Shows
Star Spangled GamblersKash Patel's Confirmation, Vivek Ramaswamy's GaffePart 1: Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) makes the bear case on Kash Patel's confirmation odds Part 2: Rule3O3 (@Rule3O3) analyzes Vivek Ramaswamy's H1B gaffe Timestamps 0:00: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) intro 0:46: Pratik's updated odds on Patel's confirmation 2:03: Hegseth's confirmation 3:01: Pratik introduces Ramaswamy segment 5:41: Intro ends 7:42: Patel segment begins 12:19: Patel scandals 15:52: Dr. Cruse's prediction 16:28: Trump's support of Patel 19:42: Alternatives to Patel 22:29: Why Patel different from Hegseth 23:14: Patel segment ends 23:28: Ramaswamy segment begins2025-01-3045 min
Star Spangled GamblersThe Bear Case on Pete Hegseth's Confirmation OddsDr. Cruse (@predoctit) argues that Pete Hegseth, Trump's nominee for Secretary of Defense, is much less likely to get confirmed than the current markets prices indicate. Dr. Cruse and Pratik Chougule also discuss the universe of Republican senators who are willing to vote against Trump nominees. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces episode 0:11: Thune whip count on Hegseth 8:05: Intro ends 10:06: Interview with Cruse begins 10:42: Trump nominees' confirmation prospects 11:24: Democratic Senators 12:11: Rubio 15:44: Most controversial nominees 16:27: Hegseth scandals 31:14: Factors in...2025-01-1350 min
Star Spangled GamblersTucker Carlson After Fox NewsPart 1: Fred Norris (@PIsFredNorris) declares victory in his side bet with Zoltar (@zoltarssg) on how ratings at Fox News would fare following Tucker Carlson's departure. Part 2: Coalition for Political Forecasting Research Director Mick Bransfield (@mickbransfield) and Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discuss the merits of CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam's opposition to election event contracts. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces Tucker Carlson segment 2:02: Behnam's announcement on event contracts rulemaking 11:36: Tucker Carlson segment begins 11:48: Fred Norris recaps bet with Zoltar 19:30: Fox News ratings after Tucker Carlson 25:21: Tucker Carlson's decline2024-12-1850 min
Star Spangled GamblersDistrict Judge Rules Against CFTCPratik Chougule summarizes the latest developments in the legal battle between Kalshi and the CFTC on election betting. Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield do a deep dive into the CFTC's arguments in front of DC federal district court Judge Jia Cobb. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces segment with Bransfield 1:43: Update on latest in Kalshi-CFTC legal battle 9:34: Bransfield segment begins 11:18: CFTC counsel's poor presentation 20:33: Definition of a contest 21:47: Market manipulation 27:02: Cobb's concerns 27:29: CFTC's arguments about gaming 29:34: Importance of public comments t...2024-09-2341 min
Star Spangled GamblersKalshi's Case Against the CFTCPart I: Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield analyze Kalshi's case against the CFTC in federal court Part II: Jared Whitley discusses political trends among Mormons and other high-achieving minority groups Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces Kalshi segment 0:51: Pratik introduces Whitley segment 2:12: Mormon vote in Arizona and Nevada 3:30: Cuban-American vote in Florida 6:23: Segment on Kalshi begins 6:29: Jones Day 9:13: Joshua Sterling 10:50: Yaakov Roth 11:14: Amanda Rice 11:39: Kalshi's gaming argument 14:05: Kalshi's public interest argument 14:45: Lack of expertise...2024-08-3138 min
Star Spangled GamblersCrypto Bros at the Republican National ConventionKeendawg (@keendawg) and Gaeten Dugas (@gaetend) return to the show to review the Republican National Convention and discuss what it tells us about the Trump-Harris matchup. Timestamps 3:58: Interview begins 5:19: Shayne Coplan at the RNC 18:05: Why the RNC matters 19:48: Odds on Republicans winning the presidency 27:47: Media treatment of Harris 31:54: How to bet on the Trump-Kamala race 37:22: Polymarket's achievements in the 2024 election SUPPORT US: Patreon: www.patreon.com/starspangledgamblers FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL: Twitter: www.twitter.com/ssgamblers VISIT O...2024-08-1539 min
Star Spangled GamblersObstacles to Rescheduling MarijuanaPart I: Jared Whitley explains why it will be difficult politically and legally to reschedule marijuana in 2024 Part II: Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield discuss what a Republican president would mean for the regulation of election event contracts Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces marijuana rescheduling segment 2:11: Pratik introduces segment on event contract regulation 3:24: CFTC rulemaking on event contracts 6:46: Interview with Whitley begins 8:14: Referencing Polymarket odds in political analysis 11:12: What does rescheduling marijuana mean? 13:30: Why Biden rescheduled marijuana 17:46: Romney's objections 18:17...2024-07-3049 min
Star Spangled GamblersUK Elections: The Nigel Farage FactorPart I: William Kedjanyi previews the July 4 UK elections. He discusses Nigel Farage's rise, what he's hearing from ordinary voters, and whether Labour will win more than 450 seats. Part II: Anthony Pickles discusses why there is relatively little hedging in the UK betting markets Timestamps 0:30: Pratik introduces Kedjanyi 1:53: Pratik introduces segment with Pickles 5:19: Segment with Kedjanyi begins 6:27: Reform Party's launch 11:28: Farage's odds of election 15:02: Farage's impact in the next government 19:38: First past the post 25:03: The Labour Party's ideology 2024-07-0345 min
Star Spangled GamblersTrump Probably Won't Pick J.D. Vance for VPPart I: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule), Ben Freeman (benwfreeman1), and Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) discuss why Trump is unlikely to select J.D. Vance as VP. Part II: Pratik and Mick Bransfield (@mickbransfield) discuss what comments will favorably influence the CFTC in the ongoing rulemaking on event contracts Part III: Anthony Pickles (@polgambling) provides advice on how to follow the UK elections and maintain an edge in these markets Part IV: Saul Munn (@saulmunn) explains the importance of capital in building the forecasting community Timestamps 0:11: Pratik introduces segment on J.D...2024-07-0146 min
