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Showing episodes and shows of
Pablo Stafforini
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Libros completos, Emilia Escaris Pazos
1- Ensayo sobre el gobierno civil de John Locke.
Trad. Selección y notas: Claudio Amor, Pablo Stafforini. Ed. Prometeo Univ. Nacional de Quilmes, Bs. As, Argentina Presentación. CAPI , CAP II DEL ESTADO DE NATURALEZA (Desde 1 a parte del 6)
2023-12-15
14 min
Future Matters
#8: Bing Chat, AI labs on safety, and pausing Future Matters
Future Matters is a newsletter about longtermism and existential risk by Matthew van der Merwe and Pablo Stafforini. Each month we curate and summarize relevant research and news from the community, and feature a conversation with a prominent researcher. You can also subscribe on Substack, read on the EA Forum and follow on Twitter. Future Matters is also available in Spanish. 00:00 Welcome to Future Matters. 00:44 A message to our readers. 01:09 All things Bing. 05:27 Summaries. 14:20 News. 16:10 Opportunities. 17:19 Audio & video. 18:16 Newsletters. 18:50 Conversation with Tom Davidson. 19:13 The importance of understanding and forecasting AI takeoff dynamics. 21:55 Start and end points of...
2023-03-21
41 min
Future Matters Reader
Holden Karfnosky — Success without dignity: a nearcasting story of avoiding catastrophe by luck
Success without dignity: a nearcasting story of avoiding catastrophe by luck, by Holden Karnofsky. https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/75CtdFj79sZrGpGiX/success-without-dignity-a-nearcasting-story-of-avoiding Note: Footnotes in the original article have been omitted.
2023-03-20
19 min
Future Matters Reader
Larks — A Windfall Clause for CEO could worsen AI race dynamics
In this post, Larks argues that the proposal to make AI firms promise to donate a large fraction of profits if they become extremely profitable will primarily benefitting the management of those firms and thereby give managers an incentive to move fast, aggravating race dynamics and in turn increasing existential risk. https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ewroS7tsqhTsstJ44/a-windfall-clause-for-ceo-could-worsen-ai-race-dynamics
2023-03-20
14 min
Future Matters Reader
Otto Barten — Paper summary: The effectiveness of AI existential risk communication to the American and Dutch public
This is Otto Barten's summary of 'The effectiveness of AI existential risk communication to the American and Dutch public' by Alexia Georgiadis. In this paper Alexia measures changes in participants' awareness of AGI risks after consuming various media interventions. Summary: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/fqXLT7NHZGsLmjH4o/paper-summary-the-effectiveness-of-ai-existential-risk Original paper: https://existentialriskobservatory.org/papers_and_reports/The_Effectiveness_of_AI_Existential_Risk_Communication_to_the_American_and_Dutch_Public.pdf Note: Some tables in the summary have been omitted in this audio version.
2023-03-20
07 min
Future Matters Reader
Shulman & Thornley — How much should governments pay to prevent catastrophes? Longtermism's limited role
Carl Shulman & Elliott Thornley argue that the goal of longtermists should be to get governments to adopt global catastrophic risk policies based on standard cost-benefit analysis rather than arguments that stress the overwhelming importance of the future. https://philpapers.org/archive/SHUHMS.pdf Note: Tables, notes and references in the original article have been omitted.
2023-03-20
57 min
Future Matters Reader
Elika Somani — Advice on communicating in and around the biosecurity policy community
"The field of biosecurity is more complicated, sensitive and nuanced, especially in the policy space, than what impressions you might get based on publicly available information. As a result, say / write / do things with caution (especially if you are a non-technical person or more junior, or talking to a new (non-EA) expert). This might help make more headway on safer biosecurity policy." https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/HCuoMQj4Y5iAZpWGH/advice-on-communicating-in-and-around-the-biosecurity-policy Note: Some footnotes in the original article have been omitted.
2023-03-14
13 min
Future Matters Reader
Riley Harris — Summary of 'Are we living at the hinge of history?' by William MacAskill.
