Shows
The Weekly TrendEpisode 280: Elf on the ShelfIn this week's episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss growth versus value, high beta versus low volatility, market cap relative relationships, and other risk-on/risk-off relationships to close out the year and what might be in store in 2026. They also discuss international equities, Bitcoin, and how interest rates continue to appreciate against Fed rate cuts.
2025-12-1922 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 279: Floating PrisonIn this week's episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss if we are seeing rotation out of tech and growth areas of the market into value and small cap focused areas. They also discuss international areas that are holding up well, bitcoin, poor performance from the consumer staples sector, precious metals, and materials.
2025-12-1237 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 278: 5x the FunIn this week's episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss the areas of the market that are out to all time highs, improved breadth, what is supporting the bullish thesis, 5x leverage funds, cryptocurrency, and interest rates.
2025-12-0534 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 276: Deja Vu In this week's episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss market breadth and participation, areas of healthcare that have been holding up well, like biotech and pharmaceuticals. They also discuss whether the leadership from large cap tech and semiconductors is over, how software is at an interesting level, Michael Burry closing his fund, Bitcoin, and an update on fixed income.
2025-11-1423 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 275: Thin Ice In this week's episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss the current pullback in equities, important levels moving forward, the US Dollar, Gold and Gold Miners, International areas still holding up well, and earnings reactions.
2025-11-0725 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 274: Trick or TreatHosts David Zarling and Ian McMillan discuss the state of the markets amid a split environment where large-cap tech and semiconductor stocks drive the S&P 500 to new highs while many smaller stocks lag behind. They note mixed earnings reactions among major companies like Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta, and highlight signs of narrowing market breadth and potential caution signals such as the “Hindenburg Omen.” The pair also analyze trends in Bitcoin, commodities, and interest rates, emphasizing the continued dominance of mega-cap stocks, strong seasonality for Q4, and the importance of sticking with prevailing uptrends.
2025-11-0129 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 216: Market VacationIn this week’s episode, David rides solo and provides an important update after seeing the start of August off to its worst start since 2002. With plenty of outside uncertainty (assassination attempts, Presidents removing themselves from consideration, Crowdstrike server outages, Venezuela uprising) it is important to focus on price. In this episode, David highlights the current market environment including important market levels to pay attention to.
2024-08-0219 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 204: Just Hangin AroundIn this week’s episode, David and Kevin discuss US Equities hangin’ around important levels, normal seasonality for election years and the strongest / weakest 6 months in a 12 month period. Kevin highlights developments in the bond and commodities markets. David touches base on investor behavior while Kevin brings up the importance of understanding your time frame. Many important topics and nuggets are provided in this episode. Take a listen, let us know what you think, and share with others if you deem it worthwhile.
2024-04-2749 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 201: Red Flags vs Green FlagsIn this week’s episode, David and Kevin discuss risk-on and risk-off signals from this market. They cover everything from US Equities, the resurgence of commodities (including precious metals, industrial, energy, and soft commodities), currencies, and the credit environment. You will want to tune in as Kevin and David make the case for a bullish Summer by highlighting an important development in Emerging Market Credit.
2024-04-0637 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 131: HeartbeatsIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss price behavior since May 6th, the concept of "shorting the weakest areas", and Solar stocks. David gives his thoughts on the longer-term rate cycle. Ian gives his thoughts on having a thesis and the abilities (or non-abilities) of vehicles to use. Also, our thoughts on the Future Proof conference.
2022-09-1750 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 118: Island of ReversalIn this week’s episode, David and Ian cover the dramatic sell-off we saw to end the week in stocks, the differences between the March and June rallies, and what areas showed relative strength/weakness over the last few weeks. David gives his thoughts on the fixed income space. Ian shares some insight into breadth and the surprising weakness from Europe.
2022-06-1155 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 117: Beach BallIn this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the falling US Dollar and whether it could be a tailwind for stocks here domestically and around the world. They also dive into the potential for a countertrend rally, what role politics plays in portfolio management, and the lack of movement from cryptos. Dave covers the data behind the most recent downtrend. Ian gives his thoughts on social media's role in this current bear market versus previous years.