Star Spangled GamblersLabour Is Headed for a Landslide VictoryPart I: Professor Anthony Pickles (@polgambling), an expert on political gambling, does a deep dive into Keir Starmer and precisely how many seats Labour and the Conservatives are likely to win in UK's upcoming elections. Part II: Vegas bookmaker Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) explains how professional bettors are driving irrational odds in the VP markets. Part III: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discusses why opponents of election betting have the upper hand in Washington. Timestamps 0:09: Pratik introduces segment on UK elections 2:01: Pratik introduces segment with Alex Chan on VP odds 3:17...2024-06-2645 min
Star Spangled GamblersTrump's VP Pick: Qualifications versus Politics3-Part Episode Part I: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule), SSG TItle Belt Champ Ben Freeman (@benwfreeman1), and Title Belt Challenger Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) debate whether or not Trump cares about qualifications in his VP decision, or whether it will come down to politics. Part II: Doug Campbell (@tradeandmoney) analyzes how he won the 2023 Astral Codex Ten forecasting competition. Part III: Saul Munn explains how to organize the forecasting community 0:11: Pratik introduces VP segment 0:26: Pratik introduces Campbell segment 1:05: Pratik introduces Munn segment 4:09: VP segment begins 8:43: 2028 considerations 18:13: Campbell segment begins2024-06-1742 min
Star Spangled GamblersHow Trump Will Select His VPPratik Chougule previews Manifest 2024. Ben Freeman (@benwfreeman1) and Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) negotiate a side bet on whether Trump will select Tim Scott, Doug Burgum, or Marco Rubio as his running mate. They discuss how Trump will make the decision and when he'll announce it. Timestamps 0:09: Pratik introduces segment on Trump VP selection 1:44: Manifest 2024 7:18: Episode on VP nomination begins 7:43: What are SSG Title Belt Championships? 9:37: How Ben Freeman won the SSG Title Belt 11:56: Ben's proposed side bet on Trump's VP selection 13:36: Alex C...2024-06-0641 min
Star Spangled GamblersHow Trump Will Select His Running MatePratik Chougule previews Manifest 2024. Ben Freeman (@benwfreeman1) and Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) negotiate a side bet on whether Trump will select Tim Scott, Doug Burgum, or Marco Rubio as his running mate. They discuss how Trump will make the decision and when he'll announce it. Timestamps 0:09: Pratik introduces segment on Trump VP selection 1:44: Manifest 2024 7:18: Episode on VP nomination begins 7:43: What are SSG Title Belt Championships? 9:37: How Ben Freeman won the SSG Title Belt 11:56: Ben's proposed side bet on Trump's VP selection 13:36: Alex C...2024-06-0515 min
Star Spangled GamblersCFTC Cracks Down on Election ContractsThe CFTC has proposed a new rule that would restrict betting on election markets. Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield do a deep dive into the CFTC's deliberations. Timestamps 0:00: Introduction 6:11: Interview with Bransfield begins 8:50: CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam is spending political capital on the issue 10:14: What is rulemaking? 11:24: Behnam's statement 11:48: Concerns about CFTC staff time on election contracts 14:25: Conflict of interest accusations against Kristin Johnson 17:34: Senator Tommy Tuberville's involvement 20:02: Goldsmith-Romero's views 25:13: Mersinger's dissent 27:38: Pham's dissent 2024-06-0349 min
Star Spangled GamblersBest and Worst of Political Gambling in 2023Every year, Star Spangled Gamblers hosts the Golden Modelos—an awards show for the best and worst of political gambling in the previous year. Abhi Kylasa (AENews) and Vanilla Vice return to the show to discuss which nominees should make the ballot. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces the Golden Modelos and why they matter 5:56: Vice introduces the Golden Modelos 6:53: Pratik explains the Golden Modelos process 8:33: Best Market 9:27: Room temperature superconductor 10:15: Will 2023 be the hottest year market 11:23: Best Trade 11:27: Bonding the Bitcoin ET...2024-05-0950 min
Star Spangled GamblersWhen Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce Get Engaged?Hemma Kilawan, a member of the SSG team, analyzes whether and when Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce will get engaged. Timestamps 0:40: Pratik explains why SSG is covering Taylor Swift markets and how they relate to political gambling 3:50: Pratik thanks a Patreon sponsor and why his contribution is important 8:15: Interview with Hemma begins 9:28: Hemma's impressions of political gambling 9:58: Can political gambling reach beyond its target demographics? 11:12: Taylor Swift as a political actor 16:18: Polymarket markets on Taylor Swift 16:59: Is the Swift-Kelce relationship real?2024-04-1546 min
Star Spangled GamblersHow Bad Is Trump's Health?Dr. Lucas (@Talophex) returns for a deep dive into Donald Trump's health and how it should inform a bet on whether he'll be elected president. Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers 0:00: Pratik introduces the episode 1:17: Discoloration of Trump's hand and Trump's alleged body odor 4:17: Interview begins 5:46: Trump's coronary artery disease 6:32: Trump's physique 10:12: Trump's psychology 11:05: Note from Trump's doctor 13:38: Why hasn't Trump had a serious heart condition? 15:06: Trump's genetics 17:46: Is weight protective in old age? 21:00: Trump's cognitive decline 25:29: Trump's OCD 27:00: Trump's purpose in...2024-02-0846 min
Star Spangled GamblersHaley and DeSantis Battle for Second in IowaWhile Trump appears to hold a commanding lead heading in the Iowa caucuses, second place remains uncertain. Ben Freeman challenges The Winner for the SSG title belt on the question of who will perform better in the Iowa caucuses: Ron DeSantis or Nikki Haley. Plus, Pratik Chougule explains the nomination process for the 2024 Golden Modelos. 0:00: Pratik introduces the Iowa caucuses segment 1:38: Pratik explains the nomination process for the 2024 Golden Modelos for Excellence in Political Gambling 4:15: SSG members' only private briefing on Taiwan elections 7:36: Segment on Iowa caucuses...2024-01-1038 min
