Shows
Setbacks to ComebacksCole Taylor On Losing His Mom at BirthIn today's Setbacks to Comebacks episode, Kevin & Cole discuss:
Losing his mom at birth
Losing his father in high school
Finding God and the Worship team
Training the body and the mind
Connect with Cole Taylor
https://www.instagram.com/coledavidtaylor/
Follow Kevin on Social Media:
https://kevinmarcusmiller.com/
Learn more about the Setbacks to Comebacks Movement:
https://setbackstocomebacks.com/2024-02-1932 min
Unexpected PointsRanking the NFL's Top Analytical Teams w/ ESPN's Seth WalderFor this week's special guest on the Unexpected Points podcast, Kevin is joined by sports analytics writer, ESPN's Specialist Seth Walder, as the duo discusses and ranks the league's (analytically) best teams of the 2022 regular season thus far. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-301h 28
Unexpected PointsNFL Week 12 Analytical ReviewKevin reviews all the numbers, adjusted scores and analytical decisions for the Sunday slate of Week 12. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-281h 24
Unexpected PointsThanksgiving Day NFL ReviewKevin reviews the three NFL games from Thanksgiving, plus a few model-based best bets. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-2555 min
Unexpected PointsMNF Review - Jimmy Haters in Shambles, Zach Wilson Benched?Kevin goes through the MNF matchup with Jimmy shinning, points out the problems with being obsessed with upgrading a "limited" quarterback like Jimmy G or Tua, and all the Zach Wilson drama. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-2258 min
Unexpected PointsNFL Week 11 Analytical ReviewKevin goes through all the numbers and takeaways from Week 11. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-211h 17
Unexpected PointsTNF Titans-Packers Review, Return of the Run? NFL Week 11 Best BetKevin goes through the TNF matchup, a ESPN segment of the return of the run and best bet for Week 11. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-1858 min
Unexpected PointsEvaluating Some of the NFL's Younger QB Talent W/ The Ringer's Steve RuizKevin is re-joined by The Ringer's Steve Ruiz to evaluate some of the NFL's younger QB talent. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-161h 09
Unexpected PointsBills no longer No. 1? Week 10 Analytical ReviewKevin reviews all the numbers, adjusted scores and grades from Week 10's Sunday slate. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-141h 23
Unexpected PointsTNF Review, Saturday's Analytics Skepticism, Week 10 Best BetsKevin goes through the numbers and implications of the Panthers-Falcons game, plus why Jeff Saturday is skeptical of analytics and the best bets for the weekend by the numbers. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-1130 min
Unexpected PointsFrank Reich Out, MNF ReviewKevin reviews the MNF matchup and goes in-depth on the decision to fire Frank Reich and replace him with Jeff Saturday. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-0844 min
Unexpected PointsJets for Real, for Real? NFL Week 9 Analytical ReviewKevin goes through all Sunday's action with the advanced stats and grades. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-071h 25
Unexpected PointsTNF Review, NFL Week 9 Best Bets, MailbagKevin goes over a surprisingly close TNF contest and his favorite recreational bets for Sunday. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-0451 min
Unexpected PointsTrade Deadline Takeaways, ValuationsFormer PFFer Eric Eager of Sumer Sports joins Kevin to talk about the marco lesson of the deadline and the specific deals that went down this week. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-11-0256 min
Unexpected PointsNFL Week 8 Analytical ReviewKevin reviews and the numbers and grades for Sunday Week 8. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-311h 24
Unexpected PointsTNF Review & Kadarius Toney Trade AnalysisKevin talks through the Ravens TNF victory and analyzes the Toney, Quinn and Robinson trades. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-2856 min
Unexpected PointsFixing NFL Offenses W/ Sam Schwartzstein, Prime Video AnalyticsToday, Kevin is re-joined by Prime Video TNF analytics guru, former NFL offensive lineman Sam Schwartzstein to discuss solutions for fixing some NFL offenses, and Prime Video analytics. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-261h 17
Unexpected PointsNFL Week 7 Analytical ReviewKevin reviews all the relevant numbers and adjusted scores for Sunday's action This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-241h 36