The Global Priorities Institute has published a new paper summary: 'Are we living at the hinge of history?' by William MacAskill. https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/summary-summary-longtermist-institutional-reform/ Note: Footnotes and references in the original article have been omitted.
2023-03-14
07 min
Future Matters Reader
Riley Harris — Summary of 'Longtermist institutional reform' by Tyler M. John and William MacAskill
The Global Priorities Institute has published a new paper summary: 'Longtermist institutional reform' by Tyler John & William MacAskill. https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/summary-summary-longtermist-institutional-reform/ Note: Footnotes and references in the original article have been omitted.
2023-03-14
05 min
Future Matters Reader
Hayden Wilkinson — Global priorities research: Why, how, and what have we learned?
The Global Priorities Institute has released Hayden Wilkinson's presentation on global priorities research. (The talk was given in mid-September last year but remained unlisted until now.) https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/hayden-wilkinson-global-priorities-research-why-how-and-what-have-we-learned/
2023-03-13
44 min
Future Matters Reader
Piper — What should be kept off-limits in a virology lab?
New rules around gain-of-function research make progress in striking a balance between reward — and catastrophic risk. https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2023/2/1/23580528/gain-of-function-virology-covid-monkeypox-catastrophic-risk-pandemic-lab-accident
2023-03-13
07 min
Future Matters Reader
Ezra Klein — This changes everything
"One of two things must happen. Humanity needs to accelerate its adaptation to these technologies or a collective, enforceable decision must be made to slow the development of these technologies. Even doing both may not be enough." https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/12/opinion/chatbots-artificial-intelligence-future-weirdness.html
2023-03-13
10 min
Future Matters
#7: AI timelines, AI skepticism, and lock-in
Future Matters is a newsletter about longtermism and existential risk by Matthew van der Merwe and Pablo Stafforini. Each month we curate and summarize relevant research and news from the community, and feature a conversation with a prominent researcher. You can also subscribe on Substack, read on the EA Forum and follow on Twitter. Future Matters is also available in Spanish. 00:00 Welcome to Future Matters. 00:57 Davidson — What a compute-centric framework says about AI takeoff speeds. 02:19 Chow, Halperin & Mazlish — AGI and the EMH. 02:58 Hatfield-Dodds — Concrete reasons for hope about AI. 03:37 Karnofsky — Transformative AI issues (not just misalignment). 04:08 Vaintrob — Beware saf...
2023-02-03
00 min
Red Lider
WBT150- Panel - Sofia Stafforini, German Lenzi y Pablo Violaz
Distribuidores calificados y un coordinador... todos pasando por etapas del negocio y de la vida y superándolas con formación y acción y vinculados al equipo!
2023-01-13
1h 01
Future Matters
#6: FTX collapse, value lock-in, and counterarguments to AI x-risk
Future Matters is a newsletter about longtermism by Matthew van der Merwe and Pablo Stafforini. Each month we curate and summarize relevant research and news from the community, and feature a conversation with a prominent researcher. You can also subscribe on Substack, read on the EA Forum and follow on Twitter. Future Matters is also available in Spanish. 00:00 Welcome to Future Matters. 01:05 A message to our readers. 01:54 Finnveden, Riedel & Shulman — Artificial general intelligence and lock-in. 02:33 Grace — Counterarguments to the basic AI x-risk case. 03:17 Grace — Let’s think about slowing down AI. 04:18 Piper — Review of What We Owe the Future. 05:04 Clare & Ma...
2022-12-30
37 min
Future Matters
#5: supervolcanoes, AI takeover, and What We Owe the Future
Future Matters is a newsletter about longtermism brought to you by Matthew van der Merwe and Pablo Stafforini. Each month we collect and summarize longtermism-relevant research, share news from the longtermism community, and feature a conversation with a prominent researcher. You can also subscribe on Substack, read on the EA Forum and follow on Twitter. 00:00 Welcome to Future Matters. 01:08 MacAskill — What We Owe the Future. 01:34 Lifland — Samotsvety's AI risk forecasts. 02:11 Halstead — Climate Change and Longtermism. 02:43 Good Judgment — Long-term risks and climate change. 02:54 Thorstad — Existential risk pessimism and the time of perils. 03:32 Hamilton — Space and existential risk. 04:07 Cassidy & Mani — Huge...