Star Spangled GamblersCan DeSantis Make a Comeback?Three-Part Episode In Part I, Ben Freeman and SSG Title Belt Champion The Winner review the DeSantis-Newsom debate and discuss whether DeSantis can make a comeback. In Part II, PlayUSA columnist Steve Friess offers lessons on what the political betting community can learn from how sports betting became mainstream. In Part III, Mick Bransfield provides theories on why Kalshi pressed ahead with election contracts at the CFTC knowing it didn't have the votes. Timestamps 4:30: Interview with Ben Freeman and The Winner begins 7:49: DeSantis's mannerisms 12:36: Is DeSantis deferring...2023-12-2247 min
Star Spangled GamblersFinal Predictions on Argentina's Presidential ElectionsColombia-based trader Ian Bezek (@irbezek) returns to the show to offer some final thoughts on the close and uncertain presidential race in Argentina. 1:32: Ian's thoughts on the final debate between Javier Milei and Sergio Massa 2:10: Ian's advice on Polymarket's margin market 5:20: Interview begins 6:06: Massa's backround 7:43: Massa's political baggage 8:45: Questions about Massa's alleged drug addiction 9:56: Market volatility since the eve of the first round of elections 11:39: Why did polls miss on the first round? 12:49: Milei's shortcomings 14:34: Summary of first round results 15:38: Why so much market volatility? 18:29: How...2023-11-1843 min
Star Spangled GamblersFinal Predictions on the Kentucky Governor's RaceOn the eve of the Kentucky governor's election, a new poll by Emerson suggests that the race could be much closer than initially expected. SSG Title Belt Champion TheWinner (@thewinner2875) and Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) join the show to make their final predictions. Although they generally agree in their analyses, they settle on a side bet and a challenge for the SSG Title Belt. 3:20: Main segment begins 4:10: Introduction to Dr. Cruse 6:51: Emerson polling 8:20: Current market prices 12:31: The role of national politics 14:16: Racial politics 17:21: SSG TItle Belt Challenge 23:36...2023-11-0741 min
Star Spangled GamblersA Democratic Frontrunner in the Kentucky Governor's Race3-Part Episode — Keendawg returns to discuss why Andy Beshear, Kentucky's Democratic Governor, is favored for re-election, but why lottos on his Republican challenger might be a good bet — Pratik reports on new evidence that Kalshi was behind the CFTC's enforcement action against Polymarket — MagaVacuum explains how to gain a betting edge while traveling to campaign events Timestamps 4:24: Interview with Keendawg begins 4:40: Keendawg's role in founding Star Spangled Gamblers 7:14: Kentucky colonels 9:42: Who is Andy Beshear and why is he the favorite in the KY governor's race?2023-10-3039 min
Star Spangled GamblersInside the Review that Led to Kalshi's Rejection at the CFTCAfter another review with a 30-day public comment period, the CFTC rejected Kalshi's proposal to offer election contracts. Mick Bransfield and Pratik Chougule do a deep dive into the outpouring of public comments that led to the CFTC's decision. 0:00: Introduction begins 2:14: Kalshi's incentives and how they shape its strategy toward political betting regulation 3:46: Kalshi's policy on transparency 5:27: Kalshi's diverging incentives from the political betting community 7:42: How Pratik's assumptions on political betting regulation differ from those of Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour 13:03: Interview with Mick begins 2023-10-2843 min
Star Spangled GamblersRichard Hanania Takes on Cancel Culture in the Political Betting CommunityAfter listening to our recent episode about calls in the forecasting community to cancel him, Richard Hanania offered to appear on the show. Richard and Pratik Chougule discuss: — Cancel culture in the rationalist community — The conservative judiciary and how it could legalize prediction markets — The odds of Vivek Ramaswamy and Donald Trump to secure the GOP nomination — Balancing the incentives of being a forecaster and a pundit 3:25: Interview begins 4:14: Richard's new book The Origins of Woke and his association with Vivek Ramaswamy 7:00: Richard responds to those in the forecasting community who want...2023-10-2242 min
Star Spangled GamblersShould Richard Hanania Be Canceled from the Political Forecasting Community?Rule3O3 and Pratik Chougule discuss whether the political forecasting community should cancel Richard Hanania in light of his edgy writings on race, sex, and other hot-button issues. Timestamps: 0:53: Jonathan Zubkoff wins the CSPI/Salem Center forecasting tournament 2:58: Manifest conference 5:04: Crime markets on Manifold 6:58: Open invitation to Hanania to appear on SSG 10:23: Who is Hanania? 15:22: Why a cancel attempt on Hanania 19:09: Should Hanania be canceled from the forecasting community? 23:24: Peter Wildeford's criticism 29:03: Aaron Bergman's warning on ideological policing 32:22: Political betting as a solution to political...2023-09-1550 min
Star Spangled GamblersHow a Government Shutdown Will Likely Be AvertedIntro: Pratik Chougule Part I: Jonathan Zubkoff (Zubby Badger) discusses the possibility of a government shutdown and how it will likely be averted Part II: Mick Bransfield discusses the new judge, David Ezra, who will be overseeing the PredictIt case at the district court Part III: Pratik responds to mailbag from Domer on overconfident marks in political betting markets and argues for recruiting experts to participate in prediction markets 1:45: Pratik promotes the Manifest Conference https://www.manifestconference.net/ 5:46: Zubby on the possibility of a government shutdown 2023-09-0741 min
Star Spangled GamblersWill Trump Show Up to Any Debate This Year?Intro: Pratik's thoughts on the first Republican presidential debate Part I: Pratik interviews PlayUSA columnist Steve Friess about his reporting on why political prediction markets missed the 2022 Senate races, and why the policymaking community is skeptical of political gambling. Part II: Jonathan Zubkoff (Zubby Badger) discusses the circumstances in which Trump will attend a Republican debate Timestamps 0:12: Pratik introduces the interview with Steve Friess 1:37: Pratik introduces segment with Zubby Badger on whether Trump will attend a debate 2:59: Political betting insights from the first Republican de...2023-08-3146 min
