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The Climatographers
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Climate Roulette
DOE Sets Out to Rebut the Scientific Consensus
As part of the Administration's efforts to rescind the EPA's 2009 Endangerment Finding relating to carbon dioxide emissions, the Department of Energy has just released a 151 page report attempting to undercut consensus climate science, authored by 5 prominent climate skeptics. This podcast reviews the report's basic findings, how scientists are reacting to the report, and the Climatographers' own interpretation of the report.
2025-08-01
15 min
Climate Roulette
Can the EPA Rescind the Endangerment Finding
The Trump administration wants to undo the 2009 Endangerment Finding from the EPA that set the stage for federal efforts to regulate greenhouse gases through fuel efficiency standards and other means. The legal basis for such a step is questionable at best, but with today's Supreme Court it's hard to predict what will happen. This episode provides a good look at the issues involved.
2025-07-31
17 min
Climate Roulette
Where the Business Climate Risk Conversation Stood in 2011
The first business climate risk textbook, written for the London School of Economics, was published in 2011. It was co-authored by the Climate Roulette podcast's producer Dr. Mark Trexler. It's main points and conclusions have stood the test of time remarkably well. It represented one of the earliest calls for companies to place more emphasis on their "policy footprint" than their "carbon footprint." It pointed out that the only way to really manage the business risks of climate change would be to mitigate climate change, and that that would require public policies. This extended episode provides an in-depth overview of tha...
2025-07-30
1h 02
Climate Roulette
Making the ICJ Climate Ruling Really Matter
This is our third Climate Roulette episode involving the recent ICJ Climate Ruling. This one specifically explores the challenges the Advisory ruling faces in really changing climate outcomes. We use the metaphor of Climate Chess, also discussed in prior episodes of the podcast, to explore strategies that would make the ICJ ruling more consequential.
2025-07-29
17 min
Climate Roulette
Are Global Forests Threatened by Fire?
According to a new paper fires are rapidly growing in importance as a source of so-called "forest disturbance" around the world. This isn't unexpected as climate change increases the length of fire seasons, creates dryer fuels, and creates more weather events conducive to fires. It's too early to say whether a "tipping point" has been reached, and the picture is complicated by how rapidly our ability to directly observe global forests is improving, but it's an element of the climate roulette picture that bears close watching.
2025-07-28
06 min
Climate Roulette
Is the Land-Based Carbon Sink Disappearing?
It's well known that the oceans and land-based ecosystems have historically absorbed about 50% of human emissions of CO2, with the other half remaining in the atmosphere. But scientists have worried that this natural uptake of CO2 might not last forever. This new paper suggests that as the world warms, land-based CO2 sinks might already be close to tipping, which would substantially accelerate the accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere.
2025-07-27
06 min
Climate Roulette
Will Adapting to Climate Change be More Successful?
There are lots of reasons we're failing to mitigate climate change at the scale scientists are calling for, and there's a lot of discussion of the need to focus more on adapting to the climate change that will occur. But will adaptation be more successful than mitigation, or do they both face the same kinds of barriers. This episode explores this very interesting and important question.
2025-07-25
21 min
Climate Roulette
Climate Extremes and Food Prices
Risk experts have been worried about the implications of climate change for food prices around the world for years. This episode reports on one of the first studies to try and empirically link specific climate events with specific food price spikes. No one study can be definitive, but it's an interesting exploration of not only the observed effect on food prices, but the impact of food prices on geopolitical stability.
2025-07-24
18 min
Climate Roulette
Individual Opinions from the ICJ Judges
Part 1 of this episode series focused on the unanimous ruling delivered by the large bench of ICJ judges. This Part 2 focuses on the supplemental opinions that almost all the judges also added to the record, in most cases wishing the court had been willing to go further than it did in specific areas of the ruling. Even though the unanimous ruling itself is only advisory, these supplemental opinions are likely to provide climate advocates with ideas of where to try and take climate change litigation in the future.
