Shows
Lead-Lag LiveNavigating Rising YieldsThe financial world stands at a critical juncture as Treasury yields approach 18-year highs and markets wrestle with conflicting economic signals. In this riveting conversation between macro strategists Jim Bianco and Jay Hatfield, hosted by Michael Gayed, we explore the counterintuitive relationship between Fed policy and market reactions that has left many investors scratching their heads.When the Fed cut rates last September, yields went up. This paradox forms the backdrop for a fascinating debate about whether higher rates might actually be the cure for higher rates. Hatfield advances his "Hopfield Rule"—the observation that housing starts fa...
2025-05-2553 minLead-Lag LiveMarket Mayhem: Is the Worst Behind Us?Market veterans know that bull runs and corrections rarely travel in straight lines, and in this riveting conversation with Michael Gayed, we explore the subtle signals suggesting our recent market recovery might be more fragile than it appears. Michael, who accurately predicted the S&P's 20% drop earlier this year, walks us through the conflicting indicators currently puzzling even seasoned analysts.What particularly stands out is the disconnect between rapidly recovered credit spreads and still-struggling small caps – a warning sign Michael believes shouldn't be ignored. Treasury yields remain stubbornly elevated despite easing tariff concerns, while the Japanese yen's st...
2025-05-2015 minLead-Lag LiveTrading Through Market Shifts with David DziekanskiThe markets have shifted into a new volatility regime, and traders need fresh tools to navigate these choppy waters. In this illuminating conversation, Michael Gayed hosts David Dziekanski (Founder and CEO of Quantify Funds), Mike Venuto (Co-Founder of Tidal ETF Services), and Michael Silva (trader and host of Figuring Out Money) to explore innovative trading strategies for today's challenging market environment.David introduces Quantify's groundbreaking launch of four new "stacked" ETFs that provide a revolutionary approach to thematic investing. Unlike traditional leveraged funds, these products offer 100% exposure to two carefully paired stocks within a single fund, creating...
2025-04-0754 minLead-Lag LiveBrian Drubetsky: Unlocking Small Cap PotentialDive into the intricacies of small-cap investing as Michael Gayed and Brian Drubetsky explore the current economic landscape and its implications for market opportunities. With interest rates being a pivotal factor for many small-cap firms, our discussion unpacks the latest trends in earnings growth and the potential for favorable shifts in monetary policy.From analyzing the essential characteristics that can help small-cap stocks thrive, to recognizing the undervalued opportunities in sectors like consumer discretionary and real estate, this episode aims to equip you with the knowledge to recognize and seize upcoming market trends. As we uncover the...
2025-03-0643 min
CFA DFW Charterholder ChatterEpisode 61: Risks? What Risks? With Michael A. GayedWe speak with Michael A Gayed, CFA about his journey in the business from watching his father trade, to his market research, to launching products of his own. We discuss the nature of risks, the market today, and the biggest mistakes professional investors make. Michael A. Gayed is publisher of the The Lead-Lag Report, He also runs the Lead Lag report podcast where he interviews the top names in investing and economics. Michael is a 5x winner of the Dow and NAAIM Founder’s award for his research, including “Leverage for the Long Run: A Syste...
2025-02-1242 minLead-Lag LiveMichael Gayed on Gold's Resilience, Japan's Interest Rate Challenges, and Strategic Investment InsightsWhy is gold shining brighter while the yen wobbles? Join us for an enlightening conversation as we host Michael Gayed, the astute mind behind The Lead-Lag Report, who doesn't shy away from bold predictions. Michael explores the complexities of Japan's interest rate hikes and their impact on global market volatility. We dissect the turbulent trade winds blowing between the US, China, Canada, and Mexico, scrutinizing how tariffs and erratic policies from the Trump era might reshape businesses and markets. Amidst these discussions, Michael deciphers the recent spike in gold prices as a harbinger of economic unease and weighs in...
2025-02-1111 minLead-Lag LiveDynamic Portfolio Strategies for a Shifting Financial Landscape with Brad Barrie and Matt O'BrianUnlock the secrets of crafting a robust investment portfolio with insights that challenge conventional wisdom. Join me, Michael Gayed, alongside experts Matt O'Brian and Brad Barrie, as we explore the critical role of diversification and the potential risks when concentration takes center stage. We'll unravel the intricacies of true diversification, discuss "line item risk," and emphasize why preparation should be prioritized over prediction in the ever-volatile market landscape.Our conversation ventures into the uncharted territory of risk management by challenging traditional views on asset allocation. With insights from Harry Markowitz and our guests' expertise in tactical management...