Unexpected PointsCMC Trade Analysis, TNF ReviewKevin recaps Thursday Night Football between the Cardinals & Saints, and breaks down the CMC trade. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-2154 min
Unexpected PointsMNF Chargers-Broncos Review, plus More Analytics TalkKevin talks through the key numbers, grades and takeaways from MNF, plus a look at how to discuss analytics in a better way that we saw in the pre-game show. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-1847 min
Unexpected PointsNFL Week 6 Analytical ReviewKevin review all the number from Week 6. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-171h 21
Unexpected PointsTNF Bears-Commanders Review, Snyder on the ropes, Week 6 Best BetsKevin discusses the slog that was TNF, plus the stories of the week and some bets he likes for the rest of Week 6.00:00 Intro01:00 Analytics discourse taking over04:37 Bears-Commanders review05:47 Lack of scoring this season11:48 4th down decisions13:48 Justin Fields talk22:12 Dan Synder article25:50 Carson Wentz catching strays32:00 Week 6 Best Bets This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit ww...2022-10-1442 min
Unexpected PointsMNF Chiefs-Raiders Review & TNF Bears-Commanders PreviewKevin reviews a wild Chiefs-Raiders matchup and previews TNF. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-1155 min
Unexpected PointsWeek 5 NFL Analytical Review & MNF PreviewKevin reviews the Sunday slate and previews Chiefs-Raiders MNF matchup. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-101h 15
Unexpected PointsTNF Broncos-Colts Review & Week 5 Best BetsKevin reviews an awful TNF game and looks forward to this weekend's action. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-0753 min
Unexpected PointsMNF 49ers-Rams Review & TNF Broncos-Colts PreviewKevin reviews MNF and previews TNF between the Broncos and Colts. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-0436 min
Unexpected PointsWeek 4 Analytical Review & Adjusted ScoresKevin goes through the Sunday slate of games giving all the adjusted scores and important details on what drove the outcomes. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-10-031h 21
Unexpected PointsTNF Bengals-Dolphins Review & Week 4 Best BetsKevin reviews this week's TNF matchup and the weekend best bets. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-09-3039 min
Unexpected PointsMNF Giants-Cowboys Review & TNF Bengals-Dolphins PreviewKevin reviews the MNF matchup with all the advanced stats and adjusted scores, plus a preview of a highly anticipated Bengals-Dolphins game on TNF. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-09-2739 min
Unexpected PointsWeek 3 NFL Analytical ReviewKevin goes through the Week 3 Sunday slate of games with all the advanced stats, adjusted scores and big-picture takeaways. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-09-261h 19
Unexpected PointsTNF Browns-Steelers Review & Week 3 Best BetsKevin goes through all the advanced stats and grades for Browns-Steelers, plus a few bets he likes for this Sunday's action. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-09-2352 min
Unexpected PointsWeek 2 MNF Doubleheader Analytics ReviewKevin goes through all the grading and advanced stats for the two MNF games and what it means for the teams going forward. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-09-2036 min
Unexpected PointsNFL Week 2 Advanced Stats & TakeawaysKevin goes through every Sunday game, gives his predictive adjusted scores and points out the most important stats and data to forecast what will happen the rest of the season.DRAFTKINGS: If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/LA/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit http://ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDL...2022-09-191h 22
Unexpected PointsTNF Chiefs-Chargers ReviewKevin goes over all the relevant numbers and grades from the matchup of the Chiefs and Chargers. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-09-1646 min
Unexpected PointsMNF Review, 'Explaining Mahomes' WeekKevin breaks down MNF and why Mahomes' grading is relatively low. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-09-1348 min
Unexpected PointsNFL Week 1 ReviewKevin goes through the Week 1 slate with all the advanced stats and proprietary numbers you need to know. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-09-121h 29