2025-07-23
19 min
Climate Roulette
The ICJ's Brand New Climate Ruling - Part 1
Climate advocates have been waiting for this ruling from the International Court of Justice for many months, and it largely delivers on what advocates were hoping for! This Part 1 of the podcast focuses on the main ICF ruling, which was unanimous. Part 2 focuses instead on a whole series of supplemental rulings and declarations from the very same judges, in many cases wishing the court had gone further in its decision.
2025-07-23
19 min
Climate Roulette
Can We Get to the Critical Minerals we Need
This episode explores Ernest Scheyder's 2024 book "The War Below - Lithium Copper and the Globl Battle to Power Our Lives," which in turn digs into how difficult it would be to try and access critical minerals in the United States given the opposition to new mines that would be inevitable.
2025-07-18
21 min
Climate Roulette
The Growing Challenge of Climate Migration
This episode digs into "On the Move - The Overheating Earth and the Uprooting of America." It's part of a larger conversation about the likelihood that a warming world will displace hundreds of millions if not billions of people. The secondary geopolitical and other implications are hard to get our heads around.
2025-07-17
20 min
Climate Roulette
Exploring Paul Gilding's "Great Disruption"
Paul Gilding wrote a great book in 2011 where he envisioned that by 2018 we'd hit a societal tipping point that would motivate dramatic efforts to tackle climate change. It may have been the first serious look at the ideas of an "inevitable policy response" and "positive tipping points." The book includes a detailed "1 Degree War Plan" that lays out what would be required to stop global warming in its tracks.
2025-07-16
18 min
Climate Roulette
A Big Picture Look at Under-Estimating Climate Risk
This podcast episode pulls together an entire collection of reports focused on the topic of under-estimated climate risk, going back to 1987. There will be other episodes going into detail on individual sources - this one provides a big picture overview which is why it's a longer episode.
2025-07-15
53 min
Climate Roulette
NotebookLM - A Great Resource for Climate Change
This episode explores how the Climatographers are using NotebookLM, which includes production of this Podcast series. But it does a lot of other things as well which anyone focused on climate change can take advantage of!
2025-07-14
21 min
Climate Roulette
Alex Epstein, Energy Humanism, and the "Big Beautiful Bill"
Alex Epstein is an "energy humanist" who believes that we need to burn more fossil fuels in order to improve the human condition. And he had a big impact in the discussions leading up to the signing of the "Big Beautiful Bill" that radically rolled back efforts to reduce U.S. GHG emissions. This episode explores his views and his influential role.
2025-07-11
15 min
Climate Roulette
The Next Frontier in Climate Engineering?
Geoengineering is a hot topic in climate circles. There are all kinds of such proposals in play, but now there is a completely new idea to contend with. Can we stop Antarctic glaciers from sliding into the sea and causing sea level rise? That's the question some scientists are now exploring, and we explore it in this episode of Climate Roulette.
2025-07-10
20 min
Climate Roulette
How Sensitive Is Global Temperature to GHG Emissions?
"Climate Sensitivity" is the most important "known unknown" when it comes to climate change. As greenhouse gas concentrations increase in the atmosphere, how will average global temperature respond? Scientists have been discussing this question for decades, but we just don't really know the answer.
2025-07-09
13 min
Climate Roulette
What Does "Abundance" Mean for Climate Change?
"Abundance" has been everywhere when it comes to podcasts and social media for the last couple of months. Particularly with respect to permitting reform, it's being characterized as key to climate progress. But what IS "abundance," and what does it really imply with respect to climate outcomes?
2025-07-08
21 min
Climate Roulette
Are Renewables Really Cheaper Than Fossil Fuels for Electricity Generation?
As is the case with so many things, it depends on how you ask the question, and what you mean by "cheaper?" The Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) is often used to compare the costs of different generation resources, and to show the renewables are in fact the cheapest generation resource. But it turns out that LCOE is pretty misleading when it comes to the bigger picture of what actually gets added to the grid.
2025-07-07
21 min
Climate Roulette
Tackle Climate Misinformation with "Skeptical Science"
Skeptical Science is an amazing resource for anticipating and responding to climate change misinformation. It individually covers more than 200 misinformation messages floating around the topic of climate change. This episode of Climate Roulette introduces you to the website and its potential.