2025-02-0448 minLead-Lag LiveMike Larson on Offensive Investment Styles, Global Diversification, and 2025 Market TrendsJoin me, Michael Gayed, and my esteemed guest Mike Larson, Editor-in-Chief at Money Show, as we unravel the bold investment strategies that have reshaped the financial landscape in 2023. Discover how offensive investing styles have not only outperformed but also paved the way for potential recovery in the bond market, particularly high-quality treasuries. We delve into the vibrant Money Show events in Las Vegas, a hotbed of dynamic investment insights, featuring luminaries like Ralph Acampora and Dan Ives who bring a wealth of knowledge from technical analysis to energy and economic strategies.Looking ahead to 2025, we examine the...
2025-01-2940 minLead-Lag LiveMichael Gayed on Reverse Carry Trade Dynamics, AI’s Market Influence, and Independent Investment StrategiesPrepare to challenge everything you thought you knew about the macroeconomic landscape as we welcome Michael Gayed, the insightful founder of the Lead Lag Report, to dissect the future of global markets with a particular glance at 2025. With a bold statement about the reverse carry trade, especially through the lens of Japan's unique financial environment, Michael draws connections between low interest rates, currency strength, and international borrowing dynamics. Listen as he unravels the potential turmoil Japan could face due to inflation and currency issues, and shares captivating anecdotes, including a follower's experience with the carry trade from Honduras.
2025-01-2836 minLead-Lag LiveMichael Gayed on Market Manipulation Myths, Deregulation Impacts, and Strategic Investment OpportunitiesWhat if everything you thought you knew about the financial markets was wrong? Join us as we welcome back seasoned market analyst Michael Gayed to dissect the pervasive notion of market manipulation. Together, we unravel the intricate roles that liquidity and algorithms play in shaping the financial landscape. As we navigate through the current state of limbo, Michael provides a thought-provoking analysis on how potential political shifts, specifically a Trump presidency, might reshape the regulatory environment and offer new prospects for small and mid-sized companies. This episode is a must-listen for anyone eager to understand the balancing act of...
2025-01-2641 minLead-Lag LiveJeff Sarti on Rethinking Diversification, Private Credit Insights, and Behavioral Finance in InvestingWhat if everything you thought you knew about diversification was wrong? Join us for a compelling conversation with Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, and Jeff Sarti from Morton Wealth as we challenge the status quo on what it means to truly diversify an investment portfolio. In a world of unpredictable markets, we discuss the vital importance of holding assets that may not always be in vogue but can safeguard against economic downturns. From the shifting reliability of bonds to the necessity of strategic asset weighting, this episode offers a fresh perspective on achieving consistent performance and managing...
2025-01-1942 minLead-Lag LivePaisley Nardini on Alternative Investments, Managed Futures Strategies, and Navigating Market VolatilityEver felt overwhelmed by the sheer number of investment options, much like trying to choose from dozens of toothpaste brands? Join us for a fascinating discussion with Paisley Nardini, a seasoned CFA charterholder, as she pulls back the curtain on the world of alternative investments. Discover how Paisley's extensive experience at Simplify Asset Management, Invesco, and PIMCO equips her with unique insights into navigating market volatility and enhancing portfolio management. This episode promises to challenge your understanding of diversification and reveal how alternative strategies, particularly within ETFs, can offer a suite of new opportunities for investors.Dive...
2025-01-1448 minLead-Lag LiveJulian Brigden on "Trump 2.0" Market Impacts, Cryptocurrency Dynamics, and Avoiding Speculative BubblesWhat if a political resurgence could reshape financial landscapes? Join me, Michael Gayed, alongside the seasoned financial strategist Julian Brigden, as we dissect the hypothetical "Trump 2.0" scenario. We tackle its potential ripple effects across growth, equities, fixed income, and the dollar, with a special spotlight on the evolving role of cryptocurrency. Julian, a veteran from Lehman Brothers, HSBC, and the mastermind behind MI2 Partners, brings unique insights into how retail investors, emboldened by the post-COVID market, are challenging the supremacy of institutional giants. Together, we unravel the cyclical nature of markets, examining how inexperience often breeds overconfidence a...
