Shows
Bulls, Bears & BSSpecial Episode: How To Become Competent, Confident, and Dangerous With Matt SmithThis week we have a special guest, Matt Smith.Matt is a serial entrepreneur, executive, and co-author of Doug Casey's Crisis Investing newsletter. This week we're talking with him about a book he co-authored with Doug Casey and his son Maxim Smith. The book is titled: The Preparation: How To Become Competent, Confident, and Dangerous.This book is meant to replace the traditional four-year college experience for young men and women, but the lessons within it could be applied to anyone at any stage in their life. Those lessons: how to...
2025-12-1424 minBulls, Bears & BSA Deep Dive Into the Financial Markets With Graham Summers, MBAStocks are back near all-time highs, gold and silver are catching a bid, but Bitcoin continues to struggle.What is going on?This week, Chief Market Strategist, Graham Summers, MBA breaks down the current macro environment, explaining why these different moves are happening and what's to come as the markets move into the final weeks of the year. Graham also outlines his upside target for stocks, why gold and silver will continue to outperform and whether the bull market in crypto is over.Enjoy!
2025-12-0712 min
The Schilling ShowThe Schilling Show: Michael Letts, Matthew Hoffman, Graham SummersMichael Letts: Founder, President, and CEO of InVest USA; 30+ years law enforcement experience: LA County votes to prohibit masks for all law enforcement.Mathew Hoffmann, legal counsel, Alliance Defending Freedom: Hawaii Criminalizes Political Speech.Graham Summers, MBA, world-renowned expert in central bank policy; author, Into the Abyss, and The Everything Bubble: Central Banks Cannot Create Jobs or Growth.All this and more on a Freaky and Free Phone Friday Edition of The Schilling Show.
2025-12-051h 13Bulls, Bears & BSIs the Bull Market Over... Or Are We Still Early in the AI Story?Stocks are taking it on the chin. Is this the end of the bull market or is this just a garden variety stock market correction?This week our Chief Market Strategist, Graham Summers, MBA delves into the macro economic framework he is using to show clients the best path forward, namely that the economy is still growing, the Fed is about to ease monetary conditions aggressively, and the Trump administration is "all in" on stocks.Graham also presents his views on gold, specifically where the precious metal is in its bull market and why he...
2025-11-1614 minThe Schilling ShowThe Schilling Show: Frank Pavone, Graham SummersFrank Pavone, national director, Priests for Life: Probe of Left-Wing Violence.Graham Summers, MBA, world-renowned expert in central bank policy; author, Into the Abyss: Stocks, Gold, and Bitcoin Soar.All this and more on a Throwdown Thursday Edition of The Schilling Show.
2025-10-021h 11Bulls, Bears & BSSpecial Guest: Sound Money Advocate Lawrence LepardThis week we have a special guest on Bulls Bears and BS.Lawrence Lepard is a sound money advocate, fund manager, and author of the book The Big Print: What Happened To America And How Sound Money Will Fix It.Lawrence and our host Graham Summers, MBA dive deep into the financial system... why it's so messed up... why there's so much debt... why the Fed is almost always engaged in money printing... why the beltway crowd in Washington DC never takes action to fix it... Lawrence's solutions to get the U.S...
2025-09-2636 minBulls, Bears & BSThe Jobs Market is Rolling Over... is the Fed Too Late and is a Recession Finally Here?The labor market is cracking, which is going to force the Fed to ease right as inflation is likely bottoming. What does this mean for stocks, precious metals and other risk assets?This week our host Graham Summers, MBA breaks down the latest jobs numbers upset and what it means for the economy as the Fed is forced to play "catch up" by cutting rates. Specifically Graham outlines the macro framework investors need to use to profit from what's coming, integrating the breakout in gold, sovereign debt levels, economic weakness, immigration reform and more.If...
2025-09-0718 minThe Schilling ShowThe Schilling Show: Michael Lamma, Graham SummersMichael F. Lamma, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer at the American Foundation for Suicide Prevention speak on Suicide Prevention Month.Graham Summers, MBA and world-renowned expert in central bank policy, author of Into the Abyss and The Everything Bubble, shares some ideas on Fixing the Fed and AI market impacts. All this and more on a Freaky and Free Phone Friday Edition of The Schilling Show.
