Shows
Podgecaste#14: Predictions - A Master ScandalDiscussed:* The Secret Agent, and other Oscar predictions.* Norway, Sweden, Iceland, Greenland. It’s all a block of ice.* A Ricky Gervais rant on actors and their political opinions.* A lot of necessary legal throat clearing.* The Brazilian Report’s Banco Master matrix.* Is Brazil running the risk of constitutional crisis?* A who’s who of the Brazilian deep state.* So much that could have gone wrong, so far, hasn’t.* Big Brazilian Government ain’t goin’ nowhere.* Words from the wis...
2026-02-051h 05
Podgecaste#13: Predictions - Tarcísio the Tank EngineDiscussed:* Delcy Rodríguez is not a terrific person.* Nissan Navara Media.* Stop naming companies after random Latin words.* One too many mentions of Glenn Greenwald.* Bolsonaro heads to Papudinha.* Smart TVs vs. Cable. The great legal battle of our time.* Globo loses the linear narrative.* January 6 is the only reason you hear about Bolsonaro.* Operation Car Wash made for a better Italian soap opera.* Google why Brazil doesn’t have trains, bro.* Is corruption of the ele...
2026-01-211h 07
Podgecaste#12: Predictions: Neocon NirvanaDiscussed:* Excuse the aircon sounds. We’re in a heatwave, because, climate change, or something.* Boots on the ground is boots on the ground, but it’s not those boots on the ground, so it doesn’t count.* Glenn Greenwald, Rory Stewart, and Jeremy Corbyn join the podcast.* It’s legal; it’s not legal; but who cares? We got him.* The rules-based international order of paper shufflers.* Is Brazil next?* María Corina Machado can’t catch a break.* Biden and the 2022 Brazilian ele...
2026-01-1453 min
Podgecaste#11: Predictions - The Christmas ComebackDiscussed:* Our 2025 Polymarket Wrapped.* That’s it. No more Trump mention markets.* Shocked not surprised. Surprised not shocked.* “It’s jail, but Norwegian serial killer jail.”* Why Flávio Bolsonaro is a candidate worth taking seriously.* Milicianos by Rafael Soares.* Brazil’s politically coded criminal organizations.* Let it go. The Nikki Haley right isn’t coming back.* Lula’s latest polling ain’t looking pretty.* And much more! This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss t...
2025-12-2950 min
Podgecaste#10: Predictions - The Kuala Lumpur KonnectionDiscussed:* Trump and Lula—the meeting we’ve been waiting for.* “You were in jail? They tried to put me in jail.”* Nothing to do with Venezuela.* Little Marco takes the spotlight.* Peronismo perishes to the sweet tunes of La Renga.* Lula Makes Boring Great Again (muh-buh-guh).* The 4D chess of the election no one wants to win.* 2018 to 2026: the great Brazilian vibe shift.* Is the Big Tent slowly blowing away?* A political theory based on an idiom about a horse...
2025-10-2841 min
Podgecaste#09: Predictions - ¡Venezuela Libre! in 2025 (?)Discussed:* It’s been a long hiatus, and a lot’s happened.* “Maduro doesn’t want to f**k around with the United States.”* The Fifth Column: #524 - BTW, Venezuela is a Dictatorial Commie Narcostate (w/ Thor Halvorssen)* María Corina Machado is a win for centrist dads.* The chances for a sustainable post-Maduro government.* We say this a lot, but dictatorships kinda suck.* Michelle Bolsonaro: the Brazilian right’s new (old) hope.* Dear Zema, no one cares about deficits. Dear Tarcísio, no one cares a...
2025-10-211h 10
Podgecaste#08: Predictions - Trials, Truancy, and Treasury BondsDiscussed:* Blueanon is so much more depressing than Qanon.* In defense of Trump on Biden.* Lawfare here. Lawfare there. Lawfare everywhere.* If only Obama never had a pen and a phone.* Nothing Ever Happens—September edition.* Bolsonaro on trial (again).* ‘Is Selena Gomez Married in 2025’ safer than a treasury bond? (obviously not financial advice)* The 2026 Brazilian election. Brought to you by the cast of Up.* Lula’s polls are a best and worst case scenario.* “It’s your fault I’m running...