2025-01-1139 minLead-Lag LiveAleks Svetski on Bitcoin's Transformative Potential, Quantum Computing Challenges, and Philosophical Insights from "Bushido of BitcoinCan Bitcoin reshape the societal structures we know today? Join us as I, Michael Gayed, publisher of The Lead Lag Report, engage in a compelling dialogue with Aleks Svetski, a seasoned Bitcoin enthusiast and entrepreneur, who shares his transformative journey from skepticism to profound understanding of Bitcoin's intricate relationship with global economic systems. Together, we unravel the constant waves of criticism Bitcoin faces, from claims of being a Ponzi scheme to the challenges posed by emerging technologies such as quantum computing. Aleks offers a unique perspective stemming from his entrepreneurial background, shedding light on the complex interplay of volatility...
2025-01-0634 minLead-Lag LiveMichael Kramer on Navigating Stock Market Paradoxes, Global Valuation Trends, and Strategic Investment InsightsCan stock market highs exist alongside falling earnings estimates? Join us as Michael Kramer, founder of Mott Capital, unravels this intricate paradox, offering his seasoned perspective on the unpredictable dance between stock trends and earnings. With a background transitioning from a buy-side trader to managing a long-only thematic growth portfolio, Michael shares insights that transcend typical stock predictions, shedding light on market mechanics, bond yields, and the impact of international equities. His unique approach to portfolio management blends bearish outlooks with strategic long-term positions, presenting a fascinating strategy for navigating today's financial landscape.We journey through the...
2024-12-2036 minLead-Lag LiveMichael Gayed on 2025 Market Predictions, Cryptocurrency vs Gold Dynamics, and Strategic Investment OpportunitiesCould a potential Trump presidency in 2025 redefine the financial landscape? Join us as we engage with the Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, who shares his expert insights on how such political shifts, alongside the compelling rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, might influence the markets. Michael illuminates the intricate dance between market skepticism, Federal Reserve policies, and gold prices, drawing fascinating comparisons to historical stock market performances across various administrations. Dive deep into the complex interplay of liquidity, market momentum, and asset pricing, and discover what these elements mean for investors looking to navigate potential risks and seize o...
2024-12-1726 minLead-Lag LivePorter Collins on Political Impact Strategies, Market Volatility Insights, and Asymmetric Investment OpportunitiesDiscover the strategies that keep investors ahead of the curve in a volatile political landscape with our special guest, Porter Collins, known for his pivotal role in "The Big Short." Join us as Porter and I, Michael Gayed, dissect the unpredictable impacts of political outcomes on investments, from Trump-era policies to the influence of high-profile figures like Elon Musk. We tackle the art of maintaining objectivity in a politically charged environment, examining specific trades such as GEO and Fannie Mae securities.Explore the intricate dynamics of market trends and how they intersect with potential political shifts, particularly...
2024-12-1148 minLead-Lag LiveMichael Belkin on Global Stock Market Tops, Geopolitical Tensions, and Safe Haven Investment StrategiesPrepare to challenge your investment strategies as market analyst Michael Belkin of the Belkin Report joins me, Michael Gayed, in an insightful discussion on the evolving global stock market landscape. Are we witnessing a slowly forming market top, particularly as emerging markets and European stocks stumble while US indexes continue to shine? Drawing on the wisdom of market legend John Templeton, we question whether maximum optimism might just be the key to identifying contrarian opportunities. With Belkin's rich background in market analysis and quant strategy, this episode promises a comprehensive exploration of current market conditions and potential turning points.
2024-12-0645 minLead-Lag LiveAnthony Crudele on Futures Trading Evolution, Risk Management Tactics, and Embracing Mindful Market StrategiesJoin us as we welcome Anthony Crudele, a seasoned trader with a remarkable journey from the fast-paced CME Group floor to a more mindful approach to trading. After experiencing a life-altering heart attack at the age of 36, Anthony shares how he took inspiration from sports icons like Tom Brady and Michael Jordan to cultivate a calm and reflective trading demeanor. His early experiences with E-mini futures, coupled with the advantages they offer over ETFs, laid the foundation for his evolution into media with the Futures Radio Show, where he continues to share his passion for trading.Throughout...