2025-08-291h 13Bulls, Bears & BSAre You Ready For the Next Crisis? (Special Episode with Disaster Expert Dr Chris Ellis).This week we go deep.Our host Graham Summers, MBA discusses crises: financial, personal and even societal with disaster expert and author, Dr. Chris Ellis. The conversation ranges from personal resiliency, overcoming loss, personal tragedy, preparedness, and even finding purpose in the chaos of life.Dr. Chris Ellis is a career Army officer, disaster readiness expert, and lifelong student of how people, communities, and nations prepare for the worst. With over twenty-six years of military service—including time in combat zones and collaborative work across five continents—Chris has seen firsthand what resilience looks like unde...
2025-08-2324 minBulls, Bears & BSIs the U.S. Dollar About to Collapse?The U.S. dollar staged its worst first half of a year since 1973, losing nearly 12%. As a result of this, the U.S. dollar is now sitting on a multi-decade trendline. If this breaks... the dollar could plunge into a prolonged downtrend, erasing purchasing power and igniting another round of inflation.This week, our host, Graham Summers, MBA delves into this situation in great detail including the U.S.'s fiscal position, the end of DOGE, the Big Beautiful Bill, and what a collapsing U.S. dollar means for stocks, the economy, and inflation.
2025-08-1617 minBulls, Bears & BSThe Correction is Here... Do We Buy the Dip... or Get Out of the Markets?Stocks are taking it on the chin after rising almost straight up for three months. The big question for investors now is whether this is a buyable dip... or the start of something worse?This week, our host Graham Summers, MBA breaks down the warning signs that prompted him to close out longs and prepare for a correction over the last few weeks. He also outlines his framework for investing in this new environment, as well as his downside targets for the S&P 500, gold and crypto.Support the show...
2025-08-0114 minThe Schilling ShowThe Schilling Show: Dr. Salvatore J. Giorgianni Jr., Kenneth Abramowitz, Graham SummersDr. Salvatore J. Giorgianni, Jr., PharmD; Senior Science Adviser at Men's Health Network and Chair-Emeritus of the American Public Health Association talks about how RFK Jr.'s MAHA agenda advancing.Kenneth Abramowitz, author of The Multifront War; managing general partner and co-founder of NGN Capital, talks about Iran doubling down on its nuclear program. Graham Summers, MBA, world-renowned expert in central bank policy, and author of Into the Abyss, stops by to give a US Economic Overview.All this and more on Freaky and Free Phone Friday Edition of The Schilling Show.
2025-07-251h 12Bulls, Bears & BSWhy Stocks Are Hitting New All Time Highs... and What's Next For the Markets?The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both have hit new all-time highs. This is extraordinary considering that both indices were down ~20% in early April. What has driven this rapid move and where do stocks go from here?This week, our host Graham Summers, MBA, answers both questions, breaking down the current macroeconomic environment, the Trump administration's pivot from austerity to fiscal insanity, as well as the red flags he sees warning that a pullback is imminent.If you are looking to put capital to work in the markets, you NEED to hear this.
2025-07-1018 minThe Schilling ShowThe Schilling Show: Frank Pavone, Graham SummersFrank Pavone, national director of Priests for Life, talks about SCOTUS and Planned Parenthood funding.Graham Summers, MBA, world-renowned expert in central bank policy and author of Into the Abyss, has an overview of several recent, pertinent, economic issues at the top of the news.All this and more on a Freaky and Free Phone Friday Edition of The Schilling Show.
2025-06-271h 13Bulls, Bears & BSSpecial Episode: What's REALLY Happening in the Middle East Today?What is really happening in the Middle East today? What is the basis of the conflict between Israel and Iran? What are the implications for the balance of power between the U.S., China and Russia? How is this likely to play out? And is there indeed the potential for World War III?To answer these questions, this week we have a special guest, Dr. Paul Lushenko. Dr. Lushenko is Professorial Lecturer at the Elliott School of International Affairs at The George Washington University. He's also an Assistant Professor at the U.S. Ar...
2025-06-2022 minBulls, Bears & BSTwo Trillion Dollar Phone Calls: One That Happened and One That Didn'tThis was a week of trillion dollar phone calls: one that happened and one that didn't.The trillion dollar phone call that did take place was between President Trump of the United States and President Xi Jinping of China. That phone call occurred Thursday and concerned global trade, China's exporting of rare earth minerals, and U.S. accusations that China had violated the initial trade deal announced between the two nations on May 12, 2025. The trillion dollar phone call that didn't take place was between President Trump and former advisor and close confidant Elon Musk. The t...