2022-05-2847 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 116: Run the RaceIn this week’s episode, David and Dan dissect many of the market nuances we have seen over the past couple weeks, as well as further implications for the broad market if we do not see stabilization soon. 20% drop in the S&P 500 and does it matter? Mega cap stocks continue to slide and some larger retail names like Walmart, Costco, and Target join in on the downside. Is the healthcare sector next? They also discuss failed breakouts that continue to show up around the marketplace.
2022-05-2155 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 115: The Best DaysIn this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the wild intraday swings we have seen over the last week, the VIX, failures amongst defensive areas, and the fallout in crypto. Will be see a bounce in the coming days/weeks? David covers the differences between cyclical and secular bear markets, as well as Dow Theory. Ian gives his insights on where we stand in regards to long-term trends.
2022-05-141h 05The Weekly TrendEpisode 113: Joy and PainIn this week's episode, David, Ian and Dan review some of the broader topics from their presentation to clients this week, the persistent relative strength from defensives, and the negative breadth thrusts we saw to end the week. Dan covers key inflection points for Commodities. Ian gives his thoughts on the weakness from leaders like Metals and Energy. David gives insight into the island continuation pattern in Netflix.
2022-04-2357 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 112: Needle In A HaystackIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss how commodities and energy stocks are turning up again after some consolidation. They also discuss metals and mining, consumer staples, if there is a forced liquidation in bonds, and if we are entering a "bond pickers market"?
2022-04-1548 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 106: Whole CoganIn this week’s episode, Dave, Ian, and Dan discuss important levels on the major indices that continue to show resistance, the continued sure in Commodities and metals, and whether or not investor surveys are a true indicator of sentiment. Ian gives his thoughts on the Copper/Gold ratio. Dan shares some insight on the Industrials space. And David helps shine some light on monthly candles from February.
2022-03-0556 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 098: Here Comes Santa Claus?In this week's episode. David and Ian discuss the recent buying in stocks, failed breakdowns, and what it would take to consider the market "fixed". We hope you have a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!
2021-12-2320 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 095: Natural SelectionIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the unfortunate look of November monthly candles, the failed breakout in the Russell 2000, and the overall bearish weight of evidence that has come over the market in the last couple of weeks.
2021-12-0435 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 094: The Trend Is Your FriendIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the confirming strength in Large Cap Growth stocks, the strong US Dollar, and the "million dollar" question: Will the retest hold for the Russell 2000? Also, Crude is revisiting an important level. Where can we look outside of Tech? All these topics and more on this week's episode!
2021-11-2048 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 093: Tis The Season(ality)In this week's episode, Ian and David discuss the breakout in the US Dollar, precious metals and miners, Retail, and Solar. Ian covers the recent winners and losers in regards to relative strength. Dave gives his thoughts on year-end seasonality. What's going on under the surface in Industrials? Is 'window dressing' real? All these topics and more on this week's episode of 'The Weekly Trend'!
2021-11-1349 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 092: WAGMIIn this week's episode, Ian and David discuss the upside resolution we have seen from Small Caps, the reversal in Treasuries, and inflation. Dave gives his thoughts on Moderna and the potential news that may be coming. Ian covers the crypto landscape.
2021-11-0647 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 091: The Artist Formerly Known AsIn this weeks episode, Ian and David discuss the emerging strength in Mega and Large Cap Growth, Solar stocks, and both the good and bad sides of breadth. Ian discusses the mindset of taking each chart on it's own merit. Dave gives his thoughts on Monthly candles.
2021-10-3050 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 089: Almost ThereIn this weeks episode, Ian and David discuss the recent surge in breath that could finally push markets “over the hump”, interest rates stalling, and the surge in cryptocurrencies. Ian covers the spotty strength overseas. David gives his thoughts on the strength from base metals. Plus, what does it mean when the “should happen” doesn’t happen?
2021-10-1652 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 088: Cyclical NatureIn this week's episode, David and Ian cover the drawdowns seen in individual stocks over the last few months, Cyclical sectors, and stats behind the compression we have seen out of Small Caps. Will interest rates keep rising with the Dollar? Will Growth bring the market down? Plus, hot takes on the NLDS between the Brewers and Braves.