Unexpected PointsKickoff TNF Rams-Bills ReviewKevin goes through all the relevant numbers for the first game of the season, why to love the Bills start, but also not go overboard with enthusiasm. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-09-0937 min
Unexpected PointsRuss Contract, Week 1 Best BetsKevin talks through his Bayesian QB rankings, who is undervalued and how it differs from other rankings out there. Plus, his numbers-based best bets for Week 1 and a breakdown of the Russell Wilson extension This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-09-0653 min
Unexpected PointsRoster Cutdown Takeaways, Jimmy G is StayingKevin breaks down some of the more notable roster cuts, trades among all 32 teams, and Jimmy Garoppolo staying in San Francisco for atleast another season as the 9ers' backup. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-08-311h 05
Unexpected PointsNFL Week 3 Preseason Review and NewsKevin goes through every game from the final preseason week, plus discusses the biggest stories around the NFL. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-08-291h 15
Unexpected PointsNFL Preseason Week 2 ReviewKevin reviews are the relevant stats from the second week of the NFL preseason.00:00 Intro01:25 Life in the Silicon Valley03:27 Preseason Week 2 Review Setup04:15 Does the preseason matter08:18 Young quarterback performances: Pickett, Willis, Skylar Thompson, etc20:28 Why Pickett should start Week 123:45 Running back review30:22 Wide receiver review39:25 Tight end review This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.un...2022-08-2243 min
Unexpected Points2022 NFL Betting Preview w/ Rob PizzolaKevin talks with professional bettor and BetStamp co-founder Rob Pizzola about his business endeavors and takes on teams that are under- and overvalued in 2022.0:00 Intro02:49 What is a professional sports bettor? Why have a public presence14:18 What is betstamp?33:25 Does a positive record mean someone is a good bettor?40:38 2022 Betting Preview47:10 High on the Eagles54:15 Low on the Bears57:44 High on the Saints1:04:35 Low on the Giants1:10:24 Figuring out the Browns1:14:25 Figuring...2022-08-201h 30
Unexpected PointsImplications of the Deshaun Watson Suspension SettlementKevin discusses the implications of the Watson settlement. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-08-1918 min
Unexpected PointsGrading Week 1 of the PreseasonKevin goes through what matter from Week 1 of the preseason, especially in terms of depth charts and young QB play. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-08-1552 min
Unexpected Points11 Bold Predictions and Hard Knocks ReviewKevin and Josh give their boldest, realistic predictions for the 2022 NFL season. Plus, a few of Hard Knock Ep 1 and the Dan Campbell experience. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-08-101h 03
Unexpected Points2022 NFL Power Rankings; Player EmpowermentKevin goes through the lookahead betting lines to quantitatively rank NFL teams and find value where the market currently doesn't see it. Plus, talk about Kareem Hunt's contract and what it says about the player empowerment era in the NFL. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-08-081h 02
Unexpected PointsDolphins-Brady Fiasco, Training Camp StorylinesKevin details why the Dolphins fine was significant and what to pay attention in training camp this week and beyond. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-08-0340 min
Unexpected PointsTraining Camp Signal or Noise, Watson DecisionKevin discusses the why of the Watson decision whether it will be appealed and what it means for the Browns' season. Plus, separating the signal and noise in training camp news. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-08-011h 03
Unexpected PointsMan vs Machine QB Rankings W/ Josh HermsmeyerJosh Hermsmeyer of 538 joins Kevin to opine on the coaches/executive quarterback rankings released in a recent article and go pick-by-pick giving their own rankings and rationales, plus what a strict analytical model predicts for the 2022 season. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-07-271h 17
Unexpected PointsBreaking Down the Kyler Murray Extension & Best Offseason ResearchKevin breaks down the details of the Kyler Murray contract and how good he's been so far in his career and what to expect going forward. Plus, a look at the best PFF research that came out this offseason. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-07-251h 01