2025-06-0721 minBulls, Bears & BSThe REAL Reason Why Stocks No Longer Care About the Trade WarThe Trump administration reignited the trade war this week, first with Europe and then with China. Despite all this drama, stocks actually ended the week UP. More incredibly, the S&P 500 had its best return for the month of May since 1990!What's going on here? Are stocks no longer taking President Trump seriously... or have they figured out that the FISCAL situation, not trade is what's driving the economy?This week, our host Graham Summers, MBA delves into what's really happening behind closed doors at the White House, revealing a striking pivot in policy from...
2025-05-3115 minBulls, Bears & BSIs the US About to Enter a Debt Crisis?Things are getting hairy in the debt markets.The credit rating agency Moody's downgraded the U.S. due to concerns about the latter's debt levels: the U.S. has a Debt to GDP ratio of 120% and is running a fiscal deficit equal to 6% of GDP. Moreover, the "Big Beautiful Bill" making its way through Congress is expected to GROW the deficit and increase the U.S.'s overall debt levels substantially in the coming years.This week, our host Graham Summers, MBA delves into these issues as well as some of the red flags he's...
2025-05-2418 minThe Schilling ShowThe Schilling Show: Kevin Cox, Graham SummersKevin Cox, a local pedestrian advocate, shares the story of his Chalk Crosswalk arrest.Graham Summers, MBA, a world-renowned expert in central bank policy and author of Into the Abyss, outlines the Big Beautiful Bill and its impact.All this and more on a Freaky and Free Phone Friday Edition of The Schilling Show.
2025-05-231h 12Bulls, Bears & BSChina Taps Out! The Trade War is Paused... Will Stocks Hit New Highs or Roll Over and Crash?The U.S. and China unveiled a preliminary trade deal on Monday unleashing RABID buying in the stock market. Is this trade deal and subsequent stock market rally legit... or is this all just a headline driven bunch of BS and stocks are about to roll over and crash again?This week, our host Graham Summers, MBA delves into the details of the trade deal, what they mean for the two countries, and whether or not the lows are in for stocks. Graham also dives into the macro data in the U.S., specifically what consumer spending...
2025-05-1620 minBulls, Bears & BSIs the Trade War Over... or Is This Just a Temporary Cease Fire?Stocks have rallied hard from the April 8th lows with the S&P 500 recouping half of its trade war decline on announcements that China and the U.S. will be meeting in Switzerland to begin negotiations of a trade deal.So... is the trade war over... or is this just a temporary cease fire?This week our host Graham Summers, MBA details how the trade war has played out thus far, beginning with Liberation Day, the subsequent stock market meltdown, the bond market calling the Trump administration's "bluff" and China's recent pivot, opening the door...
2025-05-0919 minThe Schilling ShowThe Schilling Show: Graham Summers, Jim Moore, OJ Oleka, Jason PerryGraham Summers, MBA and world-renowned expert in central bank policy; author of Into the Abyss, helps you understand tariffs.Jim Moore, citizen activist, shares how the City of Charlottesville violated State Notice provisions.OJ Oleka, CEO of the State Financial Officers Foundation outlines the breadth of Tesla economic terrorism and violence.Jason Perry, former Navy SEAL and SWAT Team member, Pastor at Christian Forge Church shares safety tips on road rage and vehicle safety.All this and more on a Freaky and Free Phone Friday Edition of The Schilling Show.
2025-04-041h 07Bulls, Bears & BSIs This the Start of a Bear Market?Stocks have been taking it on the chin with many individual companies down over 20% from their recent highs. Is this the start of a bear market, or is this a garden variety market correction?This week, our host, Graham Summers, MBA delves into the market action, outlining several of the tools he's using to show our clients where to buy and when the next bull run will begin. If you've got money in the markets, you need to check this out!Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2025-03-0711 minThe Schilling ShowThe Schilling Show: Dr. Jonathan Newman, Elizabeth Troutman Mitchell, Graham SummersDr. Jonathan Newman, fellow at The Mises Institute demystifies Ft. Knox. Elizabeth Troutman Mitchell, White House Correspondent at The Daily Signal details the Trump White House shaking up the Press Briefing Room. Graham Summers, MBA, world-renowned expert in central bank policy, and author of Into the Abyss, speaks on the economic and financial implications of DOGE. All this and more on a Freaky and Free Phone Friday Edition of The Schilling Show.
