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Geopolitics - Global Briefing
How Protectionism is Reshaping Global Trade in 2025 - Special Episode 49
Rise of tariffs and quotasSubsidies and industrial policyNon-tariff barriersNational security concernsImpacts on global supply chains
2025-05-25
39 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Hybrid Warfare: What Is It and How Will It Evolve? - Special Episode 48
Blurred lines of war and peaceMulti-domain operations (military, cyber, information)Cognitive and disinformation campaignsProxy actors & plausible deniabilityEmerging technologies: AI, drones
2025-05-16
30 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
BRICS: Expansion and the Dollar Challenge - Special Episode 47
• Historic BRICS membership growth• De-dollarization: national currencies & BRICS Pay• New Development Bank & Contingent Reserve Arrangement• Geopolitical implications & US dollar challenge• Brazil’s 2025 presidency priorities
2025-05-15
35 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
The Role of AI in Asymmetric Threats and Military Modernization - Special Episode 46
AI’s impact on asymmetric threatsAI in command & decision supportAutonomous drone swarm technologiesAI-driven cyber & disinformation warfareEthical, legal & governance challenges
2025-05-14
28 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
The Istanbul Talks: Russia-Ukraine Scenarios - Special Episode 45
Diplomatic ceasefire push versus Russia’s counterofferEchoes of 2022 Istanbul negotiationsCeasefire precondition disputeMotivations of key actors: Ukraine, Russia, Turkey, US/EUPossible scenarios: collapse, performative dialogue, limited de-escalation
2025-05-12
17 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Putin-Xi Summit - Special Episode 44
80th WWII Victory AnniversaryComprehensive Strategic PartnershipGlobal Strategic StabilityEconomic & Energy CooperationSpace & Technological Initiatives
2025-05-09
10 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
May 9, 2025 - Global Briefing - Geopolitical News - Episode 43
Indo-Pak hostilities spike with airstrikes and drone assaultsPutin-Xi summit in Moscow amid Ukraine ceasefire breachesElection of Pope Leo XIV marks first North American pontificateIsraeli-Yemeni strikes challenge US-Houthi ceasefire in Red SeaNorth Korea simulates nuclear counterstrike drills
2025-05-09
12 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
The Rise of the United Arab Emirates - History and Geopolitics - Special Episode 42
Early human settlement and archaeological heritageAncient maritime trade networks linking the Gulf to Mesopotamia, the Indus Valley, and East AfricaArrival of Islam and integration into the Umayyad/Abbasid CaliphatesEuropean incursions: Portuguese, Dutch, and British competition for Gulf tradeEmergence of local tribal confederations (Qawasim, Bani Yas) and sheikhly ruleThe “Pirate Coast” narrative and British maritime treaties (1820–1853)British “Exclusive Agreements” and the development of the Trucial States protectoratePre-oil economy: pearling industry, fishing, date cultivation, nomadic pastoralism, and debt-based labor syst...
2025-05-06
33 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Fintech and the New World Order - Special Episode 41
Historical evolution of fintech: Fintech 1.0 foundations; Fintech 2.0 bank-led digital shift; Fintech 3.0 startup disruption; Fintech 3.5 globalization AI and Machine Learning applications in personalization, risk scoring, fraud detection, algorithmic trading, and operational efficiency Blockchain and Distributed Ledger Technology: cryptocurrencies & digital assets; DeFi; smart contracts; cross-border payments; secure record-keeping Cloud computing infrastructure: cost reduction, scalability, rapid deployment, real-time processing Big data & analytics: customer insights, market trends, risk assessment, open finance/data sharing APIs and Banking-as-a-Service: open banking, embedded finance, platform integration IoT & Biometrics: connected devices for insurtech...
