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Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterWatergate with Dan ModlinWelcome. Thank you for joining us for this edition of the Modlin Global Analysis Podcast. We regularly talk about international affairs as well as economics and politics, and it's always helpful to notice how much these themes often interact with each other. And we'll continue in that discussion throughout this year. And in all these episodes, but it is worth noting, specifically, we're going to go back in history and talk about Watergate and this interaction of international politics and the Watergate scandal that we're many of us are familiar with. I'm glad to be joined. In by Dan...2023-07-1015 min
The DeCesare Group PodcastDr. Kevin Modlin, Modlin Global AnalysisOn this week’s program Jim recently sat down with Dr. Kevin Modlin. Kevin is the owner of Modlin Global Analysis, and his research focuses on International Trade and Security issues. As a Congressional Aide on Capitol Hill for six years he has advised on politics, economics, and international affairs. As a result, Dr. Modlin analyzes problems from multiple perspectives.Modlin Global Analysis, LLC Newsletter/Podcast https://modlinglobal.substack.com/ International Business Roundtable July 17 at 2 PMKnicely Center 110 Boardroom Bowling Green, KY 421012023-07-0331 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterUS Inflation and Global 🇺🇸 🌐💵📈Welcome. Thank you for joining us for this edition of the Modlin Global Analysis Podcast. This week we are focusing on inflation, what it means, and both inflation in the international sense, with a number of countries and regions we're going to focus on. As well as in the United States, again, we're going to be talking about this monetary phenomenon, what prices? Changing and what they mean for consumers and how we define that and we're not talking about inflated egos or the inflated value of my baseball cards. We're going to emphasize the consumer aspects and the...2023-06-2614 min
Decisive Point PodcastDecisive Point Podcast – Ep 3-27 – Dr. Zenel Garcia and Dr. Kevin D. Modlin – “Sino-Russian Relations and the War in Ukraine”Claims that China has taken “Russia’s side” in the Ukrainian War oversimplify Sino-Russian relations. Garcia and Modlin contend Sino-Russian relations are a narrow partnership centered on accelerating the emergence of a multipolar order to reduce American hegemony and illustrate this point by tracing the discursive and empirical foundations of the relationship using primary and secondary materials. Furthermore, they highlight how the war has created challenges and opportunities for China’s other strategic interests, some at the expense of the United States or Russia.
Read the article: https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol52/iss3/4/
Episode Transcript
Stephanie Crider (Host)
Welcome to Decis...2023-06-2000 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterPutin and the Bomb ☢️💣🧠Thank you for joining us for this edition of the Modlin Global Analysis Podcast. This week, we're going to be focusing on Vladimir Putin and the bomb. We're going to consider the national discussion and global discussion on the ramifications of Putin’s references to nuclear posture and what are perceived as nuclear threats and the war in Ukraine, and how we as a society grapple with that. But perhaps most importantly, how do we think through what Vladimir Putin as the singular actor may be considering these questions? I'm glad to be joined by Dan Modlin as always an...2023-06-1215 min
Conversations on Strategy PodcastConversations on Strategy Podcast – Ep 19 – Zenel Garcia and Kevin Modlin – Revisiting “Sino-Russian Relations and the War in Ukraine”In this episode of Conversations on Strategy, Lukas Cox shares his thoughts on being an intern working on two collaborative studies for NATO.