2025-02-281h 13Bulls, Bears & BSDid DeepSeek REALLY Upset the AI Applecart?Stocks took it on the chin on Monday. The official narrative is that a Chinese firm, DeepSeek revolutionized the AI market by creating a highly effective version of AI for just a fraction of the cost.But is this reality... or just another financial media narrative crafted to explain something else?This week Chief Market Strategist Graham Summers, MBA delves into the DeepSeek phenomenon, as well as the macro picture for stocks (inflation, GDP growth, and the potential for a recession).If you're worried about what's happening in tech stocks, this is where...
2025-01-2912 minThe Schilling ShowThe Schilling Show: Mike Gallagher, Dr. Robert Malone, Graham SummersMike Gallagher, syndicated radio talk host; bestselling author; actor, joins to talk about his new show on WINA!Dr. Robert Malone, MD, MS, virologist and immunologist; clinical research expert; inventor, mRNA technology on the PsyWar: Enforcing the New World Order.Graham Summers, MBA, world-renowned expert in central bank policy; author, Into the Abyss tells you what to expect from the Trump Economy.All this and more on a Freaky and Free-Phone Friday Edition of The Schilling Show.
2025-01-241h 14Bulls, Bears & BSIs THE Top In... and Are Stocks About to Crash?The overall indices are only down single digits... but market internals have seen a bloodbath with nine out of 11 S&P 500 sectors breaking down in December 2024.Is this the signal that THE top is in for stocks?This week our host, Graham Summers, MBA performs a deep dive into the market's dynamics presenting the evidence for what's to unfold for stocks in the near-term and later in 2025. If you've got capital in the markets, you won't want to miss this!Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and...
2025-01-0811 minBulls, Bears & BSThe Growth Scare Over... So What's Coming in 2025?The labor market and economy have bounced back from the growth scare of the summer. Stocks continue to hit new all time highs. However, it is clear that 2025 will be quite different from 2024 as the Trump administration takes office and begins implementing its agendaThis week our host, Chief Market Strategist Graham Summers, MBA dives into all of these issues as well as what he believes will be the dominant themes for the markets in 2025.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2024-12-1109 minBulls, Bears & BSIt's All About Trump's 2nd TermThe dominant theme in the markets today is Trump's 2nd term: which sectors will benefit, which companies will receive favorable treatment, and which asset classes will get a boost from institutional adoption.In simple terms, the Trump administration and its intended policies are the tide that is moving all ships. This week, our host, Graham Summers, MBA breaks down some of sectors and investments that are poised to receive favorable treatment from the incoming administration, as well as he sees opportunity in the markets today.If you're looking for guidance on how to invest in 2025...
2024-12-0415 minBulls, Bears & BSThe Most Important Developments in the Markets This WeekInflation data is ticking up while economic growth is slowing. Is stagflation about to appear... or is this just a slight increase in uncertainty that is spooking investors.This week, our host Graham Summers, MBA breaks down the most important developments in the markets, offering his unique insights on what these issues mean for investors going forward. Graham also alerts investors to what he believes is the single best asset class to own given what the markets are saying right now.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2024-11-2011 minBulls, Bears & BSTrump Sets His Sights on the FedThe Fed claims to be politically independent, but that's largely a myth. And no one is more aware of that than the new President of the United States, Donald Tump. This week our host, Graham Summers, MBA, delves into the history of the Fed's political interference, outlining clear examples in which the Fed has "tipped the scales" in favor of the establishment.Graham also outlines some of the proposals the Trump administration has floated to address this situation, including handicapping the Fed's autonomy with interest rate policy and more.Put simply, a Trump 2n...
2024-11-1314 minBulls, Bears & BSA Trump Victory is Sending Stocks Through the RoofStocks are exploding higher on the announcement that Donald Trump is officially the 47th President of the United States. Why is this happening? Will it continue? And what's the best means of profiting from a Trump 2nd term. This week our host, Graham Summers, MBA details all of these items and more, outlining the macro framework of a 2nd Trump Term.If you're looking for specific investment ideas to profit from this, we just published a webinar What Trump's 2nd Term Means For Stocks that breaks down which sectors will perform best under Trump, which s...