2025-05-06
27 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Darkstar Rising? The Quest for the SR-72 and the Future of Hypersonic Flight - Special Episode 40
SR-72 Development & TimelineThe Blackbird legacy into the SR-72 concept, from the 2013 public unveiling through projected demonstrator flights in 2025–2027 and anticipated service entry in the 2030s .Turbine-Based Combined Cycle PropulsionTBCC engine architecture integrating turbine, ramjet, and scramjet modes—arguably the highest-risk technical hurdle for sustained Mach 6 flight .Materials & Thermal Management ChallengesRequirements for exotic high-temperature materials (e.g., ceramic-matrix composites, carbon-carbon) and advanced embedded cooling systems to survive extreme aerodynamic heating .Strategic Hypersonic Reconnaissance & StrikeThe SR-72’s dual role—penetrating contested airspace for ISR and enabling prompt g...
2025-05-05
16 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
May 5, 2025 - Global Briefing - Geopolitical News - Episode 39
The War in Ukraine: Diplomatic Overtures Amidst Continued Hostilities Ceasefire Diplomacy: Proposals and Rejections (May 4–5, 2025) Sino‑Russian Alignment: Xi Jinping’s Planned Moscow Visit (May 4, 2025) Western Military Assistance and Strategy (May 4–5, 2025) Battlefield Developments: Drones and Border Clashes (May 4–5, 2025) US Policy Shifts and Global Repercussions Trade Tensions: The US–China Tariff Standoff (May 4–5, 2025) Economic Fallout: Tariff Impact on Industries (Early May 2025 Context) Iran Nuclear Dialogue: Stalled Talks, Rising Tensions (May 3–5, 2025) US Immigration Policy and Judicial Hurdles (May 1–5, 2025) Australian Election: Labor Secure...
2025-05-05
22 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
The Age of Techno-Nationalism: How the Global Race for Tech Supremacy is Reshaping the World - Special Episode 38
The New Tech Geopolitics: how technology has become a central arena for 21st-century national competition and state powerHistory and Evolution of Techno-Nationalism: tracing its roots from mercantilism and Meiji Japan to the Fourth Industrial RevolutionNationalism vs. Globalism in Technology: the spectrum from techno-globalist cooperation to new and neo-techno-nationalist strategiesUS-China Rivalry: the strategic contest driving techno-nationalist policies on both sidesNational Security and Economic Drivers: linking tech self-sufficiency to military advantage and prosperityCritical Technologies: focus areas like semiconductors, AI, quantum computing, biotech, and next-gen communications
2025-05-04
59 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Canada, What Now? - Special Episode 37
Introduction: The political landscape of Canada leading up to the 2025 election, highlighting key stakes and public sentiment.Campaign Transformation: The shift from traditional domestic policy debates to a bold sovereignty referendum becoming the central issue.Election Night Verdict: The election outcome, and how the Liberal Party retained power amid a turbulent campaign.Liberal Comeback: Factors behind the Liberal resurgence, including the “Trump Effect” and Governor General Carney’s leadership appeal.Conservative Gains: Significant inroads made by the Conservative Party in seats and vote share.Opposition Collapse: The NDP’s dramatic...
2025-05-03
25 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Singapore at Sixty - Special Episode 36
As Singapore approaches its 60th anniversary, it confronts a “fraying” international order driven by US–China rivalry, prompting a pragmatic “many-friends” foreign policy, deepening ASEAN centrality, and active bilateral partnerships to safeguard strategic autonomy . Domestically, Prime Minister Lawrence Wong’s smooth succession and the Forward Singapore consultations aim to refresh the social compact ahead of GE2025, fostering inclusiveness and shared responsibility . Economically, Budget 2025 balances near-term support—via vouchers, rebates, and wage schemes—with long-term investments in AI, R&D, green infrastructure, and SkillsFuture under Smart Nation 2.0 . On the social front, rising living costs, housing affordability strains, demographic headwinds, and immigration pres...
2025-05-03
27 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
May 3, 2025 - Global Briefing - Geopolitical News - Episode 35
US–Iran Nuclear Negotiations DelayedRubio Becomes Interim National Security AdvisorUS Engagement in India–Pakistan De-escalationUS–Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund LaunchedCongo–Rwanda Peace Accord and Mineral Investment PushIsrael Strikes Near Damascus Presidential PalaceRussia–North Korea Strategic Border Bridge Construction BeginsGaza-Bound Aid Ship Attacked by Drones off MaltaSingapore’s General Election Tests New PM’s MandateAustralia’s Federal Election Focused on Economic ConcernsGoa Temple Stampede Causes Multiple FatalitiesMay Day Protests Across US Cit...