2025-06-25
20 min
Climate Roulette
An In-Depth Look at E-Liability GHG Accounting
E-Liability is commonly promoted as an alternative to today's Scopes 1-3 GHG accounting frameworks. This episode goes deep into the topic, looking at its potential advantages as well as the challenges any such system would encounter. This "Deep Dive" episode complements our "E-Liability 101" Climate Roulette podcast released at the same time.
2025-06-24
28 min
Climate Roulette
Introduction to E-Liability GHG Accounting
E-Liability is a proposed alternative to today's greenhouse gas (GHG) carbon accounting based on Scopes 1-3 emissions. This episode of Climate Roulette introduces the topic of E-Liability for listeners not familiar with it. Another episode being released at the same time offers a much more detailed look at E-Liability for listeners wanting that additional detail.
2025-06-24
06 min
Climate Roulette
Is 3.5% of the Population Really All You Have to Activate?
3.5% has become famous as the fraction of the population that, if activated to protest, should lead to political change. But the actual meaning of the number is a lot less clear than that. In this Climate Roulette episode we explore the history of the number, and how it should be interpreted.
2025-06-23
22 min
Climate Roulette
It's Climate Stripes Day!
Climate Stripes Day profiles the idea of climate stripes that Professor Ed Hawkins pioneered in 2018. Stripes are all over the place today (at least in Europe - not so much in the United States). Learn more in this episode, and consider purchasing Climate Stripes merchandise to bring the Stripes to the U.S.!
2025-06-20
14 min
Climate Roulette
Where the Climate Risk Conversation Really Started in 1987
The topic of "climate roulette" dates back a long ways - almost 40 years. We've launched a podcast series looking at the evolution of climate risk discussions across some 18 reports, starting in 1987. This episode launches the series!
2025-06-20
13 min
Climate Roulette
Are Carbon Emissions a Cost or a Benefit?
A report written in 2014 makes the case that carbon emissions do not represent a net societal cost, but a net societal benefit. The report is not technically credible, but it is worth understanding the arguments being made, because they will continue to pop up as part of climate change misinformation campaigns, and as arguments in climate change litigation cases.
2025-06-19
12 min
Climate Roulette
The Big Carbon Offsets Challenge - Intangibility
There is a huge debate over carbon offsets as a climate change mitigation strategy, but relatively little discussion of the most important contribution to the challenge facing carbon offsets, namely their intangibility. This episode starts by discussing the challenge of counterfeit products generally, despite their tangibility, and then expands the conversation to carbon offsets as a totally intangible commodity.
2025-06-18
15 min
Climate Roulette
What's the Story of Tropical Deforestation?
You've no doubt heard of tropical deforestation, but did you know the perception of tropical deforestation as a global problem dates back almost 50 years? Probably not! This episode retraces the conversation, leading up to today's concerns about climate change tipping points resulting from hitting deforestation thresholds.
2025-06-17
31 min
Climate Roulette
Explore Your Climate Toolbox
YourClimateToolbox is the sponsor of the Climate Roulette podcast. In this episode we dig into the Toolbox, why it was created, what's in it, and how you can take advantage of it! The bottom line? It represents thousands of hours of curated climate knowledge with the goal of helping you find "your" actionable climate knowledge.
2025-06-16
18 min
Climate Roulette
The Climate in 2084
This second-edition of James Powell's pioneering book on climate fiction, or Cli-Fi, first published more than a decade ago, is an excellent way to explore what climate change will look like in 2084. But even more importantly, it's an introduction to the role of Cli-Fi in informing climate change conversations.
2025-06-15
16 min
Climate Roulette
Why is Climate Chess the Right Metaphor?
Climate change is a "wicked problem," and so it makes a lot of sense to think about the best strategies and tactics for tackling the problem. The Climatographers coined the idea of Climate Chess years ago, and are trying to popularize the idea. That's the focus of this episodie.
2025-06-14
21 min
Climate Roulette
Is Climate Change Accelerating?