2025-09-0454 min
Podgecaste#25: 'Apocalypse in the Tropics' - A ReviewIn this episode, we give our HOTTEST takes on Oscar nominee Petra Costa’s latest documentary, ‘Apocalypse in the Tropics’. Something of a sequel to her documentary ‘Edge of Democracy’, this latest film looks at the rise of Evangelical Christianity in Brazil, particularly through the lens of its political impacts. This episode has been long procrastinated, but with the indictment of Silas Malafaia, one of the the documentary’s main subjects, it’s better late than never. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes...
2025-08-231h 01
Podgecaste#07: Predictions - Peace, Presidents, and PaisansDiscussed:* Who would would win? The post-1945 liberal world order, or one curious 79-year-old boi?* Donald J. Trump is the only president to actually enjoy the job.* The stage is set for the world’s HOTTEST 80s blockbuster.* Bolsonaro on house arrest.* Lula and Trump may never speak. Does it matter?* “In case you forgot, I’m Andrew Cuomo, son of Mario, grandson of Andrea.”* We miss you, Richard Nixon. And maybe you too, Jimmy Carter.* JD Vance vs. AOC. What are the chances...
2025-08-121h 12
Podgecaste#06: Predictions - Brazil and Bannon Winning BiglyDiscussed:* Tariff Day is finally here—unless you’re Brazil.* As always, our predictions were (mostly) spot on.* Can Alexandre de Moraes still use Netflix?* The politics of the talking parrot.* Jack’s definition of a Muppet—courtesy of Homer Simpson. * Javier Milei’s still holding out for that deal. But, Is no deal better than a deal?* “If you don’t stop talking about Epstein, we’re doing nuclear war.”* Hear us out, but Trump, Bannon, and MAGA are probably winning.* Tucker Carlson...
2025-08-0355 min
Podgecaste#05: Predictions - Brazilian CarnageIt’s here. Trump-tariff chaos looms over Brazil, and we’re ready to guide you through the storm. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com
2025-07-261h 14
Podgecaste#04: Predictions - Mad MondayDiscussed:* Trump finally mentions Brazil—the COLDEST country on Earth.* TRADE and TARIFFS are back on the menu.* The funniest leader in human history.* No rest for the potentially primaried.* The EU says, “no more straight bananas for you.”* Did Steve Bannon end hypocrisy on the right by making it socialist?* “Yah, so, generally speaking, we’re doing the America Party.”* Envelopes full of trade deals.* Is Brazil getting a deal before Argentina?* And much more! This is a pu...
2025-07-0851 min
Podgecaste#03: Predictions - Catastrophes and CurtisDiscussed:* The definition of a suit.* Did Trump make the right call?* Our PhDs in New York municipal politics.* Staten Island socialists.* Unsolicited advice for Democrat strategists.* Nothing to report from Brazil.* Are musical biopics the worst genre of all time?* The Social Network II—the sequel no one asked for.* Nothing Ever Happens as stoicism’s kryptonite.* Out of context Adam Curtis chat.* And much more! This is a public episode. If you woul...
2025-07-011h 22
Podgecaste#02: Predictions - Something HappenedDiscussed:* The ‘Nothing Ever Happens’ philosophy.* Rory Stewart joins us for a quick explainer.* Did something really happen?* Dominic Cummings and the future of warfare.* The turmoil of Nate Silver’s approval ratings.* The Oval Office is just a podcast studio, bro.* Lula’s G7 gameplan.* Bolsonaro takes the stand.* Elon out at Tesla?* And much more! This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus ep...