2025-05-03
23 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
The Non-State Actors Are the New Sovereigns: How Tech, Finance, and Code Reshape Global Power - Special Episode 34
The emergence of non-state actors as new sovereigns, wielding influence comparable to or surpassing that of nation-states.The vast economic scale and market capitalisation of leading technology firms, often exceeding the GDP of many countries.The dominance of tech giants over critical digital infrastructure, including cloud computing (AWS, Azure, GCP) and mobile operating systems (Android, iOS).The strategic power derived from the relentless collection and analysis of data by tech companies, fuelling AI development and providing unparalleled insights.The invisible but profound influence of software that underpins global business operations and critical infrastructure, and the control maintained...
2025-05-03
21 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
What is Happening in Syria? - Special Episode 33
The dramatic collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in December 2024.The lightning offensive led by Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and allies culminating in the fall of Damascus.The rise and dominance of HTS within the new political structures.The formal appointment of HTS leader Ahmed al-Sharaa as interim president.The establishment of the 23-member transitional government in March 2025.The composition of the new cabinet, including HTS loyalists controlling strategic ministries and inclusion of technocrats and former regime figures.The promulgation of the new Constitutional Declaration on March 13, 2025, as an interim constitution.The establishment of a highly centralized pr...
2025-05-02
21 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
What is Happening at the Russia-Finland Border? - Special Episode 32
The transformation of the Russia-Finland border from regulated interaction to a heavily secured frontier.Finland's closure of land border crossings.The unprecedented surge in asylum seekers from third countries arriving via Russia as the trigger for border closures.Finland's accusation that Russia deliberately orchestrated or facilitated the migration flows as a hybrid tactic, specifically "instrumentalized migration".The enactment and proposed extension of the Border Security Act, which allows restricting asylum applications under specific conditions related to national security.Concerns and criticisms regarding the Border Security Act and its potential conflict with international obligations.Physical border enhancements, including...
2025-05-02
10 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
May 2, 2025 - Global Briefing - Geopolitical News - Episode 31
US and Ukraine Finalize Strategic Minerals AgreementIndia Suspends Indus Waters Treaty, Escalating Tensions with PakistanRussia and North Korea Launch Construction of Strategic Border BridgeUS Issues Stern Warning to Iran Over Houthi Support Amid Yemen StrikesLiberal Minority Government Takes Shape in Canada Following ElectionGlobal Economy Navigates Inflation and Interest Rate DecisionsNatural Disasters Update: Myanmar Quake RecoverySri Lanka Engages with EU on Trade Status, Implements Fuel Price CutsEU Pushes Forward with Clean Industrial Deal StrategyUS-China Dynamics: Tariff Adjustments and Ongoing Diplomatic ManeuversGeopolitical Competition Intensifies in the Pacific Islands Region
2025-05-02
21 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Forged in Ruins, Aiming for Unity: The Experiment of the European Union - Special Episode 30
-Emerging from the devastation of World War II, the European project aimed to secure lasting peace and rebuild the continent by fundamentally changing the relations between nations. -The pivotal 1950 Schuman Declaration proposed placing Franco-German coal and steel production under a joint High Authority, making war between the historical rivals "materially impossible". -This initiative led six founding nations—France, West Germany, Italy, Belgium, the Netherlands, and Luxembourg—to sign the Treaty of Paris in 1951, establishing the European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC). -The ECSC pioneered supranational institutions, including a High Authority and a Court of Justice, to manage...