2021-10-0935 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 087: At Your LeisureIn this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the recent uptick in market “noise”, surging Commodity prices, and similarities to 2011. In the second portion of the podcast, they discuss September Monthly candles, the VIX in the late 1990s, and end of year seasonality.
2021-10-0243 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 086: Wear You OutIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss how it's more of the same from small caps, breadth, rates, and the Dollar. They also discuss how materials and industrials look the weakest, steel stocks, and the Satoshi Statue in Hungary.
2021-09-1845 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 085: Bifurcation NationIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss how small caps are still within a trading range, the compression in treasuries/rates, lack of movement from Banks, and Japanese equities. They also discuss the most recent crypto tantrum and the 20th anniversary of 9/11.
2021-09-1138 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 084: Rock OnIn this week’s episode, David and Ian highlight the improved participation of stocks overall, demand for risk-on instruments, and the potential Dollar tailwind for many asset classes, including Crypto. David discusses a forgotten commodity and Ian reviews important Fibonacci extension concepts. This pre-Labor Day Weekend episode is one you won't want to miss.
2021-09-0444 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 083: Good DayIn this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued focus on the US Dollar, Cybersecurity stocks, the Gambling industry, and Small Cap Growth. Ian gives his thoughts on the “impossibilities” of predictions and David points to some bullish hints from the Fixed Income space.
2021-08-2841 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 082: MetaIn this week’s episode, Ian and David discuss the continued indecision in equity markets, the recent resurgence in cryptocurrencies, and the US Dollar. Emerging Markets continue their decline, while Utilities could be on the verge of a new relative uptrend. Also, we ask the question: Why are investors moving towards Mega Cap names? All this, and more, on this week’s episode of “The Weekly Trend”!
2021-08-2142 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 079: Swimming in MarketsIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss market breadth, all time highs for the S&P 500 and the Dow, with a lacking participation from the Russell 2000 and international equities. Ian discusses how important it is to keep an open mind, how you must be willing to change your mind when it comes to markets, and the power of relative strength. David and Ian also discuss the weakening dollar and recent strength from commodities, as well as how Large Cap Growth vs Small Cap Value is possibly running into an area of resistance.
2021-07-3143 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 078: Summertime Sadness?In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continued build-up of red flags, Utilities and Staples, and 2nd half seasonality. Dave gives examples of pair trades that have worked in previous market corrections and VIX/VVIX. Ian shares his thoughts on the “HODL” mindset and the evidence of weakness amongst reverse- and equal-weighted indices.
2021-07-1759 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 077: Market VariantsIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss weakness in Foreign stocks, Mega Caps, longer-term views of the major indices, and precious metals.
2021-07-1043 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 076: Leaving Me Breadth-lessIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the thin market and participation we are seeing, foreign stocks, FAATMAN, and Q3 seasonality. David takes a deep dive into MA breadth and Ian gives his thoughts on Mega Caps. Also, what is VIX telling us? There are lots of mixed signals in the market, maybe the most since 2015. So, where do we go from here? Let's talk about it!
2021-07-0348 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 075: It's All RelativeIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss investor sentiment, stealth corrections, Crude Oil doing its own thing, and the behavioral fallacies around stubbornness in trading. Dave covers High Beta and Low Volatility stocks. Ian discusses what messages we are getting from a grouping of “risk off” assets. Both give their thoughts on why today’s environment is similar, but also different, from early 2020.
2021-06-2649 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 074: It Doesn't Matter Until It MattersIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss whether the move to Large Cap Growth is a risk-on play or a safety trade, interest rates continuing to roll over, Dollar strength, and the Commodity collapse. Ian discusses “red flags”, but also the silver linings to the market. Dave explains quad witching and the potential similarities between Apple and Nvidia. Both give insights on evidence of Small Cap erosion and the strength from long-term bonds.
2021-06-1943 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 073: The Whole is GreaterIn this week's episode, David gives a shout-out to all the teams at Client First doing a great job to help people secure the financial confidence they deserve. Then a special guest helps David review the week’s important price developments across many different market areas. This one is short and sweet, but you’re gonna love the detail our special guest brings to this week’s podcast.