2025-06-171h 01
Podgecaste#01: Predictions - Nothing Ever HappensWelcome to our new segment, Podegecaste Predictions! In an attempt to streamline our ramblings, we’re now splitting the show into two segments. Our main episode will become the place for more deep-dives on Brazil, while Podgecaste Predictions will be the place where we muse on a wider range of global and pop culture events (in our characteristically uninformed manner) through the murky but fascinating lens of prediction markets.Yes, we're dusting off our 'We're not going back!' hats and our 'When We Fight, We Win' foam fingers, all while trying to ta...
2025-06-0557 min
Podgecaste#24: Rio Records (w/ Chris Pickard)A few weeks ago, we had the pleasure of welcoming Chris Pickard to the show. He initially joined us to talk about his friendship with the legendary Ronnie Biggs (check out that episode if you haven’t yet) and his soon-to-be-released documentary “Ronnie Biggs: Run to Rio”.Fortunately for us, Chris was also generous enough to discuss some of his own adventures in Brazil. His deep ties to the country go back generations, and over the years he has worn many hats — from record store owner and music-scene connector to would-be hamburger mogul, just to name a few....
2025-05-1238 min
Podgecaste#23: Gaga, Greens, and GlennDiscussed:* Lady Gaga’s mega show at Copacabana beach.* Should the public foot the bill?* Eduardo Paes, a California Democrat(?)* A (reluctant) take on the Australian election.* Can Brazil make 2026 boring again?* We used to have protests. Where’d they all go?* Lula, the Goldman Sachs central banker.* Does anyone care about economics anymore?* Glenn Greenwald goes before the Brazilian senate.* Our latest Polymarket predictions.* And much more! This is a public episode. If you...
2025-05-071h 43
Podgecaste#22: Is Brazil Still Catholic?* Ronnie Biggs (w/ Chris Pickard) recap.* The rise and fall of Big Brother Brasil.* Is Brazil still Catholic? The numbers.* Brazil’s rise of evangelical/protestant Christianity.* How did FHC get away with being agnostic?* The diversity of the Brazilian family.* Street preachers need better mics.* Flordelis on Ana Maria Braga.* Thoughts on Papa Francisco and the next Pope.* Oliver Stone and Lula.* Best JFK conspiracy takes.* And much more! This is a public ep...
2025-04-291h 52
Podgecaste#21: Ronnie Biggs on the Run (w/ Chris Pickard)Chris Pickard is a self-described jack of all trades — but what trades! Who wouldn’t want to juggle launching a record store called Gringos in Ipanema, editing the legendary Brazil Herald, and becoming an authority on the Cannes Film Festival? He may be a jack of all trades, but he’s certainly mastered picking the most exciting ones.Across a multitude of roles, Chris has acted as a bridge between Anglo and Brazilian cultures — writing hundreds of thousands of words about Brazilian film, music, and culture in published books, articles, and scripts, while also producing TV shows and docu...
2025-04-251h 10
Podgecaste#20: Tariff TantrumDiscussed:* Has the deal been arted?* Jack’s A-Level class on bonds.* David Sacks is a genius.* Haddad x Mônica Bergamo* Does black-and-white footage make you more serious?* Haddad’s PhD thesis.* Has the US ‘lost’ the gloabalization game?* Chris’s tirade on tariffs. Spoiler: they don’t work.* Upside-down bullet trains going under bridges.* Everyone loves the free market all of a sudden.* And much more! This is a public episode. If you would lik...
2025-04-1649 min
Podgecaste#19: We're So BackAfter a brief hiatus, we’re back—only to find it’s well and truly over. Discussed:* You get a tariff! You get a tariff! Everybody gets a tariff!* Trump on The View vs. Trump on Ellen.* Jack’s updates from Civil War Island.* The blessings of a few weeks off podcasting.* Does Big Money work in Brazilian politics?* The trials of Tony Mokbel and Ronnie Biggs.* Brazil’s peculiar extradition protections.* Chris watched The Sopranos—in case anyone cares.* Has Trump 2.0 ma...