Star Spangled GamblersWill a Fragmented Republican Field Save Trump?Intro: Pratik Chougule discusses a recent Manifold meetup he attended and the importance of attending in-person forecasting community events Part 1: Rule3O3 joins the show for the first time to discuss epistemic humility in political betting and how to realize the promise of political prediction markets. Part 2: Ben Freeman and Pratik Chougule continue their conversation on 2024 Republican presidential primary. Ben and Pratik discuss whether a fractured Republican field will save Trump again or whether the electorate will rally around an alternative. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces the two segments 1:12: Manifold and the importance...2023-08-2743 min
Star Spangled GamblersPredictIt's Big Win at the Fifth CircuitMick Bransfield and Pratik Chougule do a deep dive into the Fifth Circuit's decision to grant PredictIt a preliminary injunction and what it means for traders as well as the broader political betting community. Bransfield and Chougule also speculate on why PredictIt still isn't rolling out new markets. 4:53: Summary of Fifth Circuit ruling 14:51: CFTC attorneys and their legal strategy against PredictIt 27:19: PredictIt hiring for a DCM 31:21: New markets at PredictIt? 34:20: SSG website down 2023-08-1137 min
Star Spangled GamblersCFTC as "Election Cop"; Side bets on DeSantis county wins; Kalshi's role in "killing" PredictIt/Polymarket; mailbag on Kalshi's debt ceiling marketPart I (3:46): Adrian Smith responds to CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam's concerns that election markets could turn the CFTC into an "election cop." Part II (27:01): Iabvek and Pratik side bet on whether Ron DeSantis will even win one county in the Republican primaries Part III (36:37): Mick Bransfield discusses whether Kalshi "killed" PredictIt and/or Polymarket and how the FOIA process works at the CFTC Part IV (40:53): Mailbag on Kalshi's recent debt ceiling market2023-08-0244 min
Star Spangled GamblersHow Bad Will It Get for Ron DeSantis?Gaeten Dugas, Iabvek, and Pratik Chougule debate and place side bets on the question of when Ron DeSantis drop out of the race. In part II, Pratik addresses a mailbag question on the question of whether prediction markets and political gamblers have failed to disrupt the political discourse. Timestamps: 5:25: PredictIt's victory at the Fifth Circuit 7:12: DeSantis's political future 41:47: Mailbag on prediction market traders who can't explain politics 2023-07-3150 min
Star Spangled GamblersDoes Political Betting Threaten Democracy? Lessons from the UKThe CFTC's review of Kalshi's election contracts has shown that policymakers in America have deep concerns about risk political betting poses to democracy. UK-based political gambler and election compliance specialist Adrian Smith joins the show to discuss what lessons can be drawn from Britain's longstanding, liberal regulations on political betting. In part 2, Atlantic Sentinel Nick Ottens returns to the show to discuss why Hungary won't leave the European Union. Timestamps: 0:00: Pratik introduces the Adrian Smith interview 0:42: Pratik discusses the CFTC's review of Kalshi's election contracts 4:39: Pratik introduces the Nick...2023-07-1543 min
Star Spangled GamblersAnother CFTC Review of Kalshi's Election MarketsMick Bransfield and Pratik Chougule do a deep dive into Kalshi's latest attempt at the CFTC to offer election markets. StarSpangledGamblers.com Twitter: @ssgamblers2023-07-061h 02
Star Spangled GamblersWill Trump Show Up to the First Debate? + New Markets on PredictIt and the Future of the European Union— Gaeten Dugas and Pratik Chougule debate their side bet on whether Trump will show up to the first Republican debate in August — Abhi and Pratik discuss whether PredictIt will offer new markets and how to trade on this question on Insight Prediction — Atlantic Sentinel editor Nick Ottens explains how countries can leave the European Union and why the odds of Italy and Poland exiting are very low 2023-06-2252 min
Star Spangled GamblersOdds of Trump Leaving the Race + Spain Prime Minister ElectionsIn part 1, Pratik Chougule and Jason Pipkin discuss the odds that Trump will stop running for the Republican nomination for president before the South Carolina primaries. In part 2, Atlantic Sentinel editor Nick Ottens does a deep dive into Spain's July elections and whether Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez can survive as prime minister. Nick and Pratik discuss the odds on BetOnlineAg's next leader out market. 2023-06-1453 min
Star Spangled GamblersDeSantis's Weirdness and Why He Is OverpricedPratik Chougule, TheWinner, and MagaVacuum discuss: — Ron DeSantis's weird behavior, why he's overpriced in the betting markets, and how long to hold short shares. — The right price to pay for Tim Scott and other longshot candidates for the Republican nomination. — Side bets and the future of the political gambling community.2023-06-1053 min
Star Spangled GamblersBet Against Senator Feinstein Resigning— Pratik Chougule on market manipulation and pump-and-dump schemes in political prediction markets — Gaeten Dugas on why he's betting against California Senator Dianne Feinstein resigning this year — Nic Horton assesses the likelihood of an Arkansan vice presidential nominee, discussing the odds on former Governor Asa Hutchinson, Senator Tom Cotton, and the current Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders — Abhi (@aenews_pi) explains how to profit in Insight Prediction's Russia-Ukraine war markets2023-06-1044 min