Read the collaborative study Countering Terrorism on Tomorrow’s Battlefield: Critical Infrastructure Security and Resiliency (NATO COE-DAT Handbook 2) here. https://press.armywarcollege.edu/monographs/956/2023-06-0519 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterDebt Limit Breakdown 🇺🇸 💳 ⬆️Welcome. Thank you for joining us for this edition of the Modlin Global Analysis. I'm glad to be joined by Dan Modlin, and we were talking recently about how it would be helpful to do a post-debt ceiling negotiation wrap-up and explore what has transpired the last few days. As well as the ramifications and the content of those policies, so we will dive in both into the content as well as the politics involved.DanThis Kevin has certainly been an interesting last few days and something that has been rather fascinating to watch...2023-06-0514 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterChina's Intelligence Law 🇨🇳 📒 ⛔Thank you for joining us for this edition of the Modlin Global Analysis Podcast. I'm glad to be joined with Dan Modlin, who will be asking a series of questions. This week, he and I have been having a rich conversation that we wanted to bring you all in on China and some changes that were noted. Using about China and things that we think that are developing that are important to have a general conversation about, these are factors that particularly have economic ramifications, but I think these are important to consider.DanKevin...2023-05-3110 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterDebt Limit BackgroundThank you for joining us for this edition of the Modlin Global Analysis podcast. I'm glad to be joined by Dan Modlin for a series of questions. We're going to have this week where we normally focus on international affairs, but this week we're going to focus on the debt conversation that we see going on in Washington. So Dan, you had some questions and thoughts on that?DanYes, Kevin, there's obviously been a lot of partisan bakery from both. Slides about the negotiations that lead to this debt limit question, and I think...2023-05-2213 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterTaiwan Pt. 4Welcome. Thank you for joining us for this edition of the Modlin Global Analysis podcast. I'm really glad to be joined by Dan Modlin, and we are continuing a conversation about Taiwan policy, U.S. policy with Taiwan, as well as Taiwan's. Relation to China and, of course, China's relationship with the United States. Dan, we had a lot of really interesting engaging questions that we had from people from that recent meeting and we organized those and into some thematic conversations that we're going to have. This week we're going to talk a lot about the goings on...2023-05-1513 min
Conversations on Strategy PodcastConversations on Strategy Podcast – Ep 19 – Zenel Garcia and Kevin Modlin – Revisiting “Sino-Russian Relations and the War in Ukraine”In this podcast, Zenel Garcia and Kevin Modlin draw on recent visits of Chinese officials to Russia to support their contention that Sino-Russian relations are a narrow partnership centered on accelerating the emergence of a multipolar order to reduce American hegemony and illustrate this point by tracing the discursive and empirical foundations of the relationship. Additionally, they highlight how the war has created challenges and opportunities for China’s other strategic interests.Read the article here: https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol52/iss3/4/Download the full episode transcript here: http...2023-05-1100 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterTaiwan Pt. 3 Thank you for joining us for this edition of the Modlin Global Analysis Podcast. I'm glad to be joined by Dan Modlin who will be asking a series of questions. These questions are going to be highlighting a conversation that we recently had at Lost River Cave in Bowling Green, KY, where individuals engaged in a rich conversation. On US-China relations as well as Taiwan,-China relations. So Dan, what were some of those questions that we had that day?DanSo one of the first questions that came up at this presentation related to t...2023-05-0917 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterChina and Taiwan Pt. 2KevinWelcome. Thank you for joining us again for another edition of the Modlin Global Analysis newsletter. I'm pleased to be joined by Dan Modlin, who's going to offer a series of questions to kick off our continued dialogue on Taiwan. We are focusing on how Taiwan came into being and how this relates to U.S. policy. So thank you again Dan, for joining us.DanThank you, Kevin. I think this is a very interesting subject, and I can recall back in the 1970s, when Nixon went to China, it was...2023-05-0211 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterTaiwan Pt. 1Welcome. Thank you for joining us for this edition of the Modlin Global Analysis newsletter. I am pleased to be joined with Dan Modlin, who will be offering a series of questions on US-China relations, China-Taiwan relations, and US-Taiwan relations this week. We're going to be giving some background history on Taiwan relations and its origin story and how that traces back largely to China's history and its cycles of revolution, and how that contextualizes the politics that we see today. May 4th at 7 pm I will be hosting a conversation on Tawain and China at the River Birch...2023-04-2412 min
