us a textIn this episode, David Spiegelhalter joins the podcast to talk about a frenetic six months of risk communication, and more.2020-10-0835 min
5x15David Spiegelhalter - Communicating statistics, risks and uncertainty in the age of COVID19David Spiegelhalter is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication in the University of Cambridge, which aims to improve the way that statistical evidence is used by health professionals, patients, lawyers, media and policy-makers.
Apart from academic publications, he has written The Norm Chronicles (with Michael Blastland), Sex by Numbers, and the recently-published The Art of Statistics. He presented the BBC4 documentaries Tails you Win: the Science of Chance and the award-winning Climate Change by Numbers. He was elected Fellow of the Royal Society in 2005, knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, and was President of the...2020-08-0411 min
5x15David Spiegelhalter - Communicating statistics, risks and uncertainty in the age of COVID19David Spiegelhalter is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication in the University of Cambridge, which aims to improve the way that statistical evidence is used by health professionals, patients, lawyers, media and policy-makers. Apart from academic publications, he has written The Norm Chronicles (with Michael Blastland), Sex by Numbers, and the recently-published The Art of Statistics. He presented the BBC4 documentaries Tails you Win: the Science of Chance and the award-winning Climate Change by Numbers. He was elected Fellow of the Royal Society in 2005, knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, and was President of the...2020-08-0411 min
Better KnownDavid SpiegelhalterDavid Spiegelhalter discusses with Ivan six things which he thinks should be better known.
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication in the University of Cambridge, which aims to improve the way that statistical evidence is used by health professionals, patients, lawyers and judges, media and policy-makers. He advises organisations and government agencies on risk communication and is a regular media commentator on statistical issues, with a particular focus on communicating uncertainty.
His background is in medical statistics, and he has over 200 refereed publications and is co-author...2020-06-0728 min
CSaP: The Science & Policy PodcastScience, Policy & Pandemics: Episode 2 - Communicating Evidence and UncertaintyWhat do we know about public trust in expert knowledge when the stakes are high and there is considerable uncertainty?
This week, our host Dr Rob Doubleday sits down with Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter and Dr Alexandra Freeman of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication. In the context of the current pandemic, we discuss what research has been done on the best way to communicate evidence and uncertainty and the best way to communicate the relationship between expert advice and political decision making.
CSaP's Science and Policy Podcast is a production of the C...2020-04-0332 min
More or Less: Behind the StatsThe RiskProfessor Sir David Spiegelhalter, Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, puts the risks of Covid-19 into perspective. He found that the proportion of people who get infected by coronavirus, who then go on to die increases with age, and the trend matches almost exactly how our background mortality risk also goes up. Catching the disease could be like packing a year’s worth of risk into a couple of weeks.(Mathematician and Risk guru, Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter at the University of Cambridge. Credit: In Pictures Ltd./Corbis via Getty Images)2020-03-2809 min
TALKING POLITICSSuperforecastingWe talk to David Spiegelhalter, Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, about the science of forecasting. Who or what are the superforecasters? How can they help governments make better decisions? And will intelligent machines ever be able to outdo the humans at seeing into the future? From Cummings to coronavirus, a conversation about the knowns, unknowns and what lies beyond that.Talking Points: Tetlock discovered that some people make better predictions than others.Some of the qualities that make this possible are deeply human, such as doggedness, determinedness, and openness to new in...2020-03-1247 min
Evidenz-Geschichte(n)Der seltsame Fall des Schinken-SandwichEine Geschichte um Fleisch, Krebs und irreführende Risiko-Angaben
“Careless pork costs lives” aka "Dein Schinken-Sandwich will dich töten": Wie können auf der Basis von seriösen wissenschaftlichen Studien solche sensationsheischenden Schlagzeilen entstehen? Der Weg führt oft über irreführende Risikoangaben.
Unsere Quellen
David Spiegelhalter. The Art of Statistics: Learning from data. Penguin 2019
WHO-IARC Press Release No. 240: IARC Monographs evaluate consumption of red meat and processed meat (26.10.2015)
Zeit Online 26.10.2015 “Rauchen kann töten, Wurst essen auch?”