2021-06-0526 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 072: Home on the RangeIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss leadership within semiconductors, the Nasdaq 100 relationship relative to small cap, and the US dollar. They also discuss the recent moves in oil, precious metals, and commodities overall, including coffee futures, and Brazil. Celebrities and cryptocurrencies are also discussed.
2021-05-2959 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 071: Tim AppleIn this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the six weeks of sideways action for the S&P 500, summer seasonality, high yield bonds, and Commodities taking a hit. Both give a renewed outlook on cryptos for the intermediate term. Dave discusses the Weekly candles. Ian covers the lack of trend coming from many sectors and tilts.
2021-05-2237 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 070: Shake & BakeIn this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the incredible strength that continues from Large Cap Value stocks, Industrials stocks, and levels of interest on the major indidces both here in the US and outside. David covers the recent sentiment and "one foot out the door" portfolio positioning. Ian tells why he thinks Semiconductors may not be the best sub-industry to track going forward.
2021-05-1545 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 069: NoiceIn this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the trends in Basic Materials and Base Metals, Commodities, and how a weak US Dollar should continue to be a tailwind for these types of areas. David gives his thoughts on FAANG+ stocks being the weakest pieces of the Nasdaq. Ian shares an update on Ethereum. Both hosts discuss the CMT Association and the benefits of the program in general.
2021-05-0846 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 067: Counter TrendsIn this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the potential return to strength for Small Caps, the outperformance in Healthcare, and a debate over what’s next for the Commodities complex. Ian covers REITs and Financials. David gives his thoughts on differences in seasonality for 2021. Also, what could the Equal Weight S&P 500 be telling us about the coming weeks?
2021-04-2455 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 066: Hoagies & GrindersIn this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the sustained strength from Large Cap stocks across all industries, a potential intermediate term top in interest rates, commodities, and crypto currencies. Ian covers the broad participation we are seeing in US stocks outside of Energy. David gives his thoughts as to breadth across the major indices. And with short-interest on stocks where it was in late 2008, is that fuel for the fire going forward?
2021-04-1752 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 064: Green ShootsIn this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss new highs for the S&P 500, the “industrial revolution” in equities, Steel, and unique areas outside of the US. David gives some insight as to why the credit market is signaling “risk on” for stocks. Ian tells us why he thinks New Zealand is an important market to watch. Both tell us their thoughts on the relative strength in fixed income and the green shoots we are seeing in Tech.
2021-04-031h 07The Weekly TrendEpisode 063: Old SchoolIn this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the choppy market environment we have seen over the last few weeks, the rising US Dollar, and the emergence of strength from Consumer Staples. Ian discusses that there is less and less evidence that Growth stocks will make a recovery. David covers the momentum divergences we have seen across a multitude of stocks, and what it may or may not mean for markets in the weeks ahead. Also, what will the “thinning” of directional breakouts lead to for the next direction of the market?
2021-03-2755 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 062: Heavy LiftingIn this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued underperformance of the Nasdaq, other areas of the market that have been hit the hardest, and an updated target for Bitcoin. Ian covers capitulation volume and recoveries. David asks why no one wants to buy Apple. And both give their thoughts on trading “ethical” companies.
2021-03-131h 00The Weekly TrendEpisode 061: Do You Value Stocks?In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the recent market volatility, what it could mean going forward, and what areas of the market may emerge as the new leaders. David covers important areas of support and resistance on the major indices. Ian gives his thoughts on the recent mania we have seen in Value stocks and what it would take to see a reversal in those areas from a relative standpoint.
2021-03-061h 01The Weekly TrendEpisode 060: Rotation StationIn this week's podcast, David and Ian cover their near- and long-term outlooks for the market, weak FAANG stocks, and the global strength from Financials and Banks. David talks about Growth/Value across different market caps. Ian gives his thoughts on "Classic" energy vs. "Green" energy".
2021-02-2749 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 059: Happy AnniversaryIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the one year anniversary of the 2020 market top, Commodities, and Airline and Hotel stocks. Dave gives his thoughts on megaphone patterns and High Beta stocks. Ian covers the global participation we are seeing among world indices.