This episode reports on a new study suggesting the change in average global temperature is accelerating substantially, and far beyond what was expected just a couple of decades ago. It raises big questions about what comes next!
2025-06-13
10 min
Climate Roulette
Special Release - This Week on LinkedIn June 12th
LinkedIn is a great source of climate insight. Our "weekly" Climate Change on LinkedIn Newsletter pulls together some of the best insight, and this podcast episode covers the same ground in more detail and in an audio format. It's a quick way to track some of what's being talked about!
2025-06-13
22 min
Climate Roulette
Can We "Just"" Focus on Climate Change?
Malcolm Harris' new book tackles the challenge "systemic incrementalism" when it comes to climate change. In other words, everyone talks about climate change as a systemic challenge, but then tends to focus in on just one aspect of the problem. Malcolm Harris' new books suggests this strategy is doomed to failure.
2025-06-12
16 min
Climate Roulette
A New Report on Extreme Heat
This episode reports on a new study analyzing extreme heat trends against an historic baseline. More frequent extreme heat events are being being recorded all over the world, even as the average global temperature increase remains at less than 1.5o C.
2025-06-11
11 min
Climate Roulette
Climate Update for May, 2025
A monthly episode of the Climate Roulette podcast, it summarizes what happened in May, 2025. Whether extreme events, climate litigation, climate policy developments, climate protests, and much more, it provides you with a quick synopsis. The document the podcast is drawn from is available at yourclimatetoolbox.com.
2025-06-10
24 min
Climate Roulette
This Week on LinkedIn
This episode complements our Climate Change on LinkedIn Newsletter, which points readers to some of LinkedIn's most notable climate content for the week. The episode reflects on about 25 LinkedIn posts and associated commentary, providing listeners with a broad-brush overview of what was being discussed this week.
2025-06-03
31 min
Climate Roulette
Voluntary Carbon Market Update
Ecosystem Marketplace puts out a great report every year full of statistics and trends having to do with the voluntary carbon market (VCM). In this episode we discuss the newly released report on VCM trends during 2024.
2025-06-02
19 min
Climate Roulette
A GHG Accounting Conversation Snapshot
Greenhouse gas (GHG) accounting is key to how investors, consumers, and even regulators understand companies' contributions to climate change, and the efforts companies are making to reduce those contributions. GHG accounting has been around for decades, but the pressure is building for major changes to how the accounting is done, and what claims companies can make with regard to their progress towards net zero. This podcast episode provides a rapid introduction to the world of GHG accounting, setting the stage for future podcast episodes that dig deeper into specific questions and proposals for change.
2025-06-01
21 min
Climate Roulette
The New Climate Legal Ruling Everyone is Talking About
A new court ruling out of Germany has the climate change litigation world excited, since the court accepted the idea that large greenhouse gas emitters could be held proportionally responsible for the climate change impacts of their emissions. That said, the court rejected making such a finding in this case. So what happens next for the idea of corporate liability for GHG emissions?
2025-06-01
11 min
Climate Roulette
Near-Term Climate Scenarios
The new NGFS short-term climate scenarios are a significant addition to the climate scenarios toolbox, and are potentially relevant to all kinds of business, financial, and investment decision-making. This episode introduces the scenarios, and pulls in the discussion on LinkedIn when the scenarios were published.
2025-06-01
18 min
Climate Roulette
A New Report Quantifies How Much Warmer the World Already Is
"Climate Change and the Escalation of Global Extreme Heat: Assessing and Addressing the Risks" is a product of Climate Central, the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, and the World Weather Attribution network. The report reviews heat around the world during the period May 2024 to May 2025, and assesses the impact of climate change on the number of extreme heat days. You can access the report and a written summary of the report here: https://bra.in/9q5MrK
2025-05-30
11 min
The Eco Well podcast
What's wrong with corporate sustainability? With Mark Trexler PhD
This week's episode goes on a deep dive into corporate sustainability - specifically, why isn’t it working? Over the last few decades, we’ve seen lots of new reporting requirements for companies. On the flip side, during that same time frame where sustainability has become fashionable, things have gotten, for the most part, worse. This episode features Dr. Mark Trexler from Climatographers on where have we gone wrong? And what can we do about it? Interested in supporting the podcast? Please share, subscribe and write a review! If it's accessible, we also have a Patreon which you c...