2025-04-091h 42
Podgecaste#18: Carnaval Carnage* Feels Fake vs. Feels Real—unpacking Jack’s latest piece.* Russel Brand reads Jack’s article.* Bolsonaro vs. Tech Bros—who brings more mystique?* A case for Dominic Cummings.* Tony Soprano economics.* Tariffs are a tactic, or they make us rich. Pick one.* Rumble vs. Alexandre de Moraes.* More Glenn impressions.* Does AI need to be based?* Lula gets something right—kinda sorta.* Final Oscar predictions.* Tucker has no evidence, but he’s 100% sure of it.* Bonus Ea...
2025-02-281h 43
Podgecaste#17: Bolsonaro, Bets, and BAFTAs* Our war with the mics continues.* Milei’s crypto blunder.* Is 60 Minutes making TV great again?* Brazil’s bot armies.* I’m Still Here on Amanpour.* Are the BAFTAs an omen for Brazil’s Oscar chances?* Jesse Singal on DOGE.* Setting the record straight on the Bolsonaro years.* Note: we recorded this before Bolsonaro being charged.* Did JFK order the ‘64 coup?* Tucker vs. Pinochet.* Throwback to the 2018 election.* Lula vs. Moro—the OG podcast.* That Bo...
2025-02-192h 09
Podgecaste#16: Centrão Core* Brazil’s battle of the stupid hats.* Ciro is GOAT’d.* Lula needs Malcolm Tucker.* The student politics comms genius.* Who are Brazil’s new overlords?* A deep dive on the Centrão.* Is the Centrão a force for good?* Thoughts on The Edge of Democracy and The Trial.* The (grammatical) problem with DOGE.* Bannon’s Brazil.* The Glenn Greenwald impression is ready to go.* More Lula as Trump.* Fernanda Torres (again, but you know, SEO...
2025-02-091h 39
Podgecaste#15: O Golpe Tá Aí* Podgecaste re-born.* Trump vs. Petro vs. Lula vs. Trump.* Can LatAm leaders out-deal the Donald, or does the US always win?* Brazil prepares to be tariffed.* Musings on Trump 2.0 and immigration.* A rare case for civil liberties.* Are we for or against drivers’ licenses?* Kash Patel looks home and dry.* Tulsi’s looking shaky.* One of the best Bernie impression you’ve ever heard.* Is MAHA just the EU on sterioids?* A lesson on how to pronounce Demi M...
2025-02-021h 27
Podgecaste#14: Lyin' News, Lost Nuance, Late Night* Audio’s fixed. We promised and delivered.* The Trouble with Sam Harris.* Faz o Pix.* Lula’s Globo L (clip mentioned).* Nikolas Ferreira — President in twenty-thirty-something (clip mentioned).* Haddad goes full McCarthy (clip mentioned).* What is even the point of John Oliver?* Gregório Duvivier loves a chicken shop.* Fernanda Torres and the two Jimmys.* Say Nothing vs. I’m Still Here (culture vulture alert).* Why didn’t Joseph put the God-darn Tok Tik back on the interweb?* Polymar...
2025-01-201h 29
Podgecaste#13: New Year, New Us* Last episode with imperfect audio (we promise).* Musings on Civil War (the movie, not a prediction for 2025).* MAGA Civil War.* Elon vs. the groypers.* Tariff, it’s a beautiful word.* The tech bros and the master strategy.* Steve Bannon vs. the nerds.* Is Luigi Mangione the first centrist dad terrorist?* Make Spending Cuts Cool Again.* The biggest Brazilian internet stars of 2024.* Outlandish Brazpol predictions.* And much more! This is a public episode. If you wo...