2021-02-2159 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 058: Enjoying the SceneryIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the strong correlation between a couple Growth and Value areas, the resurgence of Semiconductors, China, and the recent surge in Cannabis stocks. Ian also gives a sector-by-sector breakdown and tells us about the Aerospace theme. David gives us his thoughts on Homebuilders.
2021-02-1343 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 057: Historical AdvancesIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continued strength from Small Caps, Crude oil, and the ripple effect of a falling US Dollar. Ian gives his thoughts on historical advances as a wealth creator. David covers the fall in 'meme' stocks. Also, have we seen the "top" for negative interest rates around the world? And the Magellan Fund is coming to ETF Land.
2021-02-0650 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 056: Squeeze 'EmIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the recent whirlwind around GameStop and short squeezes, the January Barometer, and the large divergences in breadth we continue to see. David covers the building potential for Commodities to turn higher. And Ian talks about the negative aspects of 'winning big' early on in your investing journey.
2021-01-3054 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 053: Across The PondIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the positive Santa Claus Rally, Interest rates, and European equities. Dave covers the weakness in Treasuries and Ian notes the strength of international fixed income.
2021-01-0946 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 052: And The Beat Goes OnIn this week's episode, David and Ian cover the Santa Claus Rally, Bitcoin, and "expert" predictions for 2021. They also revisit some of the crazier moments from 2020 and discuss what a strong end to a year can mean for the coming 12 months.
2021-01-0155 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 051: Value and Growth...Is There Room For Both?In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the US Dollar and what ripple effects that has on other assets, the relentless VIX, and Small Cap Tech. Ian covers price thrusts and the potential for new major uptrends in a variety of areas. David gives his thoughts on Foreign fixed income, including for investment grade and high yield bonds. Vurbl - https://vurbl.com/station/ATTrt5inntH/
2020-12-1956 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 050: Here Comes Santa ClausIn this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss the strength in Emerging Markets, including Indian and Latin American stocks. They also cover the strength we are seeing in Biotech stocks. David discusses the lack of decreasing volatility. Ian gives his thoughts on why breadth may be a clue as to why we aren't too close to a major top for stocks.
2020-12-1256 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 049: Closer To The Beginning Than The EndIn this week's episode David discuss new all-time highs in the four major US indices, the strength coming out of Latin America, price thrusts, and the Dollar's impact on Copper and Gold. Ian explains why he thinks we are closer to the beginning of a new leg higher for stocks. Dave gives his thoughts on the Put/Call ratio.
2020-12-0555 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 048: Price Is Just Everyone's OpinionIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the large cluster of 80% Up Days we have seen, gap characteristics, the US dollar, and what they are thankful for. Dave covers the emotional disconnect with all-time highs and the feeling of fear. Ian discusses the relative weakness in Gold against not just US stocks, but stocks around the world.
2020-11-281h 07The Weekly TrendEpisode 047: Wall of WorryIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the multiple pieces of "noise" being thrown around in the market these days, crazy Mondays, and a slew of new areas showing relative strength. David discusses the important juncture Apple has arrived at. And Ian talks about what recent strength in Micro and Small Caps means for his scanning process.
2020-11-2149 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 046: The More Things Change, The More They Stay The SameIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the big week we saw in Small Caps, equity inflow numbers, and what we are seeing in terms of relative highs. Also, an in-depth look at where the various FAANG stocks stand. David covers the recent strength we have seen in Japanese stocks. Ian covers the breadth we have seen this week compared to historical levels.
2020-11-141h 01The Weekly TrendEpisode 045: A Trip Around the WorldIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continue strength from China, the surge in Bitcoin, and renewed interest in Precious Metals. Also, election reactions from the market and new industry of interest: Cannabis. Dave covers what we are seeing from FAANG stocks. Ian talks about knowing what you own and the differences in ETF construction.
2020-11-071h 09The Weekly TrendEpisode 044: Seasonality Is HereIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the strongest and weakest areas of the market, over the past week and for the month of October. They also cover the reactions to earnings we saw this week from important companies. Dave shares his thoughts on some signs of short- and intermediate-term weakness. Ian covers RSI divergences, when they matter and when they can (sometimes) be ignored.