Unexpected PointsQB GOAT Countdown 5-1: Manning, Brady, Marino and moreKevin counts down the final five greatest statistical QBs of all time. 00:00 Episode Intro/Preview 02:00 #10-#6 Recap 09:00 #5: Drew Brees 18:55 #4: Dan Marino 27:48 #3 Otto Graham 36:57 #2 Peyton Manning 57:51 #1 Tom Brady PFF LINKS: Underdog Fantasy: Double your first deposit up to $100 when you sign up with the promo code PFF and get a FREE PFF subscription: https://bit.ly/PlayBestBall MANSCAPED: Get 20% Off and Free Shipping with the code PFF at http://Manscaped.com This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus epis...2022-07-211h 08
Unexpected PointsQB GOAT Countdown (9th-6th): Rodgers, Young, Montana and othersKevin continues to count down the best statistical QBs in NFL history. Plus, some analysis of the salary tag. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-07-1858 min
Unexpected PointsDoes Lamar belong in the Top-10, QB GOAT Countdown 20-11Kevin goes further into the controversy around Lamar Jackson not making the top-10 quarterbacks in a recent NFL poll. Plus, he continues to count down the greatest statistical quarterbacks of all time, this episode going through 20-11. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-07-131h 20
Unexpected PointsBaker Traded, More QB Rankings, QB GOAT Countdown 30-21Kevin explains why the Baker trade is good and bad for the Panthers, what ESPN QB rankings say about recency bias, and continues to count down the greatest statistical QBs of all time. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-07-111h 20
Unexpected PointsNFL QB GOAT (40-31) - Jim Kelly, Donovan McNabb, Troy Aikman and others | Unexpected Points | PFFKevin continues to count down the statistical GOAT quarterbacks according to passing and rushing value added through their careers. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-07-071h 13
Unexpected PointsJon Robinson Sparks Another Tape vs Analytics Debate, MailbagKevin breaks down the latest tape vs analytics war on social media, which he helped start by posting an interview with Titans GM Jon Robinson where he sounded skeptical of analytics value. Plus, answering listener questions.Episode Timestamps:00:00 Pre-roll, Intro music01:07 Details on the pod, QB GOAT Preview02:37 Jon Robinson's misguided view on analytics12:30 Kwesi Adofo-Mensa's holistic view on analytics17:51 Is Robinson a great GM?27:50 Mailbag This is a public episode. If you’d like to di...2022-07-0549 min
Unexpected PointsQB GOAT Countdown 41-50: Cunningham, McNair, Griese & moreKevin counts down the best statistical resumes for quarterbacks in NFL history, starting with numbers 50 through 41.Episode Timestamps:00:00 Pre-roll00:47 Intro Music01:07 Explanation of QB GOAT Methodology09:06 Honorable mentions outside the top-5012:40 No. 50: Billy Kilmer13:34 No. 49: Bobby Layne17:23 No. 48: Randall Cunningham20:35 No. 47: Daunte Culpepper23:03 No. 46: Trent Green27:10 No. 45: Steve McNair31:47 No. 44: Bert Jones33:50 No. 43: Joe Theismann37:37 No. 42: John Hadl39:15 No. 41: Bob Griese 2022-06-3044 min
Unexpected PointsIs Gronk the GOAT? Tomlin's Wisdom, Watson UpdateKevin looks over the greatest tight end career to decide if Rob Gronkowski is the greatest of them all. Plus, words of wisdom from Mike Tomlin and an update on a potential indefinite suspension for Deshaun Watson. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-06-2751 min
Unexpected PointsBecoming a Data-Driven League: Michael Lopez, NFL Director of Football Data & AnalyticsKevin talks with the NFL's director for data analytics about his work to improve the league's quality pf play, officiating, hiring practices and injury prevention. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-06-221h 04
Unexpected PointsPerfect Coverage, Understanding QB Stats, Stick to SportsKevin goes through recent PFF research of the effect of perfect coverage, gives the pluses and minuses of different QB stats and talks about the conflicts of politics on social media for sports reporters. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-06-201h 09
Unexpected PointsSports Science & the NFL w/ Adam Beard, Former Browns Director of High PerformanceKevin talks to Adam Beard, Cubs Director of High Performance, about the lessons learned with his time in a similar role with the Browns and how sports science has impacted the NFL. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-06-1554 min
Unexpected PointsNFL's Most Powerful Person, Rams Dunk on Cap Nerds, & NFL Ownership Leveling UpKevin discusses the news from the previous week, with a focus on what the mainstream narratives might be missing. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-06-1350 min
