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Signals-and-threads@janestreet.com (Jane Street)
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2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo
Podcast: Dwarkesh Podcast (LS 54 · TOP 0.5% what is this?)Episode: 2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel KokotajloPub date: 2025-04-03Get Podcast Transcript →powered by Listen411 - fast audio-to-text and summarizationScott and Daniel break down every month from now until the 2027 intelligence explosion.Scott Alexander is author of the highly influential blogs Slate Star Codex and Astral Codex Ten. Daniel Kokotajlo resigned from OpenAI in 2024, rejecting a non-disparagement clause and risking millions in equity to speak out about AI safety.We discuss misaligned hive minds...
2025-04-14
3h 04
Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo
Scott and Daniel break down every month from now until the 2027 intelligence explosion.Scott Alexander is author of the highly influential blogs Slate Star Codex and Astral Codex Ten. Daniel Kokotajlo resigned from OpenAI in 2024, rejecting a non-disparagement clause and risking millions in equity to speak out about AI safety.We discuss misaligned hive minds, Xi and Trump waking up, and automated Ilyas researching AI progress.I came in skeptical, but I learned a tremendous amount by bouncing my objections off of them. I highly recommend checking out their new scenario planning document...
2025-04-03
3h 04
Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo
Scott and Daniel break down every month from now until the 2027 intelligence explosion.Scott Alexander is author of the highly influential blogs Slate Star Codex and Astral Codex Ten. Daniel Kokotajlo resigned from OpenAI in 2024, rejecting a non-disparagement clause and risking millions in equity to speak out about AI safety.We discuss misaligned hive minds, Xi and Trump waking up, and automated Ilyas researching AI progress.I came in skeptical, but I learned a tremendous amount by bouncing my objections off of them. I highly recommend checking out their new scenario planning document, AI 2027Watch on Youtube; listen on Apple...
2025-04-03
3h 04
Hacker News Highlights
Jan 31, 2025 | JavaScript Temporal introduction, 2024 Pokemon playtest cards, AI and human intelligence relationship
This is a recap of the top 10 posts on Hacker News on Jan 31, 2025.JavaScript Temporal is cominghttps://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/blog/javascript-temporal-is-coming/https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42876840Many of the Pokemon playtest cards were likely printed in 2024https://www.elitefourum.com/t/many-of-the-pokemon-playtest-cards-were-likely-printed-in-2024/52421https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42880704Antiqua et Nova: Note on the relationship between AI and human intelligencehttps://www.vatican.va/roman_curia/congregations/cfaith/documents/rc_ddf_doc_20250128_antiqua-et-nova_en.htmlhttps://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42877709California law...
2025-01-31
11 min
Podcast Notes Playlist: Startup
Tyler Cowen - the #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans
The Lunar Society Key Takeaways While the AIs will be smart and conscientious, they will still face human bottlenecks, such as bureaucracies and committees at universitiesWe may not notice AI productivity gains on shorter timeframes: Even if they only boost economic growth by 0.5% per year, that is a massive productivity gain over 30-40 years! “There are going to be bottlenecks all along the way. It’s going to be a tough slug – like the printing press, like electricity. The people who study diffusion of new technologies never think there will be rapid takeoff.” – Tyler CowenOpposition to AI will only...
2025-01-20
59 min
The Podcast Browser
Tyler Cowen - the #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans
Podcast: Dwarkesh Podcast (LS 54 · TOP 0.5% what is this?)Episode: Tyler Cowen - the #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humansPub date: 2025-01-09Get Podcast Transcript →powered by Listen411 - fast audio-to-text and summarizationI interviewed Tyler Cowen at the Progress Conference 2024. As always, I had a blast. This is my fourth interview with him – and yet I’m always hearing new stuff.We talked about why he thinks AI won't drive explosive economic growth, the real bottlenecks on world progress, him now writing for AIs instead of humans...
2025-01-15
59 min
Dwarkesh Podcast
Tyler Cowen - the #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans
I interviewed Tyler Cowen at the Progress Conference 2024. As always, I had a blast. This is my fourth interview with him – and yet I’m always hearing new stuff.We talked about why he thinks AI won't drive explosive economic growth, the real bottlenecks on world progress, him now writing for AIs instead of humans, and the difficult relationship between being cultured and fostering growth – among many other things in the full episode.Thanks to the Roots of Progress Institute (with special thanks to Jason Crawford and Heike Larson) for such a wonderful conference, and to Fre...