2020-10-311h 01The Weekly TrendEpisode 043: No One Knows, Not Even YouIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss whether Small Cap and Value stocks are here to stay, Gold and Copper, and China. David reviews the Yield Curve. And Ian discusses "Trump stocks" and "Biden stocks". Also, a review of 2016 and a reminder than anything can happen no matter who wins.
2020-10-2451 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 042: IndecisionIn this week's episode, David and Ian cover another week of indecision in equity markets, which sectors (and industries) are leading and which are lagging, and media "fear factories". David discusses the need to take each chart on it's own merit. And Ian provides some insight on how the Adaptiv team measures it's alpha.
2020-10-171h 02The Weekly TrendEpisode 040: It Is What It Is Until It Isn'tIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the great (and then not-so-great) week we had in equities, the recent headline noise, and US Treasuries. David discusses opportunity costs and alpha erosion. And Ian asks if Utilities are really a "bond proxy".
2020-10-0352 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 039: Price Price BabyIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the recent indecision in both stocks and bonds, mixed signals in the high yield space, and the surge we saw this week in the US Dollar. David discusses loss aversion behavior. Ian gives his thoughts on the new wave of retail involvement.
2020-09-2659 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 038: Where Do We Go From Here?In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the continued weakness from two major indices, the abundance of demand for stocks related to the Agriculture space, and the relative strength from Small Caps we have seen during this correction. Dave talks about non-confirming divergences. And Ian gives his thoughts on where the Dow would be if Apple hadn't split.
2020-09-1943 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 037: Mixed SignalsIn this week's episode, David and Ian cover lines in the sand for the major indices, waning momentum in a few major relationships, and the strength from Transports. They also discuss one sector of the market that hasn't gotten a lot of attention. David touches on continuing to avoid Energy stocks and Ian gives an outlook on what the market could look like if Growth/Tech continue to lead in the next leg higher.
2020-09-1252 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 036: To Rotate or Not To Rotate?In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the hard correction we saw in the equity indices this week, the rising VIX, interest rates, and where the overall market environment now stands. David also takes some time to cover whether the idea of rotation is justified. Ian draws similarities to the market with "maps versus the reality of the the terrain".
2020-09-0549 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 035: The Trend Is Your FriendIn this week's episode, David and Ian cover the continued strength in Growth, what it would take to become interested in Small Caps, and the correlation between volatility and stocks. David discusses the concept of "low" volume coming out of a major bottom, and Ian asks the question "Who is more bullish: the Pros or the Joes?"
2020-08-291h 04The Weekly TrendEpisode 034: Come Sail Away With MeIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the strength in FAANG (and FAANG-like) stocks, "bubbles", and stock splits. David also gives his thoughts on loss aversion and market amnesia. And Ian asks the question "Is Tesla an emotional short squeeze?" What's going on in Lumber? Are we in a period similar to the mid 90s in regards to equities? And Zach Greinke's mind games.
2020-08-2257 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 033: Grind TimeIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the recent move in interest rates and the implications that could have on Banking stocks, the correction in Precious Metals, Fall Seasonality, and overall market breadth.
2020-08-1553 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 032: And The Beat Goes OnIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the indices moving above their respective June highs, weakness in the US Dollar, a potential rotation into Industrials and Transports, and what the future holds for precious metals and miners.
2020-08-0852 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 031: The Close KnowsIn this week's podcast, David and Ian discuss the separation between Growth and Value stocks, why reactions to earnings matter more than the numbers, what the Apple split means for the Dow Jones, and sentiment between the 'Pros and Joes'.
2020-08-0155 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 030: To Diversify or Not To Diversify?In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the recent moves in precious metals, semiconductors, and U.S. Treasuries. They also discuss the possible opportunity cost of intentional diversification within portfolios and current lines in the sand.
2020-07-2635 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 029: Pain TradesIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continued sideways market action here in the US, what the strength in Copper and Lumber and could mean, and some thoughts on the widely-used "pain trade" theory.