2022-09-13
31 min
Future Matters
#4: AI timelines, AGI risk, and existential risk from climate change
Future Matters is a newsletter about longtermism brought to you by Matthew van der Merwe and Pablo Stafforini. Each month we collect and summarize longtermism-relevant research, share news from the longtermism community, and feature a conversation with a prominent researcher. You can also subscribe on Substack, read on the EA Forum and follow on Twitter. 00:00 Welcome to Future Matters 01:11 Steinhardt — AI forecasting: one year in 01:52 Davidson — Social returns to productivity growth 02:26 Brundage — Why AGI timeline research/discourse might be overrated 03:03 Cotra — Two-year update on my personal AI timelines 03:50 Grace — What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022? 04:43 Leike — On...
2022-08-08
31 min
Future Matters
#3: digital sentience, AGI ruin, and forecasting track records
Episode Notes Future Matters is a newsletter about longtermism brought to you by Matthew van der Merwe and Pablo Stafforini. Each month we collect and summarize longtermism-relevant research, share news from the longtermism community, and feature a conversation with a prominent longtermist. You can also subscribe on Substack, read on the EA Forum and follow on Twitter. 00:00 Welcome to Future Matters 01:11 Long — Lots of links on LaMDA 01:48 Lovely — Do we need a better understanding of 'progress'? 02:11 Base — Things usually end slowly 02:47 Yudkowsky — AGI ruin: a list of lethalities 03:38 Christiano — Where I agree and disagree with Eliezer 04...
2022-07-04
00 min
Future Matters
#2: Clueless skepticism, 'longtermist' as an identity, and nanotechnology strategy research
Future Matters is a newsletter about longtermism brought to you by Matthew van der Merwe and Pablo Stafforini. Each month we collect and summarize longtermism-relevant research, share news from the longtermism community, and feature a conversation with a prominent longtermist. You can also subscribe on Substack, read on the EA Forum and follow on Twitter. 00:01 Welcome to Future Matters 01:25 Schubert — Against cluelessness 02:23 Carlsmith — Presentation on existential risk from power-seeking AI 03:45 Vaintrob — Against "longtermist" as an identity 04:30 Bostrom & Shulman — Propositions concerning digital minds and society 05:02 MacAskill — EA and the current funding situation 05:51 Beckstead — Some clarifications on the Future Fund's appro...
2022-05-28
23 min
Future Matters
#1: AI takeoff, longtermism vs. existential risk, and probability discounting
The remedies for all our diseases will be discovered long after we are dead; and the world will be made a fit place to live in. It is to be hoped that those who live in those days will look back with sympathy to their known and unknown benefactors. — John Stuart Mill Future Matters is a newsletter about longtermism brought to you by Matthew van der Merwe and Pablo Stafforini. Each month we collect and summarize longtermism-relevant research, share news from the longtermism community, and feature a conversation with a prominent longtermist. You can also subscribe on Su...
2022-04-24
29 min
Future Matters
#0: Space governance, future-proof ethics, and the launch of the Future Fund
> We think our civilization near its meridian, but we are yet only at the cock-crowing and the morning star. > — Ralph Waldo Emerson Welcome to Future Matters, a newsletter about longtermism brought to you by Matthew van der Merwe & Pablo Stafforini. Each month we collect and summarize longtermism-relevant research, share news from the longtermism community, and feature a conversation with a prominent longtermist. Future Matters is crossposted to the Effective Altruism Forum and available as a podcast. Research We are typically confident that some things are conscious (humans), and that some things are not (rocks); other things we’...
2022-03-22
00 min