2024-11-0614 minBulls, Bears & BSThe Market is SCREAMING That Trump Will WinNumerous asset classes are indicating the same outcome: a Trump 2nd Term begins in early 2025.This week our host, Graham Summers, MBA delves into what he is seeing in the markets, how the markets are anticipating a Trump 2nd term, and what this means for stocks going forward.If you're looking for specific investment ideas to profit from this, we just published a webinar What Trump's 2nd Term Means For Stocks that breaks down which sectors will perform best under Trump, which sectors will lag behind, and the #1 investment to own w...
2024-10-3017 minBulls, Bears & BSThe Market Anticipates a Trump Win... What Does That Mean For Stocks, Gold and Bitcoin?The stock market is sending very clear signals that it anticipates President Trump will win a second term on November 5th. This will have a seismic effect on asset prices. This week, our host Graham Summers, MBA outlines some of the big picture for what a Trump win means for the markets. For those of you who are looking to get detailed investment analysis on what a Trump win will mean for the markets, Graham will be posting a webinar on Friday 2PM EST detailing: 1) What a Trump win means for stocks in 2025...
2024-10-2316 minBulls, Bears & BSWhy Do Stocks Refuse to Break Down?The Fed, European Central Bank and The People's Bank of China are now all easing monetary conditions. This is having a seismic effect on the financial system, including risk assets such as stocks. This combined with the U.S. running its largest deficit outside of WWII is resulting in a strong bull market driven by the "reflation trade." This week our host Graham Summers, MBA delves into what this means for investors and which investments will perform best as a result of these policies.This is the ONLY macro-based podcast you need to hear this w...
2024-10-1811 minBulls, Bears & BSFake Jobs Means a Slower Pace of Rate Cuts... And We're Officially Trading Crypto Now!The jobs numbers for September came in piping hot. Unfortunately some ~90,000 those 254,000 jobs were created in government spreadsheet, NOT the real economy. This deceit, regardless of its intentions, has resulted in a major shift in expectations of the Fed's future rate cuts.This week, our host Chief Market Strategist Graham Summers, MBA delves into the implications of this for risk assets. Graham also breaks down the proposed interventions from China, and why we remain risk on albeit less aggressively so.Finally, we are VERY excited to announce the official public launch of our new crypto...
2024-10-0916 minThe Schilling ShowThe Schilling Show: William Jacobson, Brian Cavanaugh, Graham SummersWilliam Jacobson, Clinical Professor of Law and Director of Securities Law Clinic at Cornell Law School, joins Rob to talk about the challenge that has put forth against the BIPOC Alumni-Student Mentoring Program at UVA, telling you everything you need to know about the complaint.Brian Cavanaugh, visiting fellow at The Heritage Foundation, speaks on the failures of FEMA and the storm recovery efforts to help those in North Carolina and Tennessee. Graham Summers, MBA, and a world-renowned expert in central bank policy and author of Into the Abyss, talks about the effects the upcoming P...
2024-10-041h 14Bulls, Bears & BSThe Reflation Trade is Back!China has announced its first major stimulus program in two years, with the goal of driving Chinese equities higher. This combined with the U.S. Federal Reserve easing monetary conditions means that the two largest economies in the world are now in easing mode.This will ignite the reflation trade.This week, our host Graham Summers, MBA delves into the details of the reflation trade, outlining which stocks he's watching for clues as to what's to come. He also provides a breakdown of the macro picture for the U.S., particularly as it regards to...
2024-10-0313 minBulls, Bears & BSRate Cuts Are Here, Stocks Hit New All Time Highs, But What's Going on With Gold?The Fed cut rates by 0.5% last week. Many commentators are seeing this as a signal that the economy is in recession. We completely disagree. In this week's episode, Chief Market Strategist Graham Summers, MBA outlines why this time "is different" and what it means for risk assets, particularly stocks. Graham also provides a macro framework for the next 18 months, as well as where he sees stocks going before this bull market ends.Finally, Graham dives into gold's recent price spike, placing it in the context of two potential outcomes for what is happening in the financial system...
2024-09-2520 minBulls, Bears & BSThe Fed Will Start Cutting Rates Today... What This Means For Stocks and the ElectionFollowing the "growth scare" of late July/ early August, stocks have discounted an economy that will keep growing and a Fed that is about to start cutting rates. Today, the S&P 500 is at all-time highs with the Fed expected to cut rates by at least 0.25% at 2PM EST.However, with the Presidential election looming and the Fed already in the crosshairs for former President Trump, a lot can change between now and year-end. In this week's broadcast our host and Chief Market Strategist Graham Summers, MBA delves into why this business cycle is unlike any other...