2020-07-1847 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 027: Can You Take Me Higher?In this week's episode, David and Ian review the craziness that we encountered in the first half of 2020, strength in Chinese equities, the rotation back into Growth/Tech, 3rd Quarter seasonality, and the risk/reward relationship of being professional investors who practice active portfolio management.
2020-07-0350 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 026: Broken Levels, Important Developments, and a Podcast Time MachineIn this week's episode, David takes a few minutes to discuss the many important developments that took place over this past week. After this update, please stay tuned for a replay of the podcast episode aired on March 28th, which took place just after at an important market bottom. During the recording of this episode, it was unknown that this point would mark the bottom of the market. We think you will find it interesting to look back at the topics and levels discussed during this episode and compare them to the market events that transpired thereafter.
2020-06-271h 05The Weekly TrendEpisode 025: The Cream Rises to the TopIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the ranges we are currently seeing in many indices and other assets, Chinese equities, debunking myths about retail trading, where Treasury yields stand, and the continued strength from Tech and Tech-like areas,
2020-06-2043 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 024: No Sunshine On This IslandIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss a resurgence in the volatility and the VIX, island reversals and failed breakouts, current lines in the sand, and what a potential short-term (or long-term!) correction could potentially look like.
2020-06-1351 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 023: The Market Marches OnIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continued tilt we are seeing towards Small Caps and Value stocks, increased interest in Foreign equities, why many particpants are looking for the wrong clues from volume, and how biases from the media can allow us to make untimely market decisions.
2020-06-0651 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 022: Who Woulda Thought?In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continuation of rotation among various areas of the market, new achievements in breadth, the best two months since 2009, and why a lot of the "data mining" that goes on should be taken with a grain of salt.
2020-05-301h 06The Weekly TrendEpisode 021: Rotation In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the recent choppy market, Sector rotation, Small Cap participation, and where the major indices need to go next to extend this rally.
2020-05-231h 00The Weekly TrendEpisode 020: Russian StaircasesIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss where various indices have gone over the last 2+ years, the lack of participation from Financials and Industrials, strength in Biotech and Software, and why price levels can tell us so much about behavior.
2020-05-171h 02The Weekly TrendEpisode 019: Warren Buffett Isn't Here To Pick BottomsIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the recent attention over Warren Buffett, the rotation between Large Cap Growth and Small Cap Value, stocks that bottomed early, and the continued bearish sentiment we have seen amongst both retail and institutional investors.
2020-05-091h 03The Weekly TrendEpisode 018: Hot & ColdIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the breadth expansion that was (and then wasn't), weakness on good news, reactions to various earnings reports, and the broad indecision that we are seeing from both bulls and bears.
2020-05-0256 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 017: Historic Oil Prices, Know What You Own, and Current RangeIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the historic price action in Oil, the importance of knowing what you own, and the current price range that exists within the major indices.
2020-04-251h 03The Weekly TrendEpisode 016: Current Sentiment and Economy-Market RelationshipIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the the current sentiment among retail and institutional traders, the relationship between the market and the economy, recent performance of specific indices, and the possibility of a retest of the lows.
2020-04-181h 09The Weekly TrendEpisode 015: Is It A Bottom or A Bounce?In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the expansion in breadth that we saw in equity markets this week, the potential rotation we are seeing among leading sectors, and whether or not technical analysis on the VIX is useful.
2020-04-101h 09The Weekly TrendEpisode 014: VIX, The Lack of Breadth, and the 60/40 FallacyIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the lower volatility we have seen in equity markets, the continued search for a breadth thrust, and why the 60/40 portfolio doesn't work like you think it does.
2020-04-041h 01The Weekly TrendEpisode 013: Step by Step, Day by DayIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the recent bounce we have seen in equity markets, our updated lines in the sand, what finding a bottom in stocks typically entails, and the ability to stay positive during uncertain times.
2020-03-2859 minThe Weekly TrendEpisode 012: Don't Go Chasing WaterfallsOn this week's episode, David and Ian cover the continued selling we have seen in stocks, the historical moves in corporate bond ETFs, and oil prices.
2020-03-2159 min