2025-05-01
26 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
May 1, 2025 - Global Briefing - Geopolitical News - Episode 29
US Economic Policy Shifts (Tariffs) and Global RepercussionsUS-Ukraine Strategic Minerals and Investment AgreementSecurity and Conflict Dynamics Across Regions:Middle East Tensions (Yemen, Syria, Iran-Israel)Conflict and Security in Other Regions (Colombia, Puntland-Somaliland)Diplomacy and Shifting International Alignments:Asia-Pacific Dynamics (China/Taiwan/Somalia, NZ-Philippines, China Space Program, Bank of Japan)Global Governance and Cooperation Efforts (UN Financing for Development, G20 Energy Transitions)Other Major International Events:Wildfires in Israel and West BankVietnam War 50th Anniversary Commemoration
2025-05-01
13 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Behind Locked Doors: A History of the Papal Conclave - Special Episode 28
The papal conclave originated as a sequestered assembly of cardinals behind locked doors to elect the Bishop of Rome, evolving from turbulent early Church elections influenced by secular powers to a formalized ritual steeped in centuries of rules and tradition.Significant reforms, notably the 1059 decree by Nicholas II, the Third Lateran Council of 1179’s two-thirds majority rule, and Gregory X’s 1274 bull Ubi periculum, progressively shaped the conclave into a solemn, secretive process intended to ensure autonomy, consensus, and speed.Periods of schism, political interference, and corruption—from the 14th-century Avignon papacy and the Great Western...
2025-04-30
16 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
From Infant Empire to Global Hegemon: A Very Brief Geopolitical History of the United States - Special Episode 27
The United States emerged from its fight for independence by leveraging European rivalries and embarked on continental expansion driven by Manifest Destiny, a process that eventually intensified internal conflict leading to the Civil War.Following the Civil War, rapid industrialization propelled the nation onto the world stage, fueled by naval expansionist theories and resulting in overseas territories, the Panama Canal, and interventionist policies in Latin America and Asia. The 20th century saw the US definitively abandon isolationism through its critical involvement in two World Wars, its leadership in establishing the post-WWII international system, and its...
2025-04-29
23 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Geopolitics in 2035: Contestation and Transformation - Special Episode 26
Based on expert surveys and authoritative foresight studies, this episode analyzes the likely geopolitical landscape around 2035.It details a world shifting towards contested multipolarity, primarily defined by intensifying US-China competition, a weakened but disruptive Russia, and significantly elevated risks of major power conflict and nuclear proliferation.Key trends include the rewiring of global trade and technology development along geopolitical lines (geoeconomics), the growing influence of middle powers, and profound challenges from climate change, societal divisions amplified by misinformation, and strained global governance.Ultimately, the analysis anticipates a more fragmented and volatile global environment...
2025-04-29
22 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Poland’s Path to Europe’s Leading Military Land Force by the 2030s - Special Episode 25
•Poland's response to the altered geopolitical landscape following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, including its perception of threat and determination to enhance its defence capabilities.•The scale and sustainability of Poland's increased defence spending, including the mechanisms like the Armed Forces Support Fund (FWSZ) and the political and public support for this expenditure.•The ambitious military modernisation program across the land, air, sea, and cyber domains, detailing major procurements and their objectives.•Poland's goals for personnel expansion of its armed forces, including the development of a reserve system and the challenges associated with recruitment and trai...
2025-04-28
36 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
The History and Current Status of India and Pakistan’s Nuclear Arsenals - Special Episode 24
-The historical roots of the India-Pakistan nuclear rivalry following the partition of British India.-The evolution of India's nuclear program, from its early vision to its overt testing in 1998.-The origins and progression of Pakistan's nuclear program, including its reliance on procurement and external aid.-An assessment of the current nuclear arsenals of India and Pakistan in terms of warhead estimates and fissile material production.-The diverse delivery systems for nuclear weapons in India, encompassing land, air, and sea-based capabilities.-The various nuclear weapon delivery systems in Pakistan, including land and air-launched options and...
2025-04-27
24 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Oceania: Geopolitics and Military Security - Special Episode 23
Oceania is now a region of heightened military focus due to intensifying geopolitical competition, primarily between the US and China.In response, Australia has adopted a "Strategy of Denial" underpinned by the AUKUS alliance and is significantly increasing defence spending to enhance its maritime and long-range strike capabilities.Simultaneously, New Zealand is also undertaking a substantial defence modernisation to enhance its combat capabilities and interoperability, particularly with Australia, aiming towards a more integrated 'Anzac' force.