WHO (Oktober 2015) - Q&A on the carcinogenicity of the consumption of r...2019-12-1907 min
DO Lectures Podcast043: David Spiegelhalter | If You Can Calculate Risk, You Can Make Better JudgmentsHow do we live with risk? How do we quantify it? How do we talk about it? Can we understand uncertainty better? David has made this his life's work.David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge and Senior Scientist in the MRC Biostatistics Unit.His background is in medical statistics, particularly the use of Bayesian methods in clinical trials, health technology assessment and drug safety.He led the statistical team in the Bristol Royal Infirmary Inquiry and also gave evidence to the Shipman Inquiry. In his post, he l...2019-12-1726 min
New Books in MedicineDavid Spiegelhalter, "The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data" (Basic, 2019)Today's guest is distinguished researcher and statistician, Sir David Spiegelhalter. A fellow of the Royal Society, he is currently Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at the University of Cambridge. He has dedicated his career, in his words to, “improving the way that quantitative evidence is used in society.” This includes (of particular interest to us) biostatistics and medical research.David is an ISI highly cited researcher who has also focused much of his time and energy to public education through numerous media appearances, documentaries such as his recent BBC series geared towards chil...2019-12-131h 02
New Books in MathematicsDavid Spiegelhalter, "The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data" (Basic, 2019)Today's guest is distinguished researcher and statistician, Sir David Spiegelhalter. A fellow of the Royal Society, he is currently Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at the University of Cambridge. He has dedicated his career, in his words to, “improving the way that quantitative evidence is used in society.” This includes (of particular interest to us) biostatistics and medical research.David is an ISI highly cited researcher who has also focused much of his time and energy to public education through numerous media appearances, documentaries such as his recent BBC series geared towards chil...2019-12-131h 02
New Books in ScienceDavid Spiegelhalter, "The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data" (Basic, 2019)Today's guest is distinguished researcher and statistician, Sir David Spiegelhalter. A fellow of the Royal Society, he is currently Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at the University of Cambridge. He has dedicated his career, in his words to, “improving the way that quantitative evidence is used in society.” This includes (of particular interest to us) biostatistics and medical research.David is an ISI highly cited researcher who has also focused much of his time and energy to public education through numerous media appearances, documentaries such as his recent BBC series geared towards chil...2019-12-131h 02
Download Best Full Audiobooks in Non-Fiction, Computers & TechnologyThe Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data by David SpiegelhalterPlease visit https://thebookvoice.com/podcasts/1/audiobook/393462 to listen full audiobooks. Title: The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data Author: David Spiegelhalter Narrator: Jonathan Davis Format: Unabridged Audiobook Length: 9 hours 2 minutes Release date: September 3, 2019 Ratings: Ratings of Book: 4.67 of Total 6 Ratings of Narrator: 5 of Total 1 Genres: Computers & Technology Publisher's Summary: In this "important and comprehensive" guide to statistical thinking (New Yorker), discover how data literacy is changing the world and gives you a better understanding of life’s biggest problems. Statistics are everywhere, as integral to science as they are to business, and in the popular media hundreds of t...2019-09-0303 min
Farrel Buchinsky's Listen Later#2 - David Spiegelhalter on risk, stats and improving understanding of science Podcast: 80,000 Hours Podcast (LS 54 · TOP 0.5% what is this?)Episode: #2 - David Spiegelhalter on risk, stats and improving understanding of sciencePub date: 2017-06-21Get Podcast Transcript →powered by Listen411 - fast audio-to-text and summarizationRecorded in 2015 by Robert Wiblin with colleague Jess Whittlestone at the Centre for Effective Altruism, and recovered from the dusty 80,000 Hours archives. David Spiegelhalter is a statistician at the University of Cambridge and something of an academic celebrity in the UK. Part of his role is to improve the public understanding of ri...2019-05-0933 min
Farrel Buchinsky's Listen LaterThere’s no such thing as Blue Monday - Sir David Spiegelhalter Podcast: Instant Genius (LS 46 · TOP 1% what is this?)Episode: There’s no such thing as Blue Monday - Sir David SpiegelhalterPub date: 2019-01-16Get Podcast Transcript →powered by Listen411 - fast audio-to-text and summarizationStatistician and Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk in the Statistical Laboratory at the University of Cambridge Sir David Spiegelhalter explains the pseudoscience behind Blue Monday, the power of numbers, and how to spot a dodgy stat. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. Learn more...2019-05-0923 min
