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MCMPMCMPOpening WordsOpening Words by Richard Dawid (MCMP/LMU), Stephan Hartmann (MCMP/LMU) and Dieter Lüst (LMU) at the Workshop on "Why trust a Theory?" (7-9 December, 2015).2018-03-1300 minMCMP – Philosophy of ScienceMCMP – Philosophy of ScienceString Theory and the Scientific MethodRichard Dawid (Vienna) gives a talk at the CAS Research Focus Series „Reduction and Emergence“ (13 November, 2013) titled "String Theory and the Scientific Method" (host: Stephan Hartmann (MCMP/LMU)). Abstract: For the last thirty years, string theory has played a highly influential role in fundamental physics without having found empirical confirmation. The presentation will analyze reasons for the high degree of trust many physicists have developed in a theory that, according to classical standards of theory assessment, would have to be called an unconfirmed speculation. It will be argued that the case of string theory suggests a new perspective on our unde...2014-02-2154 minCenter for Advanced Studies (CAS) Research Focus Reduction and EmergenceCenter for Advanced Studies (CAS) Research Focus Reduction and EmergenceString Theory and the Scientific MethodFor the last thirty years, string theory has played a highly influential role in fundamental physics without having found empirical confirmation. The presentation will analyze reasons for the high degree of trust many physicists have developed in a theory that, according to classical standards of theory assessment, would have to be called an unconfirmed speculation. It will be argued that the case of string theory suggests a new perspective on our understanding of theory confirmation in general. In the last part of the talk, some implications for the scientific realism debate and the question of reduction in science shall also...2013-12-1054 minCenter for Advanced Studies (CAS) Research Focus Reduction and EmergenceCenter for Advanced Studies (CAS) Research Focus Reduction and EmergenceString Theory and the Scientific MethodFor the last thirty years, string theory has played a highly influential role in fundamental physics without having found empirical confirmation. The presentation will analyze reasons for the high degree of trust many physicists have developed in a theory that, according to classical standards of theory assessment, would have to be called an unconfirmed speculation. It will be argued that the case of string theory suggests a new perspective on our understanding of theory confirmation in general. In the last part of the talk, some implications for the scientific realism debate and the question of reduction in science shall also...2013-12-1054 minMCMP – Mathematical Philosophy (Archive 2011/12)MCMP – Mathematical Philosophy (Archive 2011/12)Comments on "The No Alternatives Argument" (Dawid, Hartmann, Sprenger)Frederik Herzberg (Bielefeld, MCMP/LMU) comments on "The No Alternatives Argument" (by Richard Dawid, Stephan Hartmann, and Jan Sprenger) at the 9th Formal Epistemology Workshop (Munich, May 29–June 2, 2012).2012-09-1615 minMCMP – Mathematical Philosophy (Archive 2011/12)MCMP – Mathematical Philosophy (Archive 2011/12)The No Alternatives ArgumentJan Sprenger (Tilburg) gives a talk at the 9th Formal Epistemology Workshop (Munich, May 29–June 2, 2012) titled "The No Alternatives Argument" (joint work with Richard Dawid and Stephan Hartmann). Abstract: Scientific theories are hard to find, and once scientists have found a theory H, they often believe that there cannot be many distinct alternatives to H. But is this belief justied? What should scientists believe about the number of alternatives to H, and how should they change these beliefs in the light of new evidence? These are some of the questions that we will address in this paper. We also ask un...2012-09-1639 min