2025-04-27
28 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Japan's Recent Diplomatic Push in Asia - Special Episode 22
In April 2025, against a backdrop of US-China tensions, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba is pursuing proactive diplomacy, strengthening ties with Vietnam through a high-level visit and focusing on economic, security, and future-oriented cooperation.Simultaneously, Japan aimed to manage its relationship with China through continued dialogue while addressing persistent frictions like trade restrictions and security concerns.Japan also consistently emphasized the importance of peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait through multilateral platforms, aligning with its FOIP strategy and the US alliance
2025-04-27
17 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
China's Overseas Military Footprint: Strategic Bases and Global Reach - Special Episode 21
China is expanding its global military reach beyond its traditional territorial focus through a network of overseas military bases, dual-use facilities, intelligence outposts, and strategic access agreements.This expansion is driven by the need to protect China's growing global economic interests, enhance its power projection capabilities, and challenge US dominance.Beijing often employs strategic ambiguity, leveraging commercial infrastructure and engaging in incremental expansion, which has generated significant concern and scrutiny from the United States and its allies.
2025-04-27
26 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
April 26, 2025 - Global Briefing - Geopolitical News - Episode 20
The international landscape was marked by a dangerous escalation between India and Pakistan following a deadly attack in Kashmir, leading to treaty suspensions and military clashes along the LoC.The Russia-Ukraine conflict continued with intense fighting and the assassination of a high-ranking Russian general near Moscow, amidst complex diplomatic efforts and divergent views on peace proposals.In Gaza, a severe humanitarian crisis unfolded as food stocks were depleted due to an Israeli blockade, alongside continued military operations and uncertain ceasefire prospects.These major crises occurred against a backdrop of strained US-China relations, transatlantic...
2025-04-26
13 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Between Grief and Geopolitics: Global Diplomacy at Pope Francis's Funeral - Special Episode 19
The funeral of Pope Francis in April 2025 served as a significant global gathering, uniting tens of thousands of mourners with a remarkable convergence of world leaders, transforming Vatican City into a hub for international diplomacy.This unique event, drawing parallels with Pope John Paul II's funeral in 2005, saw numerous heads of state, government officials, and monarchs in attendance, leading to various diplomatic exchanges, both formal and informal, such as greetings involving Taiwan's representative and the late arrivals of several key leaders.This convergence underscored the global influence of the Papacy and provided a snapshot of the geopolitical...
2025-04-26
13 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
The Vatican State: A Geopolitical History from the late 19th to the 21st Century - Special Episode 18
The Holy See, governing Vatican City, is a unique entity with global spiritual influence that has navigated significant geopolitical transformations from the loss of the Papal States through the 20th and 21st centuries, always prioritising its universal mission.The Holy See's diplomatic strategies shifted over time, from the "Prisoner in the Vatican" era and the Lateran Pacts, through neutrality during the World Wars and engagement during the Cold War, to its current focus on human rights, interfaith dialogue, and global issues.Despite lacking conventional power, the Holy See exerts considerable soft power through its extensive diplomatic network...
2025-04-26
40 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Who Will Succeed Pope Francis? - Special Episode 17
Following the death of Pope Francis, the cardinals of the Catholic Church are gathering for a conclave to elect his successor, a momentous decision that will shape the future direction of the Church.Pope Francis appointed the vast majority of the current cardinal electors, creating an unprecedented geographical diversity that could lead to complex voting dynamics and an unpredictable outcome.Despite the many potential candidates with varying strengths, weaknesses, and theological leanings, the conclave's decision will ultimately hinge on whether the cardinals seek continuity with Francis's reforms or a shift in direction.