Star Spangled GamblersOdds of Russia Nuking UkraineNaman (@nmehndir) and Abhi (@aenews_PI) discuss their side bets on the odds of Russia nuking Ukraine by the end of June as well as the odds of a nuclear explosion by the end of the year. Both debate Pratik on the likelihood of an offensive nuclear war by 2050.2023-05-2748 minStar Spangled GamblersThe Right's Problems with Educated Voters— Pratik Chougule analyzes Victoria University's response to the CFTC. — Gaeten Dugas explains why he's making the largest bet of his career on George Santos not resigning from Congress. — Zeus O'Dea considers why the right is losing educated voters across the western world and whether this reality is being priced in on betting markets.2023-05-2451 minStar Spangled GamblersFox News After Tucker CarlsonPratik Chougule provides an update on the ongoing lawsuit between the CFTC and PredictIt now that the Fifth Circuit has rejected the CFTC's motion to dismiss the case and Victoria University has responded to the agency's questions. Zoltar and Fred Norris debate their side bet on whether Fox News will be able to maintain its primetime ratings after Tucker Carlson's departure. StarSpangledGamblers.com2023-05-051h 09Star Spangled GamblersArgentina's Upcoming Presidential ElectionsArgentina's upcoming presidential elections are looking like a volatile and uncertain contest between a number of colorful candidates. Among others: an incumbent with a track record of racist comments overseeing 100%+ inflation, a Harvard Business School grad, and an anarcho-capitalist tantra instructor. Latin America based financial analyst Ian Bezek returns to the show to assess the odds on Smarkets and how you should trade in the run-up to primaries in August and the general election in October. In part 2, Casino.org reporter Steve Bittenbender and Pratik Chougule continue to analyze the CFTC's response to PredictIt, including it...2023-04-2052 minStar Spangled Gamblers2024 Republican Longshots for President + Debt Ceiling Negotiations— Jason Pipkin and Pratik Chougule discuss which longshots for the Republican nomination for president are worth buying — Zubby Badger assesses when Congress and the Biden administration are likely to reach a debt ceiling deal — Casino.org reporter Steve Bittenbender predicts that political gambling deregulation might not happen until the 2028 elections — Zoltar "retires" from political gambling2023-04-1142 min
Star Spangled GamblersThe Bull Case for Vivek RamaswamyEli Braden and Pratik do a deep dive on Republican candidate for president Vivek Ramaswamy. They discuss how to weigh his odds as a prospective nominee and his future in conservative politics. 2023-04-0347 minStar Spangled GamblersHow to Crack Foreign Elections: Traders weigh in on elections in Nigeria, Turkey, and GreeceElections in countries outside the United States provide some of the most lucrative opportunities in political gambling. The fact that traders know little about these countries and information is hard to track down creates market distortions that saavy traders know how to exploit. In this episode, Pratik interviews three traders—Naman Mehndiratta, Jay Yu, and Paul Krishnamurty—who have made money on recent elections in Nigeria, Hungary, and elsewhere and have advice on how to apply their insights for upcoming contests in Turkey and Greece.2023-03-2543 minStar Spangled GamblersCFTC Makes Its Case Against PredictItSince August 2022, when the CFTC revoked PredictIt's no-action letter, the agency has refused to outline the precise reasons why it suddenly seeks to shut down the site. Facing tough questions from the judges on the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals, the CFTC finally laid out its case in a filing to the court. Casino.com reporter Steve Bittenbender and Pratik analyze the filing, as well as PredictIt's response. Editor's Note: This episode was recorded before the CFTC's March 23 filing, which will be covered in a future podcast.2023-03-241h 06Star Spangled GamblersJohn Fetterman's Health Cover-UpMcClatchy reporter Dave Catanese returns to the show. Dave has been following closely Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman's health issues and the seeming cover-up by Fetterman and his staff. Dave and Pratik discuss the likelihood that he'll resign from the Senate this year. In part 2, Zoltar and Gaeten award the Golden Modelos Worst Pump of the Year award to Trafalgar polls.2023-03-1748 minStar Spangled GamblersIs DeSantis Really Running for President?: Degens DebateBoth the betting markets and the conventional wisdom believe Ron DeSantis is running for president and that an announcement may be imminent. Trader and political gambling researcher MagaVacuum disagrees, arguing that DeSantis will ultimately sit this cycle out. Maga challenged Title Belt holder TheWinner2875 to a $250 bet that DeSantis won't announce by October 31. He doubled down with a $100 side bet against Pratik. Tune in for an important debate between MagaVacuum and TheWinner. In part 2, Paul Krishnamurty returns to the show to do a deep dive on betonline.ag and discusses why sportsbooks may...2023-03-121h 05Star Spangled GamblersDon't Bet Against Erdogan + Which State Will Be the First Democratic Primary in 2024? In this 4-part episode, we cover a variety of markets for traders across the different betting exchanges. In part 1, Paul Krishnamurthy explains why President Erdogan of Turkey is a safe bet and why he's more confident of this than the markets. In part 2, Michael H. tells us where to find utterly insane pricing on Smarkets in the Republican Vice President nomination market. In part 3, we continue our discussion with Bernie Sanders veteran Ari Rabin-Havt. He does a deep dive into which state will award delegates...2023-03-0645 minStar Spangled GamblersWhen Will Biden Announce His Re-Election Bid?Sean McElwee, former Data for Progress founding executive director, and former Bernie Sanders aide Ari Rabin-Havt discuss progressive opposition to political prediction markets and when Biden will likely announce his re-election campaign. Pratik, Gaeten, and Zoltar announce Golden Modelo awards for Rookie of the Year and Best Shitposter.2023-02-2848 minStar Spangled GamblersDid Kalshi Kill PredictIt and Polymarket? + Harvard affirmative action caseKalshi is the focus of this episode. In the introduction, Pratik provides a theory on what role Kalshi might have played in the demise of PredictIt and Polymarket. In part 1, Will Arnesen, head of the markets team at Kalshi, explains the rules in Kalshi's market on the Harvard affirmative action case before the Supreme Court. In part 2, Pratik, Gaeten, and Zoltar continue coverage of the Golden Modelos with discussion on the best market of the year. In the final segment, Ben Rapport denies that Kalshi killed PredictIt. He also tells us a...2023-02-2354 minStar Spangled GamblersWhy Biden is Underpriced + Golden Modelos for Best and Worst Trades of 2022Michael H., an Ireland-based political gambler, joins the show to discuss Biden's political future and how to trade on it over the next few months. Michael and Pratik agree that Biden is currently underpriced in the markets but differ a bit on the seriousness of the investigation into Biden's handling of classified documents. Zoltar, Gaeten, and Pratik discuss the best and worst trades of 2022.2023-02-1456 minStar Spangled GamblersCFTC Meltdown at the Fifth Circuit and Chicago Mayoral ElectionThe lawsuit by plaintiffs associated with PredictIt reached a critical phase on February 8 when the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals heard the case on its merits. As Pratik explains on the podcast, the hearing was a big win for PredictIt. In part 2, iSavage does a deep dive on the upcoming Chicago mayor election and makes the case for Lori Lightfoot lottos.2023-02-1056 min