Farrel Buchinsky's Listen LaterMaking Algorithms Trustworthy with David Spiegelhalter - TWiML Talk #212 Podcast: The TWIML AI Podcast (formerly This Week in Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence) (LS 55 · TOP 0.5% what is this?)Episode: Making Algorithms Trustworthy with David Spiegelhalter - TWiML Talk #212Pub date: 2018-12-20Get Podcast Transcript →powered by Listen411 - fast audio-to-text and summarizationToday we’re joined by David Spiegelhalter, Chair of Winton Center for Risk and Evidence Communication at Cambridge University and President of the Royal Statistical Society. David, an invited speaker at NeurIPS, presented on “Making Algorithms Trustworthy: What Can Statistical Science Contribute to Transparency, Explanation and Validation?”. In our conve...2019-05-0923 min
LSE PodcastsLearning from Data: the art of statistics [Audio]Speaker(s): Professor David Spiegelhalter | In his new book, The Art of Statistics, David Spiegelhalter guides us through the essential principles we need in order to derive knowledge from data, showing us why data can never speak for itself. He explains the basic concepts, from regression to P-values (without using mathematics), and introduces the intellectual ideas that underpin statistics. Drawing on numerous real world examples, he shows us how statistics can help us determine the luckiest passenger on the Titanic, whether serial killer Harold Shipman could have been caught earlier, and if the skeleton in the Leicester car park really...2019-03-271h 28
Connecting with Coincidence with Dr. Bernard Beitman, MDCCBB: Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, University of Cambridge - CoincidencesProfessor Sir David Spiegelhalter is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication in the University of Cambridge, which aims to improve the way that statistical evidence is used by health professionals, patients, lawyers and judges, media and policy-makers. He advises organisations and government agencies on risk communication and is a regular media commentator on statistical issues, with a particular focus on communicating uncertainty.He has over 200 refereed publications and is co-author of 6 textbooks, as well as The Norm Chronicles (with Michael Blastland), Sex by Numbers, and The Art of Statistics. He works extensively with the...2019-02-0848 min
Connecting with Coincidence with Dr. Bernard Beitman, MDCCBB: Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, University of Cambridge - CoincidencesProfessor Sir David Spiegelhalter is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication in the University of Cambridge, which aims to improve the way that statistical evidence is used by health professionals, patients, lawyers and judges, media and policy-makers. He advises organisations and government agencies on risk communication and is a regular media commentator on statistical issues, with a particular focus on communicating uncertainty.He has over 200 refereed publications and is co-author of 6 textbooks, as well as The Norm Chronicles (with Michael Blastland), Sex by Numbers, and The Art of Statistics. He works extensively with the...2019-02-0848 min
Instant GeniusThere’s no such thing as Blue Monday - Sir David SpiegelhalterStatistician and Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk in the Statistical Laboratory at the University of Cambridge Sir David Spiegelhalter explains the pseudoscience behind Blue Monday, the power of numbers, and how to spot a dodgy stat. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices2019-01-1623 min
The TWIML AI Podcast (formerly This Week in Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence)Making Algorithms Trustworthy with David SpiegelhalterToday we’re joined by David Spiegelhalter, Chair of Winton Center for Risk and Evidence Communication at Cambridge University and President of the Royal Statistical Society. David, an invited speaker at NeurIPS, presented on “Making Algorithms Trustworthy: What Can Statistical Science Contribute to Transparency, Explanation and Validation?”. In our conversation, we explore the nuanced difference between being trusted and being trustworthy, and its implications for those building AI systems.2018-12-2023 min
University of CambridgeDavid Spiegelhalter - How To Spot Dodgy Data In The NewsWhether it's about the risks of eating burnt toast or changes in sexual habits, numbers get used to give weight to a media story. But statistics are frequently abused, with exaggerations and misunderstandings disguised by the illusion of hard facts. Professor David Spiegelhalter shows how to identify the naughty numbers and the shabby stats, and how some basic mathematics can take apart scare stories.