2024-09-1826 minBulls, Bears & BSHas a Recession Arrived or Is It Time to Buy the Dip?The Sahm Rule has triggered, igniting concerns that a recession has arrived. But is this just another false positive in the current unusual business cycle... or is the economy actually rolling over? Moreover, are stocks about to crater into a prolonged bear market... or is this an opportunity to buy the dipWe address all of these issues in this week's episode.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2024-08-0211 minThe Schilling ShowThe Schilling Show: Tim Kennedy, Adam Andrzejewski, Graham SummersTim Kennedy, news producer with The Daily Signal, discusses the recent protests in Washington, D.C. coinciding with Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's visit to the United States.Adam Andrzejewski, CEO and founder of Openthebooks.com, talks about staffing problems Democratic Presidential candidate Kamala Harris faces. Graham Summers, MBA and expert in central bank policy, analyzes what the markets are saying about the election, the true state of the economy, and Bitcoin. All of this and more on a Freaky and Free-Phone Friday Edition of The Schilling Show!(18:10...
2024-07-261h 16Bulls, Bears & BSInflation Has Officially Given the Fed An Excuse to Start CuttingInflation came in cooler than expected this week. This has opened the door to the Fed cutting rates sooner than expected as rates are at 5.5% while inflation is now at 3%. This is extremely bullish for stocks as even lagging indices (the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Russell 2000) are finally catching a bid.In simple terms, there is NOTHING bearish in the stock market right now. And our clients are profiting beautifully from it. We delve into all of these items in this week's episode as well as how you can use our research to boost your...
2024-07-1215 minBulls, Bears & BSIs a Recession Finally Here?Stocks have closed at new all-time highs in four of the last five weeks. But the economic data has taken a sharp turn for the worse. Estimated GDP growth for the second quarter cratered from 3% down to 1.5% in the last two weeks. And the unemployment rate is now ticking higher, suggesting a potential Sahm Rule Trigger which would mean a recession has arrived.Is this the real deal... or is it just another false positive for recession indicators? We dive into all of that this week, along with our forecast for stocks heading into the second half...
2024-07-0510 minBulls, Bears & BSGet Ready For a Major Buying OpportunityStocks just hit new all-time highs, but I anticipate a growth scare to trigger a MAJOR buying opportunity within the next six weeks.One of the most accurate predictors of a recession is the Sahm Rule. And I believe we'll get darn close to a Sahm Rule trigger sometime before August 10th. When this happens, the investment world will panic, pushing stocks down possibly as low as 4,900 on the S&P 500.When that happens, it's time to BACK UP THE TRUCK.I explain why in this week's episode....
2024-06-2812 minBulls, Bears & BSIs It Time to Get Out of Stocks?Is a recession about to unfold, crushing stocks?The calls for a recession are growing by the week. However, for those focused on making money from the markets, it's important to note that things are in fact different this time: the pandemic and subsequent monetary/fiscal interventions have badly warped the economic data in the U.S. As a result of this, a number of metrics that have previously predicted recessions might in fact be WRONG this time around. This week we delve into the data in the U.S., what it's likely to state in...
2024-06-2116 minBulls, Bears & BSDisinflation Arrives... Is a Recession About to Crash the Markets?The market is sending us clear signals that is it focused on the inflation data, which is trending down. This, combined with a drop in Treasury yields, is signaling disinflation. What does this mean for stocks going forward? And are the recessionary signals people are so worked up about on social media REALLY worth paying attention to? We cover all of this in this week's episode. If you've got money in the markets, you WON'T want to miss it!Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2024-06-1421 minBulls, Bears & BSDon't Overthink Things, Stocks Remain "Risk On"The macro picture is shifting from higher growth and inflation to lower growth and disinflation. This will benefit certain key sectors and open the door to additional profits for those who play this right. However, in the big picture, stocks remain in "risk on" as there are ZERO red flags or signals of systemic risk in the financial system today.Don't overthink it, profit from it!Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2024-06-0713 minBulls, Bears & BSProbabilities Lead to Profits... and How to Think About and Invest in AIThis week we dive into the probabilities aspect of investing... and why you should NEVER bet the farm on a crash. We also explore AI from a technological and historical framework using the build out of the Internet in the late '90s as a reference point.If you're interested in making money from the markets... and navigating AI from an investment perspective, you NEED to hear this.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2024-05-3123 minBulls, Bears & BSLet's Talk About Making REAL Money From the Stock MarketThis week we are obliterating some of the myths surrounding the economy and stock market. If you've ever wondered why the economic data doesn't "feel" right... or why stocks go up despite BAD news... or what REALLY matters when it comes to making money from the stock market, this episode is for you.Oh, and we also break down AI and its true relevance as far as the markets are concerned. Check it out!Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2024-05-2423 minBulls, Bears & BSI've Got a New Book Out... and Stocks Are At New All-Time Highs... What Comes Next?Bulls Bear and BS is back. I am beyond thrilled to announce that my new book Into the Abyss: Life After the Bubble is now available to purchase at Amazon. You can purchase it by CLICKING HERE.This book is the sequel to my 2017 best-seller The Everything Bubble. It is divided into two sections (The Everything Bubble Has Burst and How to Invest After the Bubble). If you're looking for specific investment strategies to employ to profit from what's happening in the financial...