Unexpected PointsBlasphemous NFL Takes w/ 538's Josh HermsmeyerKevin and Josh give their best ideals for the NFL that media and football guys would consider cancellable. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-06-081h 14
Unexpected PointsTight End Contract Disputes, Fitzmagic Retires, More Watson DramaKevin goes through the news of the week. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-06-0640 min
Unexpected PointsRon Yurko on the NFL Tracking Data RevolutionCarnegie Mellon professor and creator of nflscrapR talks with Kevin about the trend in NFL analytics, what he's learned working with tracking data and where analysis goes wrong. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-06-021h 15
Unexpected PointsNjoku Extension, Browns Going All-In, Stat Misuse & MailbagKevin discusses the David Njoku extension in the larger context of the Browns going for it in 2022, plus some stats being misused and mailbag answers. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-05-3158 min
Unexpected PointsSean Clement, former Ravens and Dolphins R&D analystKevin talks with Sean Clement, former R&D analyst for multiple NFL franchises, about the trends in the NFL communicating with coaches and where the game is going. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-05-251h 05
Unexpected PointsHaters Ball: QB Rankings, Rest Advantage, & Front Office FacetimeIn the first annual Unexpected Points Haters Ball, Kevin hates on a few things that have come across his radar in the last several weeks. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-05-231h 05
Unexpected PointsNFL Team Tiers & Week 1 ScheduleKevin goes through the Week 1 betting lines, how the market has tiered NFL teams and other news from the week. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-05-1650 min
Unexpected PointsBest Awards Bets (OROY, DROY, DPOY, MVP) & MailbagKevin goes through the best bets and longshots for NFL 2022 awards and answers listener questions. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-05-121h 00
Unexpected PointsNFL Front Office Rankings: Best, Worst and Most OverratedBen Baldwin of the Athletic joins Kevin to talk through their front office rankings now the the 2022 NFL draft and free agency offseason is mostly complete. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-05-091h 20
Unexpected PointsPost-NFL Draft Wide Receiver and Running Back Fantasy RankingsKevin goes through his post-draft models looking at the likelihood of NFL success for 2022 WRs and RBs. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-05-0435 min
Unexpected Points2022 NFL Draft Analytical Winners and LosersKevin goes through the unexpected winners and losers of the 2022 NFL draft. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-05-021h 09
Unexpected Points2022 NFL Draft First-Round Analytical ReviewKevin breaks down the winner and losers of a trade-filled first round.0:01 Intro6:22 AJ Brown Traded to the Eagles14:52 Hollywood Brown Traded to Cardinals18:20 Only Kenny Pickett Drafted in Round 122:19 WR Drafted in Round 125:59 Steals & Reaches in Round 1 This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-04-2945 min
Unexpected PointsAidan Hutchinson Falling, Evaluating the Draft Evaluators, & MailbagKevin discusses movements in the NFL draft prop markets. Plus, why the QB evaluators are good at what they do, not what they haven't studied. Plus mailbag. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-04-251h 01
Unexpected PointsIs Aaron Rodgers is too conservative when it counts? Kevin O'Connell saying the right thingsKevin discusses the difference in good and bad answers on running the ball from new coaches and whether Aaron Rodgers is too conservative in the playoffs. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2022-02-2245 min
Unexpected PointsBrowns-Broncos Review and Week 7 Best BetsKevin goes through the emergence of running-backs-don't-matter stud D'Ernest Johnson, the great decision-making of Kevin Stefanski and which games he's betting this Sunday. Plus, a look at a recent interview with Bob Voulgaris and what it shows about the mis-incentives in sports franchises. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2021-10-2251 min
Unexpected PointsChiefs-Browns analytics review, Why the Patriots are undervaluedKevin and Ryan Paganetti talk through the details of Chiefs vs Browns, including how the Browns played better than their numbers, and Kevin Stefanski had perfect decision-making. Plus, why the Patriots are unvalued after a Week 1 loss in a game where they outplayed the Dolphins. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2021-09-141h 17