2025-04-26
23 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
From Crisis Response to Inflation Fight: The World of Unconventional Monetary Policy - Special Episode 16
In this episode we describe how central banks transitioned from using conventional interest rate adjustments to unconventional monetary policies like Quantitative Easing (QE) following the 2008 Global Financial Crisis when interest rates hit the zero lower bound.QE aimed to stabilise markets and stimulate economies by lowering long-term interest rates, but its decade-long use brought mixed results, including concerns about asset price inflation and financial stability.The post-pandemic surge in inflation, a very different challenge from the deflationary fears after 2008, compelled central banks to reverse course by aggressively raising interest rates and initiating Quantitative Tightening (QT...
2025-04-25
17 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
April 25, 2025 - Global Briefing - Geopolitical News - Episode 15
In the 24 hours leading up to April 25, 2025, the world witnessed a dangerous escalation of tensions between India and Pakistan following a terrorist attack, alongside a continuing stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine war despite faltering peace efforts.The global economy faced increasing strain due to intensifying US-led trade wars, while the Gaza conflict persisted with a severe humanitarian crisis and emerging public divisions within Palestinian leadership.Furthermore, the United States moved forward with significant immigration policy changes, including the termination of the CHNV parole program, aligning with a broader strategy of stricter border control and reduced immigration.
2025-04-25
11 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Fault Lines and Flood Tides: How Natural Catastrophes Have Reshaped Geopolitics Through History - Special Episode 14
Natural catastrophes throughout history have acted as significant forces in reshaping global politics. These events, including earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, floods, cyclones, and droughts, have triggered political instability, economic disruption, social upheaval, and shifts in international relations, as evidenced by the Lisbon earthquake, the Bhola cyclone, and prolonged droughts affecting ancient civilisations and modern Syria. Ultimately, the geopolitical impact of disasters is heavily influenced by societal vulnerabilities and the effectiveness of human responses, highlighting the potential for international cooperation or the exacerbation of existing tensions
2025-04-25
11 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
US Military 2050: Technological Transformation - Special Episode 13
The US military is planning a fundamental transformation by 2050, driven by technological advancements and the resurgence of peer competition, primarily from China and Russia, necessitating a departure from past assumptions of dominance. This transformation envisions a force deeply integrated with advanced technologies like AI and autonomy, operating under new all-domain concepts such as JADC2 and MDO, and featuring a hybrid mix of manned and unmanned platforms across air, space, land, sea, and cyber domains. However, this ambitious modernisation faces significant challenges related to affordability, industrial capacity, and the complexities of joint integration and institutional adaptation.
2025-04-24
33 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
A Very Brief History of the United States Military Force - Special Episode 12
The United States Military Force originated with the Continental Army during the Revolutionary War and has undergone continuous evolution driven by the nation's changing needs, global conflicts, and technological innovation.Significant wars, such as the Civil War and the World Wars, have profoundly shaped its organisation, tactics, and technology, leading to a shift from muskets and sailing ships to modern firearms and naval vessels.This evolution has been coupled with the development of strategic thought and a changing role in shaping both domestic and foreign policy.The US military's history reflects a constant...
2025-04-24
28 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
South America’s Global Power Struggle - Special Episode 11
South America has re-emerged as a key arena for geopolitical competition between the United States, China, Russia, and the European Union, each deploying distinct strategies to pursue their economic, political, and strategic interests. These global powers are vying for influence through economic engagement, security cooperation, diplomatic efforts, and information campaigns. This intense competition presents South American nations with opportunities for diversified partnerships and investment but also carries risks of economic dependency and geopolitical entanglement, as they strive for autonomy in a shifting global order.
2025-04-24
30 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Gold, a Geopolitical Tool Through History - Special Episode 10
Throughout history, gold has served as a crucial geopolitical tool, financing empires and stabilising currencies, and its intrinsic qualities have made it a symbol of wealth and permanence.In the modern era, despite the shift to fiat currencies, central banks are strategically accumulating gold as a safe-haven asset, a means of diversification, and a hedge against geopolitical risks and the dominance of the US dollar.Gold's future trajectory is influenced by geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and the strategic decisions of central banks, suggesting its importance in the 21st century.