2025-01-081h 35
Podgecaste#12: Christmas Special 2024Discussed:* Is the Brazilian economy so over or so back?* It’s another crisis, and of course, memes are to blame.* Does the dollar really matter?* 69% of Brazilians prefer democracy, but to what?* How Brazilians feel about the chance of another dictatorship.* Christmas boteco quiz (are you going to Balneário?).* Was 2024 tankavel?* Failed niche impressions.* Who said it?* We are Bluesky. We are The Resistance.* And much more! This is a public episode. If...
2024-12-261h 15
Podgecaste#11 - Panama LulaDiscussed:* Super stable and neurologically perfect.* Few men can save democracy, and they’re all in their 80s, apparently.* What’s going on with that Quaest poll?* Pedro Menezes (friend of the show) thinks the electorate will punish Bolsonaro. We’re not so sure.* Check out his livestream here.* We’ll never forget that meeting.* Braga Neto arrested. Where does Bolsonaro go from here?* Faria Lima’s not happy. Does it matter?* Milei vs. Big Papa government.* Is there a word mor...
2024-12-171h 07
Podgecaste#10: I'm Still Here - A ReviewDiscussed:* The vicious novela cycle.* Central do Brasil (trailer here).* Was Fernanda Montenegro robbed of the Oscar in ‘99?* Our best Brazilian film picks (Chris’s pick & Jack’s pick).* Ramblings on “I’m Still Here”. Spoiler: we’re (kinda) fans, but ehhhhhh.* Why can’t we have just a little more nuance?* Dictatorships are bad.* The amnesty—pros and cons.* Bolsonaro’s villain origin story. Correction below.** There was (allegedly) meant to be a coup. Why didn’t it happen?*Correct...
2024-12-101h 26
Podgecaste#09: Bolsonaro IndictedWhile Jack lounges on a beach (irresponsibly, by the way) on an undisclosed island off the Brazilian coast, Chris picks up the mic and shares some quick solo thoughts on Bolsonaro’s indictment and the Brazilian left’s reaction. Disclaimer: he’s not feeling particularly generous. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com
2024-11-2323 min
PodgecasteBÔNUS: "A Luta pelo Fim da Escala 6x1" com Luiz Franco (Margem de Erro)Em seu primeiro episódio em português, os Podgecaste boys falam com Luiz Franco—jornalista, Substacker e YouTuber da capital Fluminense. Sua publicação, Margem de Erro, começou como um canal de reportagens no YouTube durante as eleições de 2022, e ele atualmente publica no Substack e faz comentários em seu canal de YouTube.Luiz é especialista na conexão entre cibercultura e política e vem acompanhando figuras como Pablo Marçal, candidato na última eleição à prefeitura de São Paulo, e Rick Azevedo, cujo trabalho tem sido fundamental nas campanhas pelo fim da escala 6x1. Além...
2024-11-131h 19
Podgecaste#08: Going Out in a Blaze of CopeDiscussed:* Rory Stewart (no hard feelings, Rory).* Jack’s wild election night losing streak.* It’s ‘literally’ fascism, but you know, the world keeps turning.* Did hard work deliver results?* Trump and his three musketeers.* Will the Democrats ever learn?* Mandatory tallow fat is coming to a McDonald’s near you.* Brazil’s Prince Imperial dies.* Lula on Amanpour.* Bolsonaro wants to run, but will they let him?* Is there any hope of avoiding a 2020 repeat? Thi...
2024-11-111h 35
PodgecasteBONUS: US Election Live StreamAs the polls close, the Podgecaste boys share their initial thoughts. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com
2024-11-0646 min
Podgecaste#07: Why We're BrokeDiscussed:* Keir Starmer’s accent.* Our dwindling Polymarket portfolio.* Centrist dads sell out the O2.* Is Trump going to win bigly?* The grifter becomes the grifted.* Are billionaires elites?* Tim Walz is actually a blue man.* Brazilian election debrief.* Why Brazilian politics needs philosophers.* Bolsonaro’s looming eligibility.* Is Dark Ciro our only hope in 2026? This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonu...