2025-01-09
59 min
Dwarkesh Podcast
Tyler Cowen - the #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans
I interviewed Tyler Cowen at the Progress Conference 2024. As always, I had a blast. This is my fourth interview with him – and yet I’m always hearing new stuff.We talked about why he thinks AI won't drive explosive economic growth, the real bottlenecks on world progress, him now writing for AIs instead of humans, and the difficult relationship between being cultured and fostering growth – among many other things in the full episode.Thanks to the Roots of Progress Institute (with special thanks to Jason Crawford and Heike Larson) for such a wonderful conference, and to FreeThink for the videography.Watch...
2025-01-09
59 min
Dwarkesh Podcast
Adam Brown – How Future Civilizations Could Change The Laws of Physics
Adam Brown is a founder and lead of BlueShift with is cracking maths and reasoning at Google DeepMind and a theoretical physicist at Stanford.We discuss: destroying the light cone with vacuum decay, holographic principle, mining black holes, & what it would take to train LLMs that can make Einstein level conceptual breakthroughs.Stupefying, entertaining, & terrifying.Enjoy!Watch on YouTube, read the transcript, listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform.Sponsors- Deepmind, Meta, Anthropic, and OpenAI, partner with Scale for high quality data to fuel...
2024-12-26
2h 43
Dwarkesh Podcast
Adam Brown – How Future Civilizations Could Change The Laws of Physics
Adam Brown is a founder and lead of BlueShift with is cracking maths and reasoning at Google DeepMind and a theoretical physicist at Stanford.We discuss: destroying the light cone with vacuum decay, holographic principle, mining black holes, & what it would take to train LLMs that can make Einstein level conceptual breakthroughs.Stupefying, entertaining, & terrifying.Enjoy!Watch on YouTube, read the transcript, listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform.Sponsors- Deepmind, Meta, Anthropic, and OpenAI, partner with Scale for high quality data to fuel post-training Publicly available data is running out - to keep developing smarter and smarter...
2024-12-26
2h 43
Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory
Gwern is a pseudonymous researcher and writer. He was one of the first people to see LLM scaling coming. If you've read his blog, you know he's one of the most interesting polymathic thinkers alive.In order to protect Gwern's anonymity, I proposed interviewing him in person, and having my friend Chris Painter voice over his words after. This amused him enough that he agreed.After the episode, I convinced Gwern to create a donation page where people can help sustain what he's up to. Please go here to contribute.Read the full...
2024-11-13
1h 36
Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory
Gwern is a pseudonymous researcher and writer. He was one of the first people to see LLM scaling coming. If you've read his blog, you know he's one of the most interesting polymathic thinkers alive.In order to protect Gwern's anonymity, I proposed interviewing him in person, and having my friend Chris Painter voice over his words after. This amused him enough that he agreed.After the episode, I convinced Gwern to create a donation page where people can help sustain what he's up to. Please go here to contribute.Read the full transcript here.Sponsors:* Jane Street is looking t...
2024-11-13
1h 36
The Numberphile Podcast
Winnie the Math Whiz - with Danica McKellar
Catch a video version of this episode at: https://youtu.be/xMAiBBxQGZIDanica McKellar is best-known for portraying girl-next-door Winnie Cooper in The Wonder Years - but she has also proven a math theorem (which bears her name) and writes books to inspire future mathematicians.Check out her math website and books at: https://mckellarmath.comAnd Danica’s general website at: https://danicamckellar.comDanica on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/danicamckellar/Danica’s books on Amazon: https://amzn.to/3VQdznyDanica’s co-authored paper which...
2024-07-02
45 min
Net Assessment
Should Biden Be Pro-Democracy or Anti-Autocracy?
Chris, Melanie, and Zack debate Madeleine Albright's recent article on “The Coming Democratic Revival” in Foreign Affairs. They discuss whether the United States is in a position to promote democracy and push back against autocracy abroad, or whether it needs to focus primarily on its own democratic institutions and processes. Melanie commends Nancy Mace for holding Steve Bannon to account. Chris calls out President Joe Biden for his recent confusing statement on Taiwan. And Zack remembers Colin Powell for a life well lived. Links: Madeleine K. Albright, “The Coming Democratic Revival,” Foreign Affairs, November/December 2021, https://www.f...