David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk and Fellow of Churchill College at Cambridge University, and as Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, he works to improve the...2018-04-1756 min
Social Science BitesDavid Spiegelhalter on Communicating StatisticsWhile they aren’t as unpopular as politicians or journalists, people who work with statistics come in for their share of abuse. “Figures lie and liars figure,” goes one maxim. And don’t forget, “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." But some people are the good guys, doing their best to combat the flawed or dishonest use of numbers. One of those good guys is David Spiegelhalter, professor of the public understanding of risk in the Statistical Laboratory in the Centre for Mathematical Sciences at the University of Cambridge and current president of the Royal...2018-04-0219 min
Seriously...What Are the Odds?Rajesh speaks with Professor David Spiegelhalter of Cambridge University who has been collecting stories of coincidence since 2011. Rajesh wants to find out why he is so prone to coincidence. Along with discovering mind blowing coincidences Rajesh sets out on an experiment to see if he can seek out coincidence and he's very surprised by the results.David Spiegelhalter believes its not that these things occur, it's that we notice them. As well as giving an opportunity to study probability and chance David believes that coincidences are important to us, because they are uplifting and good for us...2018-03-2031 minSeriously...Good Luck Professor SpiegelhalterRhianna Dhillon brings you another seriously interesting story from Radio 4.This week, luck.Whether we believe in luck or not, we do use the word- a lot! More as a figure of speech than an article of faith perhaps but some do pray for luck, others fantasise about it - and bad luck or misfortune is a staple of comedyCan luck be said to exist as some force in our lives and if so, what is its nature? How have people thought about luck in the past and what's changed today? Can...2018-01-1258 min
80,000 Hours Podcast#2 - David Spiegelhalter on risk, stats and improving understanding of scienceRecorded in 2015 by Robert Wiblin with colleague Jess Whittlestone at the Centre for Effective Altruism, and recovered from the dusty 80,000 Hours archives. David Spiegelhalter is a statistician at the University of Cambridge and something of an academic celebrity in the UK. Part of his role is to improve the public understanding of risk - especially everyday risks we face like getting cancer or dying in a car crash. As a result he’s regularly in the media explaining numbers in the news, trying to assist both ordinary people and politicians focus on the important risks we f...2017-06-2133 min
Latest 300 | LSE Public lectures and events | Audio and pdfA Global Population of 9 Billion is Sustainable [Audio]Speaker(s): Professor Sarah Conly, Joel Kibazo, Robin Maynard, Johan Norberg, Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter | In this new series of debates entitled Glass Half Full, being recorded for broadcast on BBC Radio 4, Fi Glover pits optimists against pessimists in a new topical debating format. A lead speaker on each side presents their argument, and both question expert witnesses to support their point of view. At the end of the debate, the audience votes and declares in favour of an optimistic or pessimistic view of the subject - Glass Half Empty - or Full! This second debate will discuss if projected...2017-03-151h 38
Cambridge MindsCambridge Minds – Sir David John Spiegelhalter & Roger MoseyAward-winning broadcaster Trevor Dann presents a new series for Cambridge 105 in which he interviews some of the university city’s brightest stars. The first edition features statistician Sir David John Spiegelhalter, OBE FRS and Master of Selwyn College Roger Mosey.2015-03-2257 min
Download Most Popular Audiobooks in Nonfiction, Social SciencesThe Norm Chronicles Audiobook by Michael Blastland, David SpiegelhalterListen to this audiobook free with a 30-day trial. Go tohttp://hotaudiobook.com/freeTitle: The Norm Chronicles
Subtitle: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death
Author: Michael Blastland, David Spiegelhalter
Narrator: Angelo Di Loreto
Format: Unabridged
Length: 11 hrs
Language: English
Release date: 03-10-15
Publisher: Audible Studios
Ratings: 4.5 of 5 out of 10 votes
Genres: Nonfiction, Social Sciences
Publisher's Summary:
Is it safer to fly or take the train? How dangerous is skydiving? And is eating that extra sausage going to kill you? We've all heard the statistics for risky activities, but what do they mean in the real world? In The...2015-03-1011 minAutumn 2013 | Public lectures and events | Audio and pdfThinking and Feeling About Risk: can they be separated?Contributor(s): Professor David Spiegelhalter | Whether it’s bicycle helmets or fracking, people often have strong feelings about risks and their control. But, when considering risk, to what extent is it feasible to separate thinking and feeling? David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk in the Statistical Laboratory, University of Cambridge.2013-10-241h 24Autumn 2013 | Public lectures and events | VideoThinking and Feeling About Risk: can they be separated?Contributor(s): Professor David Spiegelhalter | Whether it’s bicycle helmets or fracking, people often have strong feelings about risks and their control. But, when considering risk, to what extent is it feasible to separate thinking and feeling? David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk in the Statistical Laboratory, University of Cambridge.2013-10-241h 24
The Life ScientificDavid SpiegelhalterIs it more reckless to eat a bacon sandwich everyday or to go skydiving? What's the chance that all children in the same family have exactly the same birthday? Jim Al-Khalili talks to Professor David Spiegelhalter about risk, uncertainty and the real odds behind everyday life. As one of the world's leading statisticians, he is regularly called upon to help answer questions in high profile inquiries - like the one into the Harold Shipman murders, infant heart surgery at Bristol Royal Infirmary and the PiP breast implant scandal.Jim finds out more about the Life...2013-06-1827 min
Combinations And PermutationsCombinations and Permutations Episode 69: A Taste of SCCSamuel Hansen was unable to get his fellow guests together so today on Combinations and Permutations we feature two interviews from our sister show Strongly Connected Components, Daina Taimina and David Spiegelhalter.
Support the ACMEScience Kickstarter project Relatively Prime: Stories from the Mathematical Domain.
Daina Taimina is the author of “Crocheting Adventures with Hyperbolic Planes” and Professor at Cornell Univerity. She and Samuel talk about how crochet can model hyperbolic geometry and the importance of just doing mathematics, as well as its history. To find out more about Daina Taimina and her work visit her websit...2011-06-2253 minCombinations And PermutationsCombinations and Permutations Episode 69: A Taste of SCCSamuel Hansen was unable to get his fellow guests together so today on Combinations and Permutations we feature two interviews from our sister show Strongly Connected Components, Daina Taimina and David Spiegelhalter.
Support the ACMEScience Kickstarter project Relatively Prime: Stories from the Mathematical Domain.
Daina Taimina is the author of “Crocheting Adventures with Hyperbolic Planes” and Professor at Cornell Univerity. She and Samuel talk about how crochet can model hyperbolic geometry and the importance of just doing mathematics, as well as its history. To find out more about Daina Taimina and her work visit her websit...2011-06-2253 min
Strongly Connected ComponentsStrongly Connected Components Episode 27: David SpiegelhalterOn today’s episode of Strongly Connected Components Samuel Hansen called up the Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk, as well as Senior Scientist in the MRC Biostatistics Unit, David Spiegelhalter. They discussed the true meaning of risk, the importance of the Bayesian Method, how to get a lot of citations, and even a …2011-02-0128 minAutumn 2010 | Public lectures and events | Audio and pdfTrying to Quantify UncertaintyContributor(s): Professor David Spiegelhalter | There has been a traditional division between 'risk', which can be quantified using probability distributions, and 'uncertainty', which is the surrounding mess of doubt, disagreement and ignorance. Spiegelhalter will use examples from swine flu to climate change to illustrate different approaches to dealing with uncertainty, from ignoring it to trying to fully quantify it, and conclude that we should all try to be aware and open about the magnitude and potential consequences of our ignorance. David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge as well as senior...2010-11-171h 03Autumn 2010 | Public lectures and events | VideoTrying to Quantify UncertaintyContributor(s): Professor David Spiegelhalter | There has been a traditional division between 'risk', which can be quantified using probability distributions, and 'uncertainty', which is the surrounding mess of doubt, disagreement and ignorance. Spiegelhalter will use examples from swine flu to climate change to illustrate different approaches to dealing with uncertainty, from ignoring it to trying to fully quantify it, and conclude that we should all try to be aware and open about the magnitude and potential consequences of our ignorance. David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge as well as senior...2010-11-171h 03