Shows
Lead-Lag LiveRotation vs Concentration: Michael Germano on Cyclicals, Commodities, and the AI Risk TradeIn this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Michael Germano, Founder and Wealth Manager at Key Sage Wealth, to discuss whether markets are entering a major rotation after years of mega-cap tech dominance.From signs of mean reversion and passive-driven distortions to the case for a commodity supercycle and a weakening U.S. dollar, Germano explains why investors may want to rethink concentration risk and reassess exposure to AI-driven valuations.In this episode:– Why mega-cap tech may be “long in the tooth”– How passive flows have created market inefficiencies– Th...
2026-02-2319 minLead-Lag LiveResearch & Selectivity: Davis Advisors Market Outlook & Active ETFsIn this episode of Lead-Lag Live, Michael Gayed sits down with Dodd Kittsley, Co-CIO of Davis Advisors, to discuss why fundamental research and selectivity are becoming increasingly critical as markets transition into a period of normalized interest rates.From Davis Advisors’ 60-year history of “eating their own cooking” to the evolution of active equity ETFs, Kittsley explains how a high-conviction, benchmark-agnostic investment philosophy can help investors compound capital over the long term—especially in a richly valued market.From the “time arbitrage” embedded in their discipline to their views on AI-driven growth and undervalued financials, Kittsley out...
2026-01-1247 minLead-Lag LiveFixed & Equity Income Strategies for 2026 | Rates, Rotation & ReturnsIn this episode of Lead-Lag Live, Michael Gayed sits down with Jay Hatfield, CEO and Portfolio Manager at Infrastructure Capital, to discuss how investors should approach fixed income and equity income strategies for 2026 as markets adapt to a changing interest rate environment.From Federal Reserve rate cuts and inflation trends to credit spreads, preferreds, and equity sector rotation, Hatfield explains why income investors may need to rethink traditional allocations—and where the most compelling risk-adjusted opportunities may emerge in the next market cycle.In this episode:– How Fed rate cuts could reshape fixed income retu...
2026-01-1236 minLead-Lag LiveWeekly Income ETFs Explained: GraniteShares + Top Creators Break Down the New Income Investing BoomIn this special Lead-Lag Live webinar sponsored by GraniteShares, Michael Gayed brings together some of the biggest YouTube creators in the income-investing space for a fresh, free-flowing conversation on weekly dividends, options-based income ETFs, yield strategies, and the rise of “living free from your brokerage account.”Featuring leaders from across the ETF and income-investing world, this session dives into:Why weekly dividend ETFs have exploded in popularityThe psychology behind income now vs long-term growthHow YieldBoost works — and how it differs from traditional covered callsMyths and misunderstandings about options-based incomeHow creators and investors actually use weekly...
2025-12-0434 minLead-Lag LiveThe George Costanza Trade? Options Experts Break Down Smarter Trading Strategies | OptionsAnimal WebinarJoin Michael Gayed, Melanie Schaffer, and the OptionsANIMAL team for a conversation about options trading, risk management, and the famous “George Costanza Trade.”In this webinar, they chat about:What the “Costanza approach” really means in tradingHow professional traders manage risk and avoid emotional decisionsHigh-probability setups explained in simple termsOptions strategies that work in volatile marketsActionable tips you can start applying immediatelyWhether you're looking for CE credits, want to improve your trading discipline, or simply want to learn new frameworks from top options educators, this conversation is packed with value.Lead-Lag Live bri...
2025-12-0402 minLead-Lag LiveMichael Burry’s Warning, AI Math Reality, and the Hollowing Out of “Core”In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Seth Cogswell, Managing Partner at Running Oak Capital, to break down Michael Burry’s warnings about depreciation manipulation, inflated AI earnings, and the concentration risk dominating today’s market.From the speed of chip innovation to the widening gap between revenue and AI CapEx, Cogswell explains why valuations at the top of the S&P 500 may be far more stretched than investors realize — and why diversified, valuation-discipline strategies could be the antidote to extreme concentration.In this episode:– Why extending deprecia...