2024-11-031h 18
Podgecaste#06: Are We Coping?Discussed:* Jack’s slipping grip on (political) reality.* Trump and the untapped demographics.* Does the election circus meaning anything at the end of the day?* Kamala loves the gavel.* Peak Obama-era cringe is back.* Predictions for Trump on Rogan.* Final predictions for the Brazilian mayoral elections.* Why does Boulos seem chill all of a sudden?* The shower ghost of the Palácio do Planalto.* Termite trouble.* BRICS hype. This is a public episode. If you...
2024-10-261h 09
Podgecaste#05: "50 Years in Brazil" (w/ Michael Royster)In their first interview, the Podgecaste boys talk to Michael Royster, a retired American lawyer, former Peace Corps volunteer, senior figure in the English-speaking community, and popular columnist who has lived in Brazil for half a century. Topics discussed:* Has Brazil reached peak semi-presidentialism?* The people who voted for the monarchy in ‘94.* Was Dilma really the victim of a coup?* Brazil’s “secret budget”.* What is a centrão, and why does it matter?* The pros and cons of a parliamentary system for Brazil.* The c...
2024-10-251h 02
Podgecaste#04: The Polymarket PredicamentDiscussed:* X’s finally back!* Brazil loves X and we (secretly) love it.* We know Felipe Neto hated Bluesky.* Can Polymarket swing an election?* This is all very exciting, but mind’s are probably made up.* How do you pronounce Tugendhat?* James Cleverly may not be so clever.* Kemi’s set to bring to it home. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com
2024-10-1239 min
PodgecasteBONUS: Brazilian Elections DebriefIn this bonus emergency episode, the Podgecaste boys dissect the results of the first round of voting in Brazil’s municipal elections. Were the boys’ predictions on the money? And what have we learnt? This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com
2024-10-0735 min
Podgecaste#03: Woeful Walz & Lula's Disapproving ApprovalDiscussed:* We don’t blame Walz. We also don’t remember where we were during Tiananmen Square.* Democrats want you to know that democracy is (yet again) on the ballot.* Tim Walz wants you to know he’s a knucklehead. Spoiler: we know.* Breaking: Donald Trump does not frequent Walmart.* Is JD Vance a Will Hunting at heart?* Boulos lines up to run the ball.* Lula keeps the attack dogs at bay. But for how long?* Can Brazil’s right ever unite again?* M...
2024-10-051h 15
Podgecaste#02: Lula's Going to Make It So, So Great Again* Kamala’s got a vibe.* Why are Democrats so bad at loving freedom?* Trump loves that guy in the sky.* Predictions for the VP showdown.* The weird thing is getting kind of weird.* Musk vs. Moraes: is there a winner?* The trials of Monark.* Is John Lennon’s Imagine a foreign policy manifesto?* Lula’s turning into the Donald.* Why is Boulos like this? This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscr...
2024-10-031h 04
Podgecaste#01: Big predictions and a chair joins the race in São Paulo.Discussed:* Jack’s big prediction for November.* Is Kamala getting voters out or keeping them at home?* JD Vance vs. Tim Walz: first impressions for the VP title bout.* Musings on Polymarket.* Obligatory updates on X in Brazil.* Who is Datena, and why is he throwing chairs?* The Pablo Marçal factor: is Brazil destined to fazer o M? This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.sub...
2024-10-011h 03
PodgecastePILOT: Debates, Dick Cheney & DeolaneIn their pilot episode, the Podgecaste boys share their thoughts on the first presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, as well as all things Brazil. Topics covered include:* The debate’s three losers.* That weird Dick Cheney shoutout.* Is X [insert obligatory reminder of what it used to be called] ever coming back to Brazil?* The flop that was 7 de setembro and Bolsonaro’s struggles in local politics.* What the hell is going on in São Paulo?* Is Tabata Amaral Brazil’s answer to JD Vanc...
2024-09-271h 10