2025-04-23
18 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Russia's Strategy in the Sahel: Beyond Wagner - Special Episode 9
Russia's multifaceted strategy in the Sahel represents a significant geopolitical shift, moving beyond the actions of PMCs to establish a deep and enduring sphere of influence. By capitalising on local grievances, security needs, and the withdrawal of Western powers, Russia has successfully realigned partnerships in the region. While the long-term sustainability and broader consequences of this engagement remain to be seen, it underscores the need for a comprehensive understanding of the diverse tools and objectives underpinning Russia's approach, as well as the local dynamics that enable its influence.
2025-04-22
26 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
The Nile Water Wars: Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan at Odds - Special Episode 8
The Nile River is now the stage for a complex and potentially volatile transboundary water dispute centered on the GERD. The conflict is a culmination of historical grievances, Ethiopia's drive for development, and Sudan's precarious position. A decade of negotiations has failed, leaving a legacy of mistrust and deadlock. Ethiopia has proceeded unilaterally, while Egypt voices dire warnings. The situation is complicated by the Sudanese civil war and climate change.The critical challenge has shifted from preventing the dam to managing its operation. A cooperative framework is now essential to maximize benefits and mitigate risks for all...
2025-04-22
18 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
The Geopolitical Legacy of Pope Francis - Special Episode 7
Pope Francis's pontificate profoundly altered the Catholic Church's engagement with the world, marked by a focus on the marginalised and a proactive approach to global challenges. While achieving notable successes, his methods also generated significant debate and internal tensions. His legacy will shape the priorities of his successor and the future role of the papacy in a complex global landscape. The next conclave's decision will be pivotal in determining the direction of the Church's influence on international affairs.
2025-04-21
24 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
The Competition of Global Powers in Africa - Special Episode 6
Africa has transitioned from a peripheral backwater to a strategic arena where its demographic heft, economic potential (e.g., AfCFTA), and unified UN voting bloc attract intense, multipolar competition. Major players—the United States, China, and Russia—alongside European powers and rising actors like India, Turkey, the UAE, and Japan, each deploy distinct economic, security, and soft‑power strategies that bring both infrastructure investments and risks such as debt distress or conflict exploitation. African governments, regional bodies (AU, RECs), and citizens counterbalance these pressures by diversifying partnerships, advocating non‑alignment, and pushing for democratic accountability, even as they grapple with gov...
2025-04-20
20 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
US-Iran Nuclear Talks - Special Episode 5
The situation surrounding Iran's nuclear programme remains complex and sensitive. While diplomatic engagement between the US and Iran has intensified and shown initial progress, significant challenges and concerns persist regarding Iran's technological advancements and compliance with international obligations. The international community, particularly Israel and the E3, remains vigilant, and the potential for escalation, including military action, cannot be entirely discounted.
2025-04-19
12 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Episode 4 - Global Briefing Afternoon Edition April 19, 2025
Geopolitical Developments April 19, 2025
2025-04-19
15 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Special Episode 3 - Nuclear War, The Unthinkable Moment
This episode describes the catastrophic effects immediately following a nuclear war, detailing how modern nuclear weapons would cause unprecedented destruction through blast waves, intense heat, and lethal radiation. It highlights the breakdown of critical infrastructure—such as power grids, communications, transportation, and medical systems—and explains how massive fires could generate firestorms, drastically altering the atmosphere and weather patterns. Finally, it emphasizes the devastating human toll, including millions of immediate casualties, acute radiation sickness among survivors, and societal collapse, leaving survivors struggling with minimal resources and no external assistance.
2025-04-19
22 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Special Episode 2: Antarctica
Antarctica’s governance under the Antarctic Treaty System has preserved peace, demilitarization, and international scientific cooperation by freezing sovereignty claims and banning military activity and mineral exploitation since 1961. However, accelerating climate change, growing pressures for resource access (from minerals to bioprospecting), and rising strategic competition—particularly from China and Russia—threaten to strain the treaty’s consensus‐based model and could prompt a reevaluation of its mining ban and enforcement mechanisms around the 2048 review.
2025-04-19
14 min
Geopolitics - Global Briefing
Episode 1 - Global Briefing - April 19, 2025
Geopolitical Developments April 19, 2025
2025-04-19
16 min