2024-05-1722 minBulls, Bears & BSThe Fed Pivot is Here... the S&P 500 is Going to at Least 5,000The Fed has abandoned its "higher for longer" narrative and is now talking about cutting rates three if not four times in 2024. There are several reasons for the Fed to do this. Some are HIGHLY questionable. Others are valid. But regardless the Fed Pivot will have a dramatic effect on risk assets going forward.This week we delve into all of this as well as a history of Fed interventions... as well as why the S&P 500 will hit 5,000 before the end of 1Q24.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on T...
2023-12-1922 minBulls, Bears & BSNew All Time Highs Are ComingBonds are telling us that the Fed is done raising rates. The yield on the 2-Year U.S. Treasury peaked in early October and has since fallen from 5.2% to 4.8%. Interest rates are at 5.5%, so the bond market is not only telling us that the Fed is done raising rates, but that the Fed will have cut rates by two or three times in the next two years.This has ignited one of the best single month returns for stocks in 30 years. This week we delve into where stocks go from here and why.Support the...
2023-11-2813 minBulls, Bears & BSIs a Debt Crisis About to Unfold in the U.S.?Bonds continue to break down in anticipation of the U.S. Treasury's Quarterly Refunding Announcement due out next week. We are now getting to the point at which a panic could hit bonds, which would trigger an aggressive drop in stocks. This week we delve into these issues as well as what's happening in gold and oil.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-10-2313 minBulls, Bears & BSWar In the Middle East and What to Watch in the MarketsWar has broken out in the Middle East... and everyone has an "expert" opinion on it. We're staying in our lane this week and focusing on the markets, specifically, what bonds are telling us about the potential for a full-scale crisis. We also break down the framework we've developed for trading the markets over the last 20 years... and why it works as opposed to the "rules based" trading that you can learn from a book.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-10-1015 minBulls, Bears & BSWarning: We're Getting To the Point At Which Something Major BreaksTreasury yields continue to spike. Regional banks are breaking down. Bank of America is back at the March 2023 lows. Is a bank crisis about to hit? And what does this mean for the broader stock market.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-10-0310 minBulls, Bears & BSHow the Stock Market Really Works... and Where This Leg Down Will EndThis week, Graham Summers, MBA delves into the stock market framework he's developed over the last 20 years of its career. He also explains why stocks are finally dropping, where this leg down will end, and what to do about it.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-09-2619 minBulls, Bears & BSWeekly Market Broadcast for 9-18-23Bonds yields are back at the highs, but stocks are refusing to break down. This week we delve into why this is happening, as well as why the U.S. economy refuses to enter a recession despite the fact inflation remains a major problem. We also spend time analyzing the stock market on a relative basis to bonds and cash, as well as our thoughts on oil and gold.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-09-1818 minBulls, Bears & BSStocks Break Out... But Is Inflation Bottoming?Stocks have broken out to new highs, but there are signs that inflation, as measured by CPI might in fact be bottoming right now. Moreover, the bond market is finally waking up to the fact the Fed will need to keep rates higher for longer, which will ultimately have a profound impact on asset prices going forward.This week we delve into all of these issues as well as what they mean for the markets. Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-07-1719 minBulls, Bears & BSThe Long Awaited Fed Pause is Here. What Does It Mean For Stocks?The Fed has announced it is pausing its rate hikes at a time when there is clearly too much froth in the system and core inflation remains at 5%. This week we delve into what this means for stocks and other risk assets. We also assess whether the U.K. is about to trigger a new debt crisis. Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-06-1525 minBulls, Bears & BSWe Are About to Commit the Ultimate "Guru Taboo"This week we assess one of the most important aspects of investing: being wrong and losing money. In an industry in which no one openly admits their mistakes and everyone pretends to have a 100% success rate, this is the ULTIMATE Guru Taboo.We also assess the ongoing battle between the Fed and the Federal Government when it comes to spending/ inflation, why the economy continue to grow, whether or not stocks have indeed bottomed, and where risk assets go from here. Buckle up, this is not your usual guru podcast.Support the show...