Star Spangled GamblersPredictIt Survives for Now and Brian Golden’s Perfect Midterm PicksGood news for PredictIt. The Fifth Circuit has granted PredictIt an injunction which allows the site to continue operating while the appeals process proceeds. The court will consider the merits of PredictIt's appeal on February 8. Pratik discusses what this means for PredictIt traders. In part 2, Brian Golden returns to the show to discuss his perfect midterm picks. Brian explains in detail how he predicted the exact number of Senate and House seats and provides lessons that any trader can use in the future.2023-01-301h 08Star Spangled GamblersA New Way to Bet on Politics LegallyThe political gambling industry is in a state of regulatory limbo. PredictIt is fighting for its life in the Fifth Circuit. Kalshi awaits CFTC approval for its election markets. And Polymarket and Insight Prediction remain in offshore exile. The good news is that prediction market veteran Flip Pidot has found a new way to keep the degeneracy going. In this episode, Pratik and Flip do a deep dive into the American Civil Exchange's new platform to bet on politics. Based on over-the-counter swaps, there are minimal restrictions on market type and no limits. But there a...2023-01-2954 minStar Spangled GamblersGolden Modelos + Why Keendawg is LeavingNominations for the Golden Modelos, political gambling's most prestigious awards show. Plus Keendawg breaks some big news related to what he's up to (and why he's leaving). And Eli Braden drops the greatest political gambling song ever, "Selling at 99"2022-12-121h 19Star Spangled GamblersIt's Ride or Die Time: Final Predictions from the ProsZubby, iSavage, Pratik, Zoltar, join Keen make their finaly projections for the 2022 midterm elections. It's ride or die time. 2022-11-081h 12Star Spangled Gamblers5 Steps to Minting Cash on Biden Polling MarketsProfessional trader Jason Pipkin joins and tells the secrets pros like him use to mint money by betting on Joe Biden's approval rating. Keendawg and Pratik re-cap the week's news and recommend bets on the ensuing trends.2022-09-0255 min
Star Spangled GamblersYour Win, Stacey Abrams, Masks, and Cancel Culture's LossJoe Rogan beats the woke mob. Stacey Abrams self-owns with an epic photo of COVID overreach. And New Jersey, California, and Connecticut do away with masks. It’s a big moment to watch the era’s trends reverse. And there are a surprising number of legal places to wager on the outcomes that these events portend. Pratik and Keendawg show the way.2022-02-0952 minStar Spangled GamblersJanuary's Biggest Loser: Chuck Schumer, Donald Trump, or Everyone Betting Against Mario Draghi?After a colorful week of bigtime politicians in bigtime news stories, Domer, Pratik and Keendawg name this month's ALPHA DOGS and BETA BOYS. This is the definitive list of politicians to bet on... and those to bet against. From Joe Biden's desk to your local dog catcher, here are the pols who are hot to bet on... and hot to bet against.2022-01-2244 min
Star Spangled GamblersJoe Manchin, Trump's Indictment, and Hot Potatoes in NevadaA remarkably prescient podcast recorded right before Joe Manchin's big announcement on President Biden's Build Back Better Plan. Smoking hot takes on Trump's possible indictment, Joe Manchin's possible turn to the Republican side, and strange things amiss in Nevada's electorate. Featuring Domer and Pratik.2021-12-2151 min
Star Spangled GamblersCBO Drama, The Top 3 Politicians to Bet Against, & John Fetterman is a BetaLike a good investment, betting on politics is often more about choosing people than products. Who are the top 3 politicians to bet on? And who are the top 3 to bet against? Pratik and Zoltar join. Featuring: Rick Scott, John Fetterman, the CBO, Donald Trump, Kyle Rittenhouse and more. 2021-11-1649 min
Star Spangled GamblersCBO Drama, The Top 3 Politicians to Bet Against & John Fetterman is a BetaLike a good investment, betting on politics is often more about choosing people than products. Who are the top 3 politicians to bet on? And who are the top 3 to bet against? Pratik and Zoltar join. Featuring: Rick Scott, John Fetterman, the CBO, Donald Trump, Kyle Rittenhouse and more.2021-11-1651 min
Star Spangled GamblersSinemanchin Mayhem + Bonds of the WeekDomer and Pratik pop-on to go over this week's top bonds & longshots, and to find the smart money on where the long and winding negotiations for Reconciliation, the Debt Limit, and more will land.2021-10-1455 min
Star Spangled GamblersMeet the CEO of Kalshi & Learn Our 3 Favorite Trades on His PlatformKalshi, a betting exchanged backed by one of Silicon Valley's top VCs, has just launched with $30M behind it. Their CEO, Tarek Mansour, joins the Boys to discuss his vision for the political prediction space. After, Keendawg gives the Top 3 winners on this new and innovative exchange... and makes you an offer you can't refuse.2021-10-051h 03
Star Spangled GamblersCalifornia Recall Gold Rush + Pratik Gets Married LIVEOn this episode, Domer & Sharko Rubio join Keendawg to stake their claim in the California Gold Rush going on alongside Gov. Gavin Newsom's recall. This podcast will cover the main election as well as county-level bets. Finally, Keendawg reports from Pratik's wedding to find out if he is still an alpha and feeling sexy post marriage.2021-09-0139 min
Star Spangled GamblersA Slam Dunk in the Senate + Cuomo's Exit is Your OpportunityWhile Mitch McConnell, Chuck Schumer, and Joe Biden argue about how to raise the national debt, fund the government, and pass 2 infrastructure bills, the Boys present some absolute locks on how to bet on the inevitable outcomes of all of this. Also we're betting like degens on Cuomo's successor. Featuring Gaeten and Pratik.2021-08-1230 min