2024-11-1145 minLead-Lag LiveMichael Taylor on Bridging Science and Finance, Breast Cancer Philanthropy, and Healthcare Investment InnovationsMichael Taylor, PM of the Pink Fund, shares his extraordinary journey from the lab to the world of finance, bringing a unique perspective on investment strategies in the healthcare sector. With a background in molecular biology, Michael has transitioned successfully from a gene therapy scientist to a key player in healthcare finance. Learn how his scientific insights have fueled the creation of Pink, a groundbreaking healthcare ETF that supports breast cancer research through the Susan G. Komen Foundation. This episode promises a rich exploration of how financial success can walk hand in hand with philanthropy, making a tangible difference...
2024-10-2442 minLead-Lag LiveGary Brode on Inflation Causes, China's Economic Impact, and Uranium's Energy FutureJoin me, Michael Gayed, as I sit down with seasoned investor Gary Brode to tackle some of the most pressing issues in the financial world today. How effective are current regulations in the fight against foreign money laundering, and what role does Senator Elizabeth Warren play in this landscape? We dissect the effectiveness of fines and discuss potential legislative changes needed to truly make an impact. Gary lends his expertise to a complex conversation on inflation, arguing it's more a product of unchecked government spending and debt monetization than Federal Reserve actions. His insights remind us of the historical...
2024-10-2335 minLead-Lag LiveNeely Tamminga on Youth Employment Trends, Social Media Effects, and Financial Independence ChallengesEver wondered how a former Wall Street professional views the financial resilience of today's youth? Join us as we unpack the intriguing insights of Neely Tamminga, who now enlightens young minds as a college professor and consultant. From using preschool blocks to decode labor statistics, to understanding the financial hurdles faced by young adults, this episode promises a fresh perspective on economic challenges.Explore the transformative effects of social media and remote schooling on work ethics and housing aspirations among young adults. Neely sheds light on the entitlement culture around student loans and the stark financial realities...
2024-10-1643 minLead-Lag LiveChris Vermeulen on Market Timing, ETF Strategies, and Navigating Economic DownturnsUnlock the secrets of navigating market ups and downs with insights from seasoned trader Chris Vermeulen and Lead-Lag Report publisher Michael Gayed. Chris recounts his journey from trading during the tech bubble to mastering a refined strategy anchored in technical analysis and ETFs. We promise that you'll gain the knowledge to ride upward trends even in bearish conditions, focusing on the critical importance of market direction over emotional decision-making. Learn how to optimize returns by selecting ETFs based on major indices like the S&P 500, while effectively managing risks across asset classes, including bonds and cash.Our...
2024-10-1350 minLead-Lag LiveRon Butler on Canadian Housing Stability, Lending Challenges, and Market Correction RisksWhat if Canada never faced a housing bust because of unique factors at play? Join me, Michael Gayed, and our guest, Ron Butler, a seasoned mortgage expert with three decades of experience, as we tackle the intricate labyrinth of the Canadian housing market. You'll uncover the reasons behind Canada's resilience to a housing crisis, even when other countries were not so lucky. From low interest rates to foreign investments and a noteworthy influx of legal immigration, we unpack the elements that have skyrocketed home prices, leaving a significant number of Canadians grappling with affordability concerns.We delve...
2024-10-0938 minLead-Lag LiveAxel Merk on Market Crisis Signals, Federal Reserve Dynamics, and Gold's Strategic Role in Diverse PortfoliosWhat if today's market turbulence signals the onset of another financial crisis akin to 1987, 1998, or 2008? Join me, Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, as I engage in a profound discussion with Axel Merk, an authority in the gold industry. We dissect current market conditions, compare them with past crises, and uncover the diverse profiles of gold investors—from dollar skeptics to diversification seekers. Axel underscores the necessity of a well-rounded investment toolkit to navigate the unpredictability of financial markets, urging you to expand your comfort zone and prepare for the future.Unravel the intricate relationship between Fe...
2024-08-1143 minLead-Lag LiveMorning Few: Michael Gayed on Unmasking Semiconductor Market MythsWhat if the impressive performance of a few semiconductor giants is masking the true health of the entire sector? Join us for an engaging conversation with Michael Gayed from The Lead-Lag Report. We'll dissect how ETFs heavily weighted by companies like NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor can create a distorted picture of industry strength. Michael will guide us through the importance of examining all stocks within a sector to get a genuine understanding of market dynamics and stock performance.In addition to sector analysis, we'll explore why picking the right industry might be more crucial than selecting individual...
2024-06-1109 min