2025-12-0323 minLead-Lag LiveHumanoid Robots Are Coming: Investing in the KOID OpportunityIn this episode of Lead-Lag Live, Michael Gayed sits down with Cole Wenner from KraneShares to break down the rise of humanoid robots and why the theme is moving from cool demos to real-world deployment. Cole explains embodied intelligence, the labor and aging-population pressures driving demand, and where humanoids are likely to show up first — warehouses, factories, hospitals, and eventually the home.They walk through the three parts of the KOID approach: the “brain” (AI and semiconductors), the “body” (motors, sensors, actuators, materials), and the integrators building full robots. Cole also highlights why many of the most investable...
2025-11-2536 minLead-Lag LiveChina Q3 Update & the KLIP Covered Call Strategy with Henry Greene From KraneSharesIn this episode of Lead-Lag Live, Michael Gayed talks with Henry Greene from KraneShares about how recent changes in US–China trade incentives are improving the outlook for China’s tech sector and why it matters for investors.They discuss the rise of AI in China — including DeepSeek and Alibaba’s Qwen models — and how letting companies train AI on their own data could boost cloud adoption. Henry also explains China’s push into robotics and how it fits alongside US leadership in chips and software.To bring it back to portfolios, Henry breaks down why KWEB ten...
2025-11-2533 minLead-Lag LiveFalling Rates, Rising Uncertainty: Investors Chase Higher YieldsIn this exclusive conversation, Michael Gayed, founder of The Lead-Lag Report, sits down with Will Rhind, CEO of GraniteShares, to discuss the booming demand for options-based income ETFs like YieldBoost — funds generating 50% to 150% annual yields through innovative option strategies.They unpack:- Why rates are headed lower (and what it means for investors)- How YieldBoost ETFs work and generate high income- The truth about NAV erosion and downside protection- What a diversified income portfolio could look like in 2025- How investors are rethinking “safe yield” in a new market era
2025-11-1032 minLead-Lag LiveWhy the Fed Will Be Forced to Cut | Jay Hatfield’s 2025 Market OutlookIn this exclusive webinar hosted by Michael Gayed of Lead-Lag Media, Jay Hatfield from Infrastructure Capital shares his market outlook for 2025 — including why he believes the Fed will have to cut rates, why housing hasn’t crashed, and why the next market move could surprise to the upside.Jay breaks down:Why the Fed has caused nearly every post-WWII recessionHow inflation is finally cooling (and why CPI is misleading)The real reason the U.S. avoided a recession in 2024His S&P 500 target of 7,000 for 2025Bullish takes on housing, tech, small caps, and preferredsWhy regi...
2025-11-0739 minLead-Lag LiveIs the Fed about to start cutting rates — and what does that mean for your portfolio?In this Lead Lag Live webinar, Michael Gayed sits down with Jay Hatfield, CEO of Infrastructure Capital Advisors, to break down the current macro landscape, why inflation fears may be overblown, and where the biggest investment opportunities lie as we enter a new market phase.Topics Covered:Why small caps could surge as rate cuts beginThe truth about inflation, the BLS data lag, and money supplyOutlook for the bond market, preferreds, and high-yield creditHow active management can outperform in a cutting cycleWhy “bubbles” migh...
2025-10-1741 minLead-Lag LiveBeyond the Hype: Derek Yan on the AI Build-Out, Private Access, and Where the Real Opportunity LiesIn this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Derek Yan, CFA and Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to cut through the noise surrounding the AI “bubble” narrative and unpack where the true opportunity still lies.From infrastructure shortages and the rise of reasoning models to the challenge of accessing private AI leaders, Derek shares why the current cycle is still in its infancy and how investors can capture the next phase of growth.In this episode:– Why AI demand is outpacing computing capacity worldwide– How reasoning models are reshaping the AI i...
2025-10-1521 minLead-Lag LiveRates vs Reality: David Busch on Fed Signals, Inflation, and Positioning for Year-EndIn this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with David Busch, CFA and Co-Chief Investment Officer at Trajan Wealth, to cut through the noise after Powell’s Jackson Hole speech and the latest inflation data.With CPI softening, PPI still hot, and Fed policy hanging in the balance, David explains how investors should think about rates, risk, and portfolio allocation as volatility looms into the fall.In this episode:– How Powell’s “data dependent” tone shapes the Fed’s path– Why CPI vs PPI is creating mixed signals for inflation– The grow...