Star Spangled GamblersMarijuana Rescheduled, Newsom Recall, NYC Mayor RecallIn this episode: legal pot (you can bet on it -- but will you?), Gavin Newsom's CA recall, and Bill de Blasio's in NYC are all on the table. Peter Wildeford and Mark Davis join Pratik to find the smart money. 2021-08-0344 min
Star Spangled GamblersFlip's New Show and Cuomo's FutureFlip Pidot, Zoltar, Pratik, Mark Davis, and Gaeten Dugas discuss Flip's new show and New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future.2021-06-0248 minStar Spangled GamblersLiz Cheney to 0, DOGE to $1? It's a call-in show featuring: Brett, Pratik, and Vanilla Vice on Liz Cheney's Future Brett reviews the Texas-06 Special Election Vanilla Vice and Zoltar on Dogecoin 2021-05-1045 minStar Spangled GamblersBig Elections in NYC and Peru ON THIS EPISODE: - Stefano Gamba (@senfetterman) and iSavage on Peru presidential elections - Peter Hurford, Gaeten Dugas, and Pratik on the NY mayor race 2021-05-0839 min
Star Spangled GamblersIsrael Prime Minister & Time Scott for PresidentLong time rivals Domer and iSavage find agreement on Israeli politics. Pratik and iSavage discuss Tim Scott's national profile and opportunities to buy lottos on his potential presidential ambitions. 2021-04-2642 min
Star Spangled GamblersDeep Dive into Confirmation MarketsPratik, iSavage, and Brett Cannon do a deep dive into Cabinet confirmation markets.2021-04-191h 03
Star Spangled GamblersMatt Gaetz’s Sex Scandal and the Derek Chauvin Murder TrialPratik, Gaeten Dugas, and Eli Braden pay tribute to Keendawg and discuss whether Rep. Gaetz will resign and how many charges Chauvin will be convicted on. 2021-04-0848 min
Star Spangled GamblersNew Prez + New Cabinet = New Bets On this podcast, trader, comedian, and Howard Stern Show crooner Eli Braden joins Keendawg & iSavage to talk about the biggest bets for the biggest news stories in the Biden Presidency, like: Will Trump be impeached How will Mitch McConnell & Susan Collins vote? Which cabinet nominees of Joe Biden's will be confirmed on time? Will Don Jr. or Ivanka run for office? Who will lead the Republican Party in the post-Trump era? 2021-01-2558 min
Star Spangled GamblersBank on THIS for Trump's Impeachment Trial You asked and we answered. Here is an all-star podcast with Keendawg, Pratik, and Gaeten breaking down Trump's SECOND Senate impeachment trial, which could be beginning as soon as Monday. Take no prisoners, Animals. 2021-01-2247 minStar Spangled GamblersEMERGENCY: NYE Senate Election Objections Josh Hawley has said he will object to the election's results and markets are in PANUC. Who will be the next Senator to object -- or will there be one? On this podcast, Keendawg, Pratik, iSavage, and Gaeten hit that question hard. 2020-12-3149 min
Star Spangled GamblersElectoral College & Cabinet Knowledge We have an absolute banger of an episode lined-up for you this week. We've got Zoltar, Pratik, and special guest Gaeten Dugas in the lab for an SSG episode that covers all the biggest bets related to: The Electoral College certifying this election Possible Republican Senatorial challenges to Joe Biden's win Biden's cabinet appointments. Georgia Senate And more! 2020-12-1647 min
Star Spangled GamblersWill Trum Pardon Himself & Biden's Cabinet Picks Cont'd This week's podcast is out and we are back in the game. Topics include: Zoltar's Carolina Reaper wrap-up Will Trump pardon his family, Paul Manafort, Rudy G, and himself? Biden cabinet picks California senate races & LOCKS Keendawg, Zoltar and Pratik are in the lab.2020-12-1052 min
Star Spangled GamblersA Bunch of Georgia DogsOn this episode, Keendawg, Pratik, and iSavage dissect the run-off elections in Georgia's senate race, Trump's refusal to concede, and the question of who Gov. Gavin Newsom appoint to replace VP-elect Kamala Harris2020-11-1851 min
Star Spangled Gamblers2020 Season Finale, Recount Season PremiereZoltar, Keendawg, and Pratik wrap-up the election and project that results of the upcoming recounts, the possibility of a Trump concession, and the winner of January's Senate runoffs in Georgia.2020-11-111h 00
Star Spangled GamblersDebate SZN, Amy Coney Barrett, and Trump's Taxes (It's Hot AF!)After a sleepy summer, politics are back and in a big way. Trump has nominated a third Supreme Court Justice (Amy Coney Barrett) and debate SZN is here! Additionally, Zoltar and Pratik give some smoking hot takes on Trump's legal problems. Will the President pardon himself?2020-09-3053 min
Star Spangled GamblersBetting on the FBI With Mike Flynn, Obamagate, and Sen. Richard Burr (NC)It's Mailbag Monday with the boys. In this week's episode, the Boys take your political gambling questions about: - Is anyone actually getting charged for "Obamagate?" - WTF is going on with Mike Flynn? - Whether or not Sen. Richard Burr (R-NC) will resign from office now that he is being investigated by the FBI. - Will Secretary of State Mike Pompeo run for Senate in Kansas? - What's up with the bonkers New York Primary (it's still not dead) - How to deal with haters. - Keendawg's alpha AF trading...2020-05-1841 min
Star Spangled GamblersMailbag Monday: Mike Flynn + When Will Biden Pick His VP?In this week's mailbag, Keendawg, Zoltar, and Pratik tackle: - Conservative vs. aggressive betting strategies - When will Joe Biden announce his running mate? - Is the Dem Convention still on course to happen? - Is a Michael Flynn pardon coming soon? - Does military service boost Tammy Duckworth's Veep application? - NY Primary update with Zoltar - Does Pratik have a substance abuse problem? And more.2020-05-1234 min
Star Spangled GamblersMailbag Monday with ZoltarOn this Mailbag Monday, Zoltar, Pratik, and Keendawg answer all your political gambling questions related to: An update on the NY Primary Whether Justin Amash is going to run for president Whether Pratik is a cuck Whether Pratik is a cuck for predicting that Susan Collins will lose her re-election in Maine. Our random predictions for how the world will change after coronavirus ends. 2020-04-2737 min