Decisive Point PodcastDecisive Point Podcast – Ep 3-27 – Dr. Zenel Garcia and Dr. Kevin D. Modlin – “Sino-Russian Relations and the War in Ukraine”Claims that China has taken “Russia’s side” in the Ukrainian War oversimplify Sino-Russian relations. Garcia and Modlin contend Sino-Russian relations are a narrow partnership centered on accelerating the emergence of a multipolar order to reduce American hegemony and illustrate this point by tracing the discursive and empirical foundations of the relationship using primary and secondary materials. Furthermore, they highlight how the war has created challenges and opportunities for China’s other strategic interests, some at the expense of the United States or Russia.Read the article: https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol52/iss3/4/2022-08-1800 min
Decisive PointDr. Zenel Garcia and Dr. Kevin D. Modlin – “Sino-Russian Relations and the War in Ukraine”Dr. Zenel Garcia and Dr. Kevin D. Modlin – “Sino-Russian Relations and the War in Ukraine”
Claims that China has taken “Russia’s side” in the Ukrainian War oversimplify Sino-Russian relations. Garcia and Modlin contend Sino-Russian relations are a narrow partnership centered on accelerating the emergence of a multipolar order to reduce American hegemony and illustrate this point by tracing the discursive and empirical foundations of the relationship using primary and secondary materials. Furthermore, they highlight how the war has created challenges and opportunities for China’s other strategic interests, some at the expense of the United States or Russia.
Click here to read t...2022-08-1815 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterGet Back What can the Beatles documentary teach us about how people think? This edition will focus on some background of the Beatles and examine the stories around them with references to global politics. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ KevinThe Beatles are the greatest band in music. No other group has a song collection comparable to Yesterday, Hide Your Love Away, Day Tripper, Help!, and In My Life. They also had a uniform and yet dynamic sound. There are also endless rumors around the band. These rumors all predate commun...2022-03-2405 min
The GreenlineEPISODE 385 - The Golden RoosterIn this Weeks the Green Radio Show, Art tells us about his Golden Rooster Hat Art tells us about coming across an individual that is Angry at the NBPC in how it is unable to satisfy his anger at the Federal Mandate and Art reminds us about having to work within the Law. Art tells us how the AFGE could respond to what they may consider Sedition. Art talks about Veterans Day and Memorial Day as well as Military Appreciation Day but also take the opportunity to get a dig on his Friend Kevin. Art is not...2021-11-1355 min
Reverberation RadioReverberation #4141. Peter Ivers - Love Is a Jungle
2. Kevin Ayers - Take Me To Tahiti
3. Chico Hamilton - Strange
4. Snuffy - I Wanna Change My Life
5. Frank LoCrasto - Montego
6. Eddie Chacon - Trouble
7. Dan Modlin & Dave Scott - Round & Round
8. Jeff Liberman - Transformation2021-10-0630 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterChina SOE DebtAlthough few people are talking about it, the market for bonds issued by Chinese firms is one of the most interesting and potentially consequential stories. This topic allows us to explore some background and to dig into some current dynamics. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ Kevin In much of contemporary China, there is a mix of state party decision-making and responses to market incentives in the country’s bond market. For decades this mix has led commentators to assume the inconsistencies of overlaying these systems are unsu...2021-03-0107 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterKilling a Word: Some Thoughts on LanguagePolitical language can have a significant impact on how we understand one another and on how we react to other countries. I think this week is an opportunity to take time to focus on political language. We will take an abstract view of its use and influence in our social world. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ Kevin One of my favorite country songwriting teams is Eric Church, Jeff Hyde, and Luke Dick. A few years ago, they came out with a song called “Kill a Word”. It is very clever...2020-11-1608 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterClosing Thoughts These are some of my closing thoughts about the election. If necessary, I will do a midweek update. I think this presents an opportunity to reflect on how change impacts our lives. Equally important is the role of circumstances that rarely or never change. Both types of experiences influence our lives even when we are not in an election cycle. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ Kevin To be honest I am getting a little burned out thinking about and talking about the 2020 U.S. election. Part of...2020-11-0207 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterQuestions IIThis week we are going to continue focusing on some questions regarding the global, political, and economic environment and we will specifically look at some global trends regarding China and the Middle East. Spoiler alert: While I have some thoughts, I do not claim to have all the answers to these questions. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ Kevin As I mentioned last week I enjoy sitting down and making predictions about what will happen in the world. I believe it is an excellent test of critical thinking skills...2020-10-2608 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterQuestions I This week we are going to focus on some questions I have regarding the global, political, and economic environment over these coming months. Spoiler alert: While I have some thoughts, I do not claim to have all the answers to these questions. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ Kevin One of my favorite activities in my late teens and early 20s was to practice analyzing issues and then writing down predictions on what I thought would happen next. This challenges a person to think more thoroughly about issues. For me...2020-10-1907 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterGerman ReunificationIn this issue, we take a look at the reunification of Germany while simultaneously discussing International Relations theory. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ KevinMost of us can probably recall seeing the images of the graffiti-covered Berlin Wall coming down in 1989. This month marks the thirtieth anniversary of the reunification of Germany, a very important event in European history as well as in global political relations. A unified Germany and a broken Soviet Union, and its allied Warsaw Pact countries, created an environment of economic growth and t...2020-10-1207 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterCOVID-19 and VarianceIn this issue, I dig into another discussion of variance where we apply the concept to examine COVID-19 response and prevention. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ Kevin A few weeks ago we talked about polling numbers and the issue of variance. We discussed the fact that there was more variance between in the results of several national polls as compared to several smaller state polls. The concepts we discussed a few weeks ago have many applications and might provide an informative way for us to look at Covi...2020-10-0506 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterRussia Investigation Puzzle: Part IIIn this issue, I dig into my unanswered puzzle of the Russia Investigation. As mentioned in the previous newsletter, the behavior of the U.S. source in Russia, and their life after being extracted to the U.S., are confusing. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ KevinQuote: “Don't give it to them all at once, make them work for it. Confuse them with detail, leave things out, go back on your tracks. Be testy, be cussed, be difficult. Drink like a fish; don't give way on the ideology, they...2020-09-2807 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterRussia Investigation: A Puzzle Unlike many other writers this week, I am not going to add to the discussion on the Supreme Court. Obviously, it is consequential, and we will be hearing about that controversy for months. Instead, I will focus on an aspect of the Russian interference investigation that has received very little attention. This is the one-year anniversary of a puzzle related to Russia that deserves more thought. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ KevinQuote: “We have to live without sympathy, don't we? That's impossible of course. We act...2020-09-2107 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterIndia and Japan Military Ties This issue looks at the Indo-Pacific region and specifically relationships among countries and the influence of China. We will focus on the India and Japan relationship as a way to examine regional dynamics as they play out in many ways in the short and medium-term. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ Kevin The Japan Times recently reported that, “Japan and India have signed a military pact enabling them to exchange supplies and logistical support.” The report continues by pointing out that these increased military ties are, “part of efforts to s...2020-09-1408 min
Modlin Global Analysis Newsletter2020 Election PollsAs promised, we are continuing the look at the 2020 election. This newsletter digs into the election polling and a quirk I noticed when looking at state polling and national polling. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ Kevin Something I have noticed, but have not seen discussed elsewhere, is a trend that I was curious about during the primary season. This trend may be an indication that national polling and state polling have some differing results which are interesting. First, this is a post that is not a diatribe abou...2020-09-0908 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterAverage Inflation TargetingLast week, the Federal Reserve announced changes in how it will target inflation. We will provide some context to this change in policy as well as consider some challenges ahead in policymaking. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ Kevin When some folks see these words, “Average Inflation Targeting” together their eyes get heavy. However, often the consequential things in our lives are not necessarily the things we get excited about. (Sorry that sounds like something a parent would say.) Once you read all the way through this newsletter you will b...2020-08-3107 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterChina's Dual Circulation EconomyIn the last week, there has been an increase in the discussions about China’s economic plans and what they might mean. This week we are focusing on the importance of flexibility in state planning and the current emphasis on China’s economic concepts and the domestic and international political environment they are developing within. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ KevinQuote: “The great source of both the misery and disorders of human life, seems to arise from over-rating the difference between one permanent situation and another. Avarice over-rates...2020-08-2407 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterWhat Type of Peace? Israel and the United Arab EmiratesWe are focusing on the announced change in relations between Israel and the United Arab Emirates along with the conditions involved. Also, we will focus on some helpful peace concepts. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ KevinQuotes: “Rapprochement is more about practice than institutions.” ~ Charles Kupchan “Inclined to peace by his temper and situation, it was easy for him to discover that Rome, in her present exalted situation, had much less to hope than to fear from the chance of arms; and that, in the prosecution of remote wars, the un...2020-08-1707 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterScience and COVID-19: Part IIIWe have been investigating the science concepts behind the approaches to fight COVID-19. The purpose of this series is to better understand some of the current responses to the virus and think about how to proceed. This week we will examine how the human body responds to the virus. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ KevinQuote: “In fact, biology is chaos. Biological systems are the product not of logic but of evolution, an inelegant process. Life does not choose the logically best design to meet a new situation. It adapt...2020-08-1006 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterScience and COVID - 19: Exponential GrowthIn upcoming weeks we will look into science concepts behind the approaches to fight COVID-19. The purpose of this series is to better understand some of the current practices, to consider how the increase in the positivity rate of new cases can significantly complicate efforts, and to think about how to proceed. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ KevinPlease listen to this podcast as I revisit an earlier issue on exponential growth. This issue will tie into the following newsletter to see how treatments and conce...2020-08-0306 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterCOVID-19 and ScienceIn upcoming weeks we will look into science concepts behind the approaches to fight COVID-19. The purpose of this series is to better understand some of the current practices, to consider how the increase in the positivity rate of new cases can significantly complicate efforts, and to think about how to proceed. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ KevinQuote: "The most beautiful experience we can have is the mysterious. It is the fundamental emotion that stands at the cradle of true art and true science." ~ Albert Einstein Doe...2020-07-2707 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterWorking Online and Lessons from Chess TournamentsThis week we look at working online, including those who could have worked at home for some months this year. There are many interesting questions related to productivity, effectiveness, and knowledge gleaned from this online work experience. These questions feed into some of the broader questions facing society. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ KevinP.S. What game makes you think? “There is no known way to sell a share of stock-even a share you do not possess-except to somebody who buys it. And no way to buy e...2020-07-2008 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterWhat are you Reading?What are you Reading? In recent months the Covid-19 has restricted many of our usual activities, and many of us have used some extra time by turning to “beach reads.” Considering the circumstances, I would say beach reads are the books that you can enjoy, even if you have no beach to rest your toes in. You can always have something engaging to read. (P.S. I am not really a big beach reader) This week I talk about an assortment of books I have enjoyed over the years. Please leave a comment about some books you have e...2020-07-1305 min
Modlin Global Analysis Newsletter2020 Election Analysis: Habit and ChangeThis week we will look at US election politics. I begin with a framework, based on habit, that looks at macro conditions and will be revisiting these in upcoming months. This approach also helps parse out personal preferences, so I test my assumptions and predictions more harshly than those that others develop. Thank you for subscribing, and if you enjoy reading this, please forward the newsletter to your friends. ~ KevinQuote: “Well, I cannot run the political machine; I have enough on my hands without that. It is the people's business, - the election is in their hands. If they turn the...2020-07-0607 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterCOVID - 19 Fear and Economic EffectsThis is the Modlin Global Analysis Podcast EditionYou can subscribe through your favorite podcast provider.Thank you for reading and listening! ~ Kevin This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit modlinglobal.substack.com2020-07-0208 min
Modlin Global Analysis NewsletterIntroduction This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit modlinglobal.substack.com2020-06-1000 min