2021-10-29
1h 03
SDCast
В гостях Павел Аргентов, практикующий fp-программист
У меня в гостях Павел Аргентов, практикующий fp-программист. В этом выпуске мы попытались осветить все аспекты языка OCaml, сферы его применения, вопросы разработки, экосистему и сообщество вокруг. В начале Паша сделал довольно подробный экскурс в историю появления самого языка, начиная с появления диалекта Lisp'а в семидесятых, добавление алгебраических типов данных и категориальной абстрактной машины в восьмидесятых, появление реализации Caml Light в девяностых и заканчивая уже современной инкарнацией c поддержкой объектной модели. Подробно обсудили основые парадигмы языка и ключевые концепции, такие как: функциональное программирование, strict-механика и вытекающие из этого последствия, связывание переменных и лексические скоупы для связывания, система типов Хиндли-Милнера и опциональные аннотации типов, ООП-слой, язык модулей и функторы, инструментарий для синтаксического расширения (собственные DSL) и многое другое. Пообщались о сферах применения языка, для каких задач OCaml подходит лучше всего, какие преимущества у него по сравнению с другими языками в контексте этих задач. Паша рассказал про различные известные (и не очень) проекты, написанные на OCaml, среди которых, например, MirageOS, фреймворк для построения Unikernel систем. Рассказал про различные проекты, написанные под сильным влиянием OCaml. В основном это различные языки программирования, которые основаны на идеях OCaml, например FSharp, Haxe или ReasonML. Не забыли мы обсудить и экосистему вокруг языка, какие есть инструменты для работы с языком: моды к различным IDE, браузер типов, пакетные менеджеры и прочие сопутствующие инструменты, коммьюнити вокруг языка, списки рассылки, места скопления OCaml-программистов, чаты и форумы. Так же немного пофилософствовали на тему того, почему язык не получил широкого распространения среди разработчиков, с каких языков проще перейти на OCaml, стоит ли в принципе сейчас изучать этот язык. Ссылки на ресурсы по темам выпуска: * ocaml.org (http://ocaml.org/). Главный источник информации, знаний и документации по OCaml * Wiki-статья про OCaml (https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/OCaml) * Статья Павла “Beginner’s OCaml setup on Mac” (https://medium.com/@argent_smith/beginners-ocaml-setup-on-mac-fc206747b1ab) * Статья Павла “How to synchronize application development using Unison?” (https://hype.codes/how-synchronize-application-development-using-unison) * Multicore OCaml (http://ocamllabs.io/doc/multicore.html) * Экосистема OCaml: * Awesome OCaml (https://github.com/rizo/awesome-ocaml) * OCaml Package Manager (https://opam.ocaml.org/) * Tuareg: an Emacs OCaml mode (https://github.com/ocaml/tuareg) * Merlin (https://github.com/ocaml/merlin) is an editor service that provides modern IDE features for OCaml * oasis - Tooling for building OCaml libraries and application (https://github.com/ocaml/oasis)s * OCaml Labs (http://ocamllabs.io/) * Jane Street Capital's standard library overla (https://github.com/janestreet/core)y * Ocsigen (http://ocsigen.org/).The most advanced multi-tier framework for Web and mobile apps * MirageOS (https://mirage.io/). Library operating system that constructs unikernels * Success’n’users: * http://fsharp.org (http://fsharp.org/) * http://hacklang.org (http://hacklang.org/) * https://flow.org (https://flow.org/) * https://github.com/facebook/pfff/wiki/Main * https://reasonml.github.io (https://reasonml.github.io/) * http://haxe.org (http://haxe.org/) * https://github.com/xapi-project/ * https://blog.janestreet.com/tag/ocaml/ * https://coq.inria.fr (https://coq.inria.fr/) * https://www.cis.upenn.edu/~bcpierce/unison/ * Книги: * The OCaml system (http://caml.inria.fr/pub/docs/manual-ocaml/) * Real World OCaml (https://realworldocaml.org/) * Список книг на офф сайте (https://ocaml.org/learn/books.html) Поддержи подкаст на patreon (https://www.patreon.com/KSDaemon) а так же ретвитом, постом и просто рассказом друзьям!
2017-08-29
1h 43