Unexpected PointsWhat to do about Wentz, Does Nick Chubb Matter and Fantasy RB Targets(0:00-16:02) Wentz injury/Impact on the Colts moving forward and potential new faces at QB (16:03-25:04) Nick Chubb’s New contact and the Significance it has on the Browns salary cap (25:05-33:43) “Stick to Sports” Kevin discusses his thoughts on Simone Biles decision to not compete in Olympics (33:43-43:09) New Segment, “When keeping real goes Wrong" Does the salary cap add parody to the NFL?(43:10-53:45) Kevin breaks down PFF’s Expected Fantasy Point Tool and how you can use it in your analysis ahead of fantasy drafts This is a public episode. If you’d like to discu...2021-08-0453 min
Unexpected PointsKevin Meers, Football Strategy Fellow at Zelus Analytics, former Browns Director of ResearchKevin talks through the Aaron Rodgers agreement and what it means for Davante Adams, and how the NFLPA has failed to protect players from COVID-related financial losses. Plus, we talk with Keevin Meers of Zelus Analytics about how teams should focus more on macro strategy, and what the public doesn't know about analysis from the inside on an NFL franchise. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2021-07-281h 29
Unexpected PointsMatthew Stafford Overrated; Regret Aversion(4:55) Kevin breaks down Stafford’s PFF grades leading up to his trade to the Rams (8:00) Breaking down Stafford’s 2020 Ranking (10th) to 2021 (6th) (10:20) Kevin breaks down Stafford’s lack of production despite having top tier receivers (11:40) Why Lamar Jackson should be ranked higher than Stafford headed into 2021 (13:17) Matt Stafford: Overrated?Lamar Jackson: Underrated? (14:51) Is it possible to be underrated if everyone thinks you are underrated? (18:06) Looking into the media/fans determining who is overrated/underrated/right on point (19:59) Breaking down Fantasy Running backs for your upcoming draft (20:42) Why 2nd/3rd year running backs should be your main focus when draftin...2021-07-1452 min
Unexpected PointsBenjamin Solak, The Draft NetworkKevin Cole is joined by Benjamin Solak, Senior CFB Writer from The Draft Network to talk about the loss of Doug Pederson, how it will affect the Eagles and much more. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2021-01-131h 30
Unexpected PointsFIVETHIRTYEIGHT’s Josh HermsmeyerKevin Cole is joined by FIVETHIRTYEIGHT’s Josh Hermsmeyer again to talk about the Eagles tanking situation, GM's and head coaches across the NFL and much more in this weeks episode of Unexpected Points. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2021-01-071h 12
Unexpected PointsSeth Keysor, Chiefs Analyst for The AthleticKevin Cole is joined by Seth Keysor, Chiefs Analyst for The Athletic to talk about just how good Patrick Mahomes is, the likelihood of super bowl victory and everything else Chiefs. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-12-301h 09
Unexpected PointsOver the Cap Founder Jason FitzgeraldKevin Cole is joined by Jason Fitzgerald, Founder of Over the Cap to talk the Jets, player contracts, draft capital and more. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-12-2354 min
Unexpected PointsArif Hasan, The AthleticKevin Cole is joined by Arif Hasan, Beat writer for the Vikings to talk about, Their loss to the bucs and the impact from that on their playoff chances, and more. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-12-171h 26
Unexpected PointsSheil Kapadia, The AthleticKevin Cole is joined by Sheil Kapadia, senior NFL writer to talk Eagles, Seahawks, Hurts replacing Carson Wentz, what Jeffrey Lurie thinks & much more. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-12-101h 09
Unexpected PointsBuffalo Bills Reporter Marcel Louis-JacquesKevin Cole is joined by Marcel Louis-Jacques to take a deep dive into the Buffalo Bills to discuss the coaching situation and the front office. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-12-021h 03
Unexpected PointsMichael Leone, Establish the RunPFF's Kevin Cole is joined by Establish the run Director of Analytics Michael Leone to talk DFS analysis. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-11-261h 06
Unexpected PointsEvan Silva, Establish the RunPFF's Kevin Cole is joined by Establish the run co-founder Evan Silva to draft teams and find their super bowl winner. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-11-191h 09