2025-09-0414 minLead-Lag LiveWall Street Meets Humanitarianism: RSU Founder Iryna Vashchuk Discipio Joins Gayed, Block & CNBCJoin this powerful and heartfelt panel discussion on how American veterans are stepping up to support Ukraine's fight for freedom. Featuring inspiring stories from Adam Kishleski, a retired Marine and CEO of MLB Outdoors, and Irina Vashchuk, founder of Revived Soldiers Ukraine, this video highlights the incredible resilience of Ukrainian soldiers and the crucial role of U.S. veterans and charities in providing medical aid, rehabilitation, and hope. Discover how individuals and organizations are making a difference in the lives of those affected by war. Watch now to learn how you can help support this vital mission. Together, we...
2025-08-231h 06Lead-Lag LiveInside ETF Strategy: Paul Baiocchi on Market Shifts and Innovation at SS&C ALPSIn this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Paul Baiocchi, CFA, Head of Fund Sales and Strategy at SS&C ALPS Advisors, to explore the strategies shaping today’s ETF landscape.We dig into how ALPS differentiates itself in a crowded market, the role of innovation in fund design, and where investors should be looking for opportunities as flows shift and volatility stays elevated.In this episode:- What sets SS&C ALPS Advisors apart in ETF strategy- How investors are positioning portfolios in today’s market- Why fund...
2025-08-2128 minLead-Lag LiveNavigating Rising YieldsThe financial world stands at a critical juncture as Treasury yields approach 18-year highs and markets wrestle with conflicting economic signals. In this riveting conversation between macro strategists Jim Bianco and Jay Hatfield, hosted by Michael Gayed, we explore the counterintuitive relationship between Fed policy and market reactions that has left many investors scratching their heads.When the Fed cut rates last September, yields went up. This paradox forms the backdrop for a fascinating debate about whether higher rates might actually be the cure for higher rates. Hatfield advances his "Hopfield Rule"—the observation that housing starts fa...
2025-05-2551 minLead-Lag LiveMarket Mayhem: Is the Worst Behind Us?Market veterans know that bull runs and corrections rarely travel in straight lines, and in this riveting conversation with Michael Gayed, we explore the subtle signals suggesting our recent market recovery might be more fragile than it appears. Michael, who accurately predicted the S&P's 20% drop earlier this year, walks us through the conflicting indicators currently puzzling even seasoned analysts.What particularly stands out is the disconnect between rapidly recovered credit spreads and still-struggling small caps – a warning sign Michael believes shouldn't be ignored. Treasury yields remain stubbornly elevated despite easing tariff concerns, while the Japanese yen's st...
2025-05-2014 minLead-Lag LiveTrading Through Market Shifts with David DziekanskiThe markets have shifted into a new volatility regime, and traders need fresh tools to navigate these choppy waters. In this illuminating conversation, Michael Gayed hosts David Dziekanski (Founder and CEO of Quantify Funds), Mike Venuto (Co-Founder of Tidal ETF Services), and Michael Silva (trader and host of Figuring Out Money) to explore innovative trading strategies for today's challenging market environment.David introduces Quantify's groundbreaking launch of four new "stacked" ETFs that provide a revolutionary approach to thematic investing. Unlike traditional leveraged funds, these products offer 100% exposure to two carefully paired stocks within a single fund, creating...
2025-04-0752 minLead-Lag LiveBrian Drubetsky: Unlocking Small Cap PotentialDive into the intricacies of small-cap investing as Michael Gayed and Brian Drubetsky explore the current economic landscape and its implications for market opportunities. With interest rates being a pivotal factor for many small-cap firms, our discussion unpacks the latest trends in earnings growth and the potential for favorable shifts in monetary policy.From analyzing the essential characteristics that can help small-cap stocks thrive, to recognizing the undervalued opportunities in sectors like consumer discretionary and real estate, this episode aims to equip you with the knowledge to recognize and seize upcoming market trends. As we uncover the...
2025-03-0642 min
CFA DFW Charterholder ChatterEpisode 61: Risks? What Risks? With Michael A. GayedWe speak with Michael A Gayed, CFA about his journey in the business from watching his father trade, to his market research, to launching products of his own. We discuss the nature of risks, the market today, and the biggest mistakes professional investors make. Michael A. Gayed is publisher of the The Lead-Lag Report, He also runs the Lead Lag report podcast where he interviews the top names in investing and economics. Michael is a 5x winner of the Dow and NAAIM Founder's award for his research, including "Leverage for the Long Run: A Systematic A...