2024-11-12
37 min
Climate Roulette
Climate Roulette Podcast Trailer
A quick introduction to what the Climate Roulette Podcast will cover, how it will be delivered, and its co-hosts! The podcast is edited and fact-checked by the Climatographers' Dr. Mark Trexler, who has more than 35 years of climate risk assessment and management experience.
2024-10-19
04 min
Zero: The Climate Race
There are now 800 carbon removal startups. How many is too many?
Tackling climate change now requires not just reducing planet-warming emissions to zero, but also finding a way to draw down existing carbon dioxide from the air. Over the past few years, tech companies have taken the lead to seed hundreds of startups that want to sell carbon removal credits and help companies meet climate goals. But the failure of a major startup, Running Tide, has raised questions about the long-term viability of the market. This week on Zero, we hear from Nan Ransohoff, head of climate at Stripe, and pioneer of the carbon-removal market. Explore further:...
2024-07-02
31 min
The Eco Well podcast
Sustainability Challenges & Opportunities for the Cosmetics Sector, Roundtable.
This episode featured the closing panel for our Sustainable Beauty E-Summit that happened back in January on Sustainability Challenges and Opportunities for the Cosmetics Sector. We came at the topic of sustainability challenges and opportunities from a wide scope of expertise. Featuring Akemi Ooka, Ph.D., Head of Global Supply Chain and Sustainability Resources at the Independent Beauty Association, Mike Fevola, Ph.D., Vice President of R&D at Inolex, and Mark Trexler, Ph.D., director at The Climatographers. Enjoy! Interested in supporting the podcast? Find us on Patreon at www.patreon.com/theecowell
2023-04-12
1h 08
The Eco Well podcast
Corporate Sustainability - is it actually helping? Feat Dr. Mark Trexler
This week, we covered the topic of corporate sustainability management and reporting through the lens of… is this actually going to help combat climate change? From measuring greenhouse gases to carbon offsetting, is current corporate sustainability and policy pointing us in the right direction? Or is there potential for it to do more harm than good? Joining me for this conversation is Dr. Mark Trexler from The Climatographers. Enjoy! Interested in supporting the podcast? Please subscribe and write a review. If it's accessible, we also have a Patreon page. Find us at www.patreon.com/theecowell. Massive th...
2023-04-04
51 min
Zero: The Climate Race
How did a good idea go so wrong? Carbon offsets with Mark Trexler
Carbon offsets are everywhere – a $2 billion dollar industry that’s set to grow even more as the US is even incorporating them in its effort to fulfill international climate pledges. Yet in the thirty years since they were created, they have not been proven to work. How did such a good idea go wrong and why is it so sticky? In this episode of Zero, Akshat talks to Mark Trexler of The Climatographers, who helped build the first carbon offset program in 1988, about what went wrong with offsets and if there’s any way to fix them. Read mo...
2022-12-01
34 min
Climate Now
What's Wrong with Carbon Offsets? with Mark Trexler and Derik Broekhoff
As the climate crisis worsens, more and more companies are committing to go "net-zero". Most of these commitments include the purchase of carbon offsets or investment in negative emissions projects, designed to offset the emissions resulting from companies' operations.The carbon offset market is in high demand due to this surge of net-zero pledges, but does the market actually work? How can companies be sure their dollars are removing carbon that otherwise wouldn't be removed from the atmosphere? And what are the risks of a market that doesn't uphold its promise of truly offsetting emissions?...
2021-07-30
35 min
The Biofriendly Podcast
Are Carbon Offsets Actually Helpful? with Dr. Mark Trexler
When it comes to tackling the challenges of climate change we often need a new perspective so that's why this week we welcomed Dr. Mark Trexler from The Climatographers to The Biofriendly Podcast. Mark shares a new way of thinking that could bring about more collective action, how carbon offsets were first created, and how is this all like a pregnancy test?
2021-07-23
47 min