Unexpected PointsMichael Lopez, the NFL's Director of Football Data and Analytics On How the NFL is Using Current Trends and DataMichael Lopez, the NFL's Director of Football Data and Analytics joins PFF's Kevin Cole to discuss his background and how he got into football. Also on this episode, Kevin and Michael discuss how the NFL uses advanced data and analytics in everything from identifying current trends, to how NFL coaches and organizations use data to impact their decisions on and off the field. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-10-2258 min
Unexpected PointsMatthew Freedman of FantasyLabs Talks Prop BettingMatthew Freedman of FantasyLabs joins PFF"s Kevin Cole to discuss the validity of prop bets in today's market. Kevin and Matthew also discuss NFL props in the 2020 season and outline some situations where prop bets may be favorable and some situations where prop bets may not be nearly as lucrative. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-10-151h 23
Unexpected PointsESPN's Mina Kimes Hands Out Quarter Season Awards + NFL NewsESPN NFL Analyst Mina Kimes joins PFF's Kevin Cole to discuss all the latest NFL news including Dwayne Haskins' benching and Bill O'Brien's ousting in Houston (3:25). Also on this episode, Mina and Kevin hand out some awards a quarter of the way through the 2020 NFL season (24:21). This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-10-081h 04
Unexpected PointsJosh Hermsmeyer from FiveThirtyEight Talks Air Yards + AFC & NFC Super Bowl ContendersPFF's Kevin Cole sits down with FiveThirtyEight and Establish the Run's Josh Hermsmeyer to talk Josh's famous Air Yards model (2:30) and statistical trends through 3 weeks of the NFL season (11:30). Kev and Josh also discuss some of their favorite under the radar Week 4 NFL fantasy football plays (18:15) and which teams could represent the AFC and NFC in Super Bowl LV (28:23). This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-10-011h 18
Unexpected PointsRufus Peabody of Massey-Peabody Analytics and Bet the Process Podcast Talks Gambling and NFL Week 3 ActionPFF's Kevin Cole sits down with Rufus Peabody. Kev and Rufus talk all things gambling including Rufus' background (01:58) and what sort of data points go into the making of the Massey-Peabody's sports betting models (07:26). Also on this episode, Kev and Rufus preview Week 3 of NFL action (25:01). This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-09-241h 27
Unexpected PointsWeek 1 Review + Aaron Donald Slander with ESPN's Seth WalderPFF's Kevin Cole welcomes ESPN's Seth Walder to discuss the NFL's opening weekend and which current narratives he's buying or selling after one week of action (2:04). Kevin and Seth also discuss the methodology behind Seth's now infamous Aaron Donald take (56:02). This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-09-161h 19
Unexpected PointsDFS Strategy + Early Season Outlook with Establish the Run's, Adam LevitanPFF Data Scientist, Kevin Cole, welcomes Establish the Run's, Adam Levitan, to talk DFS and the origins of Establish the Run (01:41). Also on this episode, Kev and Adam discuss DFS strategy (06:04), what to expect early on in the 2020 NFL season from a DFS standpoint (25:54). This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-09-1041 min
Unexpected PointsCoverage vs. Pass Rush + 2020 NFL QB rankings with For the Win & USA Today's, Steven RuizPFF Data Scientist, Kevin Cole, welcomes USA Today's, Steven Ruiz. Kev and Steve discuss Steven's latest work (01:38) and dive into the age old question: coverage vs. pass rush (09:34)? Kev and Steve also discuss Steven's QB rankings (24:15) and much more on episode 2 of Unexpected Points. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-09-0246 min
Unexpected PointsBold Predictions for the 2020 NFL Season with JJ ZachariasonOn the first ever episode of Unexpected Points, PFF Data Scientist, Kevin Cole sits down with FanDuel and numberFire's, JJ Zachariason. Kev and JJ discuss JJ's 15 bold predictions for the upcoming fantasy season, including Cam Newton's potential finish as a top-5 fantasy QB (14:59), a monster season for Adam Thielen (24:50), and a battle in the AFC North between James Conner and Nick Chubb (41:14). This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe2020-08-281h 09
The Last Hurrah55 - Kevin's BirthdayHitting peak levels of narcissism, this show is (primarily) about the host, Kevin Cole, who celebrated his 25th Birthday that evening. Find out how he almost didn't make it all the way 25, catch up with Christine McQuaid and her big Broadway adventure and learn why viking funerals are all the rage in the Cole family.2015-10-061h 02