Star Spangled GamblersNY, MI, and Veep COVID ConspiraciesIn this episode, Keendawg, Zoltar, and Pratik tackle rumors of possible primary cancelations, Amy Klobuchar's Vice President bid, and whether or not Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer will look like a hero and a clown this time next year. For additional political gambling content and comedy, visit: www.starspangledgamblers.com2020-04-1944 min
Star Spangled GamblersBernie's Out, Quarantine's InKeendawg, Zoltar, and Pratik gather their league of extraordinary political gamblers to talk about the real money bets they're making on this week's news cycle. In this week's episode, they tackle legal wagering opportunities related to these questions: - Is Gretchen Whitmer a real VP candidate? - Does it make sense to pump and dump VP candidates in the DNOM marketplace? - Will Sen. Richard Burr resign? - Is Dr. Fauci here to stay? - Is there any reason to believe that Andrew Cuomo will be the Democratic presidential...2020-04-1336 min
Star Spangled GamblersCOVID-19 Hits Election '20Keendawg, Pratik and Zoltar talk about the COVID-19 outbreak’s effects on betting opportunities for Joe Biden's presidential campaign, whether or not New York Governor Andrew Cuomo will get into the race, and who the eventual Vice President pick for the Democrats will be.2020-03-3042 min
Star Spangled GamblersCoronavirus Primary PanicKeendawg, Zoltar, and Pratik assemble their political gambling mod-squad to discuss rumors of soon-to-be cancelled Democratic primaries and swirling conspiracy theories about Mike Pence's potential departure from the Trump White House to find real money locks in the world political gambling. 2020-03-2338 minStar Spangled GamblersSuper Tuesday. Now What?Political prognosticators and degenerate gamblers Keendawg, Zoltar, and Pratik spit takes about where the Democratic Primary is headed next and what bets (legal) they are making to profit off of Joe Biden's big wins against Bernie Sanders on Super Tuesday.2020-03-0513 min
Star Spangled GamblersSSG with Rainbow Jeremy (the Whale of PredictIt)Host Keendawg sits down with iconic political gambler Rainbow Jeremy to talk about the Democratic Primary, the Bernie Sanders boom, and strategies to make money gambling legally on PredictIt throughout the 2020 election.2020-02-2024 min
Star Spangled GamblersBernie vs. Bloomberg in the Lone Star StateStar Spangled Gamblers host Keendawg dives into the Texas red dirt with Austin politicos Tom Holloway and Tim Glassco of the Cross Oak Group to piece together a betting strategy for the contentious, erratic, and delegate-rich Texas Democratic Primary. Will Bernie Sanders make history in the Lone Star State? Or will yankee Mayor Mike Bloomberg win on the road?2020-02-1929 min
Star Spangled GamblersFIXED: Bernie's Iowa Rampage with Jason PipkinPolitical prognosticator Keendawg is joined by PredictIt gambling legend Jason Pipkin (@jipkin) to talk about Bernie Sanders bull run in the polls and what this means for the early state primaries in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina, and California -- and where profitable bets lie.2020-01-3022 min
Star Spangled GamblersTrump Impeachment: Who's Going to Rat on POTUS?Political prognosticators Keendawg and Zoltar spar over whether or not former National Security Advisor John Bolton and current Trump Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney will testify at the Senate impeachment trial. The winner will be on the right side of a lucrative betting market on PredictIt, a safe a legal website to wager on politics.2020-01-2329 min
Star Spangled GamblersSSG: Meet Jason Pipkin, Political Gambling God-KingSSG host and political prognosticator Keendawg sits down with Jason Pipkin aka "Jipkin," a legendary PredictIt trader. Jipkin has made a 300 percent return on his money this year alone and is known across the political gambling community as one of the best and most consistent winners in the game. In this pod, Jipkin dishes on techniques he uses to channel his savage political insight into steady returns.2019-12-2732 min
Star Spangled GamblersImpeachment Talk With Adam Schiff aka Trump's Wicked Witch of the WestStar Spangled Gamblers host Keendawg is joined by Adam Schiff aka the Wicked Witch of the West to talk about how many articles of impeachment are headed President Donald Trump's way and if this whole investigation is just a witch hunt, as Trump claims. Guest appearance by Joe Coffey and music by Kevin MacLeod, http://incompetech.com/2019-12-0409 min
Star Spangled GamblersThe Hustle: Three Urgent Southern Gubernatorials Blogger and political prognosticator Keendawg breaks down the news cycle through the eyes of the psychopaths who are betting real - and legal - money on the outcome of elections, bills, and court cases. On this week's episode, Keendawg takes on the November gubernatorial elections happening in Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi, and what they might mean for Trump's 2020 chances of re-election. 2019-10-3121 min
Star Spangled GamblersThe Hustle: Ukraine, Dem Debate, and the NBA vs. China Blogger and political prognosticator Keendawg breaks down the news cycle through the eyes of the psychopaths who are betting real - and legal - money on the outcome of elections, bills, and court cases. On this week's episode, Keendawg takes on the latest development in the Trump-Ukraine scandal, the upcoming Democratic Debate, and the NBA's sticky situation in China. 2019-10-1410 min
Star Spangled GamblersThe Hustle #1: It's Getting Hot in Ukraine + Fund Raising Numbers are InBlogger and political prognosticator Keendawg breaks down the news cycle through the eyes of the psychopaths who are betting real - and legal - money on the outcome of elections, bills, and court cases. On this week's episode, Keendawg takes on the latest development in the Trump-Ukraine scandal and Democratic Primary contenders' most recent fundraising numbers.2019-10-0707 min
Star Spangled GamblersTrump Impeachment: Emergency Investors CallKeendawg, Smart Guy Pratik, and White Trash Clint talk about the hottest betting action on President Donald Trump's possible impeachment in Washington, D.C.2019-10-0238 min
Star Spangled GamblersElection 2018: The End of DaysHost Alex Keeney chats with Bush White House veteran and former American Conservative editor Pratik Chougule about the best bets and tightest races left in the 2018 midterms.2018-11-0240 min