2023-06-0525 minBulls, Bears & BSThe Dark Truth About the Debt Deal... and What It Means For Inflation, Stocks and the EconomyIgnore what the media is telling you, the debt deal opens the door to even more spending; $6 trillion, to be specific. In this week's episode we delve into the impact this would have on inflation, the economy, the stock market and more.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-05-3125 minBulls, Bears & BSThe Truth About the Debt Ceiling, Why Tech Stocks Are Rallying, and the "D" WordThe U.S. will hit its debt ceiling some time in the next 60 days. Stocks are ignoring this and other significant risks. Meanwhile, large divergences are forming "beneath the surface" in the markets. This week we delve into all of these issues in great detail.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-05-2225 minBulls, Bears & BSAnother Major Bank Fails... But Stocks Don't Care. What is Going On!?!Thus far in 2023, banks with a combined $532 BILLION in assets have failed in the U.S.. And yet, the S&P 500 remains near its highs year to date. We delve into the big picture for the markets and why stocks are stuck in a range... for now.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-05-0223 minBulls, Bears & BSWhat the Heck is Going On With the Markets... and Is the U.S. Dollar Doomed?The financial system is in the grips of two major macro forces. How this plays out will decide which framework investors will need to use. And once again the "Death of the U.S. Dollar" narrative is taking hold of the investment community. Is the great U.S. Dollar crisis finally here?Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-04-2128 minBulls, Bears & BSWhat the "Smart Money" is Saying About Buying Stocks TodayThis week Graham does a deep dive into the "smart money" asset class: bonds. Graham outlines how the bond market works, why it's extremely important for understanding the economy, and what it's saying about buying stocks today. Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-04-1025 minBulls, Bears & BSIs the Bear Market Over?Stocks rallied hard to end the quarter. Is the bear market over? Or is this the result of some short-term developments that will be ending soon? Graham dives deep into the macro picture covering stocks, bonds, gold, and oil.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-04-0122 minBulls, Bears & BSIs This the Real Reason the Fed and Treasury Are Panicking?The Fed is adamant that everything is fine in the financial system. But its actions don't support this claim: the Fed has expanded its balance sheet by over $400 billion in just two weeks while also opening currency swap lines with other central banks. In this episode, Graham Summers, MBA breaks down the real reason he thinks the Fed is freaking out.Gains, Pains & CapitalFREE daily market commentary written by Graham Summers, MBA. Disclaimer: This post contains affiliate links. If you make a purchase, I may receive a commission at no extra cost to...
2023-03-2627 minBulls, Bears & BSWhy No One, Not Even the Fed, Can Handle InflationBanks have been dealt a 1-2 punch by inflation. The Fed/ Treasury have moved to calm things. But for the first time in 40+ years, the Fed is truly cornered as far as monetary policy is concerned. Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-03-2219 minBulls, Bears & BSWhy Stocks Are Collapsing... and the SIVB MeltdownBonds have been SCREAMING that trouble was coming for weeks now. As usual stocks are last to "get it." Why the stock market is finally waking up to reality and why Silicon Valley Bank is the match that lit the fuse.Gains, Pains & CapitalFREE daily market commentary written by Graham Summers, MBA. Disclaimer: This post contains affiliate links. If you make a purchase, I may receive a commission at no extra cost to you.Support the showThanks for listening! Follow us on Twitter and Instagram.
2023-03-1317 minBulls, Bears & BSIt's All Bulls, Bears and BSAn introduction to Bulls Bears and BS, a weekly investment broadcast hosted by Graham Summers, MBA.Originally published only to private clients, Bulls Bears and BS is being made available to the general public for the first time ever. As an introduction to his work and investing framework, Graham is going to be working through the contents of his best-selling book The Everything Bubble: the Endgame For Central Bank Policy, providing insights that didn't make it past the editing phase, and further fleshing out his expert understanding of how the global f...
2023-03-0804 min