2025-02-1242 minLead-Lag LiveMichael Gayed on Gold's Resilience, Japan's Interest Rate Challenges, and Strategic Investment InsightsWhy is gold shining brighter while the yen wobbles? Join us for an enlightening conversation as we host Michael Gayed, the astute mind behind The Lead-Lag Report, who doesn't shy away from bold predictions. Michael explores the complexities of Japan's interest rate hikes and their impact on global market volatility. We dissect the turbulent trade winds blowing between the US, China, Canada, and Mexico, scrutinizing how tariffs and erratic policies from the Trump era might reshape businesses and markets. Amidst these discussions, Michael deciphers the recent spike in gold prices as a harbinger of economic unease and weighs in...
2025-02-1110 minLead-Lag LiveDynamic Portfolio Strategies for a Shifting Financial Landscape with Brad Barrie and Matt O'BrianUnlock the secrets of crafting a robust investment portfolio with insights that challenge conventional wisdom. Join me, Michael Gayed, alongside experts Matt O'Brian and Brad Barrie, as we explore the critical role of diversification and the potential risks when concentration takes center stage. We'll unravel the intricacies of true diversification, discuss "line item risk," and emphasize why preparation should be prioritized over prediction in the ever-volatile market landscape.Our conversation ventures into the uncharted territory of risk management by challenging traditional views on asset allocation. With insights from Harry Markowitz and our guests' expertise in tactical management...
2025-02-0447 minLead-Lag LiveMike Larson on Offensive Investment Styles, Global Diversification, and 2025 Market TrendsJoin me, Michael Gayed, and my esteemed guest Mike Larson, Editor-in-Chief at Money Show, as we unravel the bold investment strategies that have reshaped the financial landscape in 2023. Discover how offensive investing styles have not only outperformed but also paved the way for potential recovery in the bond market, particularly high-quality treasuries. We delve into the vibrant Money Show events in Las Vegas, a hotbed of dynamic investment insights, featuring luminaries like Ralph Acampora and Dan Ives who bring a wealth of knowledge from technical analysis to energy and economic strategies.Looking ahead to 2025, we examine the...
2025-01-2939 minLead-Lag LiveMichael Gayed on Reverse Carry Trade Dynamics, AI’s Market Influence, and Independent Investment StrategiesPrepare to challenge everything you thought you knew about the macroeconomic landscape as we welcome Michael Gayed, the insightful founder of the Lead Lag Report, to dissect the future of global markets with a particular glance at 2025. With a bold statement about the reverse carry trade, especially through the lens of Japan's unique financial environment, Michael draws connections between low interest rates, currency strength, and international borrowing dynamics. Listen as he unravels the potential turmoil Japan could face due to inflation and currency issues, and shares captivating anecdotes, including a follower's experience with the carry trade from Honduras.
2025-01-2836 minLead-Lag LiveMichael Gayed on Market Manipulation Myths, Deregulation Impacts, and Strategic Investment OpportunitiesWhat if everything you thought you knew about the financial markets was wrong? Join us as we welcome back seasoned market analyst Michael Gayed to dissect the pervasive notion of market manipulation. Together, we unravel the intricate roles that liquidity and algorithms play in shaping the financial landscape. As we navigate through the current state of limbo, Michael provides a thought-provoking analysis on how potential political shifts, specifically a Trump presidency, might reshape the regulatory environment and offer new prospects for small and mid-sized companies. This episode is a must-listen for anyone eager to understand the balancing act of...
2025-01-2640 minLead-Lag LiveJeff Sarti on Rethinking Diversification, Private Credit Insights, and Behavioral Finance in InvestingWhat if everything you thought you knew about diversification was wrong? Join us for a compelling conversation with Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, and Jeff Sarti from Morton Wealth as we challenge the status quo on what it means to truly diversify an investment portfolio. In a world of unpredictable markets, we discuss the vital importance of holding assets that may not always be in vogue but can safeguard against economic downturns. From the shifting reliability of bonds to the necessity of strategic asset weighting, this episode offers a fresh perspective on achieving consistent performance and managing...
2025-01-1941 min